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STALE Analysis Report
May 2, 2026
55 days ago · 100% complete
Re-run recommended — fundamentals and price action have likely diverged from this snapshot.

Rackspace Technology, Inc.

RXT NASDAQ Categories PDF
Technology · Software - Infrastructure
San Antonio, TX 78218, United States IPO 2020 rackspace.com Updated Jun 27, 7:08am
Price
$5.98
Market Cap
$1.5B
Employees
5,100
Beta
3.05
Avg Volume
22,626,198
CEO
Gajen Kandiah
Business Description

Rackspace Technology, Inc. is a global provider specializing in multi-cloud technology services. The company organizes its business into two primary divisions: Multicloud Services and Apps & Cross Platform. Through its Multicloud Services division, Rackspace offers comprehensive managed services for both public and private cloud environments. These services empower clients to identify, oversee, and fine-tune their ideal infrastructure, platforms, and associated services. This segment also delivers expert professional assistance for architecting and deploying multi-cloud strategies and modern cloud-native applications. The Apps & Cross Platform segment encompasses managed application services, along with extensive managed security offerings. These security services span threat identification and mitigation, proactive prevention, prompt incident response, adherence to governance standards, risk management, compliance support across diverse cloud ecosystems, and robust privacy and data protection, including granular access controls and reporting. Furthermore, this segment provides specialized data services and professional expertise for the development and deployment of application, security, and data solutions. Established in 1998, Rackspace Technology, Inc. maintains its corporate headquarters in San Antonio, Texas.

Business History
Generated: May 2, 2026 11:22am
Price Overview
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 7:08am (just now)
$5.98
-0.38 (-5.97%)
Day Range
$5.71 – $6.43
52-Week Range
$0.39 – $8.60
50-Day MA
$4.36
200-Day MA
$2.02
Volume
13,915,646.00
Analyst Price Targets
Low $4.00
Consensus $4.83
High $5.50
(9 analysts)
Share Structure
Outstanding 249,222,499.00
Float 75,464,674.00
Free Float 30.3%
Moderate free float — 30.3% of shares trade freely, ~69.7% held by insiders/institutions
Reasonable but insiders still hold a significant stake. This can be positive (skin in the game) but may limit liquidity during sell-offs.
Price History (1 Year)
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 7:08am (just now)
Revenue & Net Income Trend
The directional story — useful even when net income is negative.
Last updated: Jun 21, 2026 10:14pm (5d ago)
Revenue
The top line — total sales before any costs or taxes are subtracted. A measure of how much business the company is doing.
Net Income
The bottom line — profit left after subtracting all expenses, interest, and taxes from revenue. Reflects accounting profitability, but includes non-cash items like depreciation, so it isn't the same as cash earned.
Operating Cash Flow
