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AGING Analysis Report
Jun 13, 2026
14 days ago · 100% complete · +8 refreshed

Qorvo, Inc.

QRVO NASDAQ Categories PDF
Technology · Semiconductors
Greensboro, NC 27409-9421, United States IPO 2015 qorvo.com Updated Jun 13, 3:00am
Price
$98.59
Market Cap
$8.7B
Employees
6,200
Beta
1.43
Avg Volume
1,398,187
CEO
Robert A. Bruggeworth
Business Description

Qorvo, Inc. is a global technology company focused on developing and bringing to market a diverse range of products and innovations for the wireless, wired, and power sectors. Its operations are organized into two primary divisions: Mobile Products, and Infrastructure and Defense Products. Within its Mobile Products segment, Qorvo supplies critical components for a wide array of consumer electronics, including smartphones, wearables, laptops, and tablets. These offerings encompass radio frequency (RF) power management integrated circuits (PMICs), ultra-wideband (UWB) system-on-a-chip (SoC) and system-in-package (SiP) solutions, MEMS sensors, antenna tuners and antennaplexers, along with various discrete components like multiplexers, duplexers, filters, and switches. The Infrastructure and Defense Products segment addresses a broad spectrum of industries: For cellular base stations, Qorvo provides components such as switch-low noise amplifier (LNA) modules, variable gain amplifiers (VGAs), integrated power amplifier (PA) Doherty modules, discrete LNAs, and high-power GaN amplifiers. It also manufactures Silicon Carbide (SiC) products, including Schottky diodes and transistors, vital for applications in the automotive, industrial, IT infrastructure, and renewable energy sectors. The company delivers smart home solutions through SoC hardware, firmware, and application software. Power management offerings include programmable PMICs and power application controllers. For defense and aerospace clients, particularly defense primes, Qorvo supplies RF products and specialized compound semiconductor foundry services. In automotive connectivity, it offers RF and UWB SoC solutions. Lastly, Wi-Fi products feature PAs, switches, LNAs, bulk acoustic wave (BAW) filters, and integrated front-end modules (FEMs). Qorvo distributes its products through a dual approach: direct sales to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and original design manufacturers (ODMs), and indirectly via a network of sales representatives and authorized distributors. Established in 1957, the company maintains its headquarters in Greensboro, North Carolina.

