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AGING Analysis Report
May 7, 2026
16 days ago · 96% complete

Netskope, Inc. Class A Common Stock

NTSK NASDAQ Categories PDF
Technology · Software - Services
Santa Clara, CA 95054, United States IPO 2025 netskope.com Updated May 24, 1:32pm
Price
$11.75
Market Cap
$4.7B
Employees
2,605
Beta
2.86
Avg Volume
4,439,906
CEO
Sanjay Beri
Business Description

A cloud-security company offering a unified platform (“Netskope One”) for data protection, secure access, visibility across apps/web/cloud, threat prevention, and networking optimizations especially for SaaS, web, hybrid, and AI workloads.

Business History
Generated: May 7, 2026 5:20pm
Price Overview
Last updated: May 24, 2026 1:32pm (just now)
$11.75
+0.18 (+1.56%)
Day Range
$11.59 – $12.05
52-Week Range
$7.67 – $27.99
50-Day MA
$9.89
200-Day MA
$15.70
Volume
3,058,268.00
Analyst Price Targets
Low $15.00
Consensus $20.20
High $26.00
(24 analysts)
Share Structure
Outstanding 400,314,324.00
Float 386,735,261.00
Free Float 96.6%
High free float — 96.6% of shares trade freely, ~3.4% held by insiders/institutions
Very liquid — most shares trade freely. Low insider ownership can mean less management alignment, but makes large position sizing straightforward.
Price History (1 Year)
Last updated: May 24, 2026 1:32pm (just now)
Revenue & Net Income Trend
The directional story — useful even when net income is negative.
Last updated: May 18, 2026 2:23pm (5d ago)
Revenue
The top line — total sales before any costs or taxes are subtracted. A measure of how much business the company is doing.
Net Income
The bottom line — profit left after subtracting all expenses, interest, and taxes from revenue. Reflects accounting profitability, but includes non-cash items like depreciation, so it isn't the same as cash earned.
Operating Cash Flow
The real cash generated by the day-to-day business — selling products, paying suppliers, collecting from customers. Calculated from net income by adding back non-cash items and adjusting for timing (unpaid bills, unsold inventory). When OCF consistently lags net income, the reported profit may not be converting to real money.
Period Revenue Net Income Net Margin YoY/QoQ
Key Metrics
API Direct from provider CALC Derived from statements
Industry comparison last run: May 7, 2026 5:19pm
P/E Ratio (Price per dollar of earnings)
CALC
Stock Price / EPS (Diluted)
-3.69
Stock Price: $11.75
EPS (Diluted): -3.18
P/B Ratio (Price vs net asset value)
API
Stock Price / Book Value Per Share
163.28
Stock Price: $11.75
Total Equity: $194.53M
Shares: 2,138,960,410
EV/EBITDA (Total value vs operating profit)
API
Enterprise Value / EBITDA
-7.95
Market Cap: $4.70B
Total Debt: $755.15M
Cash: $470.80M
EBITDA: -$652.58M
Enterprise Value (Takeover price (cap + debt - cash))
API
Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash
$32.0B
Market Cap: $4.70B
Total Debt: $755.15M
Cash: $470.80M
Gross Margin (Revenue left after direct costs)
API
Gross Profit / Revenue
68.1%
Gross Profit: $482.67M
Revenue: $709.00M
Operating Margin (Revenue left after all operations)
API
Operating Income / Revenue
-92.0%
Operating Income: -$652.58M
Revenue: $709.00M
Net Margin (Revenue left as actual profit)
API
Net Income / Revenue
-95.8%
Net Income: -$679.39M
Revenue: $709.00M
ROE (Profit from shareholder equity)
API
Net Income / Total Equity
342.7%
Net Income: -$679.39M
Total Equity: $194.53M
ROIC (Profit from all invested capital)
API
NOPAT / Invested Capital
-59.2%
Operating Income: -$652.58M
Tax Rate: -1.7%
Equity: $194.53M
Total Debt: $755.15M
Cash: $470.80M
Current Ratio (Can it pay short-term bills)
API
Current Assets / Current Liabilities
2.13
Current Assets: $1.45B
Current Liabilities: $681.53M
Debt/Equity (Leverage — debt vs equity)
CALC
Total Debt / Total Equity
3.88
Short-Term Debt: $10.77M
Long-Term Debt: $744.38M
Total Debt: $755.15M
Total Equity: $194.53M
Rev/Share (Top-line per share)
CALC
Revenue / Shares Outstanding
$0.33
Revenue: $709.00M
Shares: 2,138,960,410
Book Value/Share (Net assets per share)
CALC
(Total Assets - Total Liabilities) / Shares
$0.09
Total Equity: $194.53M
Shares: 2,138,960,410
FCF/Share (Real cash generated per share)
CALC
(Operating Cash Flow + CapEx) / Shares
$0.01
Operating CF: $38.07M
CapEx: -$22.92M
Shares: 2,138,960,410
CapEx is negative (outflow) — added to OCF to get FCF
Div Yield (Annual income from holding)
API
Last Annual Dividend / Stock Price
0.0%
Last Dividend: N/A
Stock Price: $11.75
Payout Ratio (Earnings paid out as dividends)
Dividends Paid / Net Income
Dividends Paid: N/A
Net Income: -$679.39M
Dividends paid not available in cash flow statement
Industry Benchmarks
Last run: May 7, 2026 5:19pm
Compares NTSK against LLM-researched typical ranges for its industry. One research call per industry, cached indefinitely — every stock in the same industry reuses the same baseline.
Deep Analysis
Last run: May 7, 2026 5:24:20 pm

