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FRESH Analysis Report
Jun 7, 2026
5 days ago · 86% complete · +11 refreshed

GameStop Corp.

GME NYSE Categories PDF
Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Grapevine, TX 76051, United States IPO 2002 gamestop.com Updated Jun 7, 2:52pm
Price
$21.80
Market Cap
$9.8B
Employees
6,000
Beta
1.77
Avg Volume
7,683,347
CEO
Ryan Cohen
Business Description

GameStop Corp., a specialty retailer, provides games and entertainment products through its e-commerce properties and various stores in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Europe. The company sells new and pre-owned gaming platforms; accessories, such as controllers, gaming headsets, virtual reality products, and memory cards; new and pre-owned gaming software; and in-game digital currency, digital downloadable content, and full-game downloads. It also sells collectibles comprising licensed merchandise primarily related to the gaming, television, and movie industries, as well as pop culture themes. As of January 29, 2022, the company operated 4,573 stores and ecommerce sites under the GameStop, EB Games, and Micromania brands; and 50 pop culture themed stores that sell collectibles, apparel, gadgets, electronics, toys, and other retail products under the Zing Pop Culture brand, as well as offers Game Informer, a print and digital video game publication featuring reviews of new releases, previews of the big titles on the horizon, and coverage of the latest developments in the gaming industry. The company was formerly known as GSC Holdings Corp. GameStop Corp. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Grapevine, Texas.

Business History
Generated: Jun 7, 2026 2:56pm
Price Overview
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 4:37pm (5d ago)
$21.80
-0.47 (-2.11%)
Day Range
$21.33 – $22.35
52-Week Range
$19.93 – $30.61
50-Day MA
$23.30
200-Day MA
$23.18
Volume
5,803,516.00
Analyst Price Targets
Low $11.50
Consensus $18.25
High $25.00
(8 analysts)
Share Structure
Outstanding 448,691,227.00
Float 446,844,052.00
Free Float 99.6%
High free float — 99.6% of shares trade freely, ~0.4% held by insiders/institutions
Very liquid — most shares trade freely. Low insider ownership can mean less management alignment, but makes large position sizing straightforward.
Price History (1 Year)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 4:49pm (5d ago)
Revenue & Net Income Trend
The directional story — useful even when net income is negative.
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 4:49pm (5d ago)
Revenue
The top line — total sales before any costs or taxes are subtracted. A measure of how much business the company is doing.
Net Income
The bottom line — profit left after subtracting all expenses, interest, and taxes from revenue. Reflects accounting profitability, but includes non-cash items like depreciation, so it isn't the same as cash earned.
Operating Cash Flow
The real cash generated by the day-to-day business — selling products, paying suppliers, collecting from customers. Calculated from net income by adding back non-cash items and adjusting for timing (unpaid bills, unsold inventory). When OCF consistently lags net income, the reported profit may not be converting to real money.
Period Revenue Net Income Net Margin YoY/QoQ
Key Metrics
API Direct from provider CALC Derived from statements
Industry comparison last run: Jun 7, 2026 2:54pm
P/E Ratio (Price per dollar of earnings)
API
Stock Price / EPS (Diluted)
12.81
Stock Price: $21.80
EPS (Diluted): 0.93
P/B Ratio (Price vs net asset value)
API
Stock Price / Book Value Per Share
1.96
Stock Price: $21.80
Total Equity: $5.44B
Shares: 549,100,000
EV/EBITDA (Total value vs operating profit)
API
Enterprise Value / EBITDA
16.07
Market Cap: $9.78B
Total Debt: $4.25B
Cash: $6.30B
EBITDA: $305.40M
Enterprise Value (Takeover price (cap + debt - cash))
API
Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash
$8.7B
Market Cap: $9.78B
Total Debt: $4.25B
Cash: $6.30B
Gross Margin (Revenue left after direct costs)
API
Gross Profit / Revenue
32.4%
Gross Profit: $1.18B
Revenue: $3.63B
Operating Margin (Revenue left after all operations)
API
Operating Income / Revenue
7.9%
Operating Income: $285.90M
Revenue: $3.63B
Net Margin (Revenue left as actual profit)
API
Net Income / Revenue
11.5%
Net Income: $418.40M
Revenue: $3.63B
ROE (Profit from shareholder equity)
API
Net Income / Total Equity
14.0%
Net Income: $418.40M
Total Equity: $5.44B
ROIC (Profit from all invested capital)
API
NOPAT / Invested Capital
3.5%
Operating Income: $285.90M
Tax Rate: -9.0%
Equity: $5.44B
Total Debt: $4.25B
Cash: $6.30B
Current Ratio (Can it pay short-term bills)
API
Current Assets / Current Liabilities
15.30
Current Assets: $10.01B
Current Liabilities: $654.50M
Debt/Equity (Leverage — debt vs equity)
CALC
Total Debt / Total Equity
0.78
Short-Term Debt: $87.50M
Long-Term Debt: $4.16B
Total Debt: $4.25B
Total Equity: $5.44B
Rev/Share (Top-line per share)
CALC
Revenue / Shares Outstanding
$6.61
Revenue: $3.63B
Shares: 549,100,000
Book Value/Share (Net assets per share)
CALC
(Total Assets - Total Liabilities) / Shares
$9.92
Total Equity: $5.44B
Shares: 549,100,000
FCF/Share (Real cash generated per share)
CALC
(Operating Cash Flow + CapEx) / Shares
$1.09
Operating CF: $614.80M
CapEx: -$17.50M
Shares: 549,100,000
CapEx is negative (outflow) — added to OCF to get FCF
Div Yield (Annual income from holding)
API
Last Annual Dividend / Stock Price
0.0%
Last Dividend: N/A
Stock Price: $21.80
Payout Ratio (Earnings paid out as dividends)
Dividends Paid / Net Income
Dividends Paid: N/A
Net Income: $418.40M
Dividends paid not available in cash flow statement
Industry Benchmarks
Last run: Jun 7, 2026 2:54pm
Compares GME against LLM-researched typical ranges for its industry. One research call per industry, cached indefinitely — every stock in the same industry reuses the same baseline.
Deep Analysis
Last run: Jun 7, 2026 4:49:12 pm

