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AGING Analysis Report
Jun 7, 2026
19 days ago · 100% complete

TechnipFMC plc

FTI NYSE Categories PDF
Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Newcastle upon Tyne, EC4M 8AP, United Kingdom IPO 2001 technipfmc.com Updated Jun 7, 5:15pm
Price
$66.82
Market Cap
$26.6B
Employees
21,000
Beta
0.69
Avg Volume
4,707,696
CEO
Douglas J. Pferdehirt
Business Description

TechnipFMC plc engages in the oil and gas projects, technologies, and systems and services businesses in Europe, Central Asia, North and Latin America, the Asia Pacific, Africa, and the Middle East. The Subsea segment engages in the design, engineering, procurement, manufacturing, fabrication, installation, and life of field services for subsea systems, subsea field infrastructure, and subsea pipe systems used in oil and gas production and transportation. It provides subsea production and processing systems; subsea umbilicals, risers, and flowlines; vessels; and Subsea Studio for optimizing the development, execution, and operation of current and future subsea fields. This segment also offers well and asset services; research, engineering, manufacturing, and supply chain; and product management services. The Surface Technologies segment designs, manufactures, and services products and systems used in land and shallow water exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas. This segment offers drilling and completion systems; surface wellheads and production trees systems; iComplete, a digitally enabled pressure control system; fracturing tree and manifold systems; pressure pumping; well service pumps; well control, safety and integrity systems, multiphase meter modules, in-line separation and processing systems, and standard pumps; flowback and well testing services; skid systems; automation and digital systems; and flow measurement and automation solutions. It also offers planning, testing and installation, commissioning, operations, replacement and upgrade, maintenance, storage, preservation, intervention, integrity, decommissioning, and abandonment; and supplies flexible lines and flowline products and services. TechnipFMC plc has a strategic alliance with Talos Energy Inc. to develop and deliver technical and commercial solutions to Carbon Capture and Storage projects. The company was founded in 1884 and is based in Newcastle Upon Tyne, the United Kingdom.

