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AGING Analysis Report
Jun 7, 2026
19 days ago · 100% complete

Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co.

RS NYSE Categories PDF
Basic Materials · Steel
Los Angeles, CA 90071, United States IPO 1994 reliance.com Updated Jun 7, 5:18pm
Price
$394.41
Market Cap
$20.1B
Employees
15,900
Beta
0.96
Avg Volume
327,609
CEO
Karla R. Lewis
Business Description

Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co. operates as a diversified metal solutions provider and the metals service center company in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company distributes a line of approximately 100,000 metal products, including alloy, aluminum, brass, copper, carbon steel, stainless steel, titanium, and specialty steel products; and provides metals processing services to general manufacturing, non-residential construction, transportation, aerospace, energy, electronics and semiconductor fabrication, and heavy industries. It also distributes non-ferrous metals products and tubular building products; and manufactures specialty extruded metals, fabricated parts, and welded components. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated a network of approximately 315 locations in 40 states in the United States and 13 in other countries. It sells its products directly to original equipment manufacturers, which primarily include small machine shops and fabricators. The company was founded in 1939 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.

Business History
Generated: Jun 7, 2026 5:21pm
Price Overview
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:18pm (19d ago)
$394.41
-2.05 (-0.52%)
Day Range
$389.64 – $398.79
52-Week Range
$260.31 – $398.79
50-Day MA
$346.09
200-Day MA
$309.20
Volume
275,865.00
Analyst Price Targets
Low $350.00
Consensus $373.50
High $390.00
(12 analysts)
Share Structure
Outstanding 51,048,522.00
Float 50,811,788.00
Free Float 99.5%
High free float — 99.5% of shares trade freely, ~0.5% held by insiders/institutions
Very liquid — most shares trade freely. Low insider ownership can mean less management alignment, but makes large position sizing straightforward.
Price History (1 Year)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:25pm (19d ago)
Revenue & Net Income Trend
The directional story — useful even when net income is negative.
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:25pm (19d ago)
Revenue
The top line — total sales before any costs or taxes are subtracted. A measure of how much business the company is doing.
Net Income
The bottom line — profit left after subtracting all expenses, interest, and taxes from revenue. Reflects accounting profitability, but includes non-cash items like depreciation, so it isn't the same as cash earned.
Operating Cash Flow
The real cash generated by the day-to-day business — selling products, paying suppliers, collecting from customers. Calculated from net income by adding back non-cash items and adjusting for timing (unpaid bills, unsold inventory). When OCF consistently lags net income, the reported profit may not be converting to real money.
Period Revenue Net Income Net Margin YoY/QoQ
Key Metrics
API Direct from provider CALC Derived from statements
Industry comparison last run: Jun 7, 2026 5:20pm
P/E Ratio (Price per dollar of earnings)
API
Stock Price / EPS (Diluted)
25.27
Stock Price: $394.41
EPS (Diluted): 14.07
P/B Ratio (Price vs net asset value)
API
Stock Price / Book Value Per Share
2.12
Stock Price: $394.41
Total Equity: $7.17B
Shares: 52,875,000
EV/EBITDA (Total value vs operating profit)
API
Enterprise Value / EBITDA
15.68
Market Cap: $20.13B
Total Debt: $1.74B
Cash: $216.60M
EBITDA: $1.30B
Enterprise Value (Takeover price (cap + debt - cash))
API
Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash
$17.0B
Market Cap: $20.13B
Total Debt: $1.74B
Cash: $216.60M
Gross Margin (Revenue left after direct costs)
API
Gross Profit / Revenue
26.8%
Gross Profit: $3.83B
Revenue: $14.29B
Operating Margin (Revenue left after all operations)
API
Operating Income / Revenue
7.2%
Operating Income: $1.02B
Revenue: $14.29B
Net Margin (Revenue left as actual profit)
API
Net Income / Revenue
5.2%
Net Income: $739.40M
Revenue: $14.29B
ROE (Profit from shareholder equity)
API
Net Income / Total Equity
11.2%
Net Income: $739.40M
Total Equity: $7.17B
ROIC (Profit from all invested capital)
API
NOPAT / Invested Capital
8.7%
Operating Income: $1.02B
Tax Rate: 23.5%
Equity: $7.17B
Total Debt: $1.74B
Cash: $216.60M
Current Ratio (Can it pay short-term bills)
API
Current Assets / Current Liabilities
4.88
Current Assets: $4.14B
Current Liabilities: $848.10M
Debt/Equity (Leverage — debt vs equity)
CALC
Total Debt / Total Equity
0.24
Short-Term Debt: $68.40M
Long-Term Debt: $1.67B
Total Debt: $1.74B
Total Equity: $7.17B
Rev/Share (Top-line per share)
CALC
Revenue / Shares Outstanding
$270.34
Revenue: $14.29B
Shares: 52,875,000
Book Value/Share (Net assets per share)
CALC
(Total Assets - Total Liabilities) / Shares
$135.60
Total Equity: $7.17B
Shares: 52,875,000
FCF/Share (Real cash generated per share)
CALC
(Operating Cash Flow + CapEx) / Shares
$9.50
Operating CF: $831.40M
CapEx: -$328.90M
Shares: 52,875,000
CapEx is negative (outflow) — added to OCF to get FCF
Div Yield (Annual income from holding)
API
Last Annual Dividend / Stock Price
1.7%
Last Dividend: N/A
Stock Price: $394.41
Payout Ratio (Earnings paid out as dividends)
Dividends Paid / Net Income
Dividends Paid: N/A
Net Income: $739.40M
Dividends paid not available in cash flow statement
Industry Benchmarks
Last run: Jun 7, 2026 5:20pm
Compares RS against LLM-researched typical ranges for its industry. One research call per industry, cached indefinitely — every stock in the same industry reuses the same baseline.
Deep Analysis
Last run: Jun 7, 2026 5:24:36 pm