Pre-flight intelligence scans the company first, then routes to the right analytical methods.

0 Company Classification — What type of company is this?
1 Industry Landscape — Where is the industry headed?
2 Company Momentum — Where is this company trending?
3 Forward Projection — 1Y & 2Y projected metrics (requires Layer 1 + 2)
4a DCF Valuation — Present value of future cash flows
4b Earnings Power Value — Floor value — worth with zero growth
4c Anchored PE — Industry PE adjusted for growth differential
4d Reverse DCF — What growth is the market pricing in?
4e Revenue-Based DCF — For growth/narrative companies (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4f Anchored P/S — Price-to-Sales peer comparison (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4g Scenario Analysis — Bull / Base / Bear (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4h Dividend Discount Model — For dividend/income stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4i Book Value Analysis — For deep value / turnaround stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4j Insider Activity — Are insiders buying or selling?
4f Cash Flow Quality — How trustworthy is the FCF?
4g Debt Maturity Risk — Can it handle its debt?
4h Macro Environment — Rates, market valuation, volatility
4i Sector Intelligence — How does this company compare within its sector?
4j Revenue Confidence — How reliable is the growth projection?
4k Sensitivity Analysis — How fragile is the fair value estimate?
4l Sector Demand Cycle — Is the sector in a boom, steady state, or contraction?
5 AI Investigation — Adaptive research engine (Claude)
5b Thesis Evaluation — What does the market believe? (narrative/platform stocks only)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
6 Valuation Synthesis — Weighted verdict from all methods (requires Layer 4)
Income Statement (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 4:49pm (5d ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Revenue $6.0B $5.9B $5.3B $3.8B $3.6B
Cost of Revenue $4.7B $4.6B $4.0B $2.7B $2.5B
Gross Profit $1.3B $1.4B $1.3B $1.1B $1.2B
Operating Expenses $1.7B $1.7B $1.3B $1.1B $890.8M
Operating Income -$368.5M -$311.6M -$34.5M -$26.2M $285.9M
Net Income -$381.3M -$313.1M $6.7M $131.3M $418.4M
EBITDA -$284.6M -$247.2M $26.5M $22.4M $305.4M
EPS $-1.31 $-1.03 $0.02 $0.33 $0.93
EPS (Diluted)
Balance Sheet (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 2:56pm (5d ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Cash & Equivalents $1.3B $1.1B $921.7M $4.8B $6.3B
Total Current Assets $2.6B $2.3B $2.0B $5.4B $10.0B
Total Assets $3.5B $3.1B $2.7B $5.9B $10.4B
Current Liabilities $1.4B $1.3B $934.5M $665.4M $654.5M
Long-Term Debt $40.5M $28.7M $17.7M $6.6M $4.2B
Total Liabilities $1.9B $1.8B $1.4B $945.6M $5.0B
Total Equity $1.6B $1.3B $1.3B $4.9B $5.4B
Retained Earnings $93.6M -$219.5M -$212.8M -$81.5M $205.2M