Business History
Generated: Jun 13, 2026 3:02am
Price Overview
Last updated: Jun 13, 2026 3:00am (14d ago)
$98.59
+0.93 (+0.95%)
Day Range
$95.96 – $99.08
52-Week Range
$74.92 – $109.49
50-Day MA
$91.51
200-Day MA
$87.10
Volume
710,185.00
Analyst Price Targets
Low $66.00
Consensus $88.86
High $120.00
(68 analysts)
Share Structure
Outstanding 88,013,700.00
Float 81,501,541.00
Free Float 92.6%
High free float — 92.6% of shares trade freely, ~7.4% held by insiders/institutions
Very liquid — most shares trade freely. Low insider ownership can mean less management alignment, but makes large position sizing straightforward.
Price History (1 Year)
Last updated: Jun 13, 2026 3:06am (14d ago)
Revenue & Net Income Trend
The directional story — useful even when net income is negative.
Last updated: Jun 13, 2026 3:06am (14d ago)
Revenue
The top line — total sales before any costs or taxes are subtracted. A measure of how much business the company is doing.
Net Income
The bottom line — profit left after subtracting all expenses, interest, and taxes from revenue. Reflects accounting profitability, but includes non-cash items like depreciation, so it isn't the same as cash earned.
Operating Cash Flow
The real cash generated by the day-to-day business — selling products, paying suppliers, collecting from customers. Calculated from net income by adding back non-cash items and adjusting for timing (unpaid bills, unsold inventory). When OCF consistently lags net income, the reported profit may not be converting to real money.
Period Revenue Net Income Net Margin YoY/QoQ
Key Metrics
API Direct from provider CALC Derived from statements
Industry comparison last run: Jun 13, 2026 3:01am
P/E Ratio (Price per dollar of earnings)
API
Stock Price / EPS (Diluted)
26.65
Stock Price: $98.59
EPS (Diluted): 3.66
P/B Ratio (Price vs net asset value)
API
Stock Price / Book Value Per Share
2.14
Stock Price: $98.59
Total Equity: $3.34B
Shares: 93,547,000
EV/EBITDA (Total value vs operating profit)
API
Enterprise Value / EBITDA
13.50
Market Cap: $8.68B
Total Debt: $1.55B
Cash: $1.22B
EBITDA: $471.41M
Enterprise Value (Takeover price (cap + debt - cash))
API
Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash
$7.5B
Market Cap: $8.68B
Total Debt: $1.55B
Cash: $1.22B
Gross Margin (Revenue left after direct costs)
API
Gross Profit / Revenue
45.9%
Gross Profit: $1.69B
Revenue: $3.68B
Operating Margin (Revenue left after all operations)
API
Operating Income / Revenue
11.2%
Operating Income: $411.42M
Revenue: $3.68B
Net Margin (Revenue left as actual profit)
API
Net Income / Revenue
9.2%
Net Income: $338.99M
Revenue: $3.68B
ROE (Profit from shareholder equity)
API
Net Income / Total Equity
9.7%
Net Income: $338.99M
Total Equity: $3.34B
ROIC (Profit from all invested capital)
API
NOPAT / Invested Capital
6.8%
Operating Income: $411.42M
Tax Rate: 14.9%
Equity: $3.34B
Total Debt: $1.55B
Cash: $1.22B
Current Ratio (Can it pay short-term bills)
API
Current Assets / Current Liabilities
3.24
Current Assets: $2.31B
Current Liabilities: $712.76M
Debt/Equity (Leverage — debt vs equity)
CALC
Total Debt / Total Equity
0.46
Short-Term Debt: $0.00
Long-Term Debt: $1.55B
Total Debt: $1.55B
Total Equity: $3.34B
Rev/Share (Top-line per share)
CALC
Revenue / Shares Outstanding
$39.32
Revenue: $3.68B
Shares: 93,547,000
Book Value/Share (Net assets per share)
CALC
(Total Assets - Total Liabilities) / Shares
$35.75
Total Equity: $3.34B
Shares: 93,547,000
FCF/Share (Real cash generated per share)
CALC
(Operating Cash Flow + CapEx) / Shares
$7.26
Operating CF: $808.63M
CapEx: -$129.07M
Shares: 93,547,000
CapEx is negative (outflow) — added to OCF to get FCF
Div Yield (Annual income from holding)
API
Last Annual Dividend / Stock Price
0.0%
Last Dividend: N/A
Stock Price: $98.59
Payout Ratio (Earnings paid out as dividends)
Dividends Paid / Net Income
Dividends Paid: N/A
Net Income: $338.99M
Dividends paid not available in cash flow statement
Industry Benchmarks
Last run: Jun 13, 2026 3:01am
Compares QRVO against LLM-researched typical ranges for its industry. One research call per industry, cached indefinitely — every stock in the same industry reuses the same baseline.
Advanced Analysis Forensic deep-dive · three lenses
Three separate reads — Company Quality (is it a great business?), Valuation (is it mispriced?), and General Sentiment (how macro + narrative are pushing it), kept deliberately apart · 2026-06-13 03:08:35
Delvantic - Cairn AI
Pass at this price — bid $82, get aggressive sub-$75 7/10
Compromised-but-real RF cash machine trading at fair value — a great price away from being interesting, not a buy here.
The cruxWhether through-cycle operating margin is mid-teens (today's price is fair) or can re-approach the low-20s (today's price is a gift) — and at $98.59 you're paying for the former with no cushion.
Forensic checks Derived mechanically from QRVO's filed financials — not from the AI lenses
Liquidity & RunwaySelf-Funding
DilutionShare Count Shrinking
Earnings QualityHigh Earnings Quality
The three lensesswitch a tab for its full read — score + evidence
Company Quality
-16
Mixed
edge √Σ 116 · risk √Σ 133 · conf 6/10

Qorvo is a mature semiconductor business that still throws off real cash — $679.6M FCF in FY26 on $3.68B revenue (~18% FCF margin) with OCF/NI of 2.18x and accruals at -8.5% of assets, consistent with high earnings quality (Beneish -2.91, Altman Z 3.3). Capital allocation on dilution is genuinely good: diluted shares fell from 111.5M (2022) to 93.5M (2026), a -4.3% CAGR, with buybacks running 567% of SBC. That's a real per-share value protector.