Pre-flight intelligence scans the company first, then routes to the right analytical methods.

0 Company Classification — What type of company is this?
1 Industry Landscape — Where is the industry headed?
2 Company Momentum — Where is this company trending?
3 Forward Projection — 1Y & 2Y projected metrics (requires Layer 1 + 2)
4a DCF Valuation — Present value of future cash flows
4b Earnings Power Value — Floor value — worth with zero growth
4c Anchored PE — Industry PE adjusted for growth differential
4d Reverse DCF — What growth is the market pricing in?
4e Revenue-Based DCF — For growth/narrative companies (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4f Anchored P/S — Price-to-Sales peer comparison (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4g Scenario Analysis — Bull / Base / Bear (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4h Dividend Discount Model — For dividend/income stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4i Book Value Analysis — For deep value / turnaround stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4j Insider Activity — Are insiders buying or selling?
4f Cash Flow Quality — How trustworthy is the FCF?
4g Debt Maturity Risk — Can it handle its debt?
4h Macro Environment — Rates, market valuation, volatility
4i Sector Intelligence — How does this company compare within its sector?
4j Revenue Confidence — How reliable is the growth projection?
4k Sensitivity Analysis — How fragile is the fair value estimate?
4l Sector Demand Cycle — Is the sector in a boom, steady state, or contraction?
5 AI Investigation — Adaptive research engine (Claude)
5b Thesis Evaluation — What does the market believe? (narrative/platform stocks only)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
6 Valuation Synthesis — Weighted verdict from all methods (requires Layer 4)
Income Statement (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:25pm (19d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue $14.1B $17.0B $14.8B $13.8B $14.3B
Cost of Revenue $9.8B $12.0B $10.5B $10.0B $10.5B
Gross Profit $4.3B $5.0B $4.3B $3.8B $3.8B
Operating Expenses $2.3B $2.5B $2.6B $2.7B $2.8B
Operating Income $2.0B $2.5B $1.7B $1.2B $1.0B
Net Income $1.4B $1.8B $1.3B $875.2M $739.4M
EBITDA $2.3B $2.7B $2.0B $1.4B $1.3B
EPS $22.35 $30.39 $22.90 $15.70 $14.07
EPS (Diluted)
Balance Sheet (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:21pm (19d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Cash & Equivalents $300.5M $1.2B $1.1B $318.1M $216.6M
Total Current Assets $4.2B $4.9B $4.8B $3.9B $4.1B
Total Assets $9.5B $10.3B $10.5B $10.0B $10.4B
Current Liabilities $1.1B $1.4B $843.6M $1.2B $848.1M
Long-Term Debt $1.6B $1.1B $1.1B $742.8M $1.7B
Total Liabilities $3.4B $3.2B $2.7B $2.8B $3.2B
Total Equity $6.1B $7.1B $7.7B $7.2B $7.2B
Retained Earnings $6.2B $7.2B $7.8B $7.3B $7.3B
Cash Flow (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:25pm (19d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Operating Cash Flow $799.4M $2.1B $1.7B $1.4B $831.4M
