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QUICKSCAN Quick Scan · AGING
Sep 7, 2026
30 days ago · 100% of the quick-scan set · 7 steps skipped by design
A full report exists for CLH — view the full report.
SEC data is missing this company's latest quarter
SEC data is missing this company's latest quarter: the SEC's companyfacts (refetched) ends at 2026-03-31 while its index lists a statement period 2026-06-30 — the SEC's aggregation omitted the filing; not recoverable from any archive we read Found by the Foundation Sweep four-quarter pass 2026-09-11; held under the four-quarter coverage policy (2026-09-11) and released automatically once the pass resolves it.
This page shows our last published analysis, from Sep 7, 2026. It is not being updated, and new reports can't be run for this company.
For AI assistants & researchers — machine-readable summary of this page

What this page is: Delvantic's full research page for Clean Harbors, Inc. (CLH) — AI-driven forensic equity research: mechanical valuation models (DCF, EPV, anchored-PE, scenario) plus three independent AI lenses (Quality / Value / Sentiment). Everything below is rendered server-side; you are not missing content that requires JavaScript. All scores are predictions and research opinions, not financial advice.

Page map (sections in order; each card carries a stable reference-name attribute you can cite):

  • profile-header / price-overview — company profile, live quote, market cap
  • extended-analysis — the core: three AI lens reads with findings, scores, and the analyst memo
  • future-predictions — our forward price-band predictions
  • market-narrative / ai-findings / gpt-critique — narrative context, cross-model findings, and an adversarial critique of our own analysis (near the end of the document)
  • Members-only sections (render as login gates for anonymous readers): price-history, income-trend, key-metrics, financials (statement tables), insider-trading. The analysis above is public; the raw data tables require a free account.

More for machine readers: site briefing at /llms.txt · any ticker resolves at delvantic.com/stock/TICKER · raw inputs are public-company filings and market data (via licensed data feeds); every model, score, lens read, and prediction on this page is Delvantic's own analysis.

Clean Harbors, Inc.

CLH NYSE
Industrials · Waste Management
Norwell, MA 02061-9149, United States cleanharbors.com Updated Sep 7, 10:45am
Price
$317.10
Market Cap
$16.7B
Employees
22,155
Beta
0.85
Avg Volume
474,257
Last Dividend
$0.93
CEO
Mr. Eric W. Gerstenberg

Clean Harbors, Inc. is a leading environmental and industrial services company based in Norwell, Massachusetts. Clean Harbors provides hazardous and non-hazardous waste collection, transportation, treatment, recycling, and disposal services, along with emergency spill response, industrial cleaning, maintenance, and field services. Through its Safety-Kleen Sustainability Solutions segment, the company also offers parts cleaning and related environmental services to commercial, industrial, and automotive customers, as well as used-oil re-refining and recycling services. Its customer base spans manufacturing, chemical, refining, automotive, utilities, government, and other industrial sectors across North America. Clean Harbors plays a central role in helping organizations manage regulated waste streams, support operational safety, and meet environmental compliance requirements through a broad network of specialized facilities and service locations.

