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AGING Analysis Report
Jun 7, 2026
19 days ago · 100% complete

West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc.

WST NYSE Categories PDF
Healthcare · Medical - Instruments & Supplies
Exton, PA 19341-0645, United States IPO 1980 westpharma.com Updated Jun 7, 5:09pm
Price
$314.50
Market Cap
$22.2B
Employees
10,600
Beta
1.18
Avg Volume
882,195
CEO
Eric Green
Business Description

West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells containment and delivery systems for injectable drugs and healthcare products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates in two segments, Proprietary Products and Contract-Manufactured Products. The Proprietary Products segment offers stoppers and seals for injectable packaging systems; syringe and cartridge components, including custom solutions for the needs of injectable drug applications, as well as administration systems that enhance the safe delivery of drugs through advanced reconstitution, mixing, and transfer technologies; and films, coatings, washing, and vision inspection and sterilization processes and services to enhance the quality of packaging components. It also provides drug containment solutions, including Crystal Zenith, a cyclic olefin polymer in the form of vials, syringes, and cartridges; and self-injection devices, as well as a range of integrated solutions, including analytical lab services, pre-approval primary packaging support and engineering development, regulatory expertise, and after-sales technical support. This segment serves biologic, generic, and pharmaceutical drug companies. The Contract-Manufactured Products segment is involved in the design, manufacture, and automated assembly of devices used in surgical, diagnostic, ophthalmic, injectable, and other drug delivery systems, as well as consumer products. It serves pharmaceutical, diagnostic, and medical device companies. The company distributes its products through its sales force and distribution network, as well as contract sales agents and regional distributors. West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. was incorporated in 1923 and is headquartered in Exton, Pennsylvania.

Business History
Generated: Jun 7, 2026 5:11pm
Price Overview
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:09pm (19d ago)
$314.50
-2.82 (-0.89%)
Day Range
$310.70 – $318.90
52-Week Range
$206.80 – $330.88
50-Day MA
$288.57
200-Day MA
$267.21
Volume
442,861.00
Analyst Price Targets
Low $295.00
Consensus $315.83
High $340.00
(20 analysts)
Share Structure
Outstanding 70,647,600.00
Float 70,197,574.00
Free Float 99.4%
High free float — 99.4% of shares trade freely, ~0.6% held by insiders/institutions
Very liquid — most shares trade freely. Low insider ownership can mean less management alignment, but makes large position sizing straightforward.
Price History (1 Year)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:15pm (19d ago)
Revenue & Net Income Trend
The directional story — useful even when net income is negative.
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:15pm (19d ago)
Revenue
The top line — total sales before any costs or taxes are subtracted. A measure of how much business the company is doing.
Net Income
