Homepage
FRESH Analysis Report
Jun 22, 2026
5 days ago · 100% complete · +8 refreshed

Broadcom Inc.

AVGO NASDAQ Categories PDF
Technology · Semiconductors
Palo Alto, CA 94304, United States IPO 2009 broadcom.com Updated Jun 21, 9:31am
Price
$411.35
Market Cap
$2.0T
Employees
37,000
Beta
1.43
Avg Volume
25,691,456
CEO
Hock E. Tan
Business Description

Broadcom Inc. is a prominent global technology enterprise focused on the innovation, development, and supply of advanced semiconductor solutions and critical infrastructure software. The company's headquarters are situated in San Jose, California, and it maintains a significant team of 19,000 full-time staff. Its operations are segmented into four primary divisions: Wired Infrastructure, Wireless Communications, Enterprise Storage, and Industrial & Other. Broadcom’s diverse product range is integrated into numerous end-user technologies, including enterprise and data center networking, residential internet solutions, digital television receivers, telecommunications apparatus, mobile phones, data center servers and storage architectures, industrial automation, alternative and power generation systems, and electronic display technologies. The company's product offerings extend from fundamental discrete components to intricate sub-systems incorporating various device categories. This also encompasses specialized firmware designed to facilitate interaction between analog and digital systems, alongside mechanical hardware engineered to connect with optoelectronic or capacitive sensing technologies.