Business History
Generated: Jun 7, 2026 5:18pm
Price Overview
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:15pm (19d ago)
$66.82
-2.19 (-3.17%)
Day Range
$66.46 – $68.79
52-Week Range
$31.64 – $77.78
50-Day MA
$71.92
200-Day MA
$53.67
Volume
2,261,326.00
Analyst Price Targets
Low $56.00
Consensus $71.14
High $83.00
(34 analysts)
Share Structure
Outstanding 398,702,000.00
Float 395,069,723.00
Free Float 99.1%
High free float — 99.1% of shares trade freely, ~0.9% held by insiders/institutions
Very liquid — most shares trade freely. Low insider ownership can mean less management alignment, but makes large position sizing straightforward.
Price History (1 Year)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:22pm (19d ago)
Revenue & Net Income Trend
The directional story — useful even when net income is negative.
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:22pm (19d ago)
Revenue
The top line — total sales before any costs or taxes are subtracted. A measure of how much business the company is doing.
Net Income
The bottom line — profit left after subtracting all expenses, interest, and taxes from revenue. Reflects accounting profitability, but includes non-cash items like depreciation, so it isn't the same as cash earned.
Operating Cash Flow
The real cash generated by the day-to-day business — selling products, paying suppliers, collecting from customers. Calculated from net income by adding back non-cash items and adjusting for timing (unpaid bills, unsold inventory). When OCF consistently lags net income, the reported profit may not be converting to real money.
Period Revenue Net Income Net Margin YoY/QoQ
Key Metrics
API Direct from provider CALC Derived from statements
Industry comparison last run: Jun 7, 2026 5:17pm
P/E Ratio (Price per dollar of earnings)
API
Stock Price / EPS (Diluted)
24.70
Stock Price: $66.82
EPS (Diluted): 2.30
P/B Ratio (Price vs net asset value)
API
Stock Price / Book Value Per Share
5.55
Stock Price: $66.82
Total Equity: $3.36B
Shares: 419,000,000
EV/EBITDA (Total value vs operating profit)
API
Enterprise Value / EBITDA
14.36
Market Cap: $26.64B
Total Debt: $1.28B
Cash: $1.03B
EBITDA: $1.48B
Enterprise Value (Takeover price (cap + debt - cash))
API
Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash
$19.7B
Market Cap: $26.64B
Total Debt: $1.28B
Cash: $1.03B
Gross Margin (Revenue left after direct costs)
API
Gross Profit / Revenue
17.3%
Gross Profit: $1.72B
Revenue: $9.93B
Operating Margin (Revenue left after all operations)
API
Operating Income / Revenue
9.6%
Operating Income: $957.00M
Revenue: $9.93B
Net Margin (Revenue left as actual profit)
API
Net Income / Revenue
9.7%
Net Income: $963.90M
Revenue: $9.93B
ROE (Profit from shareholder equity)
API
Net Income / Total Equity
32.5%
Net Income: $963.90M
Total Equity: $3.36B
ROIC (Profit from all invested capital)
API
NOPAT / Invested Capital
21.1%
Operating Income: $957.00M
Tax Rate: -2.5%
Equity: $3.36B
Total Debt: $1.28B
Cash: $1.03B
Current Ratio (Can it pay short-term bills)
API
Current Assets / Current Liabilities
1.13
Current Assets: $5.55B
Current Liabilities: $4.91B
Debt/Equity (Leverage — debt vs equity)
CALC
Total Debt / Total Equity
0.38
Short-Term Debt: $212.00M
Long-Term Debt: $1.07B
Total Debt: $1.28B
Total Equity: $3.36B
Rev/Share (Top-line per share)
CALC
Revenue / Shares Outstanding
$23.71
Revenue: $9.93B
Shares: 419,000,000
Book Value/Share (Net assets per share)
CALC
(Total Assets - Total Liabilities) / Shares
$8.03
Total Equity: $3.36B
Shares: 419,000,000
FCF/Share (Real cash generated per share)
CALC
(Operating Cash Flow + CapEx) / Shares
$3.45
Operating CF: $1.76B
CapEx: -$317.20M
Shares: 419,000,000
CapEx is negative (outflow) — added to OCF to get FCF
Div Yield (Annual income from holding)
API
Last Annual Dividend / Stock Price
0.4%
Last Dividend: N/A
Stock Price: $66.82
Payout Ratio (Earnings paid out as dividends)
Dividends Paid / Net Income
Dividends Paid: N/A
Net Income: $963.90M
Dividends paid not available in cash flow statement
Industry Benchmarks
Last run: Jun 7, 2026 5:17pm
Compares FTI against LLM-researched typical ranges for its industry. One research call per industry, cached indefinitely — every stock in the same industry reuses the same baseline.
Deep Analysis
Last run: Jun 7, 2026 5:22:14 pm

Pre-flight intelligence scans the company first, then routes to the right analytical methods.

