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AGING Analysis Report
Jun 1, 2026
25 days ago · 96% complete · +4 refreshed

GitLab Inc.

GTLB NASDAQ Categories PDF
Technology · Software - Application
San Francisco, CA 94104, United States IPO 2021 about.gitlab.com Updated Jun 1, 7:49pm
Price
$33.79
Market Cap
$5.7B
Employees
2,375
Beta
0.82
Avg Volume
6,319,838
CEO
William Staples
Business Description

GitLab Inc., through its subsidiaries, develops software for the software development lifecycle in the United States, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers GitLab, a DevOps platform, which is a single application that leads to faster cycle time and allows visibility throughout and control over various stages of the DevOps lifecycle. It helps organizations to plan, build, secure, and deploy software to drive business outcomes. The company also provides related training and professional services. The company was formerly known as GitLab B.V. and changed its name to GitLab Inc. in July 2015. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

Business History
Generated: Jun 1, 2026 7:52pm
Price Overview
Last updated: Jun 1, 2026 7:49pm (25d ago)
$33.79
+2.74 (+8.82%)
Day Range
$31.20 – $34.06
52-Week Range
$18.73 – $52.38
50-Day MA
$23.07
200-Day MA
$35.54
Volume
11,276,132.00
Analyst Price Targets
Low $24.00
Consensus $34.63
High $60.00
(87 analysts)
Share Structure
Outstanding 168,851,842.00
Float 129,038,081.00
Free Float 76.4%
Normal free float — 76.4% of shares trade freely, ~23.6% held by insiders/institutions
Healthy float typical of established companies. Good liquidity for entering and exiting positions without major price impact.
Price History (1 Year)
Last updated: Jun 1, 2026 7:56pm (25d ago)
Revenue & Net Income Trend
The directional story — useful even when net income is negative.
Last updated: Jun 1, 2026 7:56pm (25d ago)
Revenue
The top line — total sales before any costs or taxes are subtracted. A measure of how much business the company is doing.
Net Income
The bottom line — profit left after subtracting all expenses, interest, and taxes from revenue. Reflects accounting profitability, but includes non-cash items like depreciation, so it isn't the same as cash earned.
Operating Cash Flow
The real cash generated by the day-to-day business — selling products, paying suppliers, collecting from customers. Calculated from net income by adding back non-cash items and adjusting for timing (unpaid bills, unsold inventory). When OCF consistently lags net income, the reported profit may not be converting to real money.
Period Revenue Net Income Net Margin YoY/QoQ
Key Metrics
API Direct from provider CALC Derived from statements
Industry comparison last run: Jun 1, 2026 7:51pm
P/E Ratio (Price per dollar of earnings)
CALC
Stock Price / EPS (Diluted)
-96.54
Stock Price: $33.79
EPS (Diluted): -0.35
P/B Ratio (Price vs net asset value)
API
Stock Price / Book Value Per Share
5.85
Stock Price: $33.79
Total Equity: $990.67M
Shares: 165,800,000
