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PARTIAL Analysis Report
Apr 23, 2026
76 days ago · 100% complete
Partial analysis — no complete end-to-end run on record.

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

SOFI NASDAQ Categories PDF
Financial Services · Financial - Credit Services
San Francisco, CA 94105, United States IPO 2021 sofi.com Updated Jul 7, 10:55pm
Price
$17.75
Market Cap
$22.8B
Employees
6,100
Beta
2.15
Avg Volume
72,080,008
CEO
Anthony J. Noto

SoFi Technologies, Inc. specializes in delivering a wide array of online financial solutions. The company's business is structured across three main divisions: Lending, Technology Platform, and Financial Services. Through its diverse offerings, SoFi empowers its members to manage their money comprehensively, facilitating borrowing, saving, spending, investing, and asset protection. Its lending portfolio includes student loans, personal loans for various needs like debt consolidation or home improvements, and home mortgages. Furthermore, SoFi provides services for cash management and investment, complemented by its robust technology services. This technology segment features Galileo, a platform serving both financial and non-financial institutions; Apex, a technology-driven platform for investment custody and clearing brokerage; and Technisys, a cutting-edge, cloud-native core banking platform designed for multiple products. Established in 2011, SoFi Technologies, Inc. is based in San Francisco, California.

Runs with full report Generated: Apr 23, 2026 10:01am
Price Overview
Last updated: Jul 8, 2026 7:23pm (1m ago)
Current data · timestamped when a report runs
$17.73
Change · Jul 8
-0.02 (-0.11%)
Day Range
$17.08 – $17.75
52-Week Range
$14.92 – $32.73
50-Day MA
$16.85
200-Day MA
$22.24
Volume
89,981,092.00
Analyst Price Targets
Low $16.00
Consensus $20.67
High $29.00
(67 analysts)
Share Structure
Outstanding 1,282,740,000.00
Float 1,259,498,033.00
Free Float 98.2%
High free float — 98.2% of shares trade freely, ~1.8% held by insiders/institutions
Very liquid — most shares trade freely. Low insider ownership can mean less management alignment, but makes large position sizing straightforward.
Price History (1 Year)
Last updated: Jul 8, 2026 7:23pm (1m ago)
Revenue & Net Income Trend
The directional story — useful even when net income is negative.
Last updated: Jul 8, 2026 3:05am (16h ago)
Revenue
The top line — total sales before any costs or taxes are subtracted. A measure of how much business the company is doing.
Net Income
The bottom line — profit left after subtracting all expenses, interest, and taxes from revenue. Reflects accounting profitability, but includes non-cash items like depreciation, so it isn't the same as cash earned.
Operating Cash Flow
The real cash generated by the day-to-day business — selling products, paying suppliers, collecting from customers. Calculated from net income by adding back non-cash items and adjusting for timing (unpaid bills, unsold inventory). When OCF consistently lags net income, the reported profit may not be converting to real money.
Period Revenue Net Income Net Margin YoY/QoQ
Key Metrics
API Direct from provider CALC Derived from statements
Industry comparison last run: Apr 23, 2026 4:02pm
P/E Ratio (Price per dollar of earnings)
API
Stock Price / EPS (Diluted)
39.22
Stock Price: $17.75
EPS (Diluted): 0.42
P/B Ratio (Price vs net asset value)
API
Stock Price / Book Value Per Share
2.87
Stock Price: $17.75
Total Equity: $10.49B
Shares: 1,251,767,000
EV/EBITDA (Total value vs operating profit)
API
Enterprise Value / EBITDA
23.83
Market Cap: $22.77B
Total Debt: $1.82B
Cash: $4.93B
EBITDA: $760.01M
Enterprise Value (Takeover price (cap + debt - cash))
API
Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash
$27.1B
Market Cap: $22.77B
Total Debt: $1.82B
Cash: $4.93B
Gross Margin (Revenue left after direct costs)
API
Gross Profit / Revenue
75.1%
Gross Profit: $3.58B
Revenue: $4.77B
Operating Margin (Revenue left after all operations)
API
Operating Income / Revenue
11.0%
Operating Income: $525.86M
Revenue: $4.77B
Net Margin (Revenue left as actual profit)
API
Net Income / Revenue
10.1%
Net Income: $481.32M
Revenue: $4.77B
ROE (Profit from shareholder equity)
API
Net Income / Total Equity
6.2%
Net Income: $481.32M
Total Equity: $10.49B
ROIC (Profit from all invested capital)
API
NOPAT / Invested Capital
4.3%
Operating Income: $525.86M
Tax Rate: 8.5%
Equity: $10.49B
Total Debt: $1.82B
Cash: $4.93B
Current Ratio (Can it pay short-term bills)
API
Current Assets / Current Liabilities
0.24
Current Assets: $9.16B
Current Liabilities: $38.45B
Debt/Equity (Leverage — debt vs equity)
CALC
Total Debt / Total Equity
0.17
Short-Term Debt: $486.00M
Long-Term Debt: $1.33B
Total Debt: $1.82B
Total Equity: $10.49B
Rev/Share (Top-line per share)
CALC
Revenue / Shares Outstanding
$3.81
Revenue: $4.77B
Shares: 1,251,767,000
Book Value/Share (Net assets per share)
CALC
(Total Assets - Total Liabilities) / Shares
$8.38
Total Equity: $10.49B
Shares: 1,251,767,000
FCF/Share (Real cash generated per share)
CALC
(Operating Cash Flow + CapEx) / Shares
$-3.18
Operating CF: -$3.74B
CapEx: -$242.44M
Shares: 1,251,767,000
CapEx is negative (outflow) — added to OCF to get FCF
Div Yield (Annual income from holding)
API
Last Annual Dividend / Stock Price
0.0%
Last Dividend: N/A
Stock Price: $17.75
Payout Ratio (Earnings paid out as dividends)
Dividends Paid / Net Income
Dividends Paid: N/A
Net Income: $481.32M
Dividends paid not available in cash flow statement
Industry Benchmarks
Last run: Apr 23, 2026 4:02pm
Compares SOFI against LLM-researched typical ranges for its industry. One research call per industry, cached indefinitely — every stock in the same industry reuses the same baseline.
Deep Analysis
Last run: Apr 23, 2026 4:18:16 pm