But the operating trajectory tells a harder story. Revenue collapsed from $4.65B (2022) to $3.57B (2023) and has stagnated in the $3.68–3.77B band for three years. Gross margin fell from 49.2% to a trough of 36.3% and has only partially recovered to 45.9%. Operating margin went from 26.4% → 5.1% → 2.4% → 2.6% → 11.2% — FY26 is a rebound, not a return to former earnings power. Net income of $339M in FY26 is still roughly a third of FY22's $1.03B. Net debt of ~$330M is manageable against $1.22B cash and $679M FCF, but it's a constraint not a cushion.

The insider tape is the loudest signal: zero open-market buys, $205.7M in sales over 12 months, dominated by activist Starboard's Peter Feld dumping $192.2M in a single day (June 2, 2026), plus the CEO Bruggeworth selling ~$5.7M and other officers trimming. Heavy, concentrated distribution, not routine compensation churn.

Strengths 3
m75
Genuine share-count shrinkage
Diluted shares down from 111.5M to 93.5M over four years (-4.3% CAGR); buybacks are 567% of SBC — per-share value is being concentrated, not diluted.
m70
Clean earnings, strong cash conversion
OCF/NI 2.18x, accruals -8.5% of assets, Beneish M -2.91, Altman Z 3.3. FY26 FCF $679.6M is ~2x reported net income — reported numbers look real and conservative.
m55
FCF resilience through the downturn
Despite revenue dropping ~21% from peak and operating margin collapsing to 2.4%, FCF stayed in a $484–706M range every year — the business throws off cash even in bad cycles.
Concerns 5
m75
Earnings power impaired, not restored
Operating margin fell from 26.4% (FY22) to 2.4% (FY24) and recovered only to 11.2% (FY26); net income $339M vs. $1.03B at the peak. The FY22 baseline may have been a COVID-RF-content bubble that won't return.
m70
Revenue stagnation post-reset
Revenue stuck $3.57–3.77B for four straight years after the drop from $4.65B. No top-line growth — suggests end-market (mobile RF / Apple-Android handset content) maturity or share pressure.
m65
Activist-led insider distribution
$205.7M sold, $0 bought in 12 months; Starboard's Feld unloaded $192.2M on a single day (6/2/2026), plus CEO Bruggeworth ~$5.7M and multiple officers trimming. Pattern is concentrated distribution, not normal vesting.
m35
Net debt position
Net debt of -$330M with $1.22B cash; manageable against $679M FCF but the balance sheet is a constraint, not a fortress.
m40
Customer/end-market concentration risk (inferred)
Mobile RF franchise historically tied to flagship smartphone cycles — the revenue cliff and margin collapse pattern is consistent with concentrated handset exposure; needs 10-K confirmation.
This is a competent but compromised business. The capital-return discipline and earnings integrity are genuinely above average for a semi — they shrink the share count, the cash is real, and the accounting passes every mechanical test. But you can't ignore that revenue is stuck ~20% below peak, peak operating margins of 26% appear to have been a cycle high they may never see again, and the FY26 11% operating margin is the 'recovery.' The activist taking $192M off the table in one day on top of management selling is not a vote of confidence in further upside. I'd call this a solid cash machine in a maturing/concentrated end-market — a B-tier business, not an A. Mixed feels right.
Verify before trusting this (6)
  • Customer concentration disclosure (Apple/Samsung % of revenue) in latest 10-K
  • Segment-level margins — is the margin recovery from mix shift (Defense/HPA) or core mobile?
  • Whether Feld's June 2026 sale represents Starboard's full exit or partial trim
  • Inventory and channel inventory commentary — does the GM recovery to 45.9% reflect normalized utilization or a temporary mix?
  • Debt maturity schedule and refinancing needs against the $330M net debt position
  • R&D as % of revenue trajectory — is the company under-investing to protect margins?
Valuation / Mispricing
-17
Fairly Valued
edge √Σ 47 · risk √Σ 64 · conf 6/10
Price $98.59 vs deserved ~$95–105 on reset-margin math — call it within 5%, essentially fair. attractive below $82.00

The e2e synthesis tags QRVO as a 'Reasonable Premium,' which I read as fair-to-slightly-full at $98.59. The business throws off real cash and management is shrinking the float, but revenue sits ~20% below the prior peak and the FY26 margin reset suggests the 26% peak operating margin was a cycle high, not a baseline. That means the deserved multiple should be built off mid-teens, not mid-20s, operating margins — and on that math today's ~$8.7B market cap is in the zip code of fair, not a bargain.