EV/EBITDA (Total value vs operating profit)
API
Enterprise Value / EBITDA
-92.60
Market Cap: $5.71B
Total Debt: $0.00
Cash: $229.58M
EBITDA: -$59.14M
Enterprise Value (Takeover price (cap + debt - cash))
API
Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash
$5.6B
Market Cap: $5.71B
Total Debt: $0.00
Cash: $229.58M
P/S Ratio (Price per dollar of revenue)
API
Stock Price / Revenue Per Share
6.07
Stock Price: $33.79
Revenue: $955.22M
Shares: 165,800,000
EV/Sales (Total value vs revenue — works when P/E can't)
API
5.83
Gross Margin (Revenue left after direct costs)
API
Gross Profit / Revenue
87.4%
Gross Profit: $834.48M
Revenue: $955.22M
Operating Margin (Revenue left after all operations)
API
Operating Income / Revenue
-7.4%
Operating Income: -$70.48M
Revenue: $955.22M
Net Margin (Revenue left as actual profit)
API
Net Income / Revenue
-5.9%
Net Income: -$55.96M
Revenue: $955.22M
ROE (Profit from shareholder equity)
API
Net Income / Total Equity
-6.2%
Net Income: -$55.96M
Total Equity: $990.67M
ROIC (Profit from all invested capital)
API
NOPAT / Invested Capital
-6.6%
Operating Income: -$70.48M
Tax Rate: -21.8%
Equity: $990.67M
Total Debt: $0.00
Cash: $229.58M
Zero debt — invested capital = equity minus cash (very efficient)
Current Ratio (Can it pay short-term bills)
API
Current Assets / Current Liabilities
2.54
Current Assets: $1.66B
Current Liabilities: $652.14M
Debt/Equity (Leverage — debt vs equity)
CALC
Total Debt / Total Equity
0.00
Short-Term Debt: $0.00
Long-Term Debt: $0.00
Total Debt: $0.00
Total Equity: $990.67M
Zero debt — this company carries no debt obligations. Strongest possible score.
Rev/Share (Top-line per share)
CALC
Revenue / Shares Outstanding
$5.76
Revenue: $955.22M
Shares: 165,800,000
Book Value/Share (Net assets per share)
CALC
(Total Assets - Total Liabilities) / Shares
$5.98
Total Equity: $990.67M
Shares: 165,800,000
FCF/Share (Real cash generated per share)
CALC
(Operating Cash Flow + CapEx) / Shares
$1.34
Operating CF: $232.86M
CapEx: -$10.83M
Shares: 165,800,000
CapEx is negative (outflow) — added to OCF to get FCF
Div Yield (Annual income from holding)
API
Last Annual Dividend / Stock Price
0.0%
Last Dividend: N/A
Stock Price: $33.79
Payout Ratio (Earnings paid out as dividends)
Dividends Paid / Net Income
Dividends Paid: N/A
Net Income: -$55.96M
Dividends paid not available in cash flow statement
Industry Benchmarks
Last run: Jun 1, 2026 7:51pm
Compares GTLB against LLM-researched typical ranges for its industry. One research call per industry, cached indefinitely — every stock in the same industry reuses the same baseline.
Advanced Analysis Forensic deep-dive · three lenses
The "final boss" read — Opus reviews every forensic module + the full e2e analysis · 2026-06-02 15:52:39
Legacy single-score read — re-run the extended pipeline to get the two-lens split.
Fortress balance sheet and a real FCF inflection, but 22.5%-of-revenue SBC and Microsoft/GitHub bundling risk mean you're paying premium multiples for decelerating growth that has to keep working.
-14 Hold / Neutral