Business History
Generated: Jun 22, 2026 3:03am
Price Overview
Last updated: Jun 22, 2026 3:00am (5d ago)
$411.35
+18.45 (+4.70%)
Day Range
$405.38 – $412.70
52-Week Range
$246.46 – $495.00
50-Day MA
$411.67
200-Day MA
$359.95
Volume
45,076,052.00
Analyst Price Targets
Low $400.00
Consensus $498.19
High $582.00
(144 analysts)
Share Structure
Outstanding 4,757,580,000.00
Float 4,698,538,628.00
Free Float 98.8%
High free float — 98.8% of shares trade freely, ~1.2% held by insiders/institutions
Very liquid — most shares trade freely. Low insider ownership can mean less management alignment, but makes large position sizing straightforward.
Price History (1 Year)
Last updated: Jun 22, 2026 3:07am (5d ago)
Revenue & Net Income Trend
The directional story — useful even when net income is negative.
Last updated: Jun 22, 2026 3:04am (5d ago)
Revenue
The top line — total sales before any costs or taxes are subtracted. A measure of how much business the company is doing.
Net Income
The bottom line — profit left after subtracting all expenses, interest, and taxes from revenue. Reflects accounting profitability, but includes non-cash items like depreciation, so it isn't the same as cash earned.
Operating Cash Flow
The real cash generated by the day-to-day business — selling products, paying suppliers, collecting from customers. Calculated from net income by adding back non-cash items and adjusting for timing (unpaid bills, unsold inventory). When OCF consistently lags net income, the reported profit may not be converting to real money.
Period Revenue Net Income Net Margin YoY/QoQ
Key Metrics
API Direct from provider CALC Derived from statements
Industry comparison last run: Jun 22, 2026 3:02am
P/E Ratio (Price per dollar of earnings)
API
Stock Price / EPS (Diluted)
66.61
Stock Price: $411.35
EPS (Diluted): 4.91
P/B Ratio (Price vs net asset value)
API
Stock Price / Book Value Per Share
21.01
Stock Price: $411.35
Total Equity: $81.29B
Shares: 4,853,000,000
EV/EBITDA (Total value vs operating profit)
API
Enterprise Value / EBITDA
47.65
Market Cap: $1,957.03B
Total Debt: $65.14B
Cash: $16.18B
EBITDA: $34.71B
Enterprise Value (Takeover price (cap + debt - cash))
API
Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash
$1.8T
Market Cap: $1,957.03B
Total Debt: $65.14B
Cash: $16.18B
Gross Margin (Revenue left after direct costs)
API
Gross Profit / Revenue
67.8%
Gross Profit: $43.29B
Revenue: $63.89B
Operating Margin (Revenue left after all operations)
API
Operating Income / Revenue
39.9%
Operating Income: $25.48B
Revenue: $63.89B
Net Margin (Revenue left as actual profit)
API
Net Income / Revenue
36.2%
Net Income: $23.13B
Revenue: $63.89B
ROE (Profit from shareholder equity)
API
Net Income / Total Equity
36.4%
Net Income: $23.13B
Total Equity: $81.29B
ROIC (Profit from all invested capital)
API
NOPAT / Invested Capital
19.5%
Operating Income: $25.48B
Tax Rate: -1.7%
Equity: $81.29B