Cash Flow (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 4:49pm (5d ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Operating Cash Flow -$434.3M $108.2M -$203.7M $145.7M $614.8M
Capital Expenditure -$62.0M -$55.9M -$34.9M -$16.1M -$17.5M
Free Cash Flow -$496.3M $52.3M -$238.6M $129.6M $597.3M
Acquisitions (net) $0 $55.9M $13.1M $7.0M $-100,000
Debt Repayment
Dividends Paid
Stock Buybacks $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Net Change in Cash $684.9M -$123.9M -$257.1M $3.9B $1.5B
Analyst Estimates (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 2:52pm (5d ago)
Metric 2025 2026 2027 2028
Revenue $4.0B
$4.0B – $4.0B
$4.2B
$4.2B – $4.2B
$4.3B
$4.3B – $4.3B
$2.5B
$2.5B – $2.5B
EBITDA $4.8M
$4.8M – $4.8M
$5.0M
$5.0M – $5.0M
$5.1M
$5.1M – $5.1M
$3.0M
$3.0M – $3.0M
Net Income $38.4M
$38.4M – $38.4M
$543.6M
$543.6M – $543.6M
$598.5M
$598.5M – $598.5M
$664.4M
$664.4M – $664.4M
EPS
Growth Trends (YoY %)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 4:49pm (5d ago)
Metric 2023 2024 2025 2026
Revenue Growth -1.4% -11.0% -27.5% -5.1%
Gross Profit Growth +1.8% -5.7% -13.9% +5.6%
Operating Income Growth +15.4% +88.9% +24.1% +1,191.2%
Net Income Growth +17.9% +102.1% +1,859.7% +218.7%
EBITDA Growth +13.1% +110.7% -15.5% +1,263.4%
Insider Trading (Recent)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 4:49pm (5d ago)
Type codes PPurchase SSale AAward / grant MOption exercise FIn-kind (tax) CConversion GGift DReturn to issuer
All SEC Form 4 codes
Open market
P Purchase
Open-market or private purchase of shares.
S Sale
Open-market or private sale of shares.
Compensation (Rule 16b-3)
A Award / grant
Grant or award of securities (RSUs, options, etc.) under Rule 16b-3.
D Return to issuer
Securities disposed back to the company under Rule 16b-3.
F In-kind (tax)
Shares withheld or delivered to pay the option-exercise price or tax — not an open-market sale.
I Discretionary
Discretionary transaction under an employee plan — Rule 16b-3(f).
M Option exercise
Exercise or conversion of a derivative (option/RSU) into shares — exempt.
Derivatives
C Conversion
Conversion of a derivative security into the underlying shares.
E Short expiration
Expiration of a short derivative position.
H Long expiration
Expiration or cancellation of a long derivative position with value received.
O OTM exercise
Exercise of an out-of-the-money derivative.
X ITM exercise
Exercise of an in-the-money or at-the-money derivative.
Other exempt
G Gift
Bona fide gift of securities.
L Small acquisition
Small acquisition under Rule 16a-6.
W Inheritance
Acquisition or disposition by will or the laws of descent.
Z Voting trust
Deposit into or withdrawal from a voting trust.
Other
J Other
Other acquisition or disposition (explained in a Form 4 footnote).
K Equity swap
Transaction in an equity swap or similar instrument.
U Tender / buyout
Disposition via tender of shares in a change-of-control transaction.