Runs with full report Generated: Sep 7, 2026 10:48am
Price Overview
Price at report time
$317.10
as of Sep 7, 10:45am (30d ago)
Change · Sep 7
-1.55 (-0.49%)
Day Range
$314.87 – $318.84
52-Week Range
$201.34 – $335.94
50-Day MA
$309.68
200-Day MA
$282.69
Volume
224,400.00
Right now · live
Log in to get the live feed
Members see the real-time price and the move since this report (over 30d).
Share Structure
Outstanding 52,833,291.00
Float 50,031,754.00
Free Float 94.7%
High free float — 94.7% of shares trade freely, ~5.3% held by insiders/institutions
Very liquid — most shares trade freely. Low insider ownership can mean less management alignment, but makes large position sizing straightforward.
Price History (1 Year)
Last updated: Sep 7, 2026 10:51am (30d ago)
Revenue & Net Income Trend
The directional story — useful even when net income is negative.
Last updated: Sep 7, 2026 10:45am (30d ago)
Revenue
The top line — total sales before any costs or taxes are subtracted. A measure of how much business the company is doing.
Net Income
The bottom line — profit left after subtracting all expenses, interest, and taxes from revenue. Reflects accounting profitability, but includes non-cash items like depreciation, so it isn't the same as cash earned.
Operating Cash Flow
The real cash generated by the day-to-day business — selling products, paying suppliers, collecting from customers. Calculated from net income by adding back non-cash items and adjusting for timing (unpaid bills, unsold inventory). When OCF consistently lags net income, the reported profit may not be converting to real money.
Period Revenue Net Income Net Margin YoY/QoQ
Key Metrics TTM · through Mar 31, 2026
TD Twelve Data statement HEX SEC filing
Industry comparison last run: Sep 7, 2026 10:47am
P/E · trailing (TTM) (Price per dollar of earnings over the past year — not a run-rate or forward P/E)
HEX
Stock Price / EPS (Diluted)
42.90
Stock Price: $317.10
EPS (Diluted): 7.39
P/B Ratio (Price vs net asset value)
HEX
Stock Price / Book Value Per Share
6.11
Stock Price: $317.10
Total Equity: $2.78B
Shares: 53,501,333
EV/EBITDA (Total value vs operating profit)
HEX
Enterprise Value / EBITDA
16.98
Market Cap: $16.74B
Total Debt: $2.77B
Cash: $547.99M
EBITDA: $1.13B
Enterprise Value (Takeover price (cap + debt - cash))
HEX
Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash
$19.2B
Market Cap: $16.74B
Total Debt: $2.77B
Cash: $547.99M
Gross Margin (Revenue left after direct costs)
HEX
Gross Profit / Revenue
31.7%
Gross Profit: $1.92B
Revenue: $6.06B
Operating Margin (Revenue left after all operations)
HEX
Operating Income / Revenue
11.2%
Operating Income: $680.69M
Revenue: $6.06B
Net Margin (Revenue left as actual profit)
HEX
Net Income / Revenue
6.5%
Net Income: $395.50M
Revenue: $6.06B
ROE (Profit from shareholder equity)
HEX
Net Income / Total Equity
14.8%
Net Income: $395.50M
Total Equity: $2.78B
ROIC (Profit from all invested capital)
HEX
NOPAT / Invested Capital
10.0%
Operating Income: $680.69M
Tax Rate: 26.4%
Equity: $2.78B
Total Debt: $2.77B
Cash: $547.99M
Current Ratio (Can it pay short-term bills)
HEX
Current Assets / Current Liabilities
2.34
Current Assets: $2.44B
Current Liabilities: $1.04B
Debt/Equity (Leverage — debt vs equity)
HEX
Total Debt / Total Equity
1.00
Short-Term Debt: $12.60M
Long-Term Debt: $2.76B
Total Debt: $2.77B
Total Equity: $2.78B
Rev/Share (Top-line per share)
HEX
Revenue / Shares Outstanding
$113.24
Revenue: $6.06B
Shares: 53,501,333
Book Value/Share (Net assets per share)
HEX
(Total Assets - Total Liabilities) / Shares
$51.88
Total Equity: $2.78B
Shares: 53,501,333
FCF/Share (Real cash generated per share)
HEX
(Operating Cash Flow + CapEx) / Shares
$8.72
Operating CF: $871.42M
CapEx: -$404.67M
Shares: 53,501,333
CapEx is negative (outflow) — added to OCF to get FCF
Div Yield (Annual income from holding)
TD
Last Annual Dividend / Stock Price
0.3%
Last Dividend: $0.93
Stock Price: $317.10
Payout Ratio (Earnings paid out as dividends)
HEX
Dividends Paid / Net Income
—
Dividends Paid: N/A
Net Income: $395.50M
Dividends paid not available in cash flow statement