Pre-flight intelligence scans the company first, then routes to the right analytical methods.

0 Company Classification — What type of company is this?
1 Industry Landscape — Where is the industry headed?
2 Company Momentum — Where is this company trending?
3 Forward Projection — 1Y & 2Y projected metrics (requires Layer 1 + 2)
4a DCF Valuation — Present value of future cash flows
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4b Earnings Power Value — Floor value — worth with zero growth
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4c Anchored PE — Industry PE adjusted for growth differential
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4d Reverse DCF — What growth is the market pricing in?
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4e Revenue-Based DCF — For growth/narrative companies (skip if mature earner)
4f Anchored P/S — Price-to-Sales peer comparison (skip if mature earner)
4g Scenario Analysis — Bull / Base / Bear (skip if mature earner)
4h Dividend Discount Model — For dividend/income stocks only
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4i Book Value Analysis — For deep value / turnaround stocks only
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4j Insider Activity — Are insiders buying or selling?
4f Cash Flow Quality — How trustworthy is the FCF?
4g Debt Maturity Risk — Can it handle its debt?
4h Macro Environment — Rates, market valuation, volatility
4i Sector Intelligence — How does this company compare within its sector?
4j Revenue Confidence — How reliable is the growth projection?
4k Sensitivity Analysis — How fragile is the fair value estimate?
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4l Sector Demand Cycle — Is the sector in a boom, steady state, or contraction?
5 AI Investigation — Adaptive research engine (Claude)
5b Thesis Evaluation — What does the market believe? (narrative/platform stocks only)
6 Valuation Synthesis — Weighted verdict from all methods (requires Layer 4)
Income Statement (Annual)
Last updated: May 18, 2026 2:23pm (5d ago)
Metric 2024 2025 2026
Revenue $406.9M $538.3M $709.0M
Cost of Revenue $163.6M $190.4M $226.3M
Gross Profit $243.3M $347.9M $482.7M
Operating Expenses $556.0M $603.6M $1.1B
Operating Income -$312.8M -$255.7M -$652.6M
Net Income -$344.9M -$354.5M -$679.4M
EBITDA -$263.3M -$204.2M -$652.6M
EPS $-1.05 $-1.88 $-3.18
EPS (Diluted)
Balance Sheet (Annual)
Last updated: May 24, 2026 1:32pm (just now)
Metric 2024 2025 2026
Cash & Equivalents $163.1M $166.0M $470.8M
Total Current Assets $480.1M $528.4M $1.4B
Total Assets $773.8M $858.5M $1.8B
Current Liabilities $427.6M $526.7M $681.5M
Long-Term Debt $472.5M $626.6M $744.4M
Total Liabilities $1.0B $1.3B $1.6B
Total Equity -$256.8M -$485.6M $194.5M
Retained Earnings -$1.6B -$1.9B -$2.6B
Cash Flow (Annual)
Last updated: May 18, 2026 2:23pm (5d ago)
Metric 2024 2025 2026
Operating Cash Flow -$167.2M -$110.7M $38.1M
Capital Expenditure -$41.2M -$40.4M -$22.9M
Free Cash Flow -$208.3M -$151.1M $15.2M
Acquisitions (net) -$13.6M -$2.5M $0
Debt Repayment
Dividends Paid
Stock Buybacks $0 $0 $-565,000
Net Change in Cash $16.1M $1.4M $304.8M
Analyst Estimates (Annual)
Last updated: May 24, 2026 1:32pm (just now)
Metric 2026 2027 2028 2029
Revenue $702.1M
$701.7M – $702.8M
$875.1M
$873.8M – $876.7M
$1.1B
$1.1B – $1.1B
$1.3B
$1.3B – $1.3B
EBITDA -$455.6M
-$456.0M – -$455.3M
-$567.9M
-$568.9M – -$567.0M
-$693.9M
-$700.4M – -$687.4M
-$822.2M
-$822.2M – -$822.2M
Net Income -$1.1B
-$1.1B – -$1.1B
-$381.7M
-$397.6M – -$340.4M
-$21.6M
-$151.1M – $108.0M
$340.9M
$340.1M – $341.8M
EPS
Growth Trends (YoY %)
Last updated: May 18, 2026 2:23pm (5d ago)
Metric 2025 2026
Revenue Growth +32.3% +31.7%
Gross Profit Growth +43.0% +38.7%
Operating Income Growth +18.2% -155.2%
Net Income Growth -2.8% -91.6%
EBITDA Growth +22.4% -219.6%
Insider Trading (Recent)
Date Insider Type Shares Price Value
2025-12-09 Salem Enrique T C-Conversion 1,220,562.00 $0.00 $0
2025-12-03 Salem Enrique T C-Conversion 200,000.00 $0.00 $0
2025-12-09 Salem Enrique T C-Conversion 1,220,562.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-01 Bousquet Raphael M-Exempt 28,125.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-04 Bousquet Raphael A-Award 250,000.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-01 Bousquet Raphael M-Exempt 25,000.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-01 Bousquet Raphael M-Exempt 59,451.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-01 Bousquet Raphael C-Conversion 59,451.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-01 Bousquet Raphael F-InKind 8,073.00 $8.49 $68,540
2026-04-01 Bousquet Raphael C-Conversion 59,451.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-01 Bousquet Raphael M-Exempt 3,125.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-01 Bousquet Raphael M-Exempt 3,201.00 $0.00 $0
2026-01-08 Bousquet Raphael C-Conversion 59,451.00 $0.00 $0
2026-01-08 Bousquet Raphael C-Conversion 59,451.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-01 DEL MATTO ANDREW H M-Exempt 165,625.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-01 DEL MATTO ANDREW H F-InKind 83,128.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-01 DEL MATTO ANDREW H M-Exempt 150,000.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-01 DEL MATTO ANDREW H M-Exempt 15,625.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-01 Beri Sanjay M-Exempt 451,417.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-01 Beri Sanjay M-Exempt 564,270.00 $0.00 $0
Narrative Economics
The story the market is telling about this stock — the intangible X-factor (founder mythology, cult dynamics, TAM-of-imagination) that moves price beyond what cash flows alone explain. After Shiller, Narrative Economics.
No narrative profile yet for NTSK.
Delvantic AI Findings
Independent analyst synthesis · claude-opus-4-7 · generated 2026-05-07 17:24:52
Reviews the pipeline's own verdicts
Verdict Modestly undervalued post-IPO with real FCF inflection — fair value $14-16 vs $11.40, but stage entries given lockup overhang and Microsoft bundling risk; full position only after one more