Compensation-plan codes (A, D, F, M) are routine and rarely directional. Open-market P (buy) and S (sale) carry the most signal.

Date Insider Type Shares Price Value
2026-04-13 Robinson Mark Haymond S-Sale 3,912.00 $23.19 $90,715
2026-04-01 Moore Daniel William A-Award 21,196.00 $23.59 $500,014
2026-04-01 Moore Daniel William S-Sale 7,210.00 $22.94 $165,430
2026-04-01 Robinson Mark Haymond A-Award 21,196.00 $23.59 $500,014
2026-04-01 Robinson Mark Haymond S-Sale 7,209.00 $22.94 $165,407
2026-01-23 Cheng Lawrence P-Purchase 5,000.00 $22.87 $114,369
2026-01-21 Cohen Ryan P-Purchase 500,000.00 $21.60 $10.8M
2026-01-20 Cohen Ryan P-Purchase 500,000.00 $21.12 $10.6M
2026-01-21 Attal Alain P-Purchase 12,000.00 $21.63 $259,577
2026-01-20 Attal Alain P-Purchase 12,000.00 $20.90 $250,798
2026-01-12 Robinson Mark Haymond S-Sale 12,200.00 $21.00 $256,248
2026-01-02 Robinson Mark Haymond S-Sale 5,475.00 $20.44 $111,901
2026-01-02 Moore Daniel William S-Sale 5,477.00 $20.44 $111,942
2025-12-23 Moore Daniel William A-Award 1,081.00 $21.38 $23,112
2025-12-23 Robinson Mark Haymond A-Award 967.00 $21.38 $20,674
2025-12-09 Robinson Mark Haymond A-Award 9,561.00 $21.84 $208,812
2025-10-02 Moore Daniel William S-Sale 6,509.00 $27.58 $179,534
2025-10-02 Robinson Mark Haymond S-Sale 4,449.00 $27.58 $122,715
2025-09-02 Moore Daniel William S-Sale 830.00 $22.68 $18,824
2025-08-11 Moore Daniel William A-Award 71,060.00 $23.22 $1.7M
Dividend History (Last 20)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 2:52pm (5d ago)
Date Dividend Declaration Record Payment
2019-03-14 $0.38 2019-03-04 2019-03-15 2019-03-29
2018-12-10 $0.38 2018-11-27 2018-12-11 2018-12-21
2018-09-17 $0.38 2018-09-04 2018-09-18 2018-10-02
2018-06-11 $0.38 2018-05-31 2018-06-12 2018-06-26
2018-03-02 $0.38 2018-02-21 2018-03-05 2018-03-20
2017-11-30 $0.38 2017-11-17 2017-12-01 2017-12-12
2017-09-07 $0.38 2017-08-21 2017-09-08 2017-09-21
2017-06-05 $0.38 2017-05-26 2017-06-07 2017-06-20
2017-03-10 $0.38 2017-03-01 2017-03-14 2017-03-28
2016-11-29 $0.37 2016-11-23 2016-12-01 2016-12-13
2016-09-07 $0.37 2016-08-26 2016-09-09 2016-09-22
2016-06-06 $0.37 2016-05-27 2016-06-08 2016-06-21
2016-03-04 $0.37 2016-02-24 2016-03-08 2016-03-22
2015-12-01 $0.36 2015-11-24 2015-12-03 2015-12-15
2015-09-04 $0.36 2015-08-28 2015-09-09 2015-09-22
2015-06-08 $0.36 2015-05-29 2015-06-10 2015-06-23
2015-03-13 $0.36 2015-03-04 2015-03-17 2015-03-24
2014-11-21 $0.33 2014-11-13 2014-11-25 2014-12-16
2014-08-29 $0.33 2014-08-22 2014-09-03 2014-09-16
2014-06-02 $0.33 2014-05-23 2014-06-04 2014-06-17
Narrative Economics
The story the market is telling about this stock — the intangible X-factor (founder mythology, cult dynamics, TAM-of-imagination) that moves price beyond what cash flows alone explain. After Shiller, Narrative Economics.
No narrative profile yet for GME.
Delvantic AI Findings
Independent analyst synthesis · Delvantic - Cairn AI · generated 2026-06-07 16:49:51
Reviews the pipeline's own verdicts
Verdict Modestly overvalued at $21.80 against $16-18 sum-of-parts fair value — avoid long, don't short the cult; revisit only if Cohen announces a concrete capital deployment framework or shares retrace to $15-16 (near