The headline read is genuinely good: revenue compounding from $253M (FY22) to $955M (FY26), gross margin steady at ~88%, operating margin improving from -51% to -7.4%, $1.26B net cash (22% of market cap), $222M FCF, Altman Z 5.11, Beneish -3.15, OCF/NI of 1.33x. Survival risk is zero and the mechanical earnings-quality checks are clean. The pipeline's 'Net Insider Buying' label is wrong — the tape shows 3 tiny buys vs $94M in sales and the May 2026 activity is Sijbrandij converting 15.1M Class B shares and immediately offloading; this is structural selling, not conviction.

The forensic catch is dilution. Diluted shares went 144.7M → 165.8M (14.6% over four years, ~3.5% CAGR) while SBC runs 22.5% of revenue — meaning roughly $215M/yr of the $222M FCF is effectively being handed to employees in stock the company isn't buying back (buyback/SBC = 0.1%). Cash FCF is real; per-share FCF creation is far weaker than the headline suggests. The 'Weak Cash Flow Quality' flag from the pipeline likely reflects exactly this: FCF is heavily SBC-add-back dependent.

Narrative-vs-numbers reconciliation: growth is decelerating (51% → 36% → 31% → 26%), which is the exact trajectory you'd expect if GitHub Copilot/Enterprise bundling is compressing the addressable enterprise win rate. At ~6x sales ex-cash on a business growing 26% with structural SBC drag and a well-resourced competitor bundling for free inside Microsoft 365/Azure, the price requires the platform-consolidation bull case to actually play out. Fair, not cheap.

Deep Analysis
Last run: Jun 1, 2026 7:55:39 pm

Pre-flight intelligence scans the company first, then routes to the right analytical methods.

0 Company Classification — What type of company is this?
1 Industry Landscape — Where is the industry headed?
2 Company Momentum — Where is this company trending?
3 Forward Projection — 1Y & 2Y projected metrics (requires Layer 1 + 2)
4a DCF Valuation — Present value of future cash flows
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4b Earnings Power Value — Floor value — worth with zero growth
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4c Anchored PE — Industry PE adjusted for growth differential
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4d Reverse DCF — What growth is the market pricing in?
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4e Revenue-Based DCF — For growth/narrative companies (skip if mature earner)
4f Anchored P/S — Price-to-Sales peer comparison (skip if mature earner)
4g Scenario Analysis — Bull / Base / Bear (skip if mature earner)
4h Dividend Discount Model — For dividend/income stocks only
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4i Book Value Analysis — For deep value / turnaround stocks only
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4j Insider Activity — Are insiders buying or selling?
4f Cash Flow Quality — How trustworthy is the FCF?
4g Debt Maturity Risk — Can it handle its debt?
4h Macro Environment — Rates, market valuation, volatility
4i Sector Intelligence — How does this company compare within its sector?
4j Revenue Confidence — How reliable is the growth projection?
4k Sensitivity Analysis — How fragile is the fair value estimate?
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4l Sector Demand Cycle — Is the sector in a boom, steady state, or contraction?
5 AI Investigation — Adaptive research engine (Claude)
5b Thesis Evaluation — What does the market believe? (narrative/platform stocks only)
6 Valuation Synthesis — Weighted verdict from all methods (requires Layer 4)
Income Statement (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 1, 2026 7:56pm (25d ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Revenue $252.7M $424.3M $579.9M $759.2M $955.2M
Cost of Revenue $30.0M $51.7M $59.7M $85.1M $120.7M