Capital Expenditure -$236.6M -$341.8M -$468.8M -$430.6M -$328.9M
Free Cash Flow $562.8M $1.8B $1.2B $999.2M $502.5M
Acquisitions (net) -$439.3M $10.9M -$24.0M -$364.6M -$2.8M
Debt Repayment
Dividends Paid
Stock Buybacks -$323.5M -$630.3M -$479.5M -$1.1B -$594.1M
Net Change in Cash -$383.0M $872.9M -$93.2M -$762.1M -$101.5M
Analyst Estimates (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:18pm (19d ago)
Metric 2027 2028 2029 2030
Revenue $16.1B
$16.0B – $16.3B
$16.3B
$16.1B – $16.4B
$15.3B
$14.9B – $15.6B
$15.2B
$14.8B – $15.5B
EBITDA $2.1B
$2.1B – $2.1B
$2.1B
$2.1B – $2.1B
$2.0B
$2.0B – $2.0B
$2.0B
$1.9B – $2.0B
Net Income $1.0B
$1.0B – $1.2B
$1.1B
$1.0B – $1.1B
$934.3M
$907.6M – $963.1M
$919.4M
$893.1M – $947.6M
EPS
Growth Trends (YoY %)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:25pm (19d ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue Growth +20.8% -13.0% -6.6% +3.3%
Gross Profit Growth +17.6% -14.2% -10.8% -0.2%
Operating Income Growth +28.4% -30.7% -32.4% -13.0%
Net Income Growth +30.2% -27.4% -34.5% -15.5%
EBITDA Growth +20.8% -25.9% -28.5% -10.1%
Insider Trading (Recent)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:24pm (19d ago)
Type codes PPurchase SSale AAward / grant MOption exercise FIn-kind (tax) CConversion GGift DReturn to issuer
All SEC Form 4 codes
Open market
P Purchase
Open-market or private purchase of shares.
S Sale
Open-market or private sale of shares.
Compensation (Rule 16b-3)
A Award / grant
Grant or award of securities (RSUs, options, etc.) under Rule 16b-3.
D Return to issuer
Securities disposed back to the company under Rule 16b-3.
F In-kind (tax)
Shares withheld or delivered to pay the option-exercise price or tax — not an open-market sale.
I Discretionary
Discretionary transaction under an employee plan — Rule 16b-3(f).
M Option exercise
Exercise or conversion of a derivative (option/RSU) into shares — exempt.
Derivatives
C Conversion
Conversion of a derivative security into the underlying shares.
E Short expiration
Expiration of a short derivative position.
H Long expiration
Expiration or cancellation of a long derivative position with value received.
O OTM exercise
Exercise of an out-of-the-money derivative.
X ITM exercise
Exercise of an in-the-money or at-the-money derivative.
Other exempt
G Gift
Bona fide gift of securities.
L Small acquisition
Small acquisition under Rule 16a-6.
W Inheritance
Acquisition or disposition by will or the laws of descent.
Z Voting trust
Deposit into or withdrawal from a voting trust.
Other
J Other
Other acquisition or disposition (explained in a Form 4 footnote).
K Equity swap
Transaction in an equity swap or similar instrument.
U Tender / buyout
Disposition via tender of shares in a change-of-control transaction.

Compensation-plan codes (A, D, F, M) are routine and rarely directional. Open-market P (buy) and S (sale) carry the most signal.

