Homepage
FRESH Analysis Report
Jun 7, 2026
5 days ago · 89% complete · +6 refreshed

OGE Energy Corp.

OGE NYSE Categories PDF
Utilities · Regulated Electric
Oklahoma City, OK 73101-0321, United States IPO 1950 ogeenergy.com Updated Jun 12, 10:57pm
Price
$47.80
Market Cap
$9.9B
Employees
2,291
Beta
0.52
Avg Volume
1,606,361
CEO
Robert Sean Trauschke
Business Description

OGE Energy Corp., along with its various subsidiaries, operates as a comprehensive energy and utility provider. The company facilitates the physical delivery and associated services for electricity, natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids across the United States. Its core operations encompass the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electrical power. OGE Energy serves approximately 879,000 retail electric customers within an expansive service area spanning about 30,000 square miles in Oklahoma and western Arkansas. The company also owns and manages a diverse portfolio of power generation facilities, utilizing coal, natural gas, wind, and solar sources. As of December 31, 2021, OGE Energy Corp. maintained substantial interconnected electrical infrastructure. This included 16 power generation stations with a combined output capability of 7,207 megawatts. Its transmission networks featured 54 substations and 5,122 structural miles of lines in Oklahoma, complemented by 7 substations and 277 structural miles of lines in Arkansas. The distribution systems were equally extensive: in Oklahoma, they comprised 350 substations, 29,494 structural miles of overhead lines, 3,365 miles of underground conduit, and 11,125 miles of underground conductors. In Arkansas, this infrastructure included 29 substations, 2,795 structural miles of overhead lines, 349 miles of underground conduit, and 662 miles of underground conductors. Established in 1902, OGE Energy Corp. is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

Business History
Generated: Jun 7, 2026 3:38pm
Price Overview
Last updated: Jun 13, 2026 12:06am (just now)
$47.80
+0.48 (+1.01%)
Day Range
$47.34 – $47.96
52-Week Range
$41.70 – $50.13
50-Day MA
$47.75
200-Day MA
$45.75
Volume
740,979.00
Analyst Price Targets
Low $44.00
Consensus $46.80
High $49.00
(25 analysts)
Share Structure
Outstanding 206,374,000.00
Float 204,997,804.00
Free Float 99.3%
High free float — 99.3% of shares trade freely, ~0.7% held by insiders/institutions
Very liquid — most shares trade freely. Low insider ownership can mean less management alignment, but makes large position sizing straightforward.
Price History (1 Year)
Last updated: Jun 13, 2026 12:06am (just now)
Revenue & Net Income Trend
The directional story — useful even when net income is negative.
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 8:40pm (5d ago)
Revenue
The top line — total sales before any costs or taxes are subtracted. A measure of how much business the company is doing.
Net Income
The bottom line — profit left after subtracting all expenses, interest, and taxes from revenue. Reflects accounting profitability, but includes non-cash items like depreciation, so it isn't the same as cash earned.