The raw numbers tell a strange story that the models mostly get right but slightly mis-frame. Revenue has collapsed from $6.01B (FY22) to $3.63B (FY26) — a 40% peak-to-trough decline — yet net income swung from -$381M to +$418M. Look closer though: the FY26 NI of $418M overstates operating quality because operating income was only $286M; the gap is investment income on the $6.3B cash hoard (roughly 4-5% on T-bills = ~$250-300M annualized). The May 2026 quarter is even more telling: $835M revenue with a $390M net income at a 46.6% margin is not a retail result — that's mark-to-market gains on Bitcoin/securities flowing through the P&L. Strip those out and the underlying retail business is a low-single-digit operating margin specialty retailer shrinking 5% YoY, generating maybe $100-150M of true operating earnings.

So what is GME actually worth? Cash and equivalents of $6.3B equals roughly $14/share against 448M shares (and that's before counting BTC holdings and recent ATM raises which may have pushed liquid assets higher). The retail operation throwing off ~$100-150M in normalized operating profit deserves a single-digit multiple given secular decline — call it $800M-$1.2B, or $2-3/share. That sums to a defensible $16-17/share intrinsic value, leaving roughly $5/share ($2.2B of market cap) as pure Cohen-optionality and narrative premium. The synthesis verdict of "Disconnected from Fundamentals" is directionally correct but the gap is narrower than implied — this isn't a $5-8 stock anymore because the cash pile is real and Cohen has demonstrated (via the BTC pivot and ATM raises near highs) some capital allocation discipline.

Where I push back on the prior models: the Market Forces "melting ice cube" framing ignores that operating losses have actually been eliminated — FY26 op income of +$286M vs -$369M in FY22 is a real $650M swing, even adjusting for interest income. The narrative-economics layer calls durability "fragile" but the cult coefficient has now persisted five years through multiple disappointments; that's evidence of durability, not fragility. Conversely, the insider activity signal of "Net Insider Buying" is misleading — those January 2026 purchases of 500K shares look like Cohen-aligned board buys near $20-25, but the more recent April 2026 activity is net selling against awards. The contrarian case worth taking seriously: if Cohen converts the cash pile into a Berkshire-style holdco (the BTC move hints at this), the appropriate framework isn't DCF on retail but book-value-plus-optionality on capital allocation — and at 1.96x P/B with a proven (if controversial) operator, that's not absurd. MicroStrategy trades at 2-3x its BTC NAV; if GME becomes a crypto/securities vehicle with retail-cult distribution, $22 could prove cheap.

The data gaps matter: total debt and equity are blank in the balance sheet tile, the TTM ratios (PE 12.8, ROE 14%) are inflated by non-recurring investment gains and shouldn't be taken at face value, and we have no visibility on the BTC position size or ATM share count post-Q1. Revenue confidence is correctly flagged as low — quarterly prints are now dominated by holiday seasonality on a shrinking base, making trend extraction noisy. I agree with the synthesis verdict in direction but not magnitude: GME is overvalued versus a sum-of-parts read, but it's not the egregious disconnect the models suggest because (a) the cash is real and earning yield, (b) operating losses have genuinely been eliminated, and (c) the narrative premium has proven more durable than any model wants to credit. Fair value is ~$16-18; the $4-5 premium is the Cohen call option, which has non-zero value. Not a short (the cult bid plus capital allocation optionality makes that asymmetric pain), not a buy (you're paying 25-30% over tangible asset value for a melting retail stub plus a wildcard), and the thesis hinges entirely on what Cohen does with $6B+ over the next 12-24 months.