Date Insider Type Shares Price Value
2026-05-20 Sznewajs John G A-Award 469.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-20 Stotlar Douglas A-Award 469.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-20 Seeger David W A-Award 469.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-20 McEvoy Robert Ambrose A-Award 469.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-20 Kamsickas James Kevin A-Award 469.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-20 DELLAQUILA FRANK J A-Award 469.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-20 Colonias Karen Winifred A-Award 469.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-20 Baldwin Lisa A-Award 469.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-27 Ajemyan Arthur S-Sale 1,822.00 $357.61 $651,565
2026-04-27 Ajemyan Arthur S-Sale 1,604.00 $358.64 $575,259
2026-04-27 Ajemyan Arthur S-Sale 74.00 $359.18 $26,579
2026-03-09 Smith William A II S-Sale 1,707.00 $302.59 $516,521
2026-03-09 Smith William A II S-Sale 4,908.00 $297.23 $1.5M
2026-03-05 Koch Stephen Paul A-Award 2,522.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-05 Lewis Karla R A-Award 4,539.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-05 Ajemyan Arthur A-Award 1,261.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-05 Smith William A II A-Award 1,324.00 $0.00 $0
2026-02-23 Ajemyan Arthur A-Award 8,864.00 $0.00 $0
2026-02-23 Ajemyan Arthur F-InKind 4,511.00 $0.00 $0
2026-02-23 Smith William A II A-Award 8,864.00 $0.00 $0
Dividend History (Last 20)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:18pm (19d ago)
Date Dividend Declaration Record Payment
2026-05-22 $1.25 2026-04-17 2026-05-22 2026-06-05
2026-03-06 $1.25 2026-02-13 2026-03-06 2026-03-20
2025-11-21 $1.20 2025-10-10 2025-11-21 2025-12-05
2025-08-15 $1.20 2025-07-22 2025-08-15 2025-08-29
2025-05-23 $1.20 2025-04-21 2025-05-23 2025-06-06
2025-03-07 $1.20 2025-02-18 2025-03-07 2025-03-21
2024-11-22 $1.10 2024-10-22 2024-11-22 2024-12-06
2024-08-16 $1.10 2024-07-23 2024-08-16 2024-08-30
2024-05-23 $1.10 2024-04-23 2024-05-24 2024-06-07
2024-03-07 $1.10 2024-02-13 2024-03-08 2024-03-22
2023-11-16 $1.00 2023-10-24 2023-11-17 2023-12-01
2023-08-17 $1.00 2023-07-25 2023-08-18 2023-09-01
2023-05-25 $1.00 2023-04-25 2023-05-26 2023-06-09
2023-03-09 $1.00 2023-02-14 2023-03-10 2023-03-24
2022-11-17 $0.88 2022-10-25 2022-11-18 2022-12-02
2022-08-18 $0.88 2022-07-26 2022-08-19 2022-09-02
2022-05-26 $0.88 2022-04-26 2022-05-27 2022-06-10
2022-03-10 $0.88 2022-02-17 2022-03-11 2022-03-25
2021-11-18 $0.69 2021-10-26 2021-11-19 2021-12-03
2021-08-12 $0.69 2021-07-22 2021-08-13 2021-08-27
Narrative Economics
The story the market is telling about this stock — the intangible X-factor (founder mythology, cult dynamics, TAM-of-imagination) that moves price beyond what cash flows alone explain. After Shiller, Narrative Economics.
No narrative profile yet for RS — it's generated by the pipeline (market-narrative step).
Delvantic AI Findings
Independent analyst synthesis · Delvantic - Cairn AI · generated 2026-06-07 17:25:12
Reviews the pipeline's own verdicts
Verdict Overvalued but high-quality cyclical — fair value $315–$340 on mid-cycle $1B NI at 15–17x; wait for Q2-2026 confirmation of the margin recovery before committing, dissent from the "disconnected from fundamentals" framing as overstated.

Looking at the raw numbers first: the most recent quarter (2026-03-31) shows revenue of $4.03B and NI of $266.3M for a 6.6% margin — that's actually the best print in the last eight quarters and a meaningful sequential jump from Q4-2025's $3.50B/3.3% trough. Annualizing that single quarter gets you ~$16B revenue and ~$1.06B NI, putting trailing earnings power well above the $739M FY2025 GAAP number the synthesis is anchoring on. TTM P/E of 25x and the "28x" the synthesis quotes both look backward at a cyclical trough; on the Q1-2026 run-rate the multiple compresses toward 19x, and on 2022 peak earnings of $1.84B it's 11x. That's a very different picture than "priced like a software compounder."

That said, I won't pretend one good quarter rewrites the cycle. The 5-year arc is unflattering: revenue CAGR -1.7%, earnings CAGR -25.6%, FCF CAGR -35.4%, gross margin compressed from ~30% to 26.8%, and FY2025 operating income of $1.02B is roughly 40% below the 2022 peak of $2.51B. The pre-flight engine is right that this is a spread business and 2022 was steel-price-juiced — mid-cycle NI is probably $900M–$1.1B, not $1.8B. Fair value on mid-cycle of $1B and a defensible 15–17x cyclical multiple lands at $15–17B market cap, or roughly $295–$335/share versus $394 today. So I land closer to the synthesis verdict directionally — overvalued — but the magnitude is 15–25% downside, not the "disconnected from fundamentals" language the synthesis uses, which implies far worse. The reverse-DCF claim of "implied 18.4% FCF growth" feels overstated when you normalize off Q1-2026's snapback rather than FY2025's trough.