The bottom line — profit left after subtracting all expenses, interest, and taxes from revenue. Reflects accounting profitability, but includes non-cash items like depreciation, so it isn't the same as cash earned.
Operating Cash Flow
The real cash generated by the day-to-day business — selling products, paying suppliers, collecting from customers. Calculated from net income by adding back non-cash items and adjusting for timing (unpaid bills, unsold inventory). When OCF consistently lags net income, the reported profit may not be converting to real money.
Period Revenue Net Income Net Margin YoY/QoQ
Key Metrics
API Direct from provider CALC Derived from statements
Industry comparison last run: Jun 7, 2026 5:11pm
P/E Ratio (Price per dollar of earnings)
API
Stock Price / EPS (Diluted)
41.72
Stock Price: $314.50
EPS (Diluted): 6.83
P/B Ratio (Price vs net asset value)
API
Stock Price / Book Value Per Share
6.26
Stock Price: $314.50
Total Equity: $3.18B
Shares: 72,700,000
EV/EBITDA (Total value vs operating profit)
API
Enterprise Value / EBITDA
27.55
Market Cap: $22.22B
Total Debt: $321.10M
Cash: $791.30M
EBITDA: $723.60M
Enterprise Value (Takeover price (cap + debt - cash))
API
Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash
$19.5B
Market Cap: $22.22B
Total Debt: $321.10M
Cash: $791.30M
Gross Margin (Revenue left after direct costs)
API
Gross Profit / Revenue
35.9%
Gross Profit: $1.10B
Revenue: $3.07B
Operating Margin (Revenue left after all operations)
API
Operating Income / Revenue
20.1%
Operating Income: $617.40M
Revenue: $3.07B
Net Margin (Revenue left as actual profit)
API
Net Income / Revenue
16.1%
Net Income: $493.70M
Revenue: $3.07B
ROE (Profit from shareholder equity)
API
Net Income / Total Equity
17.9%
Net Income: $493.70M
Total Equity: $3.18B
ROIC (Profit from all invested capital)
API
NOPAT / Invested Capital
15.2%
Operating Income: $617.40M
Tax Rate: 19.8%
Equity: $3.18B
Total Debt: $321.10M
Cash: $791.30M
Current Ratio (Can it pay short-term bills)
API
Current Assets / Current Liabilities
3.02
Current Assets: $1.98B
Current Liabilities: $654.90M
Debt/Equity (Leverage — debt vs equity)
CALC
Total Debt / Total Equity
0.10
Short-Term Debt: $22.70M
Long-Term Debt: $298.40M
Total Debt: $321.10M
Total Equity: $3.18B
Rev/Share (Top-line per share)
CALC
Revenue / Shares Outstanding
$42.28
Revenue: $3.07B
Shares: 72,700,000
Book Value/Share (Net assets per share)
CALC
(Total Assets - Total Liabilities) / Shares
$43.69
Total Equity: $3.18B
Shares: 72,700,000
FCF/Share (Real cash generated per share)
CALC
(Operating Cash Flow + CapEx) / Shares
$6.45
Operating CF: $754.80M
CapEx: -$285.90M
Shares: 72,700,000
CapEx is negative (outflow) — added to OCF to get FCF
Div Yield (Annual income from holding)
API
Last Annual Dividend / Stock Price
0.3%
Last Dividend: N/A
Stock Price: $314.50
Payout Ratio (Earnings paid out as dividends)
Dividends Paid / Net Income
Dividends Paid: N/A
Net Income: $493.70M
Dividends paid not available in cash flow statement
Industry Benchmarks
Last run: Jun 7, 2026 5:11pm
Compares WST against LLM-researched typical ranges for its industry. One research call per industry, cached indefinitely — every stock in the same industry reuses the same baseline.
Deep Analysis
Last run: Jun 7, 2026 5:15:07 pm