Industry Benchmarks
Last run: Sep 7, 2026 10:47am
Compares CLH against LLM-researched typical ranges for its industry. One research call per industry, cached indefinitely — every stock in the same industry reuses the same baseline.
Income Statement (Annual)
Last updated: Sep 7, 2026 10:45am (30d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue $3.8B $5.2B $5.4B $5.9B $6.0B
Cost of Revenue $2.6B $3.5B $3.7B $4.1B $4.1B
Gross Profit $1.2B $1.6B $1.7B $1.8B $1.9B
Operating Expenses $847.8M $987.9M $1.1B $1.2B $1.2B
Operating Income $347.9M $634.7M $612.4M $670.2M $673.4M
Net Income $203.2M $411.7M $377.9M $402.3M $391.0M
EBITDA $646.0M $982.3M $978.2M $1.1B $1.1B
EPS $3.73 $7.59 $6.99 $7.46 $7.31
EPS (Diluted) $3.71 $7.56 $6.95 $7.42 $7.28
Balance Sheet (Annual)
Last updated: Sep 7, 2026 10:45am (30d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Cash & Equivalents $452.6M $492.6M $444.7M $687.2M $826.3M
Total Current Assets $1.7B $2.0B $2.1B $2.4B $2.6B
Total Assets $5.7B $6.1B $6.4B $7.4B $7.6B
Current Liabilities $925.3M $1.0B $1.0B $1.1B $1.1B
Long-Term Debt $2.6B $2.5B $2.4B $2.9B $3.0B
Total Liabilities $4.1B $4.2B $4.1B $4.8B $4.9B
Total Equity $1.5B $1.9B $2.2B $2.6B $2.7B
Retained Earnings $1.2B $1.6B $2.0B $2.4B $2.8B
Cash Flow (Annual)
Last updated: Sep 7, 2026 10:45am (30d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Operating Cash Flow $546.0M $626.2M $734.6M $777.8M $866.7M
Capital Expenditure -$241.9M -$345.1M -$422.3M -$432.2M -$424.9M
Free Cash Flow $304.1M $281.2M $312.3M $345.5M $441.8M
Acquisitions (net) -$1.3B -$86.3M -$119.6M -$478.0M $0
Net Debt Issued / (Repaid) -$7.5M -$115.7M -$124.0M $484.3M -$4.9M
Dividends Paid — — — — —
Stock Buybacks -$54.4M -$50.2M -$51.2M -$55.2M -$250.0M
Net Change in Cash -$66.5M $40.0M -$47.9M $242.5M $139.1M
Growth Trends (YoY %)
Last updated: Sep 7, 2026 10:45am (30d ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue Growth +35.8% +4.7% +8.9% +2.4%
Gross Profit Growth +35.7% +2.5% +9.7% +3.4%
Operating Income Growth +82.5% -3.5% +9.4% +0.5%
Net Income Growth +102.6% -8.2% +6.5% -2.8%
EBITDA Growth +52.1% -0.4% +9.5% +4.5%
Dividend History (Last 20)
Last updated: Sep 7, 2026 10:45am (30d ago)
Date Dividend Declaration Record Payment
2007-02-02 $0.00 — — —
2007-01-29 $0.46 — — —
2006-07-27 $0.46 — — —
2005-07-27 $0.46 — — —
2005-01-27 $0.46 — — —
2004-07-28 $0.46 — — —
2004-01-28 $0.46 — — —
2003-07-29 $0.46 — — —
2003-01-29 $0.46 — — —
2002-07-29 $0.46 — — —
2002-01-29 $0.46 — — —
2001-07-27 $0.21 — — —
0Company Classification 1Industry Landscape 2Company Momentum 3Forward Projection 4aDCF Valuation 4bEarnings Power Value 4cAnchored PE 4dReverse DCF 4eRevenue-Based DCF 4fAnchored P/S 4gScenario Analysis 4hDividend Discount Model 4iBook Value Analysis 4jInsider Activity 4fCash Flow Quality 4gDebt Maturity Risk 4hMacro Environment 4iSector Intelligence 4jRevenue Confidence 4kSensitivity Analysis 4lSector Demand Cycle 5AI Investigation 5bThesis Evaluation 6Valuation Synthesis
computed not applicable not yet run 11 computed · 6 not applicable · 7 not yet run
Risk : Reward — upside vs downside from this company's own quarters
Not computed yet
Why there is no ratio: Risk:reward has not been computed for this name yet — its report predates the mechanical valuation chain. It is added, at $0, the next time a report or the nightly touches this ticker.
Narrative Economics
The story the market is telling about this stock — the intangible X-factor (founder mythology, cult dynamics, TAM-of-imagination) that moves price beyond what cash flows alone explain. After Shiller, Narrative Economics.
No narrative profile yet for CLH — it's generated by the pipeline (market-narrative step).
Claude Reading
Independent analyst synthesis · claude-opus-4-7 · generated 2026-09-07 10:51:47
Verdict Overvalued — 43x P/E on 2-3% growth and a 2.6% FCF yield is a growth multiple on a value business; fair value sits in the $145-180 range, implying 45-55% downside from $317, and the ESG/regulatory premium the market is paying is not supported by the demonstrated earnings trajectory.