Gross Profit $222.7M $372.7M $520.2M $674.1M $834.5M
Operating Expenses $351.6M $584.1M $707.6M $816.8M $905.0M
Operating Income -$129.0M -$211.4M -$187.4M -$142.7M -$70.5M
Net Income -$155.1M -$173.4M -$425.7M -$6.3M -$56.0M
EBITDA -$127.7M -$205.8M -$180.9M -$131.7M -$59.1M
EPS $-1.06 $-1.16 $-2.75 $-0.04 $-0.35
EPS (Diluted)
Balance Sheet (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 1, 2026 7:52pm (25d ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Cash & Equivalents $884.7M $295.4M $288.0M $227.6M $229.6M
Total Current Assets $1.1B $1.1B $1.3B $1.3B $1.7B
Total Assets $1.1B $1.2B $1.3B $1.4B $1.7B
Current Liabilities $241.6M $306.3M $677.2M $545.0M $652.1M
Long-Term Debt $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Total Liabilities $292.2M $344.5M $715.0M $578.0M $686.5M
Total Equity $774.9M $771.0M $559.8M $775.9M $990.7M
Retained Earnings -$553.3M -$725.6M -$1.2B -$1.2B -$1.2B
Cash Flow (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 1, 2026 7:56pm (25d ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Operating Cash Flow -$49.8M -$77.4M $35.0M -$64.0M $232.9M
Capital Expenditure -$3.5M -$6.1M -$1.6M -$3.8M -$10.8M
Free Cash Flow -$53.4M -$83.5M $33.4M -$67.7M $222.0M
Acquisitions (net) $26.1M $61.7M $0 -$20.2M $0
Debt Repayment
Dividends Paid
Stock Buybacks $-590,000 $0 $0 $0 $0
Net Change in Cash $601.8M -$586.8M -$9.9M -$60.3M $1.9M
Analyst Estimates (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 1, 2026 7:49pm (25d ago)
Metric 2028 2029 2030 2031
Revenue $1.3B
$1.3B – $1.3B
$1.5B
$1.5B – $1.5B
$1.7B
$1.7B – $1.7B
$1.9B
$1.9B – $2.0B
EBITDA $428.8M
$422.1M – $442.2M
$489.1M
$489.1M – $489.1M
$559.7M
$552.6M – $583.3M
$635.7M
$627.6M – $662.4M
Net Income $170.5M
$152.1M – $188.9M
$232.6M
$37.2M – $428.0M
$198.1M
$194.8M – $209.0M
$248.7M
$244.6M – $262.3M
EPS
Growth Trends (YoY %)
Last updated: Jun 1, 2026 7:56pm (25d ago)
Metric 2023 2024 2025 2026
Revenue Growth +68.0% +36.7% +30.9% +25.8%
Gross Profit Growth +67.4% +39.6% +29.6% +23.8%
Operating Income Growth -63.9% +11.3% +23.9% +50.6%
Net Income Growth -11.8% -145.5% +98.5% -784.5%
EBITDA Growth -61.1% +12.1% +27.2% +55.1%
Insider Trading (Recent)
Last updated: Jun 1, 2026 7:55pm (25d ago)
Type codes PPurchase SSale AAward / grant MOption exercise FIn-kind (tax) CConversion GGift DReturn to issuer
All SEC Form 4 codes
Open market
P Purchase
Open-market or private purchase of shares.
S Sale
Open-market or private sale of shares.
Compensation (Rule 16b-3)
A Award / grant
Grant or award of securities (RSUs, options, etc.) under Rule 16b-3.
D Return to issuer
Securities disposed back to the company under Rule 16b-3.
F In-kind (tax)
Shares withheld or delivered to pay the option-exercise price or tax — not an open-market sale.
I Discretionary
Discretionary transaction under an employee plan — Rule 16b-3(f).
M Option exercise
Exercise or conversion of a derivative (option/RSU) into shares — exempt.
Derivatives
C Conversion
Conversion of a derivative security into the underlying shares.
E Short expiration
Expiration of a short derivative position.
H Long expiration
Expiration or cancellation of a long derivative position with value received.
O OTM exercise
Exercise of an out-of-the-money derivative.
X ITM exercise
Exercise of an in-the-money or at-the-money derivative.
Other exempt
G Gift
Bona fide gift of securities.
L Small acquisition
Small acquisition under Rule 16a-6.
W Inheritance
Acquisition or disposition by will or the laws of descent.
Z Voting trust
Deposit into or withdrawal from a voting trust.
Other
J Other
Other acquisition or disposition (explained in a Form 4 footnote).
K Equity swap
Transaction in an equity swap or similar instrument.
U Tender / buyout
Disposition via tender of shares in a change-of-control transaction.