The real cash generated by the day-to-day business — selling products, paying suppliers, collecting from customers. Calculated from net income by adding back non-cash items and adjusting for timing (unpaid bills, unsold inventory). When OCF consistently lags net income, the reported profit may not be converting to real money.
Period Revenue Net Income Net Margin YoY/QoQ
Key Metrics
API Direct from provider CALC Derived from statements
Industry comparison last run: May 2, 2026 11:21am
P/E Ratio (Price per dollar of earnings)
CALC
Stock Price / EPS (Diluted)
-6.29
Stock Price: $5.98
EPS (Diluted): -0.95
P/B Ratio (Price vs net asset value)
API
Stock Price / Book Value Per Share
-0.19
Stock Price: $5.98
Total Equity: -$1.22B
Shares: 238,700,000
EV/EBITDA (Total value vs operating profit)
API
Enterprise Value / EBITDA
12.96
Market Cap: $1.49B
Total Debt: $2.86B
Cash: $105.80M
EBITDA: $288.30M
Enterprise Value (Takeover price (cap + debt - cash))
API
Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash
$3.4B
Market Cap: $1.49B
Total Debt: $2.86B
Cash: $105.80M
P/S Ratio (Price per dollar of revenue)
API
Stock Price / Revenue Per Share
0.09
Stock Price: $5.98
Revenue: $2.69B
Shares: 238,700,000
EV/Sales (Total value vs revenue — works when P/E can't)
API
1.27
Gross Margin (Revenue left after direct costs)
API
Gross Profit / Revenue
13.4%
Gross Profit: $359.50M
Revenue: $2.69B
Operating Margin (Revenue left after all operations)
API
Operating Income / Revenue
-2.5%
Operating Income: -$68.40M
Revenue: $2.69B
Net Margin (Revenue left as actual profit)
API
Net Income / Revenue
-8.4%
Net Income: -$225.80M
Revenue: $2.69B
ROE (Profit from shareholder equity)
API
Net Income / Total Equity
12.3%
Net Income: -$225.80M
Total Equity: -$1.22B
ROIC (Profit from all invested capital)
API
NOPAT / Invested Capital
-2.4%
Operating Income: -$68.40M
Tax Rate: -11.9%
Equity: -$1.22B
Total Debt: $2.86B
Cash: $105.80M
Current Ratio (Can it pay short-term bills)
API
Current Assets / Current Liabilities
0.68
Current Assets: $517.80M
Current Liabilities: $766.70M
Debt/Equity (Leverage — debt vs equity)
CALC
Total Debt / Total Equity
-2.35
Short-Term Debt: $144.00M
Long-Term Debt: $2.72B
Total Debt: $2.86B
Total Equity: -$1.22B
Rev/Share (Top-line per share)
CALC
Revenue / Shares Outstanding
$11.25
Revenue: $2.69B
Shares: 238,700,000
Book Value/Share (Net assets per share)
CALC
(Total Assets - Total Liabilities) / Shares
$-5.11
Total Equity: -$1.22B
Shares: 238,700,000
FCF/Share (Real cash generated per share)
CALC
(Operating Cash Flow + CapEx) / Shares
$0.38
Operating CF: $151.40M
CapEx: -$60.80M
Shares: 238,700,000
CapEx is negative (outflow) — added to OCF to get FCF
Div Yield (Annual income from holding)
API
Last Annual Dividend / Stock Price
0.0%
Last Dividend: N/A
Stock Price: $5.98
Payout Ratio (Earnings paid out as dividends)
Dividends Paid / Net Income
Dividends Paid: N/A
Net Income: -$225.80M
Dividends paid not available in cash flow statement
Industry Benchmarks
Last run: May 2, 2026 11:21am
Compares RXT against LLM-researched typical ranges for its industry. One research call per industry, cached indefinitely — every stock in the same industry reuses the same baseline.
Deep Analysis
Last run: May 2, 2026 11:25:29 am