Pre-flight intelligence scans the company first, then routes to the right analytical methods.

0 Company Classification — What type of company is this?
1 Industry Landscape — Where is the industry headed?
2 Company Momentum — Where is this company trending?
3 Forward Projection — 1Y & 2Y projected metrics (requires Layer 1 + 2)
4a DCF Valuation — Present value of future cash flows
4b Earnings Power Value — Floor value — worth with zero growth
4c Anchored PE — Industry PE adjusted for growth differential
4d Reverse DCF — What growth is the market pricing in?
4e Revenue-Based DCF — For growth/narrative companies (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4f Anchored P/S — Price-to-Sales peer comparison (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4g Scenario Analysis — Bull / Base / Bear (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4h Dividend Discount Model — For dividend/income stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4i Book Value Analysis — For deep value / turnaround stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4j Insider Activity — Are insiders buying or selling?
4f Cash Flow Quality — How trustworthy is the FCF?
4g Debt Maturity Risk — Can it handle its debt?
4h Macro Environment — Rates, market valuation, volatility
4i Sector Intelligence — How does this company compare within its sector?
4j Revenue Confidence — How reliable is the growth projection?
4k Sensitivity Analysis — How fragile is the fair value estimate?
4l Sector Demand Cycle — Is the sector in a boom, steady state, or contraction?
5 AI Investigation — Adaptive research engine (Claude)
5b Thesis Evaluation — What does the market believe? (narrative/platform stocks only)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
6 Valuation Synthesis — Weighted verdict from all methods (requires Layer 4)
Income Statement (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:15pm (19d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue $2.8B $2.9B $3.0B $2.9B $3.1B
Cost of Revenue $1.7B $1.7B $1.8B $1.9B $2.0B
Gross Profit $1.2B $1.1B $1.1B $1.0B $1.1B
Operating Expenses $414.7M $375.4M $421.8M $407.6M $485.9M
Operating Income $758.7M $763.5M $710.9M $594.6M $617.4M
Net Income $661.8M $585.9M $593.4M $492.7M $493.7M
EBITDA $879.7M $808.1M $844.1M $743.8M $723.6M
EPS $8.90 $7.88 $7.99 $6.75 $6.83
EPS (Diluted)
Balance Sheet (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:11pm (19d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Cash & Equivalents $762.6M $894.3M $853.9M $484.6M $791.3M
Total Current Assets $1.7B $1.9B $1.9B $1.5B $2.0B
Total Assets $3.3B $3.6B $3.8B $3.6B $4.3B
Current Liabilities $594.1M $519.0M $671.8M $550.4M $654.9M
Long-Term Debt $208.8M $206.7M $72.8M $202.6M $298.4M
Total Liabilities $978.4M $931.9M $948.5M $961.1M $1.1B
Total Equity $2.3B $2.7B $2.9B $2.7B $3.2B
Retained Earnings $2.5B $3.0B $3.5B $4.0B $4.4B
Cash Flow (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:15pm (19d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Operating Cash Flow $584.0M $724.0M $776.5M $653.4M $754.8M
Capital Expenditure -$253.4M -$284.6M -$362.0M -$377.0M -$285.9M
Free Cash Flow $330.6M $439.4M $414.5M $276.4M $468.9M
Acquisitions (net) -$2.2M $0 $0 $0 $0
Debt Repayment
Dividends Paid
Stock Buybacks -$151.9M -$222.2M -$451.2M -$566.6M -$134.0M
Net Change in Cash $147.1M $131.7M -$40.4M -$369.3M $306.7M
Analyst Estimates (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:09pm (19d ago)
Metric 2027 2028 2029 2030
Revenue $3.5B
$3.5B – $3.6B
$3.8B
$3.8B – $3.8B
$4.1B
$4.0B – $4.1B
$4.1B
$4.0B – $4.2B
EBITDA $967.3M
$948.1M – $986.4M
$1.0B
$1.0B – $1.0B
$1.1B
$1.1B – $1.1B
$1.1B
$1.1B – $1.1B
Net Income $685.6M
$675.9M – $713.2M
$754.9M
$737.4M – $842.1M
$891.6M
$869.9M – $915.5M
$904.1M
$882.1M – $928.4M
EPS
Growth Trends (YoY %)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:15pm (19d ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue Growth +1.9% +2.3% -2.0% +6.3%
Gross Profit Growth -2.9% -0.5% -11.5% +10.1%
Operating Income Growth +0.6% -6.9% -16.4% +3.8%
Net Income Growth -11.5% +1.3% -17.0% +0.2%
EBITDA Growth -8.1% +4.5% -11.9% -2.7%
Insider Trading (Recent)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:15pm (19d ago)
Type codes PPurchase SSale AAward / grant MOption exercise FIn-kind (tax) CConversion GGift DReturn to issuer
All SEC Form 4 codes
Open market
P Purchase
Open-market or private purchase of shares.
S Sale
Open-market or private sale of shares.
Compensation (Rule 16b-3)
A Award / grant
Grant or award of securities (RSUs, options, etc.) under Rule 16b-3.
D Return to issuer
Securities disposed back to the company under Rule 16b-3.
F In-kind (tax)
Shares withheld or delivered to pay the option-exercise price or tax — not an open-market sale.
I Discretionary
Discretionary transaction under an employee plan — Rule 16b-3(f).
M Option exercise
Exercise or conversion of a derivative (option/RSU) into shares — exempt.
Derivatives
C Conversion
Conversion of a derivative security into the underlying shares.
E Short expiration
Expiration of a short derivative position.
H Long expiration
Expiration or cancellation of a long derivative position with value received.
O OTM exercise
Exercise of an out-of-the-money derivative.
X ITM exercise
Exercise of an in-the-money or at-the-money derivative.
Other exempt
G Gift
Bona fide gift of securities.
L Small acquisition
Small acquisition under Rule 16a-6.
W Inheritance
Acquisition or disposition by will or the laws of descent.
Z Voting trust
Deposit into or withdrawal from a voting trust.
Other
J Other
Other acquisition or disposition (explained in a Form 4 footnote).
K Equity swap
Transaction in an equity swap or similar instrument.
U Tender / buyout
Disposition via tender of shares in a change-of-control transaction.

Compensation-plan codes (A, D, F, M) are routine and rarely directional. Open-market P (buy) and S (sale) carry the most signal.