Total Debt: $65.14B
Cash: $16.18B
Current Ratio (Can it pay short-term bills)
API
Current Assets / Current Liabilities
1.71
Current Assets: $31.57B
Current Liabilities: $18.51B
Debt/Equity (Leverage — debt vs equity)
CALC
Total Debt / Total Equity
0.80
Short-Term Debt: $3.15B
Long-Term Debt: $61.98B
Total Debt: $65.14B
Total Equity: $81.29B
Rev/Share (Top-line per share)
CALC
Revenue / Shares Outstanding
$13.16
Revenue: $63.89B
Shares: 4,853,000,000
Book Value/Share (Net assets per share)
CALC
(Total Assets - Total Liabilities) / Shares
$16.75
Total Equity: $81.29B
Shares: 4,853,000,000
FCF/Share (Real cash generated per share)
CALC
(Operating Cash Flow + CapEx) / Shares
$5.55
Operating CF: $27.54B
CapEx: -$623.00M
Shares: 4,853,000,000
CapEx is negative (outflow) — added to OCF to get FCF
Div Yield (Annual income from holding)
API
Last Annual Dividend / Stock Price
0.7%
Last Dividend: N/A
Stock Price: $411.35
Payout Ratio (Earnings paid out as dividends)
Dividends Paid / Net Income
Dividends Paid: N/A
Net Income: $23.13B
Dividends paid not available in cash flow statement
Industry Benchmarks
Last run: Jun 22, 2026 3:02am
Compares AVGO against LLM-researched typical ranges for its industry. One research call per industry, cached indefinitely — every stock in the same industry reuses the same baseline.
Advanced Analysis Forensic deep-dive · three lenses
Three separate reads — Company Quality (is it a great business?), Valuation (is it mispriced?), and General Sentiment (how macro + narrative are pushing it), kept deliberately apart · 2026-06-22 03:09:37
Delvantic - Cairn AI
Quality - hold a starter, scale in on weakness 7/10
AVGO is an elite AI-silicon franchise (quality +66) riding a dominant tailwind (sentiment +81) but priced for perfection at $411 with no margin of safety (value -76) - keep a starter, wait for a real dip to add.
The cruxWhether hyperscaler custom-ASIC demand keeps compounding at 20%+ long enough to grow into a ~35x multiple - if it does, today's price is fine; if it hiccups, the mid-$300s is the gravity well.
Forensic checks Derived mechanically from AVGO's filed financials — not from the AI lenses
Liquidity & RunwaySelf-Funding
DilutionModerate Dilution
Earnings QualityHigh Earnings Quality
The three lensesswitch a tab for its full read — score + evidence
Company Quality
+66
Strong
edge √Σ 164 · risk √Σ 98 · conf 8/10

Broadcom is a structurally high-quality business: revenue grew from $27.5B (2021) to $63.9B (2025), gross margin sits at 67.8% and operating margin recovered to 39.9% after the VMware-integration dip in 2024 (OpM 26.1%, NI $5.9B). FCF compounded from $13.3B to $26.9B, OCF/NI of 1.87x and accruals of -6.6% of assets indicate clean, cash-backed earnings; Altman Z of 14.11 and Beneish M of -1.86 corroborate no manipulation flags. Net income snapped back to $23.1B in 2025, consistent with VMware synergies flowing through.