0 Company Classification — What type of company is this?
1 Industry Landscape — Where is the industry headed?
2 Company Momentum — Where is this company trending?
3 Forward Projection — 1Y & 2Y projected metrics (requires Layer 1 + 2)
4a DCF Valuation — Present value of future cash flows
4b Earnings Power Value — Floor value — worth with zero growth
4c Anchored PE — Industry PE adjusted for growth differential
4d Reverse DCF — What growth is the market pricing in?
4e Revenue-Based DCF — For growth/narrative companies (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4f Anchored P/S — Price-to-Sales peer comparison (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4g Scenario Analysis — Bull / Base / Bear (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4h Dividend Discount Model — For dividend/income stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4i Book Value Analysis — For deep value / turnaround stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4j Insider Activity — Are insiders buying or selling?
4f Cash Flow Quality — How trustworthy is the FCF?
4g Debt Maturity Risk — Can it handle its debt?
4h Macro Environment — Rates, market valuation, volatility
4i Sector Intelligence — How does this company compare within its sector?
4j Revenue Confidence — How reliable is the growth projection?
4k Sensitivity Analysis — How fragile is the fair value estimate?
4l Sector Demand Cycle — Is the sector in a boom, steady state, or contraction?
5 AI Investigation — Adaptive research engine (Claude)
5b Thesis Evaluation — What does the market believe? (narrative/platform stocks only)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
6 Valuation Synthesis — Weighted verdict from all methods (requires Layer 4)
Income Statement (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:22pm (19d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue $6.4B $6.7B $7.8B $9.1B $9.9B
Cost of Revenue $5.6B $5.8B $6.5B $7.4B $8.2B
Gross Profit $823.9M $896.3M $1.3B $1.7B $1.7B
Operating Expenses $745.3M $696.7M $776.5M $740.5M $766.0M
Operating Income $78.6M $199.6M $567.4M $968.5M $957.0M
Net Income $13.3M -$107.2M $22.9M $842.9M $963.9M
EBITDA $464.0M $576.8M $964.0M $1.4B $1.5B
EPS $0.19 $-0.14 $0.05 $1.96 $2.30
EPS (Diluted)
Balance Sheet (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:18pm (19d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Cash & Equivalents $1.3B $1.1B $951.7M $1.2B $1.0B
Total Current Assets $5.3B $5.0B $5.2B $5.5B $5.5B
Total Assets $10.0B $9.4B $9.7B $9.9B $10.1B
Current Liabilities $3.9B $4.2B $4.5B $4.9B $4.9B
Long-Term Debt $1.7B $999.3M $913.5M $607.3M $1.1B
Total Liabilities $6.6B $6.2B $6.5B $6.7B $6.7B
Total Equity $3.4B $3.2B $3.1B $3.1B $3.4B
Retained Earnings -$4.9B -$5.0B -$5.0B -$4.3B -$3.8B
Cash Flow (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:22pm (19d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Operating Cash Flow $781.3M $352.1M $676.3M $961.0M $1.8B
Capital Expenditure -$191.7M -$157.9M -$225.2M -$281.6M -$317.2M
Free Cash Flow $589.6M $194.2M $451.1M $679.4M $1.4B
Acquisitions (net) $40.7M $30.2M $84.7M $205.3M $0
Debt Repayment
Dividends Paid
Stock Buybacks $0 -$100.2M -$205.1M -$400.1M -$918.3M
Net Change in Cash $58.2M -$270.3M -$105.4M $206.0M -$125.8M
Analyst Estimates (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:15pm (19d ago)
Metric 2027 2028 2029 2030
Revenue $11.5B
$11.0B – $12.5B
$12.0B
$12.0B – $12.0B
$12.7B
$12.3B – $13.4B
$12.9B
$12.5B – $13.7B
EBITDA $1.3B
$1.3B – $1.5B
$1.4B
$1.4B – $1.4B
$1.5B
$1.4B – $1.6B
$1.5B
$1.5B – $1.6B
Net Income $1.3B
$1.3B – $1.7B
$1.4B
$1.4B – $2.0B
$2.0B
$1.9B – $2.2B
$2.1B
$2.1B – $2.3B
EPS
Growth Trends (YoY %)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:22pm (19d ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue Growth +4.6% +16.8% +16.0% +9.4%
Gross Profit Growth +8.8% +49.9% +27.2% +0.8%
Operating Income Growth +153.9% +184.3% +70.7% -1.2%
Net Income Growth -906.0% +121.4% +3,580.8% +14.4%
EBITDA Growth +24.3% +67.1% +46.5% +4.7%
Insider Trading (Recent)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:22pm (19d ago)
Type codes PPurchase SSale AAward / grant MOption exercise FIn-kind (tax) CConversion GGift DReturn to issuer
All SEC Form 4 codes
Open market
P Purchase
Open-market or private purchase of shares.
S Sale
Open-market or private sale of shares.
Compensation (Rule 16b-3)
A Award / grant
Grant or award of securities (RSUs, options, etc.) under Rule 16b-3.
D Return to issuer
Securities disposed back to the company under Rule 16b-3.
F In-kind (tax)
Shares withheld or delivered to pay the option-exercise price or tax — not an open-market sale.
I Discretionary
Discretionary transaction under an employee plan — Rule 16b-3(f).
M Option exercise
Exercise or conversion of a derivative (option/RSU) into shares — exempt.
Derivatives
C Conversion
Conversion of a derivative security into the underlying shares.
E Short expiration
Expiration of a short derivative position.
H Long expiration
Expiration or cancellation of a long derivative position with value received.
O OTM exercise
Exercise of an out-of-the-money derivative.
X ITM exercise
Exercise of an in-the-money or at-the-money derivative.
Other exempt
G Gift
Bona fide gift of securities.
L Small acquisition
Small acquisition under Rule 16a-6.
W Inheritance
Acquisition or disposition by will or the laws of descent.
Z Voting trust
Deposit into or withdrawal from a voting trust.
Other
J Other
Other acquisition or disposition (explained in a Form 4 footnote).
K Equity swap
Transaction in an equity swap or similar instrument.
U Tender / buyout
Disposition via tender of shares in a change-of-control transaction.