GPT Critique
Second-opinion review · gpt-4o · generated 2026-06-07 16:49:56
Reviews the Opus findings above
Verdict I concur with Opus that GameStop is overvalued at $21.80, with a fair value closer to $16-18, but my stance is more cautious on the narrative's durability and the premium's justification.

GameStop's financial data presents a fascinating case of transformation amid declining traditional retail operations. The company's revenue has sharply decreased from $6.01 billion in FY22 to $3.63 billion in FY26, a substantial contraction. Despite this, GameStop has swung from a net loss to a net income of $418 million in FY26, a remarkable turnaround driven largely by investment income from its substantial cash reserves, rather than operational improvements. The operating income of $285.9 million in FY26, while an improvement over previous losses, is overshadowed by the interest income on its $6.3 billion cash pile, suggesting that the core retail business remains under pressure, shrinking at a rate of 5% annually.

I find myself in agreement with Opus that GameStop's current valuation at $21.80 is inflated relative to its fundamentals. Opus points out that the FY26 net income is bolstered by investment returns, not retail operations—a critical distinction that aligns with my reading of the data. The retail business, with its modest operating earnings of $100-150 million, merits a conservative valuation. I also concur that the $6.3 billion cash is a significant asset, warranting a valuation of approximately $14 per share. Opus's assessment of the market assigning a premium for potential strategic maneuvers by Ryan Cohen resonates with me, though I find the premium to be even more speculative than Opus suggests.

Where I diverge from Opus is in the interpretation of the narrative's durability. While Opus sees five years of sustained cult interest as evidence of enduring strength, my interpretation leans towards fragility. The market's heavy reliance on narrative over fundamentals can unravel if retail enthusiasm wanes or if Cohen fails to deliver a transformative strategy. Additionally, I'm more skeptical about the potential for Cohen to pivot GameStop into a "Berkshire-style holdco" or a crypto-focused entity, given the inherent volatility and speculative nature of such endeavors.

A careful skeptic might argue that both Opus and I underappreciate the potential for GameStop to leverage its brand and retail footprint into new, profitable ventures, particularly in the digital and collectibles space. They might contend that the company's strategic moves, though not yet fully realized, could eventually justify the current premium. However, without concrete plans or demonstrated success in these areas, such arguments remain speculative.

Advanced Analysis Forensic deep-dive · two lenses
Two separate reads — Company Quality (is it a great business?) and Valuation (is it mispriced?), kept deliberately apart · 2026-06-07 16:45:22
Delvantic - Cairn AI
Pass — revisit sub-$15 8/10
Quality has genuinely improved (+7) but you're paying a 35-50% premium over defensible value (-86) for meme optionality — pass at $21.80.
The cruxRoughly half the market cap is cash they diluted you to raise, and you're being asked to pay a full retail multiple on a shrinking stub plus a narrative premium — price, not business quality, is the binding constraint.
Company Quality
+7
Mixed
edge √Σ 134 · risk √Σ 127 · conf 6/10
Valuation / Mispricing
-86
Rich
edge √Σ 35 · risk √Σ 121 · conf 7/10
Liquidity & RunwayFortress Balance Sheet
DilutionHeavy Dilution
Earnings QualityGood Earnings Quality
The Play — combined read across both lenses Delvantic - Cairn AI

The two lenses tell a coherent story: Lens 1 at +7 says Cohen has bought time with a fortress balance sheet and a real margin turnaround, but the underlying retail business is in secular decline and shareholders financed the rescue through an 89% share-count explosion. Lens 2 at -86 says fine — but at $21.80 you're paying ~$10-11 for the cash they diluted you to get and another ~$11 for a shrinking stub plus Cohen-magic optionality. I won't pay a retail multiple on interest income, and I won't pay a call-option premium for capital allocation I can't underwrite. This is the textbook 'decent-ish company, bad price' setup.