Strengths 5
m90
Elite FCF generation
FCF of $26.91B on $63.89B revenue (42% FCF margin) with OCF/NI of 1.87x - cash conversion is exceptional and growing.
m80
Clean earnings quality
Negative accruals (-6.6% of assets), Beneish M -1.86, Altman Z 14.11 - mechanical checks find no manipulation signals.
m75
Margin structure and recovery
Gross margin 67.8%, operating margin rebounded to 39.9% in 2025 from a VMware-deal-driven 26.1% trough in 2024, showing integration leverage is real.
m60
Buybacks outpace SBC
Buyback/SBC ratio of 193% shows management is actively offsetting dilution, even if not fully (share count still rose).
m55
Scale and durable franchises
Revenue more than doubled from $27.5B to $63.9B over 4 years, blending semis (custom AI silicon, networking) and sticky infrastructure software (CA, Symantec, VMware) - implied moat is wide.
Concerns 3
m70
Net debt of ~$49B
Net debt $48.96B vs only $16.18B liquid cash - VMware-deal leverage means the balance sheet is a constraint, not a cushion, though $26.9B FCF can service it comfortably.
m55
Persistent dilution
Diluted shares grew from 4.29B to 4.85B (3.1% CAGR); SBC at 11.9% of revenue (~$7.6B) is a real per-share headwind even with heavy buybacks.
m40
Insider selling tilt
84 sells vs 1 buy over 12 months ($311M sold vs $0.37M bought); typical for a mega-cap with equity comp but no insider conviction signal.
This is a genuinely high-quality business - the cash machine is one of the best in tech, earnings are clean by every mechanical test, and the post-VMware margin snapback shows operational discipline. The two things keeping it from Fortress are the $49B net debt position and the 3.1% annual share creep that quietly taxes per-share economics despite aggressive buybacks. On the business itself, Hock Tan's playbook of acquiring entrenched franchises and running them for cash continues to work; I'd grade it Strong with high confidence.
Verify before trusting this (5)
  • Customer concentration in the AI/custom-silicon segment (hyperscaler dependence) per 10-K segment disclosures
  • Debt maturity ladder and weighted interest cost post-VMware financing
  • VMware subscription transition progress and renewal pricing economics
  • Whether 2024 net income dip was purely deal-related amortization/restructuring vs underlying weakness
  • Goodwill and intangibles balance vs equity given the M&A-heavy history
Valuation / Mispricing
-76
Rich
edge √Σ 30 · risk √Σ 106 · conf 7/10
price $411 vs deserved ~$340-360 - roughly 15-20% above fair, no margin of safety. attractive below $330.00

At $411.35 and a ~$1.96T market cap, AVGO trades at roughly 35-40x forward earnings and ~20x sales on a business whose blended (semis + VMware) organic growth is more like mid-teens than the 25%+ the multiple implies. The e2e synthesis flagged 'High Conviction Required' - i.e., the cross-method fair value is not comfortably above price; you have to underwrite the AI-networking bull case in full to justify today's quote. Quality is high (score 66), which raises deserved value, but $49B net debt and ~3% annual dilution claw some of that back on a per-share basis.

Cheap signals 1
m30
Quality + cash generation deserve a premium
Fortress-grade FCF conversion and software-like margins justify a multiple well above the semi median - which is why this is 'Rich,' not 'Overvalued.' The premium is earned; the size of it is the issue.
Rich / priced-in 4
m70
Priced for AI-platform perfection
~$2T cap and ~35x forward earnings require sustained 20%+ AI-networking growth and VMware margins holding at post-deal peaks. Any hyperscaler capex digestion compresses both multiple and estimates.
m55
e2e flagged 'High Conviction Required'
The composite synthesis did not produce a clean upside - meaning DCF/multiples/peers don't agree the stock is cheap. That's a tell that fair value clusters near or below spot.
m45
Per-share drag from debt + dilution
$49B net debt and ~3.1% annual share creep quietly tax the per-share FCF the multiple is being applied to; enterprise value is meaningfully larger than the equity cap suggests.
m35
Narrative concentration risk
Bull case leans heavily on a handful of hyperscaler custom-silicon programs. Loss or delay of one ASIC socket (e.g., a Google or Meta program) is a double-digit revenue and multiple hit not reflected at current price.
I can't get to cheap on AVGO at $411. The business is genuinely elite and deserves a premium multiple, but the market is already paying it - and then some. My deserved-value anchor is mid-$300s; I'd want $330 or lower before I'm interested, and ideally a panic into the $290s where you'd actually be buying the AI platform at a discount. Above $400, you're underwriting flawless execution with no cushion - that's not valuation work, that's momentum.
Verify before trusting this (4)
  • AI revenue run-rate guide and mix of custom ASIC vs merchant networking in next print
  • VMware standalone operating margin trajectory and any churn from license model change
  • Hyperscaler FY26 capex commentary - any signs of digestion
  • Net debt paydown pace and buyback vs SBC offset
General Sentiment
+81
Strong Tailwind
tail √Σ 140 · head √Σ 59 · conf 8/10