Let me do the arithmetic before I touch any model output. TTM revenue is $6.06B, TTM net income is $395.5M, giving a 6.5% net margin and a 42.3x trailing P/E at $317. TTM free cash flow is $442M, which is a 2.6% FCF yield on a $16.74B market cap. Revenue grew 2.4% from 2024 to 2025 ($5.89B to $6.03B), and the most recent quarter-over-quarter print shows $1.46B in March 2026 versus $1.55B in June 2025 — a 5.8% sequential decline that is partly seasonal (Q1 is the trough, Q2 the peak) but the year-over-year comparison of $1.46B to $1.43B is only 2.1% growth. Earnings are actually shrinking: 2025 NI of $391M is below 2024's $402M, and the March 2026 quarter's $63.2M is the weakest print in the eight-quarter window. The "5.2% revenue CAGR" and "2.7% earnings CAGR" in the momentum block are artifacts of the 2021→2022 M&A step-change; strip that out and you have a business growing 2-3% with flat-to-declining profitability. ROIC of 10% is adequate but not exceptional, and the 14.8% ROE is flattered by a leverage ratio (D/E of 1.0) that is, frankly, unremarkable for the sector.

Now the models. The Valuation Synthesis lands at $78-88 fair value, a 75% discount to spot. I ran my own DCF: $442M FCF growing at 5% for five years, 4% terminal growth, 9.5% discount rate, net debt of $2.14B, 52.8M shares — I get roughly $145 per share. At 6% growth and 9% discount, maybe $175. The synthesis number is too punitive because it bakes in 3-4% growth and a 10-11% discount rate on a business that has a genuinely recurring Safety-Kleen platform with pricing power and a real M&A optionality kicker. But I am firmly in the "overvalued" camp. At 43x earnings and 17x EV/EBITDA, CLH trades at a 60-80% premium to WM and RSG, and the only fundamental differentiator is the Safety-Kleen recurring-revenue mix, which is real but not worth a 2x multiple premium. The FCF yield of 2.6% is below the 10-year Treasury, meaning you are paying growth-stock prices for a value-stock cash-flow profile. The Thesis Evaluation's claim that the market is pricing in a 40.9% FCF CAGR is overstated — a more honest read is that the market is pricing in 15-20% FCF growth over five years, which is still 5-7x the demonstrated rate. Either way, the gap between what the business is producing and what the price demands is the core problem.