Compensation-plan codes (A, D, F, M) are routine and rarely directional. Open-market P (buy) and S (sale) carry the most signal.

Date Insider Type Shares Price Value
2026-06-01 Mullins Eric D. A-Award 1,705.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-01 Mullins Eric D. 0.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-19 OLEARY JOHN C G S-Sale 6,350.00 $72.79 $462,217
2026-05-05 FARLEY CLAIRE S S-Sale 4,500.00 $74.66 $335,970
2026-05-05 Priestly Kay G S-Sale 6,000.00 $74.66 $447,960
2026-05-05 Duffe Luana S-Sale 1,870.00 $74.39 $139,109
2026-03-24 Zurquiyah Rousset Sophie S-Sale 6,350.00 $69.32 $440,182
2026-02-25 de Carvalho Filho Eleazar S-Sale 6,350.00 $65.40 $415,290
2026-02-24 dos Santos Iannone Valeria Augusta F-InKind 668.00 $65.40 $43,687
2026-02-24 Rounce Justin F-InKind 2,707.00 $65.40 $177,038
2026-02-24 Landes Jonathan F-InKind 2,366.00 $65.40 $154,736
2026-02-24 Conti Thierry F-InKind 962.00 $65.40 $62,915
2026-02-24 Melin Alf F-InKind 3,008.00 $65.40 $196,723
2026-02-24 Sanchez Mogollon Alfredo Eduardo F-InKind 313.00 $65.40 $20,470
2026-02-24 Duffe Luana F-InKind 672.00 $65.40 $43,949
2026-02-24 Aalders Cristina F-InKind 793.00 $65.40 $51,862
2026-02-24 Light David F-InKind 198.00 $65.40 $12,949
2026-02-24 Pferdehirt Douglas J. F-InKind 15,221.00 $65.40 $995,453
2026-02-20 Pferdehirt Douglas J. F-InKind 20,604.00 $63.49 $1.3M
2026-02-23 Pferdehirt Douglas J. F-InKind 440,019.00 $64.25 $28.3M
Dividend History (Last 20)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:15pm (19d ago)
Date Dividend Declaration Record Payment
2026-05-19 $0.05 2026-04-28 2026-05-19 2026-06-03
2026-03-17 $0.05 2026-02-17 2026-03-17 2026-04-01
2025-11-18 $0.05 2025-10-22 2025-11-18 2025-12-03
2025-08-19 $0.05 2025-07-22 2025-08-19 2025-09-03
2025-05-20 $0.05 2025-04-22 2025-05-20 2025-06-04
2025-03-18 $0.05 2025-02-25 2025-03-18 2025-04-02
2024-11-19 $0.05 2024-10-23 2024-11-19 2024-12-04
2024-08-20 $0.05 2024-07-23 2024-08-20 2024-09-04
2024-05-20 $0.05 2024-04-23 2024-05-21 2024-06-05
2024-03-18 $0.05 2024-02-20 2024-03-19 2024-04-03
2023-11-20 $0.05 2023-10-24 2023-11-21 2023-12-06
2023-08-21 $0.05 2023-07-26 2023-08-22 2023-09-06
2020-03-23 $0.13 2020-02-25 2020-03-24 2020-04-08
2019-11-18 $0.13 2019-10-22 2019-11-19 2019-12-04
2019-08-19 $0.13 2019-07-23 2019-08-20 2019-09-04
2019-05-20 $0.13 2019-04-26 2019-05-21 2019-06-05
2019-03-18 $0.13 2019-02-20 2019-03-19 2019-04-03
2018-11-19 $0.13 2018-10-24 2018-11-20 2018-12-05
2018-08-20 $0.13 2018-07-25 2018-08-21 2018-09-05
2018-05-21 $0.13 2018-04-26 2018-05-22 2018-06-06
Narrative Economics
The story the market is telling about this stock — the intangible X-factor (founder mythology, cult dynamics, TAM-of-imagination) that moves price beyond what cash flows alone explain. After Shiller, Narrative Economics.
No narrative profile yet for FTI — it's generated by the pipeline (market-narrative step).
Delvantic AI Findings
Independent analyst synthesis · Delvantic - Cairn AI · generated 2026-06-07 17:22:50
Reviews the pipeline's own verdicts
Verdict Fairly valued to modestly rich at $66.82 — fair value $55–62 given decelerating quarterly revenue, peak-ish margins, and insider selling; wait for a sub-$55 entry or a Q2'26 reacceleration before committing.