Operating Cash Flow
The real cash generated by the day-to-day business — selling products, paying suppliers, collecting from customers. Calculated from net income by adding back non-cash items and adjusting for timing (unpaid bills, unsold inventory). When OCF consistently lags net income, the reported profit may not be converting to real money.
Period Revenue Net Income Net Margin YoY/QoQ
Key Metrics
API Direct from provider CALC Derived from statements
Industry comparison last run: Jun 7, 2026 3:38pm
P/E Ratio (Price per dollar of earnings)
API
Stock Price / EPS (Diluted)
21.52
Stock Price: $47.80
EPS (Diluted): 2.33
P/B Ratio (Price vs net asset value)
API
Stock Price / Book Value Per Share
1.73
Stock Price: $47.80
Total Equity: $4.98B
Shares: 202,500,000
EV/EBITDA (Total value vs operating profit)
API
Enterprise Value / EBITDA
12.08
Market Cap: $9.86B
Total Debt: $5.66B
Cash: $200,000
EBITDA: $1.36B
Enterprise Value (Takeover price (cap + debt - cash))
API
Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash
$14.3B
Market Cap: $9.86B
Total Debt: $5.66B
Cash: $200,000
Gross Margin (Revenue left after direct costs)
API
Gross Profit / Revenue
44.2%
Gross Profit: $1.44B
Revenue: $3.26B
Operating Margin (Revenue left after all operations)
API
Operating Income / Revenue
24.5%
Operating Income: $799.40M
Revenue: $3.26B
Net Margin (Revenue left as actual profit)
API
Net Income / Revenue
14.4%
Net Income: $470.70M
Revenue: $3.26B
ROE (Profit from shareholder equity)
API
Net Income / Total Equity
9.5%
Net Income: $470.70M
Total Equity: $4.98B
ROIC (Profit from all invested capital)
API
NOPAT / Invested Capital
4.8%
Operating Income: $799.40M
Tax Rate: 16.0%
Equity: $4.98B
Total Debt: $5.66B
Cash: $200,000
Current Ratio (Can it pay short-term bills)
API
Current Assets / Current Liabilities
0.78
Current Assets: $857.90M
Current Liabilities: $1.09B
Debt/Equity (Leverage — debt vs equity)
CALC
Total Debt / Total Equity
1.14
Short-Term Debt: $292.00M
Long-Term Debt: $5.37B
Total Debt: $5.66B
Total Equity: $4.98B
Rev/Share (Top-line per share)
CALC
Revenue / Shares Outstanding
$16.10
Revenue: $3.26B
Shares: 202,500,000
Book Value/Share (Net assets per share)
CALC
(Total Assets - Total Liabilities) / Shares
$24.58
Total Equity: $4.98B
Shares: 202,500,000
FCF/Share (Real cash generated per share)
CALC
(Operating Cash Flow + CapEx) / Shares
$0.41
Operating CF: $1.14B
CapEx: -$1.05B
Shares: 202,500,000
CapEx is negative (outflow) — added to OCF to get FCF
Div Yield (Annual income from holding)
API
Last Annual Dividend / Stock Price
4.0%
Last Dividend: N/A
Stock Price: $47.80
Payout Ratio (Earnings paid out as dividends)
Dividends Paid / Net Income
Dividends Paid: N/A
Net Income: $470.70M
Dividends paid not available in cash flow statement
Industry Benchmarks
Last run: Jun 7, 2026 3:38pm
Compares OGE against LLM-researched typical ranges for its industry. One research call per industry, cached indefinitely — every stock in the same industry reuses the same baseline.
Deep Analysis
Last run: Jun 7, 2026 3:41:47 pm