The active narrative on AVGO is a platform-monopoly story at strong intensity: Broadcom is being framed as the custom-silicon backbone for Google, Meta, Anthropic, and OpenAI, and the news flow in the last 72 hours reinforces exactly that framing ('cheapest mega-cap AI stock nobody talks about', 'best way to invest in AI'). That is a powerful, currently-winning narrative pushing the stock up regardless of valuation debate. Analyst tone is aligned and still strengthening, not diverging: 51 Buys, zero Sells, 13 target revisions this month averaging ~$496 against a $411 price - roughly 21% implied upside and revisions are going the right way. Momentum is strong_positive and the macro tape is neutral (VIX 16.8, only 1.4% off highs), so beta 1.43 is currently an accelerant, not a liability. The only sentiment cracks are subtle: a technician call that leadership is rotating away from Big Tech toward financials/industrials/biotech, and a 'good results no longer good enough' warning ahead of Micron earnings - hinting the bar for AI names is rising. But none of that is landing on AVGO yet; the narrative pressure is decisively positive.

Tailwinds 4
m88
Dominant custom-AI-silicon narrative
News flow explicitly anoints AVGO as the indispensable custom-chip supplier to every hyperscaler and frontier lab. This is the exact archetype the market is paying up for right now and it lands directly on this ticker.
m72
Analyst tone reinforcing, not diverging
51 Buys / 0 Sells with 13 fresh upward target revisions this month at ~$496 vs $411 spot. Sell-side is leaning in alongside the narrative, not fading it - a clean confirmation rather than a divergence warning.
m60
Strong momentum into a calm tape
33.6% CAGR with neutral VIX 16.8 and indices near highs means high-beta (1.43) AI leaders keep getting bid. The macro tape is permissive, so flows continue to favor this name.
m55
'Cheapest mega-cap AI' framing
A widely circulated 25x forward earnings framing gives bulls a valuation defense inside the AI cohort. That narrative shield blunts any 'AI is too expensive' rotation argument specifically for AVGO.
Headwinds 3
m38
Rotation-away-from-Big-Tech chatter
Technician calls for leadership rotation into financials, industrials, biotech, plus 'MANGOS' relabeling talk, suggest the Mag-7-style trade is being questioned. If flows actually rotate, AVGO's beta 1.43 amplifies the hit.
m35
Rising bar for AI earnings reactions
Micron-warning headlines ('good results no longer good enough') signal sentiment is becoming binary around AI prints. Any AVGO guide that merely meets expectations could trigger an outsized de-rate given premium positioning.
m28
Macro rate backdrop
10y at 4.46% and stretched market multiples are a generic drag on long-duration AI names. Muted here because AVGO's narrative is currently overwhelming rate sensitivity, but it caps multiple expansion.
Net pressure here is clearly positive and stock-specific: AVGO sits at the dead center of the strongest narrative in the market (custom AI silicon for every hyperscaler), analyst tone is reinforcing rather than diverging, and the macro tape is calm enough that beta 1.43 works as an accelerant. The rotation-away-from-Big-Tech chatter and the 'beats aren't good enough' warning are real but not yet landing on this name. I read it as Strong Tailwind - the kind of setup where the sentiment risk is binary around the next print, not gradual.
Verify before trusting this (4)
  • Whether the leadership-rotation thesis (financials/industrials/biotech) actually shows up in flows or stays as TV commentary
  • Reaction to the next AVGO print - any 'beat-and-not-enough' response would confirm the rising-bar risk
  • Hyperscaler capex commentary in coming weeks; any softening would crack the custom-silicon narrative fast
  • VIX behavior - a move above 20 would meaningfully change how a 1.43-beta name trades
The market-wide tape + this name's exposure to it (beta / sector / narrative durability). Context on the non-fundamental pressure — not a call on the business or the price. processId: detail-general-sentiment
Please log in to view trade setups
The Augustus trade-setup read is a members feature.
Log in
Three lenses kept deliberately separate — Company Quality (price-agnostic), Valuation (price-conditional), and General Sentiment (non-fundamental macro/narrative pressure). The scores are not blended. Filing-level items (convertibles, lock-ups, customer concentration) are v2 — see each lens's "verify."
Deep Analysis
Last run: Jun 22, 2026 3:06:52 am

Pre-flight intelligence scans the company first, then routes to the right analytical methods.