What's priced in: a stabilization of the smartphone RF franchise, continued buyback-driven EPS support, and modest D&A/defense growth — basically the steady-compounder bull case minus the heroic parts. There is no obvious margin of safety here: you're not paying for perfection, but you're also not being handed a discount for the very real Apple concentration, Chinese RF encroachment, and the activist-driven management churn. Earnings quality is high (no haircut needed), which supports the deserved value but doesn't create cheapness on its own. I'd want a visible double-digit discount to today's price before calling it mispriced to the upside.

Cheap signals 2
m40
Aggressive buyback shrinking the float on real FCF
High earnings quality plus disciplined repurchases mean per-share value compounds even on flat revenue — supports deserved value near current price.
m25
e2e tags only a 'Reasonable Premium,' not extreme
Synthesis does not flag the stock as expensive — consistent with fair value sitting around the current $98.59 rather than well below it.
Rich / priced-in 3
m45
Margin reset not fully discounted
FY26 guide implies ~11% operating margin vs 26% peak; if the through-cycle is mid-teens not mid-20s, the deserved multiple compresses and today's price leaves no cushion.
m35
Revenue ~20% below peak with no clear re-acceleration
Top line stuck well below prior highs while the stock trades like the trough is behind it — that's a 'priced for normalization' setup, not a discount.
m30
Concentration + activist/insider exodus risk uncompensated
Apple exposure and management turnover are real fundamental risks; at ~fair value you're not being paid to underwrite them.
I don't see a mispricing here. At $98.59 you're paying a fair price for a cash-generative but structurally challenged RF business whose peak margins are likely behind it. The buyback is doing real work and earnings are clean, which keeps me from calling it expensive — but Apple concentration, Chinese competition, and a management exodus mean I want to be paid to own this, not pay fair value. I'd get interested closer to $80, where the buyback math and the reset-margin valuation actually offer a margin of safety. Above ~$110 it's a short-leaning 'rich.' In between, it's a pass.
Verify before trusting this (5)
  • FY26 operating margin trajectory vs the 11% guide — is that the trough or the new normal?
  • Apple/largest-customer revenue concentration disclosure in latest 10-K/10-Q
  • D&A and Connectivity/Sensors segment growth rates — the non-mobile offset thesis
  • Buyback pace and remaining authorization vs FCF generation
  • Any commentary on Chinese RF competitive pricing pressure in mobile
General Sentiment
-50
Headwind
tail √Σ 46 · head √Σ 96 · conf 6/10

The macro tape is roughly neutral (VIX 17, S&P just 1.8% off highs), but QRVO carries a 1.43 beta into a market where rates at 4.48% still penalize cyclical semis. The narrative here is a moderate-intensity, low-cult 'steady RF compounder' story that has lost its edge: smartphone saturation, Apple concentration, and Chinese RF competition dominate the bear case, and there is no live AI or defense story powerful enough to re-rate the name the way peers in compute or HBM are being re-rated. In a market obsessed with AI winners, QRVO is in the unloved bucket of analog/RF semis that get sold on any risk-off twitch and ignored on rallies. Analyst tone confirms the drag: 28 Holds vs 12 Buys, only 2 Sells but a consensus target of $88.86 sits about 10% BELOW the $98.93 print, with zero upward revisions this month. That is a classic stale, skeptical sell-side posture - the Street has not chased the move and is implicitly calling the stock ahead of itself. Momentum has been positive over three years but the trailing CAGR is slightly negative, suggesting the recent narrative tailwind is fading rather than building. Net: not a crash setup, but a name where the tape, the macro rate backdrop, and a quietly negative analyst gap all press the same direction, with no cult or catalyst to push back.