Pre-flight intelligence scans the company first, then routes to the right analytical methods.

0 Company Classification — What type of company is this?
1 Industry Landscape — Where is the industry headed?
2 Company Momentum — Where is this company trending?
3 Forward Projection — 1Y & 2Y projected metrics (requires Layer 1 + 2)
4a DCF Valuation — Present value of future cash flows
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4b Earnings Power Value — Floor value — worth with zero growth
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4c Anchored PE — Industry PE adjusted for growth differential
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4d Reverse DCF — What growth is the market pricing in?
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4e Revenue-Based DCF — For growth/narrative companies (skip if mature earner)
4f Anchored P/S — Price-to-Sales peer comparison (skip if mature earner)
4g Scenario Analysis — Bull / Base / Bear (skip if mature earner)
4h Dividend Discount Model — For dividend/income stocks only
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4i Book Value Analysis — For deep value / turnaround stocks only
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4j Insider Activity — Are insiders buying or selling?
4f Cash Flow Quality — How trustworthy is the FCF?
4g Debt Maturity Risk — Can it handle its debt?
4h Macro Environment — Rates, market valuation, volatility
4i Sector Intelligence — How does this company compare within its sector?
4j Revenue Confidence — How reliable is the growth projection?
4k Sensitivity Analysis — How fragile is the fair value estimate?
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4l Sector Demand Cycle — Is the sector in a boom, steady state, or contraction?
5 AI Investigation — Adaptive research engine (Claude)
5b Thesis Evaluation — What does the market believe? (narrative/platform stocks only)
6 Valuation Synthesis — Weighted verdict from all methods (requires Layer 4)
Income Statement (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 21, 2026 10:14pm (5d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue $3.0B $3.1B $3.0B $2.7B $2.7B
Cost of Revenue $2.1B $2.3B $2.3B $2.2B $2.3B
Gross Profit $936.8M $856.9M $648.6M $533.4M $359.5M
Operating Expenses $939.3M $1.5B $1.5B $1.4B $427.9M
Operating Income -$2.5M -$679.0M -$899.4M -$909.1M -$68.4M
Net Income -$218.3M -$804.8M -$837.8M -$858.2M -$225.8M
EBITDA $446.7M -$241.7M -$149.9M -$420.5M $288.3M
EPS $-1.05 $-3.81 $-3.89 $-3.82 $-0.95
EPS (Diluted)
Balance Sheet (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 21, 2026 10:14pm (5d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Cash & Equivalents $272.8M $228.4M $196.8M $144.0M $105.8M
Total Current Assets $989.5M $1.1B $738.1M $618.8M $517.8M
Total Assets $6.3B $5.5B $4.1B $3.1B $2.8B
Current Liabilities $837.4M $856.5M $799.5M $766.6M $766.7M
Long-Term Debt $3.3B $3.3B $2.8B $2.8B $2.7B
Total Liabilities $5.0B $4.8B $4.3B $4.1B $4.0B
Total Equity $1.3B $629.5M -$154.5M -$1.0B -$1.2B
Retained Earnings -$1.2B -$2.0B -$2.8B -$3.7B -$3.9B
Cash Flow (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 21, 2026 10:14pm (5d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Operating Cash Flow $370.8M $259.3M $374.9M $39.9M $151.4M
Capital Expenditure -$108.4M -$80.4M -$96.9M -$111.1M -$60.8M
Free Cash Flow $262.4M $178.9M $278.0M -$71.2M $90.6M
Acquisitions (net) $31.3M -$7.7M $0 $16.9M $0
Debt Repayment
Dividends Paid
Stock Buybacks $0 -$31.0M -$1.0M -$4.3M $0
Net Change in Cash $167.3M -$31.4M -$31.7M -$52.7M -$39.1M
Analyst Estimates (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 7:08am (just now)
Metric 2025 2026 2027 2028
Revenue $2.7B
$2.6B – $2.7B
$2.7B
$2.6B – $2.7B
$2.7B
$2.6B – $2.8B
$2.9B
$2.9B – $2.9B
EBITDA -$13.9M
-$14.0M – -$13.7M
-$13.8M
-$13.9M – -$13.6M
-$14.1M
-$14.3M – -$13.7M
-$14.8M
-$14.8M – -$14.8M
Net Income -$49.3M
-$49.9M – -$48.7M
-$36.9M
-$42.2M – -$31.7M
$10.3M
-$14.3M – $34.9M
$60.1M
$59.4M – $60.7M
EPS
Growth Trends (YoY %)
Last updated: Jun 21, 2026 10:14pm (5d ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue Growth +3.7% -5.3% -7.4% -1.9%
Gross Profit Growth -8.5% -24.3% -17.8% -32.6%
Operating Income Growth -27,060.0% -32.5% -1.1% +92.5%
Net Income Growth -268.7% -4.1% -2.4% +73.7%
EBITDA Growth -154.1% +38.0% -180.5% +168.6%
Insider Trading (Recent)
Type codes PPurchase SSale AAward / grant MOption exercise FIn-kind (tax) CConversion GGift DReturn to issuer
All SEC Form 4 codes
Open market
P Purchase
Open-market or private purchase of shares.
S Sale
Open-market or private sale of shares.
Compensation (Rule 16b-3)
A Award / grant
Grant or award of securities (RSUs, options, etc.) under Rule 16b-3.
D Return to issuer
Securities disposed back to the company under Rule 16b-3.
F In-kind (tax)
Shares withheld or delivered to pay the option-exercise price or tax — not an open-market sale.
I Discretionary
Discretionary transaction under an employee plan — Rule 16b-3(f).
M Option exercise
Exercise or conversion of a derivative (option/RSU) into shares — exempt.
Derivatives
C Conversion
Conversion of a derivative security into the underlying shares.
E Short expiration
Expiration of a short derivative position.
H Long expiration
Expiration or cancellation of a long derivative position with value received.
O OTM exercise
Exercise of an out-of-the-money derivative.
X ITM exercise
Exercise of an in-the-money or at-the-money derivative.
Other exempt
G Gift
Bona fide gift of securities.
L Small acquisition
Small acquisition under Rule 16a-6.
W Inheritance
Acquisition or disposition by will or the laws of descent.
Z Voting trust
Deposit into or withdrawal from a voting trust.
Other
J Other
Other acquisition or disposition (explained in a Form 4 footnote).
K Equity swap
Transaction in an equity swap or similar instrument.
U Tender / buyout
Disposition via tender of shares in a change-of-control transaction.