0 Company Classification — What type of company is this?
1 Industry Landscape — Where is the industry headed?
2 Company Momentum — Where is this company trending?
3 Forward Projection — 1Y & 2Y projected metrics (requires Layer 1 + 2)
4a DCF Valuation — Present value of future cash flows
4b Earnings Power Value — Floor value — worth with zero growth
4c Anchored PE — Industry PE adjusted for growth differential
4d Reverse DCF — What growth is the market pricing in?
4e Revenue-Based DCF — For growth/narrative companies (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for High Growth Profitable companies
4f Anchored P/S — Price-to-Sales peer comparison (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for High Growth Profitable companies
4g Scenario Analysis — Bull / Base / Bear (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for High Growth Profitable companies
4h Dividend Discount Model — For dividend/income stocks only
Not applicable for High Growth Profitable companies
4i Book Value Analysis — For deep value / turnaround stocks only
Not applicable for High Growth Profitable companies
4j Insider Activity — Are insiders buying or selling?
4f Cash Flow Quality — How trustworthy is the FCF?
4g Debt Maturity Risk — Can it handle its debt?
4h Macro Environment — Rates, market valuation, volatility
4i Sector Intelligence — How does this company compare within its sector?
4j Revenue Confidence — How reliable is the growth projection?
4k Sensitivity Analysis — How fragile is the fair value estimate?
4l Sector Demand Cycle — Is the sector in a boom, steady state, or contraction?
5 AI Investigation — Adaptive research engine (Claude)
5b Thesis Evaluation — What does the market believe? (narrative/platform stocks only)
Not applicable for High Growth Profitable companies
6 Valuation Synthesis — Weighted verdict from all methods (requires Layer 4)
Income Statement (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 22, 2026 3:04am (5d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue $27.5B $33.2B $35.8B $51.6B $63.9B
Cost of Revenue $10.6B $11.1B $11.1B $19.1B $20.6B
Gross Profit $16.8B $22.1B $24.7B $32.5B $43.3B
Operating Expenses $8.3B $7.8B $8.5B $19.0B $17.8B
Operating Income $8.5B $14.2B $16.2B $13.5B $25.5B
Net Income $6.7B $11.5B $14.1B $5.9B $23.1B
EBITDA $14.7B $19.2B $20.6B $23.9B $34.7B
EPS $1.57 $2.74 $3.39 $1.27 $4.91
EPS (Diluted)
Balance Sheet (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 22, 2026 3:02am (5d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Cash & Equivalents $12.2B $12.4B $14.2B $9.3B $16.2B
Total Current Assets $16.6B $18.5B $20.8B $19.6B $31.6B
Total Assets $75.6B $73.2B $72.9B $165.6B $171.1B
Current Liabilities $6.3B $7.1B $7.4B $16.7B $18.5B
Long-Term Debt $39.4B $39.1B $37.6B $66.3B $62.0B
Total Liabilities $50.6B $50.5B $48.9B $98.0B $89.8B
Total Equity $25.0B $22.7B $24.0B $67.7B $81.3B
Retained Earnings $748.0M $1.6B $2.7B $0 $9.8B
Cash Flow (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 22, 2026 3:02am (5d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Operating Cash Flow $13.8B $16.7B $18.1B $20.0B $27.5B
Capital Expenditure -$443.0M -$424.0M -$452.0M -$548.0M -$623.0M
Free Cash Flow $13.3B $16.3B $17.6B $19.4B $26.9B
Acquisitions (net) $37.0M -$246.0M -$53.0M -$26.0B $0
Debt Repayment
Dividends Paid
Stock Buybacks -$1.3B -$8.5B -$7.7B -$12.4B -$6.3B
Net Change in Cash $4.5B $253.0M $1.8B -$4.8B $6.8B
Analyst Estimates (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 22, 2026 3:00am (5d ago)
Metric 2027 2028 2029 2030
Revenue $173.3B
$119.0B – $191.8B
$230.8B
$229.4B – $232.2B
$274.8B
$207.8B – $301.6B
$139.0B
$105.1B – $152.6B
EBITDA $93.3B
$64.1B – $103.3B
$124.3B
$123.5B – $125.0B
$148.0B
$111.9B – $162.4B
$74.8B
$56.6B – $82.1B
Net Income $95.0B
$79.9B – $110.1B
$107.9B
$89.7B – $148.5B
$108.1B
$73.8B – $121.8B
$169.9B
$116.0B – $191.4B
EPS
Growth Trends (YoY %)
Last updated: Jun 22, 2026 3:04am (5d ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue Growth +21.0% +7.9% +44.0% +23.9%
Gross Profit Growth +31.2% +11.7% +31.7% +33.2%
Operating Income Growth +67.0% +13.9% -16.9% +89.3%
Net Income Growth +70.7% +22.5% -58.1% +292.3%
EBITDA Growth +30.4% +7.3% +16.2% +45.4%
Insider Trading (Recent)
Last updated: Jun 22, 2026 3:04am (5d ago)
Type codes PPurchase SSale AAward / grant MOption exercise FIn-kind (tax) CConversion GGift DReturn to issuer
All SEC Form 4 codes
Open market
P Purchase
Open-market or private purchase of shares.
S Sale
Open-market or private sale of shares.
Compensation (Rule 16b-3)
A Award / grant
Grant or award of securities (RSUs, options, etc.) under Rule 16b-3.
D Return to issuer
Securities disposed back to the company under Rule 16b-3.
F In-kind (tax)
Shares withheld or delivered to pay the option-exercise price or tax — not an open-market sale.
I Discretionary
Discretionary transaction under an employee plan — Rule 16b-3(f).
M Option exercise
Exercise or conversion of a derivative (option/RSU) into shares — exempt.
Derivatives
C Conversion
Conversion of a derivative security into the underlying shares.
E Short expiration
Expiration of a short derivative position.
H Long expiration
Expiration or cancellation of a long derivative position with value received.
O OTM exercise
Exercise of an out-of-the-money derivative.
X ITM exercise
Exercise of an in-the-money or at-the-money derivative.
Other exempt
G Gift
Bona fide gift of securities.
L Small acquisition
Small acquisition under Rule 16a-6.
W Inheritance
Acquisition or disposition by will or the laws of descent.
Z Voting trust
Deposit into or withdrawal from a voting trust.
Other
J Other
Other acquisition or disposition (explained in a Form 4 footnote).
K Equity swap
Transaction in an equity swap or similar instrument.
U Tender / buyout
Disposition via tender of shares in a change-of-control transaction.