Date Insider Type Shares Price Value
2026-05-12 Campbell Shane Alden M-Exempt 473.59 $0.00 $0
2026-05-12 Campbell Shane Alden M-Exempt 296.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-12 Campbell Shane Alden M-Exempt 473.59 $0.00 $0
2026-05-12 Campbell Shane Alden F-InKind 134.93 $312.07 $42,107
2026-05-12 Campbell Shane Alden M-Exempt 296.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-12 Campbell Shane Alden F-InKind 84.33 $312.07 $26,317
2026-05-04 Pucci Paolo A-Award 791.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-04 Michels Douglas A A-Award 791.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-04 Lockhart Stephen H A-Award 791.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-04 LAI GOLDMAN MYLA A-Award 791.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-04 Keller Deborah L A-Award 791.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-04 Joseph Molly A-Award 791.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-04 HAUGEN JANET BRUTSCHEA A-Award 791.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-04 FRIEL ROBERT F A-Award 791.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-04 Feehery William F A-Award 791.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-04 BUTHMAN MARK A A-Award 791.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-27 Favorite Annette F M-Exempt 2,817.00 $83.47 $235,135
2026-04-27 Favorite Annette F S-Sale 2,817.00 $305.20 $859,753
2026-04-27 Favorite Annette F M-Exempt 2,817.00 $83.47 $235,135
2026-04-27 Winters Chad M-Exempt 896.00 $173.22 $155,205
Dividend History (Last 20)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:09pm (19d ago)
Date Dividend Declaration Record Payment
2026-04-29 $0.22 2026-02-16 2026-04-29 2026-05-06
2026-01-28 $0.22 2025-12-09 2026-01-28 2026-02-04
2025-11-12 $0.22 2025-07-23 2025-11-12 2025-11-19
2025-07-30 $0.21 2025-04-24 2025-07-30 2025-08-06
2025-04-30 $0.21 2025-02-20 2025-04-30 2025-05-07
2025-02-07 $0.21 2025-01-28 2025-02-07 2025-02-11
2024-11-13 $0.21 2024-10-24 2024-11-13 2024-11-20
2024-07-31 $0.20 2024-04-25 2024-07-31 2024-08-07
2024-04-23 $0.20 2024-02-20 2024-04-24 2024-05-01
2024-01-30 $0.20 2023-12-06 2024-01-31 2024-02-07
2023-11-07 $0.20 2023-10-26 2023-11-08 2023-11-15
2023-07-25 $0.19 2023-04-27 2023-07-26 2023-08-02
2023-04-25 $0.19 2023-03-03 2023-04-26 2023-05-03
2023-01-24 $0.19 2022-12-13 2023-01-25 2023-02-01
2022-11-08 $0.19 2022-10-27 2022-11-09 2022-11-16
2022-07-19 $0.18 2022-04-28 2022-07-20 2022-08-03
2022-04-19 $0.18 2022-02-23 2022-04-20 2022-05-04
2022-01-18 $0.18 2022-01-05 2022-01-19 2022-02-02
2021-11-09 $0.18 2021-10-28 2021-11-10 2021-11-17
2021-07-20 $0.17 2021-05-05 2021-07-21 2021-08-04
Narrative Economics
The story the market is telling about this stock — the intangible X-factor (founder mythology, cult dynamics, TAM-of-imagination) that moves price beyond what cash flows alone explain. After Shiller, Narrative Economics.
No narrative profile yet for WST — it's generated by the pipeline (market-narrative step).
Delvantic AI Findings
Independent analyst synthesis · Delvantic - Cairn AI · generated 2026-06-07 17:15:45
Reviews the pipeline's own verdicts
Verdict Overvalued but not catastrophically so — fair value $230-240, not $83; the synthesis is too bearish on the trough, the market is too generous on the recovery. Wait for a destocking scare.

Looking at the raw quarterly trajectory first: revenue went $702M → $698M → $766M → $804M → $805M → $845M across the last six quarters, which is genuine reacceleration, not the "decelerating" tag the revenue confidence signal gave it. The Q1 2026 print of $844.9M annualizes near $3.4B, up from $3.07B in 2025 — that's ~10% growth, not the 2.1% three-year CAGR the momentum module is anchoring on. Net margins have stabilized in the 16-17% band for five straight quarters after the Q1 2025 dip to 12.9%. So the "margin compression" narrative is real versus 2021-2023 (when net margins ran 20-23% and op margins hit 27%), but the bleeding has stopped. Operating income of $617M on $3.07B in 2025 = 20.1% op margin, down from 26.9% in 2021 — that's roughly 700bps of structural give-back, which is the actual question, not whether GLP-1s exist.

The synthesis verdict pegs fair value at ~$83 versus $314, implying a 74% overvaluation. I think that DCF is too punitive and the narrative layer is too cute. At ~$22B EV on roughly $470M FCF (2025) you get a 2.1% FCF yield — rich, but West's FCF is artificially depressed by $286M of capex (capex/revenue ~9.3%, well above the historical 5-6%), which is exactly the capacity buildout the bulls point to. Normalize capex to 6% of revenue and FCF runs closer to $650-700M, giving a ~3% yield. Still not cheap, but the 41x P/E and 27.5x EV/EBITDA are paying for a credible re-acceleration that the quarterly tape is actually delivering. Calling this $83 fair value requires believing margins permanently sit at 2024 trough levels AND growth stays at 2%. The Q1 2026 print contradicts both legs.