Pre-flight intelligence scans the company first, then routes to the right analytical methods.

0 Company Classification — What type of company is this?
1 Industry Landscape — Where is the industry headed?
2 Company Momentum — Where is this company trending?
3 Forward Projection — 1Y & 2Y projected metrics (requires Layer 1 + 2)
4a DCF Valuation — Present value of future cash flows
4b Earnings Power Value — Floor value — worth with zero growth
4c Anchored PE — Industry PE adjusted for growth differential
4d Reverse DCF — What growth is the market pricing in?
4e Revenue-Based DCF — For growth/narrative companies (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4f Anchored P/S — Price-to-Sales peer comparison (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4g Scenario Analysis — Bull / Base / Bear (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4h Dividend Discount Model — For dividend/income stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4i Book Value Analysis — For deep value / turnaround stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4j Insider Activity — Are insiders buying or selling?
4f Cash Flow Quality — How trustworthy is the FCF?
4g Debt Maturity Risk — Can it handle its debt?
4h Macro Environment — Rates, market valuation, volatility
4i Sector Intelligence — How does this company compare within its sector?
4j Revenue Confidence — How reliable is the growth projection?
4k Sensitivity Analysis — How fragile is the fair value estimate?
4l Sector Demand Cycle — Is the sector in a boom, steady state, or contraction?
5 AI Investigation — Adaptive research engine (Claude)
5b Thesis Evaluation — What does the market believe? (narrative/platform stocks only)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
6 Valuation Synthesis — Weighted verdict from all methods (requires Layer 4)
Income Statement (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 8:40pm (5d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue $3.7B $3.4B $2.7B $3.0B $3.3B
Cost of Revenue $2.6B $2.2B $1.4B $1.6B $1.8B
Gross Profit $1.1B $1.2B $1.3B $1.4B $1.4B
Operating Expenses $518.8M $562.4M $609.8M $649.2M $641.0M
Operating Income $544.2M $649.5M $650.2M $745.3M $799.4M
Net Income $737.3M $665.7M $416.8M $441.5M $470.7M
EBITDA $1.5B $1.4B $1.2B $1.3B $1.4B
EPS $3.68 $3.33 $2.08 $2.20 $2.33
EPS (Diluted)
Balance Sheet (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 3:39pm (5d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Cash & Equivalents $0 $88.1M $200,000 $600,000 $200,000
Total Current Assets $613.6M $1.3B $771.5M $895.1M $857.9M
Total Assets $12.6B $12.5B $12.8B $13.7B $14.4B
Current Liabilities $1.1B $1.8B $1.2B $1.2B $1.1B
Long-Term Debt $4.5B $3.5B $4.3B $5.0B $5.4B
Total Liabilities $8.6B $8.1B $8.3B $9.1B $9.4B
Total Equity $4.1B $4.4B $4.5B $4.6B $5.0B
Retained Earnings $3.0B $3.3B $3.4B $3.5B $3.6B
Cash Flow (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 8:40pm (5d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Operating Cash Flow -$229.9M $952.4M $1.2B $812.8M $1.1B
Capital Expenditure -$778.5M -$1.1B -$1.2B -$1.1B -$1.1B
Free Cash Flow -$1.0B -$98.5M $54.1M -$278.1M $82.7M
Acquisitions (net) $35.0M $0 $0 $0 $0
Debt Repayment
Dividends Paid
Stock Buybacks $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Net Change in Cash -$1.1M $88.1M -$87.9M $400,000 $-400,000
Analyst Estimates (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 12, 2026 10:57pm (1h ago)
Metric 2027 2028 2029 2030
Revenue $3.5B
$3.5B – $3.6B
$3.7B
$3.7B – $3.7B
$4.0B
$3.9B – $4.1B
$4.2B
$4.1B – $4.4B
EBITDA $1.6B
$1.6B – $1.6B
$1.6B
$1.6B – $1.6B
$1.8B
$1.7B – $1.8B
$1.9B
$1.8B – $1.9B
Net Income $528.0M
$526.0M – $530.1M
$570.8M
$561.8M – $579.9M
$613.9M
$588.4M – $640.0M
$663.4M
$635.8M – $691.6M
EPS
Growth Trends (YoY %)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 8:40pm (5d ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue Growth -7.6% -20.8% +11.6% +9.2%
Gross Profit Growth +14.0% +4.0% +10.7% +3.3%
Operating Income Growth +19.3% +0.1% +14.6% +7.3%
Net Income Growth -9.7% -37.4% +5.9% +6.6%
EBITDA Growth -2.7% -15.2% +9.5% +3.4%
Insider Trading (Recent)
Last updated: Jun 12, 2026 10:57pm (1h ago)
Type codes PPurchase SSale AAward / grant MOption exercise FIn-kind (tax) CConversion GGift DReturn to issuer
All SEC Form 4 codes
Open market
P Purchase
Open-market or private purchase of shares.
S Sale
Open-market or private sale of shares.
Compensation (Rule 16b-3)
A Award / grant
Grant or award of securities (RSUs, options, etc.) under Rule 16b-3.
D Return to issuer
Securities disposed back to the company under Rule 16b-3.
F In-kind (tax)
Shares withheld or delivered to pay the option-exercise price or tax — not an open-market sale.
I Discretionary
Discretionary transaction under an employee plan — Rule 16b-3(f).
M Option exercise
Exercise or conversion of a derivative (option/RSU) into shares — exempt.
Derivatives
C Conversion
Conversion of a derivative security into the underlying shares.
E Short expiration
Expiration of a short derivative position.
H Long expiration
Expiration or cancellation of a long derivative position with value received.
O OTM exercise
Exercise of an out-of-the-money derivative.
X ITM exercise
Exercise of an in-the-money or at-the-money derivative.
Other exempt
G Gift
Bona fide gift of securities.
L Small acquisition
Small acquisition under Rule 16a-6.
W Inheritance
Acquisition or disposition by will or the laws of descent.
Z Voting trust
Deposit into or withdrawal from a voting trust.
Other
J Other
Other acquisition or disposition (explained in a Form 4 footnote).
K Equity swap
Transaction in an equity swap or similar instrument.
U Tender / buyout
Disposition via tender of shares in a change-of-control transaction.

Compensation-plan codes (A, D, F, M) are routine and rarely directional. Open-market P (buy) and S (sale) carry the most signal.