The raw quarterly tape tells a more nuanced story than the synthesis admits. Revenue is climbing cleanly: $121M → $130M → $138M → $148M → $158M → $171M → $184M → $196M, which is sequential growth of roughly 6-8% per quarter and YoY of ~32% holding remarkably steady — not "decelerating" in any meaningful sense (the revenue confidence tag is misleading; absolute dollar adds are accelerating from ~$8M/qtr to ~$13M/qtr). Gross margin expansion from 60% to 68% over two years is real operating leverage. But the net income line is where the bear case lives: FY2026 NI of -$679M on $709M revenue is a -96% net margin, and the Q3 (Oct '25) print of -$453M on $184M revenue is grotesque even adjusting for likely IPO-related stock-comp acceleration (Netskope IPO'd Sept 2025, which explains both the conversion-heavy insider activity and the one-time NI cliff). Strip that quarter out and quarterly losses are running $60-90M — still bad, but trending the right way against rising revenue.

The cash flow data is the single most important number on the page and the synthesis underweights it. OCF of $38M and FCF of $15M for FY2026 is the inflection — first full-year FCF positive after burning hundreds of millions. With $471M cash and now self-funding (barely), the dilution-or-die risk that usually kills pre-profit SaaS names at this stage is materially reduced. That said, "Total debt: —" and "Total equity: —" are conspicuous blanks; a P/B of 163 implies near-zero book equity, which post-IPO is plausible but I want to see the actual balance sheet before underwriting solvency comfort. The 2.1x current ratio is fine but tells me nothing about long-term obligations.