The contrarian case the models underweight: Q1-2026 margins genuinely re-expanded, current ratio is 4.88x (fortress balance sheet, $216M cash, modest leverage implied by 4.88x current), FCF quality flags as good, and the narrative engine correctly notes this is a 60-year operator with disciplined M&A. If Trump-era tariffs sustain domestic steel pricing and industrial capex (reshoring, grid, data center build) accelerates into 2026–2027, you could see Reliance print $1.2B+ NI and the "expensive" multiple compresses fast. The insider data is also weaker as a bear signal than "Market Forces" implies — eight A-Awards of 469 shares look like routine RSU grants, and two S-Sales of ~1,800 and ~1,600 shares are immaterial for a company with insiders likely holding tens of thousands of shares. Calling that "low confidence in recovery" is overreading thin tape. I'd flag the Market Forces module as the weakest of the prior outputs here.

Net: I agree with the synthesis that RS is overvalued at $394, but I dissent on the framing. This isn't a stock priced like a SaaS compounder — it's a quality cyclical distributor priced as if mid-cycle earnings power is already back, when Q1-2026 is one data point and FY2025 was a trough. The right trade isn't "short the disconnect"; it's "wait for the cycle to either confirm via Q2/Q3 or roll back over." A 10–20% pullback to the $315–$340 range (≈15x mid-cycle NI of ~$1B on 51M shares) is a reasonable entry for a quality compounder you want to own through cycles. Above $390, you're paying peak multiple on trough earnings with a single good quarter as your only evidence of inflection. The 1.7% dividend yield doesn't pay you to wait. Sectors with this kind of operating leverage reward patience over conviction at the wrong price.

GPT Critique
Second-opinion review · gpt-4o · generated 2026-06-07 17:25:17
Reviews the Opus findings above
Verdict I agree with Opus on the overvaluation of Reliance Steel at $394, but I'd peg fair value closer to $300-$320, as I see the recent margin recovery as tentative rather than indicative of a sustained uptrend.

My independent analysis of Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co. highlights several key elements that distinguish the company's current financial position. The most recent quarterly revenue of $4.03B reflects a notable increase from prior quarters, suggesting a potential recovery from a cyclical trough. The net income margin improved to 6.6%, which is the highest in the last eight quarters, indicating better operational efficiency or an improving market environment. However, when viewed in the context of the past few years, the overall trajectory remains concerning. The declining revenue CAGR of -1.7% and a dramatic earnings CAGR of -25.6% underscore the challenges the company faces in maintaining growth amidst a volatile market. The current P/E ratio of 25.27 is high for a company with a cyclical and commodity-dependent business model, which raises questions about the sustainability of its valuation.

Opus argues that the market is overvaluing Reliance Steel, suggesting a fair value range of $315–$340 based on mid-cycle earnings power. I agree with Opus that the stock is overvalued, as the current price of $394.41 is difficult to justify when considering the company's historical earnings and the cyclical nature of the steel industry. The assertion that the P/E multiple compresses to 19x on the Q1-2026 run-rate is a more realistic assessment than viewing it through the lens of a software-like compounder as the synthesis suggests. I also concur with Opus's view that the Market Forces module overstates insider activity as a bearish signal, given the routine nature of the recent awards and sales.

Where I diverge from Opus is in the degree of optimism regarding the recent quarter's performance as a sign of recovery. While Q1-2026 shows promising signs, one quarter does not establish a trend, especially in a sector as cyclical as steel. The broader five-year decline in margins and operating income suggests that structural challenges remain, and the high gross margin contraction from 30.2% to 26.8% cannot be ignored. Opus's suggestion that the market could see Reliance print $1.2B+ NI if certain macroeconomic conditions align feels overly speculative given the current trajectory and competitive pressures in the industry.

A careful skeptic might question both my and Opus's reliance on the potential for mid-cycle recovery given the persistent headwinds in the steel sector, including global supply chain disruptions and fluctuating raw material costs. They might argue that without significant structural changes or a shift in the competitive landscape, Reliance Steel's margins and growth will continue to face downward pressure.

Community AI Feedback
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My Notes personal — only you see this
Data via Financial Modeling Prep · Cached for performance · fmp
v1.1.352 · d1100787 · 2026-06-26 11:39:30