Starting with the raw tape: quarterly revenue went $2.33B → $2.39B → $2.24B → $2.54B → $2.64B → $2.51B → $2.49B. That's not acceleration — that's a plateau with a Q3'25 peak and two sequential declines into Q1'26. Net margins have stabilized in a 9.7–11.7% band, a genuine step-change from the sub-3% wasteland of 2021–2023, but Q1'26's 10.5% on flat revenue is not the shape of a company two years into a 7-year supercycle. Annual revenue growth decelerated from +16% (2023→2024) to +9.4% (2024→2025), and the most recent two quarters are running ~$2.50B — implying a 2026 run-rate around $10B, only modestly above 2025's $9.93B. The 548% earnings CAGR is a base-effect artifact off near-zero 2021 NI; ignore it. The honest number is ~10% revenue growth decelerating, with margins maxed in the low double digits.

The synthesis call of "High Conviction Required" is fair but I'd push harder. At $66.82 and ~$960M TTM NI, you're paying ~27x earnings (the 24.7x cited uses a slightly different denominator) and 14.4x EV/EBITDA for a cyclical capital-goods business whose revenue just decelerated to single digits and whose margin expansion appears tapped out near 11%. FCF of $1.45B is real and the 4.6% FCF yield on EV is respectable, but the reverse-DCF requirement of 22% FCF growth is fantasy unless 2026 backlog conversion surprises hard. The pre-flight model's "18-19x P/E" framing understates the multiple by using forward optimism. P/B of 5.55 and ROE of 32.5% on a cyclical at apparent peak margins is exactly the setup where multiples compress on the first miss.