Date Insider Type Shares Price Value
2026-05-21 SULTEMEIER WILLIAM H S-Sale 7,345.00 $47.97 $352,340
2026-03-31 RAINBOLT DAVID E A-Award 319.28 $0.00 $0
2026-02-24 Stafford Sarah R. S-Sale 6,130.00 $47.77 $292,803
2026-02-23 Ganske Lyle G. P-Purchase 10,420.00 $47.99 $500,067
2026-02-16 Trauschke Sean A-Award 43,157.00 $0.00 $0
2026-02-16 Trauschke Sean A-Award 70,897.00 $0.00 $0
2026-02-16 Trauschke Sean F-InKind 31,266.00 $46.64 $1.5M
2026-02-16 SULTEMEIER WILLIAM H A-Award 5,973.00 $0.00 $0
2026-02-16 SULTEMEIER WILLIAM H A-Award 10,996.00 $0.00 $0
2026-02-16 SULTEMEIER WILLIAM H F-InKind 4,850.00 $46.64 $226,204
2026-02-16 Stafford Sarah R. A-Award 2,498.00 $0.00 $0
2026-02-16 Stafford Sarah R. A-Award 4,559.00 $0.00 $0
2026-02-16 Stafford Sarah R. F-InKind 2,022.00 $46.64 $94,306
2026-02-16 PARKER DAVID A A-Award 2,926.00 $0.00 $0
2026-02-16 PARKER DAVID A A-Award 4,545.00 $0.00 $0
2026-02-16 PARKER DAVID A F-InKind 2,012.00 $46.64 $93,840
2026-02-16 WALWORTH CHARLES B A-Award 8,458.00 $0.00 $0
2026-02-16 WALWORTH CHARLES B A-Award 4,560.00 $0.00 $0
2026-02-16 WALWORTH CHARLES B F-InKind 2,011.00 $46.64 $93,793
2026-02-16 Jones Donnie O. A-Award 10,404.00 $0.00 $0
Dividend History (Last 20)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 3:36pm (5d ago)
Date Dividend Declaration Record Payment
2026-07-06 $0.43 2026-05-14 2026-07-06 2026-07-31
2026-04-06 $0.43 2026-02-17 2026-04-06 2026-04-24
2026-01-05 $0.43 2025-12-03 2026-01-05 2026-01-30
2025-10-06 $0.43 2025-09-23 2025-10-06 2025-10-31
2025-07-07 $0.42 2025-05-15 2025-07-07 2025-07-25
2025-04-07 $0.42 2025-02-18 2025-04-07 2025-04-25
2025-01-06 $0.42 2024-12-04 2025-01-06 2025-01-31
2024-10-07 $0.42 2024-09-23 2024-10-07 2024-10-25
2024-07-08 $0.42 2024-05-16 2024-07-08 2024-07-26
2024-04-05 $0.42 2024-02-19 2024-04-08 2024-04-26
2024-01-05 $0.42 2023-12-06 2024-01-08 2024-01-26
2023-10-06 $0.42 2023-09-26 2023-10-10 2023-10-27
2023-07-07 $0.41 2023-05-18 2023-07-10 2023-07-28
2023-04-06 $0.41 2023-02-23 2023-04-10 2023-04-28
2023-01-06 $0.41 2022-12-08 2023-01-09 2023-01-27
2022-10-07 $0.41 2022-09-27 2022-10-11 2022-10-28
2022-07-08 $0.41 2022-05-19 2022-07-11 2022-07-29
2022-04-08 $0.41 2022-02-23 2022-04-11 2022-04-29
2022-01-07 $0.41 2021-12-01 2022-01-10 2022-01-28
2021-10-08 $0.41 2021-09-29 2021-10-12 2021-10-29
Narrative Economics
The story the market is telling about this stock — the intangible X-factor (founder mythology, cult dynamics, TAM-of-imagination) that moves price beyond what cash flows alone explain. After Shiller, Narrative Economics.
No narrative profile yet for OGE.
Advanced Analysis Forensic deep-dive · two lenses
Two separate reads — Company Quality (is it a great business?) and Valuation (is it mispriced?), kept deliberately apart · 2026-06-07 16:55:54
Delvantic - Cairn AI
Pass at current price — bid in the low-$40s 7/10
OGE is a fair-value regulated utility at $47.80 — no quality lens to lean on, and the price doesn't give me a cushion, so I'm sidelined waiting for the low-$40s.
The cruxWithout a quality read to justify paying up, the entire decision collapses to price — and at a 2% premium to composite FV with only 7% signal-adjusted upside, the margin of safety simply isn't there.
Company Quality
+11
Solid
edge √Σ 115 · risk √Σ 103 · conf 7/10
Valuation / Mispricing
-23
Fairly Valued
edge √Σ 36 · risk √Σ 59 · conf 7/10
Liquidity & RunwaySelf-Funding
DilutionStable Share Count
Earnings QualityGood Earnings Quality
The Play — combined read across both lenses Delvantic - Cairn AI