Tailwinds 2
m35
Neutral tape, not a stress regime
VIX 17 and S&P near highs mean there is no acute risk-off forcing capitulation - the headwinds are slow-drip, not violent, which limits downside velocity.
m30
Three-year momentum still positive
+11.1pp over 3 years with low revenue-growth volatility gives the name a baseline of investor patience and reduces the odds of a sentiment cascade lower.
Headwinds 4
m55
Targets sit below spot with no revisions
Consensus $88.86 vs $98.93 spot and zero upward revisions this month is a quiet but real sell-side headwind - the Street is not endorsing the price and that caps multiple expansion.
m50
RF narrative is tired in an AI-obsessed market
Steady-compounder archetype with moderate durability and low cult coefficient means QRVO gets no narrative bid while capital flows to AI/compute semis - it is in the wrong cohort for this tape.
m45
High beta into a still-tight rate backdrop
Beta 1.43 and 10y at 4.48% mean any risk-off flicker hits QRVO harder than the index, and the macro-headwinds flag amplifies that for a cyclical semi name.
m40
Apple/China overhang dominates the bear story
Smartphone saturation, Apple concentration, and Chinese RF competition are the live talking points - these are sentiment overhangs that cap how aggressively bulls can press the name.
My read: this is a Headwind, not a Strong Headwind. The tape itself is benign, but QRVO is the wrong archetype for the current market - a moderate-intensity RF compounder story with no cult, sitting in a cohort that capital is actively rotating away from, with a sell-side that has quietly marked targets 10% below spot and refuses to chase. Nothing is screaming sell, but every non-fundamental vector points mildly down and there is no live narrative catalyst to lean against it. I would treat it as a name where sentiment is working against you, slowly.
Verify before trusting this (4)
  • Whether any sell-side analyst lifts target above spot (would crack the stale-Street headwind)
  • Apple iPhone unit/ASP data points and any China RF share-loss headlines
  • Whether a defense/5G infra contract gives the narrative a fresh hook
  • Rotation signal: if AI semis cool and capital rotates into analog/RF laggards
The market-wide tape + this name's exposure to it (beta / sector / narrative durability). Context on the non-fundamental pressure — not a call on the business or the price. processId: detail-general-sentiment
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Three lenses kept deliberately separate — Company Quality (price-agnostic), Valuation (price-conditional), and General Sentiment (non-fundamental macro/narrative pressure). The scores are not blended. Filing-level items (convertibles, lock-ups, customer concentration) are v2 — see each lens's "verify."
Deep Analysis
Last run: Jun 13, 2026 3:05:22 am

Pre-flight intelligence scans the company first, then routes to the right analytical methods.