The contrarian case the bulls aren't taking seriously: this looks like late-cycle, not mid-cycle. Subsea backlog conversion is lumpy and Q1'26 revenue ($2.49B) is below Q3'25 ($2.64B) and Q2'25 ($2.54B) — two quarters of sequential softness during what's supposedly the heart of the upcycle. Insider activity reinforces this: six S-Sales in four months (Feb–May 2026) against one small award, with zero open-market buys. That's not noise — that's insiders monetizing a re-rated stock. The macro headwinds flag and decelerating quarterly trend in the secondary signals are the tell. A bear scenario where 2026 revenue lands at $10.0–10.2B with margins reverting to 9% gets you ~$900M NI, and a cyclical-appropriate 15x multiple yields $13.5B equity value or ~$34/share — half of today's price. That's not my base case, but it's the asymmetry being ignored.

Where the models converge correctly: this is a quality cyclical with strong FCF conversion (FCF/NI ~150%, genuinely impressive), a real balance sheet position with $1.03B cash, and legitimate backlog visibility. Where they're soft: the narrative layer correctly flags "cyclical-late-stage" but the synthesis still hedges to "High Conviction Required" rather than acknowledging the quarterly trajectory is already rolling over. Anomaly caveats on TTM metrics are minor — they don't change the picture. The missing total debt and equity line items are a real data gap that should temper any leverage-based conclusion, but FCF coverage is strong enough that it's unlikely to matter. I dissent mildly from the synthesis: this isn't "high conviction required" — it's "the burden of proof has shifted to the bulls and the next two prints will settle it." Fair value on a normalized ~$900M NI at 18–20x is $58–65, right at or below current. I'd be a seller into strength above $70 and a buyer only below $55 where the cyclical asymmetry flips back in my favor.

GPT Critique
Second-opinion review · gpt-4o · generated 2026-06-07 17:22:55
Reviews the Opus findings above
Verdict I agree with Opus — fairly valued at $66.82, but I'd peg fair value slightly higher at $60-65, acknowledging strong FCF but factoring in potential for modest margin expansion.

In reviewing the raw data for TechnipFMC, several key elements stand out. The company has shown significant revenue growth over the past few years, increasing from $6.70B in 2022 to $9.93B in 2025, a compound annual growth rate of approximately 13.8%. This growth trajectory, however, appears to be decelerating, as seen in the recent quarterly revenue figures, which have plateaued around the $2.5B mark. The net income has also improved dramatically from a loss in 2022 to a healthy profit in 2025, reflecting improved operational efficiency and margin expansion. Nonetheless, the quarterly net income margins have stabilized in the 9.7% to 11.7% range, which could indicate a ceiling given the current market conditions.

Turning to Claude Opus's analysis, I agree with the assessment of the company's revenue trajectory as plateauing rather than accelerating. Opus notes a Q3'25 peak with subsequent declines, and I concur that this pattern challenges the narrative of being in the early stages of a multi-year supercycle. I also agree with Opus's skepticism regarding the company's ability to sustain high FCF growth rates, given the current revenue and margin trends. The insider selling activity, as highlighted by Opus, further supports the notion that insiders might be signaling a lack of confidence in the near-term upside.

Where I diverge from Opus is in the valuation perspective. Opus suggests a fair value range of $55–62, viewing the current price as modestly rich. While I concur that the stock is not undervalued at current levels, I believe the fair value might be slightly higher, around $60–65, given the strong cash flow generation and backlog visibility. The potential for margin expansion, while perhaps limited, still exists if the company can execute efficiently on its backlog and manage costs effectively.

A careful skeptic might argue that both Opus and I are overemphasizing the recent deceleration in revenue without considering potential catalysts for a rebound, such as new project wins or strategic partnerships that could drive future growth. Moreover, the energy transition narrative, while a legitimate concern, might not impact the company's core subsea business as severely as feared if global energy demand continues to rise.

Community AI Feedback
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My Notes personal — only you see this
Data via Financial Modeling Prep · Cached for performance · fmp
v1.1.352 · d1100787 · 2026-06-26 11:39:30