Compensation-plan codes (A, D, F, M) are routine and rarely directional. Open-market P (buy) and S (sale) carry the most signal.

Date Insider Type Shares Price Value
2026-06-24 SAMUELI HENRY S-Sale 23,253.00 $377.61 $8.8M
2026-06-24 SAMUELI HENRY S-Sale 33,346.00 $378.51 $12.6M
2026-06-24 SAMUELI HENRY S-Sale 30,911.00 $379.76 $11.7M
2026-06-24 SAMUELI HENRY S-Sale 48,996.00 $380.57 $18.6M
2026-06-24 SAMUELI HENRY S-Sale 36,661.00 $381.68 $14.0M
2026-06-24 SAMUELI HENRY S-Sale 26,889.00 $382.63 $10.3M
2026-06-24 SAMUELI HENRY S-Sale 36,188.00 $383.69 $13.9M
2026-06-24 SAMUELI HENRY S-Sale 43,302.00 $384.58 $16.7M
2026-06-24 SAMUELI HENRY S-Sale 53,722.00 $385.57 $20.7M
2026-06-24 SAMUELI HENRY S-Sale 6,280.00 $386.39 $2.4M
2026-06-24 SAMUELI HENRY S-Sale 660.00 $388.01 $256,087
2026-06-24 SAMUELI HENRY G-Gift 69,498.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-18 SAMUELI HENRY G-Gift 1,890.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-17 SAMUELI HENRY G-Gift 1,602.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-24 SAMUELI HENRY S-Sale 21,603.00 $377.64 $8.2M
2026-06-24 SAMUELI HENRY S-Sale 30,456.00 $378.50 $11.5M
2026-06-24 SAMUELI HENRY S-Sale 24,073.00 $379.69 $9.1M
2026-06-24 SAMUELI HENRY S-Sale 49,805.00 $380.57 $19.0M
2026-06-24 SAMUELI HENRY S-Sale 34,517.00 $381.67 $13.2M
2026-06-24 SAMUELI HENRY S-Sale 25,134.00 $382.62 $9.6M
Dividend History (Last 20)
Last updated: Jun 20, 2026 12:50am (7d ago)
Date Dividend Declaration Record Payment
2026-06-22 $0.65 2026-06-02 2026-06-22 2026-06-30
2026-03-23 $0.65 2026-03-03 2026-03-23 2026-03-31
2025-12-22 $0.65 2025-12-09 2025-12-22 2025-12-31
2025-09-22 $0.59 2025-09-03 2025-09-22 2025-09-30
2025-06-20 $0.59 2025-06-04 2025-06-20 2025-06-30
2025-03-20 $0.59 2025-03-05 2025-03-20 2025-03-31
2024-12-23 $0.59 2024-12-12 2024-12-23 2024-12-31
2024-09-19 $0.53 2024-09-05 2024-09-19 2024-09-30
2024-06-24 $5.25 2024-06-12 2024-06-24 2024-06-28
2024-03-20 $5.25 2024-03-06 2024-03-21 2024-03-29
2023-12-19 $5.25 2023-12-07 2023-12-20 2023-12-29
2023-09-20 $4.60 2023-08-31 2023-09-21 2023-09-29
2023-06-21 $4.60 2023-06-01 2023-06-22 2023-06-30
2023-03-21 $4.60 2023-03-02 2023-03-22 2023-03-31
2022-12-19 $4.60 2022-12-08 2022-12-20 2022-12-30
2022-09-21 $4.10 2022-09-01 2022-09-22 2022-09-30
2022-06-21 $4.10 2022-05-26 2022-06-22 2022-06-30
2022-03-21 $4.10 2022-03-03 2022-03-22 2022-03-31
2021-12-21 $4.10 2021-12-09 2021-12-22 2021-12-31
2021-09-21 $3.60 2021-09-02 2021-09-22 2021-09-30
Narrative Economics
The story the market is telling about this stock — the intangible X-factor (founder mythology, cult dynamics, TAM-of-imagination) that moves price beyond what cash flows alone explain. After Shiller, Narrative Economics.
No narrative profile yet for AVGO — it's generated by the pipeline (market-narrative step).
Delvantic AI Findings
Independent analyst synthesis · Delvantic - Cairn AI · generated 2026-06-22 03:07:32
Reviews the pipeline's own verdicts
Verdict I dissent partially from the synthesis's "high conviction required" hedge. The trajectory is better than the models credit (Q2 FY26 revenue +48% YoY, accelerating, not decelerating), but the valuation is also more demanding than the 17x forward strawman suggests — real forward multiple is ~38x earnings, ~48x FCF on run-rate. At $411 and $1.96T market cap, you are paying full price for flawless hyperscaler ASIC execution, sustained VMware monetization, and no in-sourcing shock through 2027. The quality is real; the price embeds the win. Fair value on a 30x forward FCF multiple against $42B run-rate FCF is ~$1.26T, or roughly $265/share — meaningfully below spot. To justify $411 you need to believe FCF compounds 25%+ for five years AND the multiple holds at 45x+, which requires the narrative to stay intact through at least two hyperscaler capex cycles. I'd be a buyer in the $280–310 range, a holder here, and a trimmer above $450.

Looking at the raw quarterly tape first: revenue went $13.07B → $14.05B → $14.92B → $15.00B → $15.95B → $18.02B → $19.31B → $22.19B. That's not "decelerating" — the last two prints are +13% and +15% sequentially, an acceleration driven by AI ASIC and networking. The "Adequate/decelerating" revenue confidence flag looks wrong on its face. Net income is noisier because of VMware purchase accounting and one-time items (the -$1.88B in Aug 2024, the 47.3% margin spike in Nov 2025, then 38% and 42%) — but the 42% margin on $22.19B in the latest quarter annualizes to roughly $37B in net income at run-rate, versus the TTM denominator the 66.6x P/E is using ($23B FY25 NI). Forward P/E on run-rate is closer to 50x, and on FCF — $26.9B FY25, likely $40B+ run-rate — closer to ~48x EV/FCF. Rich, but not the 66x headline.