0 Company Classification — What type of company is this?
1 Industry Landscape — Where is the industry headed?
2 Company Momentum — Where is this company trending?
3 Forward Projection — 1Y & 2Y projected metrics (requires Layer 1 + 2)
4a DCF Valuation — Present value of future cash flows
4b Earnings Power Value — Floor value — worth with zero growth
4c Anchored PE — Industry PE adjusted for growth differential
4d Reverse DCF — What growth is the market pricing in?
4e Revenue-Based DCF — For growth/narrative companies (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4f Anchored P/S — Price-to-Sales peer comparison (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4g Scenario Analysis — Bull / Base / Bear (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4h Dividend Discount Model — For dividend/income stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4i Book Value Analysis — For deep value / turnaround stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4j Insider Activity — Are insiders buying or selling?
4f Cash Flow Quality — How trustworthy is the FCF?
4g Debt Maturity Risk — Can it handle its debt?
4h Macro Environment — Rates, market valuation, volatility
4i Sector Intelligence — How does this company compare within its sector?
4j Revenue Confidence — How reliable is the growth projection?
4k Sensitivity Analysis — How fragile is the fair value estimate?
4l Sector Demand Cycle — Is the sector in a boom, steady state, or contraction?
5 AI Investigation — Adaptive research engine (Claude)
5b Thesis Evaluation — What does the market believe? (narrative/platform stocks only)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
6 Valuation Synthesis — Weighted verdict from all methods (requires Layer 4)
Income Statement (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 13, 2026 3:06am (14d ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Revenue $4.6B $3.6B $3.8B $3.7B $3.7B
Cost of Revenue $2.4B $2.3B $2.3B $2.2B $2.0B
Gross Profit $2.3B $1.3B $1.5B $1.5B $1.7B
Operating Expenses $1.1B $1.1B $1.4B $1.4B $1.3B
Operating Income $1.2B $183.2M $91.7M $95.5M $411.4M
Net Income $1.0B $103.2M -$70.3M $55.6M $339.0M
EBITDA $1.6B $531.9M $463.7M $441.1M $471.4M
EPS $9.38 $1.01 $-0.72 $0.59 $3.66
EPS (Diluted)
Balance Sheet (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 13, 2026 3:00am (14d ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Cash & Equivalents $972.6M $808.8M $1.0B $1.0B $1.2B
Total Current Assets $2.4B $2.0B $2.4B $2.2B $2.3B
Total Assets $7.5B $6.7B $6.6B $5.9B $5.8B
Current Liabilities $675.1M $555.8M $1.2B $783.2M $712.8M
Long-Term Debt $2.0B $2.0B $1.5B $1.5B $1.5B
Total Liabilities $3.0B $2.8B $3.0B $2.5B $2.5B
Total Equity $4.6B $3.9B $3.6B $3.4B $3.3B
Retained Earnings $512.1M $84.5M -$89.6M -$34.0M $38.8M
Cash Flow (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 13, 2026 3:06am (14d ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Operating Cash Flow $1.0B $843.2M $833.2M $622.2M $808.6M
Capital Expenditure -$213.5M -$159.0M -$127.2M -$137.6M -$129.1M
Free Cash Flow $835.8M $684.3M $706.0M $484.6M $679.6M
Acquisitions (net) -$389.1M $-95,000 -$63.0M $0 $0
Debt Repayment
Dividends Paid
Stock Buybacks -$1.2B -$861.8M -$400.1M -$356.3M -$532.6M
Net Change in Cash -$425.5M -$163.9M $240.3M -$28.1M $197.8M
Analyst Estimates (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 13, 2026 3:00am (14d ago)
Metric 2026 2027 2028 2029
Revenue $3.7B
$3.5B – $3.7B
$3.4B
$3.4B – $3.6B
$3.6B
$3.4B – $3.8B
$3.9B
$3.9B – $3.9B
EBITDA $622.7M
$592.1M – $627.8M
$584.4M
$569.3M – $616.2M
$617.7M
$571.1M – $638.4M
$663.2M
$658.7M – $667.8M
Net Income $610.2M
$607.4M – $613.0M
$639.2M
$621.4M – $657.1M
$728.9M
$694.0M – $763.8M
$825.0M
$809.9M – $840.1M
EPS
Growth Trends (YoY %)
Last updated: Jun 13, 2026 3:06am (14d ago)
Metric 2023 2024 2025 2026
Revenue Growth -23.2% +5.6% -1.3% -1.1%
Gross Profit Growth -43.3% +14.8% +3.2% +9.9%
Operating Income Growth -85.1% -49.9% +4.2% +330.7%
Net Income Growth -90.0% -168.2% +179.1% +509.5%
EBITDA Growth -66.9% -12.8% -4.9% +6.9%
Insider Trading (Recent)
Last updated: Jun 13, 2026 3:05am (14d ago)
Type codes PPurchase SSale AAward / grant MOption exercise FIn-kind (tax) CConversion GGift DReturn to issuer
All SEC Form 4 codes
Open market
P Purchase
Open-market or private purchase of shares.
S Sale
Open-market or private sale of shares.
Compensation (Rule 16b-3)
A Award / grant
Grant or award of securities (RSUs, options, etc.) under Rule 16b-3.
D Return to issuer
Securities disposed back to the company under Rule 16b-3.
F In-kind (tax)
Shares withheld or delivered to pay the option-exercise price or tax — not an open-market sale.
I Discretionary
Discretionary transaction under an employee plan — Rule 16b-3(f).
M Option exercise
Exercise or conversion of a derivative (option/RSU) into shares — exempt.
Derivatives
C Conversion
Conversion of a derivative security into the underlying shares.
E Short expiration
Expiration of a short derivative position.
H Long expiration
Expiration or cancellation of a long derivative position with value received.
O OTM exercise
Exercise of an out-of-the-money derivative.
X ITM exercise
Exercise of an in-the-money or at-the-money derivative.
Other exempt
G Gift
Bona fide gift of securities.
L Small acquisition
Small acquisition under Rule 16a-6.
W Inheritance
Acquisition or disposition by will or the laws of descent.
Z Voting trust
Deposit into or withdrawal from a voting trust.
Other
J Other
Other acquisition or disposition (explained in a Form 4 footnote).
K Equity swap
Transaction in an equity swap or similar instrument.
U Tender / buyout
Disposition via tender of shares in a change-of-control transaction.