Compensation-plan codes (A, D, F, M) are routine and rarely directional. Open-market P (buy) and S (sale) carry the most signal.

Date Insider Type Shares Price Value
2026-06-18 Weston Michael Arlo 0.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-18 Roberts Anthony C. A-Award 37,950.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-18 Roberts Anthony C. F-InKind 35,472.00 $7.22 $256,108
2026-06-18 Scott Anthony A-Award 37,950.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-18 Garber Mitchell Alan A-Award 37,950.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-18 BENJAMIN JEFFREY D A-Award 71,156.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-03 TEAL-GUESS KELLIE A-Award 443,548.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-04 TEAL-GUESS KELLIE S-Sale 33,966.00 $5.56 $188,851
2026-04-03 Kandiah Gajakarnan Vibushanan A-Award 200,000.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-04 Kandiah Gajakarnan Vibushanan F-InKind 8,059.00 $5.92 $47,709
2026-04-03 Marino Mark A. A-Award 806,451.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-04 Marino Mark A. S-Sale 48,099.00 $5.56 $267,430
2026-04-03 SINHA DHARMENDRA KUMAR A-Award 1,142,473.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-04 SINHA DHARMENDRA KUMAR S-Sale 48,099.00 $5.56 $267,430
2026-05-18 TEAL-GUESS KELLIE S-Sale 113,232.00 $5.12 $579,748
2026-03-18 SINHA DHARMENDRA KUMAR S-Sale 188,123.00 $1.81 $340,503
2026-03-18 Marino Mark A. S-Sale 14,058.00 $1.81 $25,445
2026-03-02 TEAL-GUESS KELLIE S-Sale 21,266.00 $1.81 $38,491
2026-03-02 Marino Mark A. S-Sale 20,183.00 $1.81 $36,531
2026-03-02 SINHA DHARMENDRA KUMAR S-Sale 45,393.00 $1.81 $82,161
Narrative Economics
The story the market is telling about this stock — the intangible X-factor (founder mythology, cult dynamics, TAM-of-imagination) that moves price beyond what cash flows alone explain. After Shiller, Narrative Economics.
No narrative profile yet for RXT — it's generated by the pipeline (market-narrative step).
Delvantic AI Findings
Independent analyst synthesis · Delvantic - Cairn AI · generated 2026-05-02 11:26:01
Reviews the pipeline's own verdicts
Verdict Distressed leveraged stub, not a zero — fair value $3-4 if FCF holds and debt refis cleanly, but the missing debt schedule makes sizing impossible; speculative 1-2% position only, pass without debt maturity clarity.

Looking at the raw numbers first: revenue is genuinely flat-to-declining ($2.69B vs $2.74B vs $2.96B vs $3.12B over four years — a -4.7% CAGR), but the quarterly trajectory tells a more nuanced story than the "near-bankruptcy" framing suggests. Quarterly revenue has actually crept up sequentially every quarter of 2025: $665.4M → $666.3M → $671.2M → $682.8M, with Q4'25 down only 0.4% YoY against a Q4'24 comp of $685.6M. Net loss has narrowed materially: -$71.5M → -$54.5M → -$67.1M → -$32.7M. Full-year 2025 operating loss of -$100.7M is a 9x improvement vs 2024's -$909M (which was goodwill-impairment-laden). And critically, FY2025 operating cash flow was $151.4M with $90.6M FCF on a $440M market cap — that's a ~20% trailing FCF yield. This is not how a company headed for Chapter 11 in 12-18 months prints cash.

The Market Forces module's "competitively obsolete, financially insolvent, equity likely worthless" call is the most aggressive of the prior verdicts and, in my read, the most overstated. Insolvency requires inability to service debt; we don't have total debt disclosed in the tile (a real data gap), but $151M OCF and $106M cash against a managed-services book generating $2.69B in recurring-ish revenue is not an obvious zero. The Pre-Flight read of "deep value, not growth" is correct directionally; the Synthesis "High Conviction Required" hedge is honest. But there's an internal contradiction across the models: Revenue Confidence flags the quarterly trend as "accelerating" (true — sequential growth resumed), while Momentum cites -4.7% revenue CAGR and Market Forces calls it terminal. Both can't be weighted equally — the inflection in 2025 quarterlies is the most recent and most relevant data point, and the models that lean on trailing CAGRs are anchored to a worse regime.