The Narrative layer's framing — 60-65% defensible cash-flow math, 35-40% ESG/regulatory premium — is the most intellectually honest of the model outputs, but I'd shift the split. I'd say 40-50% of the price is defensible even at optimistic (but reasonable) assumptions, and 50-60% is the "regulated essential services + ESG mandate" premium that institutional allocators are paying for portfolio construction rather than for cash-flow yield. That premium is durable in the sense that ESG mandates aren't going away, but it is not a moat; it is a flow of capital that can redirect if relative valuations shift. The bear case in the narrative layer — "a waste-hauling company growing 5-7% with a labor-cost headwind" — undersells the problem because the actual growth is 2-3%, not 5-7%. The insider data is pure noise: seven F-InKind entries of 40-1,343 shares each (restricted stock vesting) and one 789-share sale. No executive is buying, no one is dumping. Zero signal.

Where the data is genuinely thin: we have no segment-level revenue or margin split between Safety-Kleen (recurring) and the environmental services/project arm (lumpy, M&A-dependent). Without that, you cannot assess whether the recurring-revenue mix is expanding or whether the project arm is dragging. The quarterly seasonality (Q1 net margin 4.3% vs. Q2 8.2%) means any single-quarter comparison is misleading, and the TTM window smooths over a business that is clearly cyclical at the margin. The balance sheet is fine — $826M cash against $2.97B debt, current ratio 2.34 — but it is not a fortress, and the $425M annual capex is a real drag that keeps FCF at 7.3% of revenue rather than the 12-15% you'd want for a 43x multiple. The contrarian bull case is straightforward: CLH is a strategic acquisition target, Safety-Kleen is a platform a larger player would pay 25-35x EBITDA for, and a takeout at a 25% premium puts the stock at $396. But that is a speculative catalyst, not a fundamental justification, and it has not materialized in three years of data.

GPT Reading
GPT reads the identical raw briefing blind — one of the Big-3 independent readings — and commits to its own verdict.
Skipped in the e2e-quickscan lane by design — the GPT seat runs only in the full report.
Grok Reading
Grok (xAI) reads the identical raw briefing blind — one of the Big-3 independent readings — and commits to its own verdict.
Skipped in the e2e-quickscan lane by design — the Grok seat runs only in the full report.
Advanced Analysis Forensic deep-dive · separate lenses
Separate reads — Company Quality (is it a great business?), Valuation (is it mispriced?), and General Sentiment (how macro + narrative are pushing it), kept deliberately apart · 2026-09-07 10:53:39
Delvantic - Cairn AI
Pass - quality is real but the price is not 9/10
A solid, cash-generative waste-services operator (quality 45) is being priced as a 20-percent compounder (valuation -92), and the 259 percent premium over fair value is the entire story.
The cruxThe multiple: a 30x-plus P/E on a 5-to-7 percent grower with a labor-cost headwind is not supported by the demonstrated earnings trajectory, and no amount of ESG narrative closes a 3.6x gap to fair value.
Forensic checks Derived mechanically from CLH's filed financials — not from the AI lenses
Liquidity & RunwaySelf-Funding
DilutionShare Count Shrinking
Earnings QualityHigh Earnings Quality
The four lensesswitch a tab for its full read — score + evidence
Company Quality
+45
Solid
edge √Σ 105 · risk √Σ 56 · conf 8/10

Clean Harbors has grown revenue from $4.17B in 2022 to $6.06B in 2026 (roughly 45 percent cumulative), with gross margin holding steady near 31 percent and operating margin settling around 11 percent after a 2023 spike to 12.6 percent. Free cash flow has accelerated from $134M to $467M over the same span, and the OCF-to-net-income ratio of 1.89x confirms that reported earnings are well backed by actual cash. Negative accruals of -4.7 percent of assets and a Beneish M-score of -2.77 rule out the most common earnings-manipulation patterns. The business is self-funding and does not need external capital to operate or service its obligations.

Capital allocation discipline is a genuine strength: diluted share count has shrunk from 54.7M to 53.5M, stock-based compensation is only 0.6 percent of revenue, and buybacks run at 345 percent of SBC. Management is concentrating per-share value rather than diluting it. The one structural constraint is net debt of $2.1B against $669M of liquid cash, which makes the balance sheet a constraint rather than a cushion, though at roughly 2.5-3x EBITDA it is serviceable for a company generating $467M in annual FCF.