Compensation-plan codes (A, D, F, M) are routine and rarely directional. Open-market P (buy) and S (sale) carry the most signal.

Date Insider Type Shares Price Value
2026-06-04 Chesley Philip A-Award 9,618.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-02 Feld Peter A S-Sale 1,328,094.00 $100.25 $133.1M
2026-06-02 Feld Peter A S-Sale 571,906.00 $103.41 $59.1M
2026-06-01 BRUGGEWORTH ROBERT A S-Sale 28,500.00 $99.73 $2.8M
2026-06-01 BRUGGEWORTH ROBERT A S-Sale 13,221.00 $100.56 $1.3M
2026-06-01 BRUGGEWORTH ROBERT A S-Sale 12,985.00 $101.22 $1.3M
2026-06-01 BRUGGEWORTH ROBERT A S-Sale 3,251.00 $102.40 $332,902
2026-05-22 Harrison Gina S-Sale 4,714.00 $100.00 $471,400
2026-05-22 FEGO PAUL J S-Sale 2,500.00 $100.00 $250,000
2026-05-19 Harrison Gina S-Sale 956.00 $95.00 $90,820
2026-05-15 Chesley Philip S-Sale 13,352.00 $88.78 $1.2M
2026-05-18 Chesley Philip S-Sale 1,288.00 $93.00 $119,784
2026-05-15 Brown Grant S-Sale 14,195.00 $88.78 $1.3M
2026-05-18 Brown Grant S-Sale 1,544.00 $93.00 $143,592
2026-05-12 Stewart Frank P. A-Award 16,047.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-12 Stewart Frank P. F-InKind 2,808.00 $93.41 $262,295
2026-05-12 Harrison Gina A-Award 4,739.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-12 Harrison Gina F-InKind 803.00 $93.41 $75,008
2026-05-12 FEGO PAUL J A-Award 26,406.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-12 FEGO PAUL J F-InKind 4,899.00 $93.41 $457,616
Narrative Economics
The story the market is telling about this stock — the intangible X-factor (founder mythology, cult dynamics, TAM-of-imagination) that moves price beyond what cash flows alone explain. After Shiller, Narrative Economics.
No narrative profile yet for QRVO — it's generated by the pipeline (market-narrative step).
Delvantic AI Findings
Independent analyst synthesis · Delvantic - Cairn AI · generated 2026-06-13 03:05:58
Reviews the pipeline's own verdicts
Verdict Overvalued — fair value $65–75 on normalized earnings/FCF; insider dumping at $98 plus underinvested capex make this a pass until either price corrects 25% or two consecutive non-seasonal quarters prove margin durability.

The raw numbers tell a more uncomfortable story than the "Reasonable Premium" verdict suggests. Revenue went $4.65B (FY22) → $3.57B → $3.77B → $3.72B → $3.68B — four years of flatlining 20%+ below peak. The headline FY26 net income of $339M looks like a recovery, but it's entirely back-half loaded: Q1 FY26 (Jun '25) was $25.6M, Q4 FY26 (Mar '26) was $29.7M at a 3.7% margin. The two middle quarters (Sep/Dec 2025) generated $283.7M of the $339M — that's classic iPhone-cycle seasonality, not a reset margin structure. Annualizing the bookend quarters gets you closer to ~$110M of run-rate NI, not $339M. So the "26x P/E" is really more like 50–80x on normalized non-seasonal earnings, and the "13.5x EV/EBITDA" is flattered by the same TTM artifact the anomaly tags warn about.

The prior models are split and I side with Market Forces over Synthesis. The Synthesis layer leans on the $680M FCF and 46% gross margin to justify a "Reasonable Premium," but FCF at $680M against a $8.68B market cap is a 7.8% yield — that sounds attractive only if you believe FY26 is the new floor. It isn't: capex was just $129M (3.5% of revenue) versus historical 5–7% for an RF fab-light-but-still-capital-intensive business. That's underinvestment masquerading as cash generation, and it's exactly the pattern you see before a competitive position erodes. Insider activity corroborates: ~1.96M shares dumped on June 2, 2026 — that's not routine 10b5-1 trickle, that's coordinated exit at $98 right after the FY26 print. Pre-Flight's "cyclical-recovery-restructuring" framing is the most honest of the lot.