Where I diverge from the prior models: the synthesis calls $411 "uncomfortable middle" requiring 60% implied FCF growth — that anchor uses stale FY25 FCF. The quarterly acceleration suggests the run-rate is already pulling that number down materially; the required CAGR is more like 30–35% over five years, which for AVGO's AI ASIC backlog (Google TPU, Meta MTIA, rumored OpenAI) is aggressive but not heroic. The market-forces note about "extreme customer concentration" is the right bear point and underweighted everywhere else — three hyperscalers likely drive >40% of AI semi revenue, and each is publicly working on in-house silicon. That's the actual risk, not VMware pricing backlash (which is a margin tailwind, not headwind, for AVGO). The pre-flight's "17x forward earnings" math is just wrong — $1,957B / $23B = 85x trailing, and forward consensus is ~38x, not 17x. That error undermines confidence in the synthesis's framing.

The contrarian case nobody is pressing hard enough: AVGO's gross margin jumped from 63% (FY24) to 68% (FY25) and operating margin from 26% to 40% in one year. That is not organic — it is VMware's software margin mix plus aggressive cost-out (Tan's playbook: fire 50%+ of acquired headcount, raise prices 3–10x on perpetual-to-subscription conversions). Those margin gains are largely one-shot. Once VMware is fully repriced (~18–24 months in), incremental margin expansion has to come from semis, where gross margins are structurally lower. The 42% net margin in Q2 FY26 is likely a near-peak, not a baseline. Pair that with the fact that hyperscaler capex — the entire bull thesis — is running at ~$400B/yr in 2025 and consensus assumes it grows again in 2026; any guide-down from MSFT/META/GOOGL/AMZN re-rates AVGO 20%+ overnight. The insider activity labeled "Net Insider Buying" looks misclassified — every line shown is S-Sale.

GPT Critique
Second-opinion review · gpt-4o · generated 2026-06-22 03:07:41
Reviews the Opus findings above
Verdict I diverge from Opus — Broadcom is overvalued at $411 given customer concentration risks and likely non-recurring margin gains; fair value is closer to $300–320, assuming more moderate 20-25% FCF growth rates.

In evaluating Broadcom Inc., the most striking aspect is its recent revenue growth, which suggests a dynamic acceleration rather than deceleration. The sequential revenue increases, particularly from $15.95 billion in May 2025 to $22.19 billion by May 2026, highlight a substantial growth trajectory primarily driven by AI ASIC and networking segments. The net income and margins, while variable due to acquisition impacts, still indicate robust profitability with a 42% margin in the latest quarter. This paints a picture of a company capitalizing effectively on AI infrastructure demand, but with potential vulnerabilities in sustaining such margins long term due to acquisition-related boosts rather than organic growth.

I find myself disagreeing with Opus on multiple fronts. Opus claims the market is pricing Broadcom at a real forward multiple of ~38x earnings and ~48x FCF, suggesting the valuation is excessive. However, the raw data shows that the company's current net income run-rate on its latest quarter ($37 billion annualized) reflects a more aggressive growth potential than Opus acknowledges. Moreover, the assertion that a 25%+ FCF compound growth over five years is necessary to justify current valuations seems overstated given the demonstrated revenue acceleration and market positioning in AI infrastructure. Conversely, I agree with Opus's skepticism regarding the VMware integration's impact—indeed, the margin improvements are likely non-recurring, and post-repricing, further margin enhancements will be challenging.

A critical oversight by Opus is the underestimation of risks associated with the company's customer concentration. As the market-forces indicate, Broadcom's reliance on a few hyperscalers for a significant portion of its AI semiconductor revenue is a genuine risk, especially as these customers invest in their own silicon capabilities. Opus's dismissal of this threat in favor of focusing on VMware pricing backlash seems misplaced. Additionally, I concur with Opus's point about the misclassification of insider activity; the insider sales could suggest internal skepticism about valuation sustainability.

A careful skeptic might argue that both Opus and I overestimate the impact of AI infrastructure growth on Broadcom's long-term prospects. They might highlight the potential for cyclical downturns in hyperscaler spending or increased competition, which could erode Broadcom's pricing power and margins more quickly than anticipated. Additionally, the skeptic would emphasize the historical volatility in the semiconductor industry and the risks of acquisition-heavy strategies that might not yield sustainable organic growth.

Community AI Feedback
No community reviews yet for AVGO. Be the first — hit How to Contribute, have any AI review this page, and paste its take back here.
My Notes personal — only you see this
Data via Financial Modeling Prep · Cached for performance · fmp
v1.1.352 · d1100787 · 2026-06-26 11:39:30