Where I disagree with the prior models: the synthesis's "High Conviction Required" framing is a non-verdict that hides behind optionality. At $11.40 with $4.56B market cap on $709M revenue growing 32% with positive (if thin) FCF and 68% gross margins, this is 6.4x sales — which is *below* Zscaler (~12x) and Crowdstrike (~18x) and roughly in line with Cloudflare excluding the growth premium. The 59% drawdown from $28 to $11 has already done significant multiple compression work. The bear case requires either (a) growth snapping below 25% in the next two quarters, or (b) the FCF positivity proving to be a working-capital head-fake. The contrarian argument I'd actually make is darker: Netskope sells SSE/SASE into a market where Palo Alto's Prisma and Zscaler have deeper enterprise relationships and Microsoft is bundling Entra/Defender for free into E5 licenses — a 32% growth rate while burning $679M is the easy part; sustaining 25%+ as the TAM gets compressed by bundling is the hard part, and there's no margin of safety in the gross profit dollars ($483M) to absorb a pricing war.

The insider activity flagged as "Unusual Selling" is almost entirely C-Conversions and M-Exempts dated within months of the IPO lockup expiry — this is mechanical, not informational, and the models flagging it as a bear signal are pattern-matching incorrectly. Ignore it. The "Macro Headwinds" and "Lagging Sector Peers" tags are more concerning but unquantified; I'd note NTSK is down 59% while ZS is roughly flat and PANW up over the same window, which is a real relative-performance problem that suggests the market sees company-specific issues, not sector-wide ones. I dissent from the synthesis's implicit neutral stance: at 6.4x sales with a freshly-positive FCF inflection and 32% steady growth, this is closer to actionable than "high conviction required" suggests, but the post-IPO lockup overhang and the genuine competitive vise from Microsoft bundling mean entering here without staging is reckless. Fair value on a Rule-of-40 framework (32% growth + ~2% FCF margin = 34) supports something in the $14-17 range against comps; downside if growth cracks to 22% is $7-8. Asymmetry is mildly favorable but not screaming.

GPT Critique
Second-opinion review · gpt-4o · generated 2026-05-07 17:25:02
Reviews the Opus findings above
Verdict I align partially with Opus's view that Netskope is modestly undervalued, but I am more cautious, pegging fair value closer to $12-14 due to competitive risks and the severe net loss, diverging from Opus's $14-16 range.

On examining Netskope's data, a few key elements stand out. The company's sequential revenue growth is indeed impressive, moving from $121M to $196M over eight quarters, maintaining a consistent year-over-year growth rate of around 32%. This growth trajectory, coupled with gross margin expansion from 60% to 68%, indicates strong operational leverage and the potential for future scalability. However, the net income figures tell a concerning story, with a net loss of $679M for FY2026 and a staggering net margin of -96%. This level of unprofitability, especially following an IPO, is alarming and raises questions about the company's path to profitability. The positive operating cash flow of $38M and free cash flow of $15M are promising, suggesting a shift towards financial stability, albeit with caution due to the lack of disclosed debt and equity figures.

I agree with Claude Opus's assessment that the synthesis underweights the significance of Netskope's cash flow turnaround. Positive cash flow is a crucial indicator for pre-profit SaaS companies, and Netskope's ability to achieve this milestone suggests a reduced risk of dilution, which is a common pitfall in this sector. However, I diverge from Opus's view that the insider selling is irrelevant. While some transactions may be mechanical post-IPO, they could still signify a lack of confidence from insiders, which should not be dismissed outright. I also concur with Opus's skepticism towards the "High Conviction Required" synthesis verdict, as it seems to sidestep making a definitive call. The current valuation at 6.4x sales is indeed lower than some peers, but the comparison should account for Netskope's substantial losses, which the market may be pricing in as a risk factor.

Opus's mention of competitive pressures from companies like Zscaler and Palo Alto is valid, but I would emphasize even more the impact of Microsoft's bundling strategy. This could significantly compress Netskope's addressable market and hinder its ability to maintain growth rates. The potential for a pricing war in an already competitive environment is a serious threat that cannot be overlooked. Additionally, while the drawdown from $28 to $11.40 appears to have compressed the valuation, it may also reflect the market's anticipation of these competitive challenges and persistent profitability issues.

A skeptic might argue that both Opus and I are too optimistic about the company's ability to sustain its growth and achieve profitability. They might point to the company's history of substantial losses and question the sustainability of the recent cash flow positivity. Moreover, the lack of detailed balance sheet data could conceal significant liabilities that have not been accounted for, potentially undermining the company's financial stability.

Community AI Feedback
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My Notes personal — only you see this
Data via Financial Modeling Prep · Cached for performance · fmp
v1.1.256 · f3db1def · 2026-05-22 16:31:52