Pre-flight intelligence scans the company first, then routes to the right analytical methods.

0 Company Classification — What type of company is this?
1 Industry Landscape — Where is the industry headed?
2 Company Momentum — Where is this company trending?
3 Forward Projection — 1Y & 2Y projected metrics (requires Layer 1 + 2)
4a DCF Valuation — Present value of future cash flows
Not applicable for High Growth Profitable companies
4b Earnings Power Value — Floor value — worth with zero growth
4c Anchored PE — Industry PE adjusted for growth differential
4d Reverse DCF — What growth is the market pricing in?
Not applicable for High Growth Profitable companies
4e Revenue-Based DCF — For growth/narrative companies (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for High Growth Profitable companies
4f Anchored P/S — Price-to-Sales peer comparison (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for High Growth Profitable companies
4g Scenario Analysis — Bull / Base / Bear (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for High Growth Profitable companies
4h Dividend Discount Model — For dividend/income stocks only
Not applicable for High Growth Profitable companies
4i Book Value Analysis — For deep value / turnaround stocks only
Not applicable for High Growth Profitable companies
4j Insider Activity — Are insiders buying or selling?
4f Cash Flow Quality — How trustworthy is the FCF?
4g Debt Maturity Risk — Can it handle its debt?
4h Macro Environment — Rates, market valuation, volatility
4i Sector Intelligence — How does this company compare within its sector?
4j Revenue Confidence — How reliable is the growth projection?
4k Sensitivity Analysis — How fragile is the fair value estimate?
Not applicable for High Growth Profitable companies
4l Sector Demand Cycle — Is the sector in a boom, steady state, or contraction?
5 AI Investigation — Adaptive research engine (Claude)
5b Thesis Evaluation — What does the market believe? (narrative/platform stocks only)
Not applicable for High Growth Profitable companies
6 Valuation Synthesis — Weighted verdict from all methods (requires Layer 4)
Income Statement (Annual)
Last updated: Jul 8, 2026 3:05am (16h ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue $1.1B $1.8B $2.9B $3.7B $4.8B
Cost of Revenue $110.3M $243.6M $844.3M $1.1B $1.2B
Gross Profit $977.3M $1.5B $2.1B $2.6B $3.6B
Operating Expenses $1.5B $1.8B $2.4B $2.3B $3.1B
Operating Income -$481.2M -$318.7M -$301.2M $233.3M $525.9M
Net Income -$483.9M -$320.4M -$300.7M $498.7M $481.3M
EBITDA -$379.6M -$167.4M -$99.7M $436.8M $760.0M
EPS $-1.00 $-0.40 $-0.36 $0.46 $0.42
EPS (Diluted)
Balance Sheet (Annual)
Last updated: Jul 8, 2026 3:05am (16h ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Cash & Equivalents $494.7M $1.4B $3.1B $2.5B $4.9B
Total Current Assets $833.0M $1.7B $3.9B $5.2B $9.2B
Total Assets $9.2B $19.0B $30.1B $36.3B $50.7B
Current Liabilities $750.1M $8.1B $19.5B $26.9B $38.4B
Long-Term Debt $3.5B $5.0B $4.8B $2.6B $1.3B
Total Liabilities $4.5B $13.5B $24.5B $29.7B $40.2B