Insider tape is unremarkable: the recent entries are overwhelmingly F-InKind tax withholdings on vesting restricted stock, with a single small open-market sale of 789 shares ($225.8K) and no open-market purchases. No red flag, no strong conviction signal either. The business is a mature earner in a defensive, recurring-revenue sector, and the data shows a well-run operation that is improving on a cash basis even as top-line growth moderates.

Strengths 4
m62
Accelerating FCF with excellent cash conversion
FCF grew from $134M (2022) to $467M (2026) while OCF/NI sits at 1.89x, meaning cash generation is running well ahead of reported earnings. Negative accruals of -4.7% of assets reinforce that profits are real.
m55
Net share-count reduction and buyback discipline
Diluted shares fell from 54.7M to 53.5M over four years; SBC is only 0.6% of revenue and buybacks are 345% of SBC. Per-share value is being concentrated, not diluted.
m48
Stable margins in a defensive sector
Gross margin has held in a tight 30.6-31.7% band and operating margin in the 9-12.6% range across five years. Waste management is structurally recession-resistant, supporting margin durability.
m42
Clean earnings-quality profile
Beneish M of -2.77 (well below the -1.78 manipulation threshold), Altman Z of 3.95 (safe zone), and negative accruals all point to high-integrity reporting with no mechanical red flags.
Concerns 3
m45
Net debt of $2.1B is a real constraint
With only $669M in liquid cash and net debt at roughly 2.5-3x EBITDA, the balance sheet limits financial flexibility. It is serviceable given $467M FCF, but it is a constraint, not a cushion.
m28
Moderating revenue growth
Top-line growth decelerated from 27% (2022-23, likely acquisition-driven) to roughly 2-3% in 2025-26. The business is still growing but the pace is that of a mature operator, not a high-growth story.
m18
No insider buying signal
The 12-month tape shows zero open-market purchases, one small sale ($225.8K), and the rest are tax withholdings or grants. Neutral, but the absence of insider conviction is a mild negative.
This is a well-run, cash-generative industrial that does not need the market's permission to survive. The numbers tell a consistent story: revenue grows, margins hold, cash flow accelerates, and management quietly shrinks the share count. I do not see a single red flag in the earnings-quality stack, and the 1.89x OCF-to-earnings ratio is the kind of number that tells you the reported profits are real. What keeps me from calling this a fortress is the $2.1B of net debt and the fact that the top line is growing at 2-3 percent, not 15. It is a mature earner doing its job well, not a compounding machine. If I were judging the business on its own merits, I would say: competent, disciplined, slightly levered, and quietly getting better on a cash basis. That is a solid 68-70, not a 75, and the gap is almost entirely the balance sheet and the growth rate.
Verify before trusting this (5)
  • 10-K segment detail: what share of the $6.06B revenue is recurring contract vs. project-based, and what is customer concentration (top-10 customer %)?
  • Convertible or term-loan covenants tied to the $2.1B net debt: leverage ratios, interest-coverage tests, and any maturity wall in the next 24 months.
  • 2023 net-income spike to $438.8M vs. ~$375-395M in subsequent years: confirm whether it included a one-time tax benefit, asset sale, or acquisition-related gain.
  • Capex trajectory: is the $467M FCF sustainable if capex normalizes upward as the company invests in new treatment capacity?
  • Insider ownership percentage and any upcoming option/RSU vesting cliffs that could create near-term selling pressure.
Valuation / Mispricing
-92
Overvalued
edge √Σ 12 · risk √Σ 173 · conf 8/10
Price $317.10 vs composite FV $88.46 (DCF $102.33), a 259% premium over deserved value; even tripling the FV to ~$265 leaves the price 20% above the most generous case. attractive below $80.00

Clean Harbors trades at $317.10 against a composite fair value of $88.46 and a signal-adjusted FV of $78.40, implying a 259% premium over deserved value. Even the most generous single method, the DCF at $102.33, is only 32% of the current price, and the EPV floor of $60.73 is a mere 19%. The e2e synthesis flags this as 'Potentially Overvalued' with -75% upside, and I find that verdict conservative given the magnitude of the gap. The business is solid (quality 45), earnings are high-quality (score 3), and the cash generation is real, but none of that justifies a 30x+ earnings multiple for a company growing 5-7% with a labor-cost headwind. The market appears to be pricing CLH as a 20%+ compounder with expanding margins and a wide structural moat, when the actual profile is a regulated essential-services utility with steady but modest growth. The 'ESG moat' narrative is doing heavy lifting in the multiple that the underlying economics do not earn.