Lens 1 is missing this run, which matters: for a regulated utility I'd normally tolerate a small premium if the quality work confirmed durable rate-base growth and clean regulatory relationships. Without that, I'm forced to underwrite purely on Lens 2's -23 'Fairly Valued' read, and that read is unambiguous — $47.80 vs $46.77 composite FV is a coin flip, the 7% upside to signal-adjusted $51.35 doesn't clear cost of equity, and the EPV floor at $38.79 says I'm wearing ~19% downside in a stress case. For a utility, that asymmetry is wrong-way.

Play: no position today. I set a GTC bid ladder starting at $42 (the stated attractive-below level) with adds at $40 and $38 — that's where composite FV gives me a real cushion and where I'd be buying closer to the EPV floor rather than betting on it. Full position only if it gets to $40 or below on a rate-case scare or coal-transition headline that doesn't structurally impair the business. Until then, the 4%-ish dividend is not enough to rent the seat — I'd rather hold cash or own a utility where price and quality both line up. If a refreshed quality score comes in strong (+25 or better), I'd consider a starter (~25% of target) at $46 just to have a toehold, but not above that.

The evidence behind each score — switch lenses
+11 Solid edge √Σ 115 · risk √Σ 103 · conf 7/10

OGE is a textbook regulated electric utility: $3.26B revenue (2025), operating margin steady at ~24-25% for three straight years, and net income rebuilt from $416.8M (2023) to $470.7M (2025). Gross margin near 44-47% and OCF/NI of 1.67x suggest reported earnings are real and well-backed by cash from operations, and the Beneish M of -2.5 plus negative accruals (-1.7% of assets) point to no manipulation flags. Share count has crept only from 200.3M to 202.5M over five years (0.3% CAGR), so per-share value isn't being eroded by issuance.

The weak spot is the capital structure and cash conversion. Net debt of ~$5.66B against $9.8B market cap is normal for a rate-regulated utility, but FCF has been volatile and structurally light: -$1.01B (2021), -$98.5M (2022), +$54.1M (2023), -$278.1M (2024), +$82.7M (2025). Five-year cumulative FCF is deeply negative because capex consistently outruns operating cash, meaning growth in the rate base is funded by debt and (modestly) equity issuance — standard utility playbook, but it leaves zero balance-sheet cushion and an Altman Z of 1.37 (the Z-score is notoriously punitive for leveraged utilities, so I weight this lightly). $292M short-term debt versus $200K of liquid cash means the company is permanently dependent on capital-markets access.

Insider activity is mixed-to-slightly-positive: one open-market purchase of $500K by Ganske against ~$645K of true open-market sales — not a strong signal either way, consistent with a sleepy, well-run utility.

Strengths 4
m70
Clean earnings quality
OCF/NI 1.67x, accruals -1.7% of assets, Beneish M -2.5 — earnings are cash-backed and show no manipulation flags.
m65
Stable operating profitability
Operating margin held 24.3% → 25.0% → 24.5% across 2023-2025; net income recovered to $470.7M. Regulated returns are doing their job.
m60
Negligible dilution
Diluted shares went 200.3M → 202.5M over five years (0.3% CAGR); SBC is immaterial. Per-share value is protected.
m20
Mildly constructive insider tape
Ganske open-market buy $500K vs ~$645K in true sales — not decisive, but a sitting insider committing real cash is a small positive.
Concerns 4
m70
Structurally weak free cash flow
Cumulative 5-yr FCF is sharply negative (-$1.01B, -$98.5M, +$54.1M, -$278.1M, +$82.7M). Capex consistently exceeds OCF — rate-base growth is debt-funded, not self-funded.
m60
Leverage with no liquidity cushion
$5.66B net debt; only $200K liquid cash against $292M short-term debt. Permanent reliance on capital-markets access; refinancing risk is non-zero.
m30
Altman Z 1.37 in 'distress' zone
Mechanically distress-coded, but Z-score routinely misclassifies regulated utilities because of high leverage and asset intensity — directional flag, not a bankruptcy call.
m35
Revenue volatility unusual for a utility
Revenue swung $3.65B → $3.38B → $2.67B → $2.99B → $3.26B. Likely fuel-cost pass-through accounting, but worth confirming it isn't a demand/customer issue.
This is a competent, unexciting regulated utility — the kind of business that grades 'Solid' almost by definition. The accounting looks clean, margins are stable, and they're not diluting shareholders. But let's not pretend it's a fortress: free cash flow has been negative four of the last five years, there's literally no cash on the balance sheet, and the entire model depends on continuous debt issuance to fund rate-base growth. That's normal for the industry, but it caps how high I can grade the business quality. The Altman distress flag is mostly model noise for this type of company. Insider activity is a shrug. Net read: a well-run but capital-hungry utility that does exactly what utilities do — nothing more, nothing less.
Verify before trusting this (6)
  • Whether the 2021-2024 negative FCF reflects discretionary growth capex (rate-base expansion) vs. maintenance capex — split in 10-K capex schedule.
  • Allowed ROE and rate-case outcomes in Oklahoma/Arkansas jurisdictions — drives durability of the ~25% op margin.
  • Debt maturity ladder and weighted-average cost of debt; refinancing schedule for the $292M current portion.
  • Whether the $3.65B → $2.67B revenue swing is fuel pass-through (margin-neutral) or volumetric/customer-driven.
  • Dividend payout vs. FCF — utilities often pay dividends out of debt issuance, which would weaken the per-share story.
  • Any pending Oklahoma data-center load growth commitments and the capex obligation attached.
-23 Fairly Valued edge √Σ 36 · risk √Σ 59 · conf 7/10
Price $47.80 vs composite FV $46.77 / signal-adj $51.35 — ~2% premium to composite, ~7% discount to signal-adj; effectively fair. attractive below $42.00