My play: I do nothing here. No starter, no nibble — the meme premium means I have no edge buying alongside the narrative crowd. I put GME on the watchlist with a hard line at $15 (cash + token stub), and I'd only get interested as a small 1-1.5% starter if it trades there on a market flush, not on company-specific bad news (a botched BTC treasury pivot or value-destroying acquisition would invalidate the thesis). Scale to ~3% only if it gets to $12-13 with the cash pile still intact. Catalysts that flip me aggressive earlier: a real capital return (buyback at a discount to cash, special dividend) — that would convert the optionality premium into actual per-share value. Catalysts that make me stay away even at $15: any large acquisition or crypto allocation that burns the cash moat. Until then, the Cohen insider buy is interesting but not interesting enough to override a -86 valuation read.

The evidence behind each score — switch lenses
+7 Mixed edge √Σ 134 · risk √Σ 127 · conf 6/10

GameStop has executed a genuine financial turnaround on the P&L: gross margin expanded from 22.4% (2022) to 32.4% (2026), operating margin flipped from -6.1% to +7.9%, net income went from -$381M to +$418M, and FCF reached $597M. Earnings quality checks are clean (Beneish -3.29, accruals -1.3% of assets), and the balance sheet is a fortress with $9.01B liquid cash and $4.76B net cash — survival risk is effectively nil. Ryan Cohen's $21M open-market purchase in Jan 2026 is a strong signal of insider conviction.

The concerns are equally real. Revenue has collapsed from $6.01B to $3.63B — a 40% decline in four years — so the margin/profit improvement is being achieved on a structurally shrinking base, consistent with secular decline in physical game retail. Diluted shares went from 290M to 549M (+89% in four years, 17.3% CAGR), which means per-share economics have been heavily diluted even as absolute profits recovered. The 'Poor Cash Flow Quality' tag and the OCF/NI of -5.41x deserve scrutiny — likely a sign that 2026 FCF is flattered by working-capital release on a shrinking business rather than recurring operating cash generation.

Net of the cash, the operating business generating $418M of net income on $3.63B of declining revenue is a niche specialty retailer with no demonstrated moat in the data. Management is clearly competent at cost discipline and capital preservation, but durability of the underlying retail franchise is unproven.

Strengths 4
m90
Fortress balance sheet
$9.01B liquid cash, $4.76B net cash, 92% of market cap. Zero survival risk; optionality for capital allocation is enormous.
m70
Genuine margin and profit turnaround
GM 22.4%→32.4%, OpM -6.1%→+7.9%, NI -$381M→+$418M, FCF -$496M→+$597M across 2022-2026. Operating discipline is real.
m55
Clean earnings-quality mechanicals
Beneish M -3.29, Altman Z 2.71, accruals -1.3% of assets — no manipulation flags.
m45
Chairman buying with own money
Ryan Cohen put $21.4M into open-market purchases at ~$21/sh in Jan 2026; Attal and Cheng also bought. P-codes dwarf the routine S-sales by other execs.
Concerns 4
m80
Revenue in structural decline
Revenue fell from $6.01B (2022) to $3.63B (2026) — down 40%. The profit recovery is on a shrinking base, raising durability questions for the core retail franchise.
m75
Massive share-count expansion
Diluted shares 290M→549M (+89% in four years, 17.3% CAGR). Per-share value has been heavily diluted even as absolute results improved; capital raises funded the cash hoard rather than the operating business.
m50
FCF quality flagged despite headline number
$597M FCF in 2026 sits against the 'Poor Cash Flow Quality' tag and OCF/NI of -5.41x — suggesting working-capital release on a shrinking revenue base, not necessarily recurring.
m40
No evidence of moat
Specialty physical game retail faces secular digital displacement; nothing in the financials demonstrates pricing power or a defensible niche.
This is a Jekyll-and-Hyde quality story. As a balance sheet, it's a fortress; as a P&L, the 2026 print is genuinely impressive after years of losses. But as a business, revenue is in secular decline and the company has nearly doubled its share count to build that cash pile — they essentially traded shareholder dilution for survival optionality. The operating retail business itself, stripped of the cash, has no demonstrated moat and is shrinking. I'd call it Mixed: management has bought time and earned credibility on cost control, but 'great company' requires durable, growing economics in the core, and I don't see that yet. The next two years — what they do with the cash and whether FCF holds without working-capital tailwinds — will decide whether this is a real reinvention or a well-funded melting ice cube.
Verify before trusting this (6)
  • Source of $597M FCF — how much is from inventory liquidation / payables stretching vs. recurring operations?
  • Composition of $9B cash: how much came from equity issuances at successive ATMs vs. operating cash?
  • Strategy for the cash pile — any disclosed capital allocation framework, M&A, or treasury policy (incl. crypto/BTC) in the 10-K?
  • Revenue mix: hardware vs. software vs. collectibles — which segments are declining and which are stable?
  • Whether further ATM equity issuance is authorized; remaining capacity
  • Store count trajectory and lease commitments — physical footprint rationalization pace
-86 Rich edge √Σ 35 · risk √Σ 121 · conf 7/10
Price $21.80 vs deserved ~$13–16 (cash + modest stub) — roughly 35–50% premium to defensible value. attractive below $15.00