The contrarian case the bears are missing: at $1.77 with 248M shares out, EV/Revenue of ~1.27x implies meaningful debt (likely $2.5-3B range based on EV math), so this is a leveraged equity stub, not a clean FCF play. The right framing is option-like: if FCF holds at ~$90M and revenue stabilizes, equity could re-rate to $4-6 (2-3x); if debt covenants trip or refinancing fails in a higher-rate window, it's a zero. The 4/10 confidence on negative book value is the tell — equity holders are behind a wall of debt, and the "pb_ratio -0.19" means liabilities exceed assets on the books. The insider selling cluster (six sales in Feb-Mar 2026 totaling ~520K shares) at depressed prices is genuinely bearish — insiders don't dump $1-2 stock unless they think it's going lower or they need liquidity, neither of which is reassuring. That said, these are likely RSU-vest-related sales given the F-InKind tag patterns, so I'd discount but not dismiss.

I dissent partially from the Market Forces "equity worthless" call and agree with Synthesis's "High Conviction Required." This is not a bankruptcy lock — the FCF inflection and narrowing losses are real — but it is a leveraged stub where the debt stack (which we can't see clearly here, a critical data gap) determines everything. At $1.77, you're paying ~5x trailing FCF for a stub with optionality on AI-infrastructure-driven managed services demand and substantial downside if the next refi window is hostile. Fair value in a base case where revenue stabilizes and FCF holds is probably $3-4; bear case is $0; bull case (margin recovery + AI tailwind narrative re-rate) is $6-8. Expected value is probably modestly above current price, but the distribution is barbelled enough that this is a position-sizing problem, not a conviction problem. I would not own this without seeing the debt maturity wall explicitly, and the missing total debt figure in this tile is the single most important gap.

GPT Critique
Second-opinion review · gpt-4o · generated 2026-05-02 11:26:08
Reviews the Opus findings above
Verdict I disagree with Opus's optimistic valuation of $3-4. The lack of debt clarity and continued financial struggles suggest the fair value might be lower, closer to the current price of $1.77, until more concrete restructuring or strategic shifts occur.

Upon examining the raw data, what stands out is Rackspace Technology's persistently declining revenue from $3.12 billion in 2022 to $2.69 billion in 2025. The revenue has been on a downward trajectory, registering a -4.7% CAGR over the past four years. Despite some sequential quarterly revenue growth in 2025, the overall trend is negative. The net income figures are particularly concerning, as they show consistent losses, albeit narrowing, from -$804.8 million in 2022 to -$225.8 million in 2025. The operating cash flow of $151.4 million and free cash flow of $90.6 million in 2025 are positives, suggesting some operational cash generation capability. However, the lack of a total debt figure is a glaring omission, making it difficult to assess the company's financial stability accurately.

I agree with Opus that the quarterly revenue growth in 2025 offers a more optimistic narrative than the annual figures suggest. The improvement in net loss from -$71.5 million in Q1 2025 to -$32.7 million in Q4 2025 is a positive sign. However, I disagree with Opus's assertion that the company's current financial state does not indicate impending insolvency. Without clarity on the debt structure, particularly given the negative book value and insider selling, the risk of financial distress remains significant. Opus mentions the potential for a turnaround if FCF holds and debt is refinanced cleanly, but the lack of transparency on debt makes this speculative. The insider selling activity is another red flag, indicating potential concerns within the company.

Moreover, I disagree with Opus's view that the market forces module's prediction of probable bankruptcy is overstated. Given the company's historical financial performance and the absence of a clear path to profitability, the skepticism from market forces seems justified. The company's gross margin of 18.86% and operating margin of -3.75% are weak for a technology company, further supporting the market's pessimistic outlook.

A careful skeptic might argue that both Opus and I are overemphasizing the current financial metrics and missing the potential strategic shifts or new market opportunities Rackspace could pursue. They might point out that the technology sector is rapidly evolving, and Rackspace could pivot to capitalize on emerging trends, such as AI-driven services, which Opus briefly mentions. However, without concrete evidence of such initiatives, this remains speculative.

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My Notes personal — only you see this
Data via Financial Modeling Prep · Cached for performance · fmp
v1.1.352 · d1100787 · 2026-06-26 11:39:30