That said, I'm not a bull at $314. The contrarian case the models underweight: West's customer concentration in GLP-1 high-value products (HVP) means a single Lilly/Novo destocking event — which has happened before in 2024 and caused the Q1 2025 margin crater — can blow up a quarter. Insider activity is option exercises and small awards, no open-market buying, which is mildly telling at this multiple. Balance sheet data is incomplete (no debt or equity figure shown), which is a real gap for a company supposedly building capacity. ROIC of 15.2% TTM is fine but down from the high-20s historically — the capex is not yet earning its keep. And the "platform-monopoly" narrative archetype is overstated: West has a duopoly with Aptar/Datwyler in elastomer components, not a monopoly, and gene therapy/biologics share gains assume execution West hasn't consistently delivered on the last two years.

I dissent partially from the synthesis. The $83 fair value is wrong — it's anchoring on trailing trough fundamentals and ignoring the visible Q4'25/Q1'26 inflection. But the $314 price is also wrong — it's paying full freight for a margin recovery to 25%+ op margins that hasn't materialized and may never, given competitive pressure from Aptar and customer in-sourcing pressure from mega-cap pharma. Reasonable fair value with normalized FCF of ~$650M, a 25x multiple (premium for quality/moat but not perfection), and modest dilution gets you to $16-17B equity value, or roughly $230-240/share. That's 25-30% downside from here, not 75%. The trade isn't "short at $314 because DCF says $83" — it's "wait for the next destocking scare to buy in the $230s, because the underlying franchise is real but the multiple needs to compress to a level where GLP-1 surprises become upside rather than table stakes."

GPT Critique
Second-opinion review · gpt-4o · generated 2026-06-07 17:15:51
Reviews the Opus findings above
Verdict Disagree with Opus — fair value closer to $210-220, not $230-240; the market is too generous on recovery prospects amidst competitive pressures and operational uncertainties.

Upon reviewing the raw data for West Pharmaceutical Services, several key observations stand out. The quarterly revenue growth from $702M to $844.9M over six quarters indicates a genuine reacceleration, contradicting any notion of deceleration. This is further supported by the Q1 2026 print annualizing at approximately $3.4B, representing roughly a 10% growth from the previous year. Margins have stabilized in the 16-17% range after a dip in early 2025, suggesting the company has managed to stem the decline seen in earlier years. However, the historical comparison reveals a significant margin erosion from the 20-23% net margins seen in 2021-2023. The company's capex of $286M, which is higher than historical norms, suggests an aggressive capacity build-out that may not yet be yielding anticipated returns.

I agree with Opus's assertion that the DCF-derived fair value of $83 is overly bearish. The raw data supports a narrative of reacceleration and stabilization rather than outright decline, making such a low valuation unrealistic. Additionally, normalizing capex could indeed elevate the FCF yield closer to 3%, supporting a valuation above $83. However, I diverge from Opus's fair value range of $230-240. While I concur that the market price of $314 is overly optimistic, given the current operational margin pressures and competitive landscape, I believe a fair value might be slightly lower, closer to $210-220. This accounts for the ongoing risks from potential destocking events and the need for the capex to start generating tangible returns.

Opus is astute in highlighting the risks associated with the company's customer concentration, particularly in the GLP-1 segment. The potential for destocking events to disrupt quarterly performance is a significant risk factor. The absence of insider open-market buying at this valuation level is indeed a mild negative signal, suggesting limited confidence in the current price's sustainability. Moreover, the incomplete balance sheet data is a notable gap that casts some doubt on the full picture of the company's financial health. I also agree with Opus that the narrative of a "platform-monopoly" is overstated, given the competitive pressures from Aptar and others.

A careful skeptic would argue that both Opus and my analyses might overlook the broader macroeconomic headwinds that could impact the healthcare sector, including potential regulatory changes or shifts in global demand patterns. They might also suggest that both analyses are overly focused on recent quarterly data without sufficient emphasis on longer-term strategic risks, such as technological disruption or significant shifts in pharmaceutical manufacturing practices.

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My Notes personal — only you see this
Data via Financial Modeling Prep · Cached for performance · fmp
v1.1.352 · d1100787 · 2026-06-26 11:39:30