Market cap is ~$9.78B at $21.80. GameStop holds roughly $4.5–5B+ in cash/securities from serial equity raises (share count up ~89% in four years), so the implied enterprise value for the actual retail business is on the order of $5B. Against a shrinking specialty retailer doing maybe $4B of revenue with thin operating margins — even after the recent profitable print — that's a rich multiple for a business in secular decline. The 2026 net income flatters reality because a large chunk is interest income on the cash hoard, not retail earnings power.

Deserved value, in my book, is cash per share (~$10–11) plus a modest multiple on a shrinking, low-quality operating stub (maybe $2–4/share generously) — call it $13–16 of defensible value. At $21.80 the market is paying a meaningful premium to that, presumably for meme-driven optionality, crypto/BTC treasury narrative, or Cohen-led capital allocation magic. None of that is deserved value; it's a call option premium baked into the common. With good (but not stellar) earnings quality, no haircut rescue, and a quality lens that explicitly flags the P&L as 'Jekyll-and-Hyde,' I can't manufacture cheapness here.

Cheap signals 1
m35
Hard cash floor limits downside
Roughly $10–11/share in cash and securities means ~half the current price is backed by liquid assets — not 'cheap,' but a real floor that caps how wrong you can be.
Rich / priced-in 4
m70
Operating business valued at ~$5B EV despite secular decline
Stripping ~$4.5–5B of cash from the $9.78B cap leaves ~$5B EV on a shrinking retailer — a full multiple for a business whose revenue line keeps falling.
m65
Earnings flattered by interest income, not retail
A large share of recent net income is interest on the treasury cash pile, not operating earnings. Capitalizing that at a retail multiple double-counts the cash already on the balance sheet.
m60
89% share count explosion erodes per-share value
The fortress balance sheet was bought with massive dilution. Owners of the float now share the cash with nearly twice as many shares — the per-share deserved value didn't grow proportionally with the cash raised.
m45
Meme/optionality premium embedded in price
The gap between $21.80 and ~$13–16 deserved is essentially a premium for capital-allocation optionality (BTC treasury, acquisitions, Cohen). That's narrative, not deserved value.
I can't call this cheap. Roughly half the market cap is cash they diluted you to raise, and the other half is paying a generous multiple for a shrinking retail stub plus a meme premium. The business just turned profitable, which is real, but a chunk of that profit is interest income I shouldn't pay a retail multiple for. I'd want this closer to $14–15 — basically cash-plus-token-stub — before the valuation interests me on its own merits. At $21.80 I'm fading it.
Verify before trusting this (5)
  • Exact cash + marketable securities balance and any BTC/crypto holdings as of latest 10-Q
  • Diluted share count post any recent ATM offerings
  • Segment-level operating income excluding interest income — the true retail earnings power
  • Any guidance or capital allocation framework from management on use of cash
  • Same-store sales / revenue trajectory in latest quarter
Two lenses kept deliberately separate — Company Quality is price-agnostic; Valuation is price-conditional. The scores are not blended (yet). Filing-level items (convertibles, lock-ups, customer concentration) are v2 — see each lens's "verify."
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Data via Financial Modeling Prep · Cached for performance · fmp
v1.1.330 · 344c2a54 · 2026-06-09 20:20:16