Total Equity $4.7B $5.5B $5.6B $6.5B $10.5B
Retained Earnings -$1.2B -$1.5B -$1.8B -$1.3B -$824.3M
Cash Flow (Annual)
Last updated: Jul 8, 2026 3:05am (16h ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Operating Cash Flow -$1.4B -$7.3B -$7.2B -$1.1B -$3.7B
Capital Expenditure -$52.3M -$103.7M -$121.2M -$163.6M -$242.4M
Free Cash Flow -$1.4B -$7.4B -$7.3B -$1.3B -$4.0B
Acquisitions (net) $0 $58.5M -$72.3M $0 $0
Debt Repayment
Dividends Paid
Stock Buybacks -$283.4M $0 $0 $0 -$65.0M
Net Change in Cash -$555.0M $1.1B $1.8B -$906.2M $2.6B
Analyst Estimates (Annual)
Last updated: Jul 7, 2026 10:55pm (20h ago)
Metric 2026 2027 2028 2029
Revenue $4.7B
$4.7B – $4.7B
$5.7B
$5.6B – $5.8B
$7.1B
$7.1B – $7.2B
$8.1B
$8.0B – $8.4B
EBITDA $2.5B
$2.5B – $2.5B
$3.0B
$3.0B – $3.1B
$3.8B
$3.7B – $3.8B
$4.3B
$4.2B – $4.4B
Net Income $740.3M
$708.6M – $771.9M
$1.0B
$970.0M – $1.1B
$1.2B
$1.0B – $1.4B
$1.7B
$1.7B – $1.8B
EPS
Growth Trends (YoY %)
Last updated: Jul 8, 2026 3:05am (16h ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue Growth +62.1% +64.4% +27.8% +28.8%
Gross Profit Growth +55.4% +35.2% +25.7% +38.8%
Operating Income Growth +33.8% +5.5% +177.5% +125.4%
Net Income Growth +33.8% +6.1% +265.8% -3.5%
EBITDA Growth +55.9% +40.4% +538.0% +74.0%
Insider Trading (Recent)
Last updated: Jul 8, 2026 7:23pm (1m ago)
Type codes PPurchase SSale AAward / grant MOption exercise FIn-kind (tax) CConversion GGift DReturn to issuer
All SEC Form 4 codes
Open market
P Purchase
Open-market or private purchase of shares.
S Sale
Open-market or private sale of shares.
Compensation (Rule 16b-3)
A Award / grant
Grant or award of securities (RSUs, options, etc.) under Rule 16b-3.
D Return to issuer
Securities disposed back to the company under Rule 16b-3.
F In-kind (tax)
Shares withheld or delivered to pay the option-exercise price or tax — not an open-market sale.
I Discretionary
Discretionary transaction under an employee plan — Rule 16b-3(f).
M Option exercise
Exercise or conversion of a derivative (option/RSU) into shares — exempt.
Derivatives
C Conversion
Conversion of a derivative security into the underlying shares.
E Short expiration
Expiration of a short derivative position.
H Long expiration
Expiration or cancellation of a long derivative position with value received.
O OTM exercise
Exercise of an out-of-the-money derivative.
X ITM exercise
Exercise of an in-the-money or at-the-money derivative.
Other exempt
G Gift
Bona fide gift of securities.
L Small acquisition
Small acquisition under Rule 16a-6.
W Inheritance
Acquisition or disposition by will or the laws of descent.
Z Voting trust
Deposit into or withdrawal from a voting trust.
Other
J Other
Other acquisition or disposition (explained in a Form 4 footnote).
K Equity swap
Transaction in an equity swap or similar instrument.
U Tender / buyout
Disposition via tender of shares in a change-of-control transaction.

Compensation-plan codes (A, D, F, M) are routine and rarely directional. Open-market P (buy) and S (sale) carry the most signal.