The contrarian case — and I'll steelman it because every signal here points bearish — is that QRVO is a legitimate Apple/Samsung RF socket holder with defense exposure (~15% of revenue, growing), $1.22B cash cushion, and that the FY26 H2 strength reflects design wins in higher-content 5G modules that persist into FY27. If the iPhone 17/18 cycle delivers content gains and the defense segment compounds at 15%+, you could see $4B revenue and 15% operating margins by FY28 — that's ~$450M net income, putting today's price at 19x forward. Not cheap, not crazy. The problem: this requires believing Qorvo wins the RF content war against Skyworks and Broadcom simultaneously, when revenue has gone backward for four years and Chinese RF competition (Maxscend, Vanchip) is gaining share in mid-tier handsets. The Market Narrative layer's "moderate durability" rating is generous.

I dissent from Synthesis. Fair value here is closer to $70–75, not $98. The math: normalize FY26 NI to ~$200M (split between seasonal peak earnings and structural run-rate), apply a 15x multiple appropriate for a cyclical semi with declining revenue CAGR (-1.2%) and ROIC of 6.8% (below cost of capital), and you get a $3B equity value pre-cash, ~$4.2B with the $1.22B net cash — call it $48/share on earnings. The FCF approach is more generous: $500M normalized FCF (haircutting FY26's underinvested $680M) at a 7% yield gets $7.1B equity, ~$80/share. Blend them and $65–75 is defensible. At $98, you're paying for a recovery that insiders are actively selling into, in a sector where peers are outperforming, with capex starvation flattering the cash flow line. The setup screams "wait."

GPT Critique
Second-opinion review · gpt-4o · generated 2026-06-13 03:06:06
Reviews the Opus findings above
Verdict I agree with Opus — overvalued at $98.59, with fair value closer to $70–75, given the seasonal earnings boost and potential underinvestment risks.

Qorvo, Inc. presents a mixed financial picture, with several key elements standing out from the raw data. Over the past few years, revenue has shown a slight decline from $4.65 billion in FY22 to $3.68 billion in FY26, marking a 20% reduction from the peak. This decline suggests a struggle to regain previous highs, despite the recent uptick in net income to $339 million in FY26, which is largely driven by mid-year strong quarters rather than a consistent recovery. The gross margin recovery to 45.89% points to some operational improvements, yet the net income margins remain volatile, fluctuating between 3.1% and 16.5% in the quarterly breakdowns. The cash flow is robust, with a free cash flow of $679.6 million, but the low capex of $129.1 million raises concerns about underinvestment in future growth and competitiveness.

Opus argues that Qorvo is overvalued at its current price of $98.59, suggesting a fair value range of $65–75 based on normalized earnings and free cash flow. I find myself in agreement with Opus on the overvaluation stance, particularly given the insider selling activity, which signals a lack of confidence in maintaining high earnings and suggests potential headwinds. I also concur with the observation that the FY26 income is misleadingly buoyed by seasonal factors rather than a fundamental turnaround, making the current P/E ratio seem artificially low. Opus's emphasis on the capex underinvestment as a red flag for future competitiveness is a point well taken, as it suggests potential erosion of Qorvo's market position in a highly competitive semiconductor landscape.

However, I diverge from Opus’s assessment when it comes to the narrative around Qorvo's position in the RF market. While Opus casts doubt on Qorvo's ability to maintain its RF content advantage against competitors like Skyworks and Broadcom, I see potential in Qorvo's strategic positioning with defense and 5G infrastructure components, which could sustain its revenue base longer than Opus anticipates. The $1.22 billion cash cushion provides some buffer and flexibility to navigate upcoming challenges, although it's not a panacea for structural issues.

A careful skeptic of both Opus’s and my views might argue that the perspective on Qorvo's underinvestment could be overly pessimistic and that the company might be optimizing capex in response to shifting market dynamics, rather than outright neglecting future growth. They might also suggest that the insider selling could be routine profit-taking following a period of stock price recovery, rather than a harbinger of doom.

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My Notes personal — only you see this
Data via Financial Modeling Prep · Cached for performance · fmp
v1.1.352 · d1100787 · 2026-06-26 11:39:30