The composite fair value of $46.77 is roughly $1 below the $47.80 print, and the signal-adjusted FV of $51.35 implies ~7% upside — well inside the noise band for a regulated utility. The EPV floor of $38.79 says a stress case is ~19% downside, while the anchored-PE of $54.75 (~14% upside) reflects a normalized multiple on stable regulated earnings. Earnings quality is good, so no haircut to deserved value is warranted, but there's also no hidden cushion to surface.

What's priced in is exactly what the bull narrative describes: a steady-compounder regulated utility with mid-single-digit rate-base growth and a reliable dividend. There's no embedded heroic growth assumption to fade, but there's also no discount for the bear's coal-transition and regulatory-lag risks. For a utility this is the textbook 'market understands it' outcome — fair, not cheap. Margin of safety to deserved value is roughly 2-7%, which is not enough to call it a buy on price alone.

Cheap signals 2
m30
Modest discount to anchored-PE
Anchored-PE FV of $54.75 implies ~14% upside if normalized regulated multiples hold — meaningful but not large for a utility.
m20
Clean earnings quality, no haircut
Earnings-quality score is good — deserved value doesn't need to be marked down for accruals/dilution noise, supporting the higher end of the FV range.
Rich / priced-in 3
m35
Trades above composite FV
$47.80 price vs $46.77 composite fair value — a 2% premium. No margin of safety against the blended methods.
m40
EPV floor materially below price
EPV floor of $38.79 is ~19% below the current price, meaning a no-growth/stress scenario leaves real downside; the price embeds successful rate-base growth execution.
m25
Narrow signal-adjusted upside
7% upside to $51.35 is below the cost of equity for a utility — you're not being paid to wait beyond the dividend.
This is fair, not cheap. The composite says I'm paying a dollar over deserved value; the signal-adjusted case offers 7% which doesn't clear the bar for a utility where I want a real cushion before the EPV floor. I'd want it in the low-$40s — call it $42 or below — before the price-vs-value gap becomes interesting. At $47.80 it's a hold-on-quality, not a buy-on-price.
Verify before trusting this (4)
  • Latest rate case outcomes in OK/AR — allowed ROE and capital structure trends drive deserved multiple
  • Capex/rate-base growth guidance vs. realized — any slip compresses the anchored-PE assumption
  • Coal retirement cost recovery treatment — stranded-cost exposure that could pressure EPV
  • Dividend growth guidance — payout ratio and FCF coverage relative to capex plan
Two lenses kept deliberately separate — Company Quality is price-agnostic; Valuation is price-conditional. The scores are not blended (yet). Filing-level items (convertibles, lock-ups, customer concentration) are v2 — see each lens's "verify."
Community AI Feedback
No community reviews yet for OGE. Be the first — hit How to Contribute, have any AI review this page, and paste its take back here.
My Notes personal — only you see this
Data via Financial Modeling Prep · Cached for performance · fmp
v1.1.330 · 344c2a54 · 2026-06-09 20:20:16