Compensation-plan codes (A, D, F, M) are routine and rarely directional. Open-market P (buy) and S (sale) carry the most signal.

Date Insider Type Shares Price Value
2026-06-17 HENSHALL DAVID J A-Award 7,555.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-17 Bedi Sundeep A-Award 7,555.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-17 SULLIVAN GODFREY A-Award 7,555.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-17 BOSTROM SUSAN L A-Award 7,555.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-17 BLASING KAREN A-Award 7,555.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-17 Mundy Simon F-InKind 2,394.00 $27.29 $65,332
2026-06-22 Mundy Simon F-InKind 1,514.00 $26.17 $39,621
2026-06-17 Steward Ian F-InKind 10,961.00 $27.29 $299,126
2026-06-17 Schulman Robin F-InKind 7,839.00 $27.29 $213,926
2026-06-17 Staples William F-InKind 26,425.00 $28.31 $748,092
2026-06-15 Mundy Simon A-Award 55,330.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-15 Sijbrandij Sytse S-Sale 102,635.00 $28.39 $2.9M
2026-06-15 Sijbrandij Sytse S-Sale 13,565.00 $28.83 $391,079
2026-05-14 Sijbrandij Sytse C-Conversion 15,134,451.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-18 Sijbrandij Sytse S-Sale 10,792.00 $24.09 $259,979
2026-05-18 Sijbrandij Sytse S-Sale 105,408.00 $24.93 $2.6M
2026-05-14 Sijbrandij Sytse C-Conversion 15,134,451.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-30 Mundy Simon A-Award 17,592.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-29 Steward Ian A-Award 197,090.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-29 Steward Ian A-Award 234,631.00 $0.00 $0
Narrative Economics
The story the market is telling about this stock — the intangible X-factor (founder mythology, cult dynamics, TAM-of-imagination) that moves price beyond what cash flows alone explain. After Shiller, Narrative Economics.
No narrative profile yet for GTLB — it's generated by the pipeline (market-narrative step).
Delvantic AI Findings
Independent analyst synthesis · Delvantic - Cairn AI · generated 2026-06-01 19:56:19
Reviews the pipeline's own verdicts
Verdict Fairly valued to slightly rich at $33.79 — deceleration trajectory (27%→23% YoY) and Microsoft bundling risk cap upside; fair value $28-30, would only add below $26 or on re-acceleration above 27% growth.

Looking at the raw quarterly tape first: revenue went $169M → $183M → $196M → $211M → $214M → $236M → $244M → $260M. That's a clean sequential ramp, but YoY by quarter tells a more nuanced story — Q1 FY26 was +27% YoY, Q2 +29%, Q3 +25%, Q4 +23%. So the "26% growth" headline is masking a clear deceleration into the most recent print. The net income line is also messier than the synthesis admits: FY25 booked -$6.3M but FY26 worsened to -$56M despite $196M more revenue and 87% gross margins. Where did the incremental gross profit go? Opex. The "approaching profitability" narrative is actually moving backwards on a GAAP basis even as FCF explodes to $222M — meaning SBC is doing heavy lifting in the FCF-to-NI bridge, which is exactly what the "Weak Cash Flow Quality" secondary signal is flagging.

The synthesis calls 6.0x P/S "reasonable" for 26% growth with 23% FCF margins. I'd push back. At $5.7B market cap on $955M revenue and decelerating to ~23% exit growth, the comp set is Atlassian, Datadog, Snowflake — and GTLB is trading at the low end because the market has *already* re-rated it. The 35% drawdown isn't an opportunity; it's the market correctly pricing in that Q4 deceleration and Microsoft's GitHub Copilot bundling pressure. The narrative model's "fragile durability / platform-monopoly" read is the sharpest take in the file — GitLab does not have a moat comparable to GitHub's network effects, and every quarter where growth steps down 200bps is a quarter where the multiple compresses further. The market-forces flag of 2.22x accrual ratio deserves more weight than the synthesis gave it — that's the kind of number that precedes a guide-down.

The insider data needs scrutiny. The "Net Insider Buying" tag is misleading — the two 15.1M share C-Conversions on 2026-05-14 are almost certainly option exercises or RSU conversions, not open-market purchases. The actual open-market activity is S-Sale (selling) and A-Award (grants), with zero P-Purchase entries visible. Market-forces called out "extreme insider selling (371:1)" — that's the more honest read. So the secondary-signals layer is contradicting the market-forces layer, and market-forces is right. Also worth noting: the balance sheet tile shows "Total debt: —" and "Total equity: —" which means I'm flying partially blind on leverage and book value, though $229M cash against $222M FCF generation means liquidity isn't the concern — dilution is. SBC running hot enough to flip $222M FCF into -$56M NI is meaningful shareholder cost that the P/S multiple doesn't capture.