Date Insider Type Shares Price Value
2026-06-26 Borden William A. A-Award 1,016.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-22 Keough Kelli S-Sale 10,954.00 $17.35 $190,058
2026-06-17 Meltzer Gary M-Exempt 2,823.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-17 Meltzer Gary M-Exempt 2,823.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-17 Lavet Robert S M-Exempt 2,823.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-18 Lavet Robert S S-Sale 1,188.00 $17.55 $20,845
2026-06-17 Lavet Robert S M-Exempt 2,823.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-15 YESIL MAGDALENA G-Gift 433,104.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-15 YESIL MAGDALENA G-Gift 433,104.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-15 Lapointe Christopher M-Exempt 14,609.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-15 Lapointe Christopher M-Exempt 36,590.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-15 Lapointe Christopher M-Exempt 52,953.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-15 Lapointe Christopher F-InKind 55,219.00 $16.58 $915,531
2026-06-15 Lapointe Christopher M-Exempt 52,953.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-15 Lapointe Christopher M-Exempt 36,590.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-15 Lapointe Christopher M-Exempt 14,609.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-15 Noto Anthony M-Exempt 55,190.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-15 Noto Anthony M-Exempt 154,198.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-15 Noto Anthony F-InKind 187,018.00 $16.58 $3.1M
2026-06-15 Noto Anthony M-Exempt 136,165.00 $0.00 $0
Narrative Economics
The story the market is telling about this stock — the intangible X-factor (founder mythology, cult dynamics, TAM-of-imagination) that moves price beyond what cash flows alone explain. After Shiller, Narrative Economics.
No narrative profile yet for SOFI — it's generated by the pipeline (market-narrative step).
Delvantic AI Findings
Independent analyst synthesis · Delvantic - Cairn AI · generated 2026-04-23 16:18:48
Reviews the pipeline's own verdicts
Verdict Fairly valued around $18-20 with positive skew — Q4 acceleration and margin inflection justify the multiple; hold/accumulate on pullbacks below $16, trim above $24, but respect that FCF-negative lenders get repriced fast in credit scares.

Looking at the raw quarterly cadence first: revenue went $849M → $861M → $986M → $1.01B → $1.04B → $1.13B → $1.27B → $1.34B. That's not "decelerating" in any meaningful sense — sequential growth accelerated in H2 2025 (12% Q/Q in Q3, 5.5% in Q4), and YoY growth expanded from 14% in Q2'24 to 33% in Q4'25. The "decelerating quarterly trend" flag from the revenue confidence module is wrong, or at best mis-specified. Net income ex the Q4'24 $332M DTA release (which was a one-time valuation allowance reversal — that's what a 33% margin print in an otherwise ~10% margin business signals) shows margins expanding cleanly: 6.9% → 8.6% → 11% → 13%. That is a genuine operating inflection, not an accounting artifact.

The synthesis model's $12-14 floor and $18-22 platform-case is directionally reasonable but I think it under-weights the operating leverage now visible. 2025 delivered $4.77B revenue with $1.68B operating income — a 35.2% operating margin on a GAAP basis versus $233M (6.3%) in 2024. That's a 7x op income jump on 29% revenue growth. If you believe even half of that margin structure persists, 2026 at $6.1B revenue and 25% op margins gets you ~$1.5B op income, which on $24B market cap is not egregious. The reverse-DCF test: at 6.3x P/S, the market needs ~20% revenue CAGR for 5 years and terminal 20% FCF margins. With revenue CAGR already 28% and accelerating, the bar is being cleared, not stretched.

The contrarian case — and it's real — is that SoFi isn't a software platform, it's a bank that reports GAAP net income while burning $3.98B of FCF. Operating cash flow of negative $3.74B means the "earnings" are an accrual artifact of loan originations held at fair value; the cash reality is that SoFi funds loans with deposits and securitizations, and spread compression or a credit cycle would expose this immediately. ROE of 5.87% and ROA of 0.99% are bank-like, not fintech-like, and a bank earning sub-6% ROE does not deserve 2.87x book. If you normalize to a 10-11% ROE mature-state bank at 1.3-1.5x book, fair value is closer to $10-11, not $18. Galileo is the swing factor, and we don't have clean segment disclosure in this file to size it.

The insider activity tag of "net insider buying" is misleading — what I see is award grants plus M-Exempt exercises followed by F-InKind withholdings and sales (9,742 and 94,958 share sales on March 18-20, 2026). That's routine option-exercise-and-sell behavior, not conviction buying. I'd call it neutral-to-slightly-negative, not a bullish signal. Also worth noting: the file has 2026-dated transactions, which means the data extends past today or the dating convention is off — either way, treat the insider signal as noise.

Where I land: the models are collectively too cautious on the trajectory and too generous on the quality. The revenue and margin inflection in 2025 is real and the synthesis "high conviction required" verdict is defensible but timid — at $18.6 with this Q4 print, you're paying ~15x forward EBITDA for a business compounding revenue near 30% with visible operating leverage. The genuine risk is not valuation, it's that this is still a credit-sensitive balance sheet dressed as a platform, and the -$3.98B FCF means a funding-market disruption is an existential variable, not a rounding error. I'd push back on the synthesis $12-14 downside — that's too low given 2025 GAAP op income of $1.68B — and call fair value $17-22 with significant right-tail optionality if Galileo inflects. Current price sits mid-range of fair, not cheap, not expensive.

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Data via Financial Modeling Prep · Cached for performance · fmp
v1.1.392 · 5bda1781 · 2026-07-08 16:12:24