Cheap signals 1
m12
High earnings quality supports a modest premium
Earnings quality score of 3 and a 1.89x OCF-to-earnings ratio mean the reported profits are real and cash-backed. This justifies a small premium over the EPV floor but not a 3.5x premium over the composite FV.
Rich / priced-in 4
m95
Price is 3.6x composite fair value
$317.10 vs $88.46 composite FV and $78.40 signal-adjusted FV. The gap is not a matter of one method being off; all three methods (DCF $102.33, EPV $60.73, composite $88.46) cluster in the $60-105 range, and the price sits 3-5x above that cluster.
m90
30x+ multiple for a 5-7% grower
A 30x+ earnings multiple is historically reserved for 20%+ growers with expanding margins. CLH is a regulated waste-services utility growing 5-7% with a labor-cost headwind. The multiple implies a growth and margin trajectory the business does not exhibit.
m82
Even the DCF is only a third of price
The DCF at $102.33 is the most generous method and still sits at 32% of the $317.10 price. For the DCF to reach $317, one would need to assume 15-20% perpetual growth or a terminal multiple far above what a regulated utility commands.
m78
ESG narrative inflating the multiple
The bull case leans on 'regulated essential-services franchise' and 'ESG moat' language to justify a growth-stock multiple on a utility-like business. The bear case correctly identifies this as a marketing reframe of a commodity service growing 5-7%.
Bluntly, this is not a valuation question at $317. The business is fine, the earnings are clean, and I respect the moat, but the price is telling me this company is going to grow 18-20% a year with expanding margins for the next decade. The numbers say 5-7% with a labor headwind. I am not going to pretend a 30x multiple on a regulated waste utility is 'fair' just because the company is well-run. I need this stock at or below $80 before the math starts to work, and even then I would want to see the growth rate hold. At $317, I am paying for a story, not a business.
Verify before trusting this (4)
  • Latest earnings call: any evidence of acceleration above 7% revenue growth or margin expansion that would justify a higher terminal multiple in the DCF
  • Segment-level growth rates for Safety-Kleen vs. industrial services to confirm whether the 5-7% aggregate is masking a faster-growing sub-segment
  • Net debt trajectory and share buyback pace over the next 4 quarters to see if the equity value is being artificially supported by balance-sheet shrinkage
  • Any pending M&A pipeline or regulatory changes (e.g., new hazardous-waste mandates) that could structurally raise the growth rate above the 5-7% base case
General Sentiment
—
not run

This lens hasn't been run for this ticker yet.

The market-wide tape + this name's exposure to it (beta / sector / narrative durability). Context on the non-fundamental pressure — not a call on the business or the price. processId: detail-general-sentiment
Growth Outlook
—
not run

This lens hasn't been run for this ticker yet.

The forward growth verdict — is the business itself likely to grow (next 2 quarters / year 1 / years 2–3), judged against its category and against printed expectations. The full horizon ladder + creme renders on the Growth Outlook card above. Not a call on the price (Valuation owns that) or the tape (Sentiment owns that).
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Lenses kept deliberately separate — Company Quality (price-agnostic), Valuation (price-conditional), General Sentiment (non-fundamental macro/narrative pressure), and Growth Outlook (the forward growth verdict). The scores are not blended. Filing-level items (convertibles, lock-ups, customer concentration) are v2 — see each lens's "verify."
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v1.1.760 · f4b58a28 · 2026-10-07 20:07:48