A contrarian bull would argue: FCF inflected from -$70M to +$222M in one year (157% CAGR is real), gross margins at 87% give massive operating leverage if opex discipline arrives, and at 6x sales for a 25%-grower with positive FCF, this is cheaper than it's been since IPO. Fair. But the contrarian bear — which I find more compelling — argues: deceleration is monotonic (27→29→25→23), Microsoft is bundling Copilot+GitHub Advanced Security into enterprise agreements that directly compete with GitLab Ultimate, SBC is masking real dilution, and "Rule of 40" achievement depends on growth NOT decelerating below 22% while FCF margin holds — both of which look fragile. The synthesis verdict of "Reasonable Premium" is too soft; this is a show-me stock where the next two prints determine whether it goes to $45 or $22. I dissent from the synthesis. Fair value on a 20% forward growth assumption with 20% FCF margins and a 5x sales multiple is ~$28-30. Current $33.79 is roughly fair, not a "reasonable premium" worth buying — it's a hold-or-trim with asymmetric downside if Q1 FY27 prints sub-22% growth.

GPT Critique
Second-opinion review · gpt-4o · generated 2026-06-01 19:56:27
Reviews the Opus findings above
Verdict I concur with Opus — GitLab is fairly valued at $33.79, with fair value between $28-30. The deceleration in growth and competitive threats from Microsoft constrain upside, making this a hold, not a buy.

Upon reviewing GitLab's financials, my attention is drawn to the consistent revenue growth juxtaposed against persistent net income losses. The company has shown an impressive revenue increase from $424.3M in FY2023 to $955.2M in FY2026, translating to a robust compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 28.3%. Yet, despite this top-line expansion and healthy gross margins of 87%, net income remains negative, culminating in a $56M loss in FY2026. This indicates substantial operating expenses, likely driven by aggressive reinvestment in growth and potentially significant stock-based compensation (SBC), evidenced by the disparity between free cash flow (FCF) and net income. The FCF surge to $222M from a negative $70M the previous year suggests cash flow strength, albeit potentially distorted by SBC.

Opus suggests that the market has already re-rated GitLab appropriately due to its deceleration in revenue growth to 23% YoY and competitive pressures from Microsoft. I concur with this assessment; the deceleration is evident and concerning. GitLab's margins remain under pressure, and the narrative of approaching profitability is undermined by increasing losses, despite the FCF positivity. Opus also critiques the 6.0x price-to-sales (P/S) ratio as potentially overvalued given the growth deceleration and competitive landscape, particularly from Microsoft’s bundled offerings. I agree with Opus here, as the current valuation seems to reflect a more optimistic growth trajectory than what recent data supports.

Disagreeing with Opus, I find the narrative around insider transactions requiring greater clarification. Opus mentions extreme insider selling, but the data shows significant C-Conversions likely related to RSUs or options, which doesn't directly equate to bearish sentiment. Still, the lack of visible open-market purchases warrants caution and aligns with Opus's skepticism on insider confidence. Additionally, Opus notes the absence of total debt and equity figures, which complicates a full analysis of leverage and book value, but given the cash position and positive FCF, liquidity seems stable, though dilution remains a concern due to high SBC.

A skeptic might argue that the market's focus on deceleration overlooks GitLab's potential for operational leverage if expense controls are tightened. They could posit that the FCF growth, despite net losses, reflects an underlying business strength that could capitalize on future cost efficiencies. However, the skeptic would also need to address the competitive risks from Microsoft's GitHub, which could erode GitLab's market position and growth prospects.

Community AI Feedback
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My Notes personal — only you see this
Data via Financial Modeling Prep · Cached for performance · fmp
v1.1.352 · d1100787 · 2026-06-26 11:39:30