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AGING Analysis Report
Jun 3, 2026
23 days ago · 90% complete · +4 refreshed

Planet Fitness, Inc.

PLNT NYSE Categories PDF
Consumer Cyclical · Leisure
Hampton, NH 03842, United States IPO 2015 planetfitness.com Updated Jun 3, 6:14pm
Price
$51.53
Market Cap
$4.1B
Employees
4,173
Beta
1.12
Avg Volume
2,391,196
CEO
Colleen Keating
Business Description

Planet Fitness, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, franchises and operates fitness centers under the Planet Fitness brand. It operates through Franchise, Corporate-Owned Stores, and Equipment segments. The Franchise segment is involved in franchising business in the United States, Puerto Rico, Canada, Panama, Mexico, and Australia. The Corporate-Owned Stores segment operates corporate-owned stores in the United States and Canada. The Equipment segment engages in the sale of fitness equipment to franchisee-owned stores in the United States and Canada. As of December 31,2021, the company had 2,254 stores in 50 states, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, Canada, Panama, Mexico, and Australia. Planet Fitness, Inc. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Hampton, New Hampshire.

Business History
Generated: Jun 3, 2026 7:55pm
Price Overview
Last updated: Jun 3, 2026 8:42pm (23d ago)
$51.53
-1.78 (-3.34%)
Day Range
$50.67 – $52.76
52-Week Range
$37.03 – $114.47
50-Day MA
$63.67
200-Day MA
$89.66
Volume
1,987,776.00
Analyst Price Targets
Low $47.00
Consensus $77.88
High $133.00
(65 analysts)
Share Structure
Outstanding 79,442,776.00
Float 73,946,227.00
Free Float 93.1%
High free float — 93.1% of shares trade freely, ~6.9% held by insiders/institutions
Very liquid — most shares trade freely. Low insider ownership can mean less management alignment, but makes large position sizing straightforward.
Price History (1 Year)
Last updated: Jun 3, 2026 7:58pm (23d ago)
Revenue & Net Income Trend
The directional story — useful even when net income is negative.
Last updated: Jun 3, 2026 7:58pm (23d ago)
Revenue
The top line — total sales before any costs or taxes are subtracted. A measure of how much business the company is doing.
Net Income
The bottom line — profit left after subtracting all expenses, interest, and taxes from revenue. Reflects accounting profitability, but includes non-cash items like depreciation, so it isn't the same as cash earned.
Operating Cash Flow
The real cash generated by the day-to-day business — selling products, paying suppliers, collecting from customers. Calculated from net income by adding back non-cash items and adjusting for timing (unpaid bills, unsold inventory). When OCF consistently lags net income, the reported profit may not be converting to real money.
Period Revenue Net Income Net Margin YoY/QoQ
Key Metrics
API Direct from provider CALC Derived from statements
Industry comparison last run: Jun 3, 2026 8:43pm
P/E Ratio (Price per dollar of earnings)
API
Stock Price / EPS (Diluted)
17.92
Stock Price: $51.53
EPS (Diluted): 2.62
P/B Ratio (Price vs net asset value)
API
Stock Price / Book Value Per Share
-18.74
Stock Price: $51.53
Total Equity: -$483.38M
Shares: 83,726,000
EV/EBITDA (Total value vs operating profit)
API
Enterprise Value / EBITDA
7.07
Market Cap: $4.09B
Total Debt: $443.00M
Cash: $345.65M
EBITDA: $570.17M
Enterprise Value (Takeover price (cap + debt - cash))
API
Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash
$9.2B
Market Cap: $4.09B
Total Debt: $443.00M
Cash: $345.65M
Gross Margin (Revenue left after direct costs)
API
Gross Profit / Revenue
82.6%
Gross Profit: $1.09B
Revenue: $1.32B
Operating Margin (Revenue left after all operations)
API
Operating Income / Revenue
29.8%
Operating Income: $394.68M
Revenue: $1.32B
Net Margin (Revenue left as actual profit)
API
Net Income / Revenue
16.5%
Net Income: $219.10M
Revenue: $1.32B
ROE (Profit from shareholder equity)
API
Net Income / Total Equity
-69.4%
Net Income: $219.10M
Total Equity: -$483.38M
ROIC (Profit from all invested capital)
API
NOPAT / Invested Capital
10.6%
Operating Income: $394.68M
Tax Rate: 28.1%
Equity: -$483.38M
Total Debt: $443.00M
Cash: $345.65M
Current Ratio (Can it pay short-term bills)
API
Current Assets / Current Liabilities
2.11
Current Assets: $658.39M
Current Liabilities: $312.49M
Debt/Equity (Leverage — debt vs equity)
CALC
Total Debt / Total Equity
-0.92
Short-Term Debt: $23.88M
Long-Term Debt: $419.12M
Total Debt: $443.00M
Total Equity: -$483.38M
Rev/Share (Top-line per share)
CALC
Revenue / Shares Outstanding
$15.82
Revenue: $1.32B
Shares: 83,726,000
Book Value/Share (Net assets per share)
CALC
(Total Assets - Total Liabilities) / Shares
$-5.77
Total Equity: -$483.38M
Shares: 83,726,000
FCF/Share (Real cash generated per share)
CALC
(Operating Cash Flow + CapEx) / Shares
$3.04
Operating CF: $418.42M
CapEx: -$163.67M
Shares: 83,726,000
CapEx is negative (outflow) — added to OCF to get FCF
Div Yield (Annual income from holding)
API
Last Annual Dividend / Stock Price
0.0%
Last Dividend: N/A
Stock Price: $51.53
Payout Ratio (Earnings paid out as dividends)
Dividends Paid / Net Income
Dividends Paid: N/A
Net Income: $219.10M
Dividends paid not available in cash flow statement
Industry Benchmarks
Last run: Jun 3, 2026 8:43pm
Compares PLNT against LLM-researched typical ranges for its industry. One research call per industry, cached indefinitely — every stock in the same industry reuses the same baseline.
Advanced Analysis Forensic deep-dive · three lenses
The "final boss" read — Opus reviews every forensic module + the full e2e analysis · 2026-06-03 20:56:34
Legacy single-score read — re-run the extended pipeline to get the two-lens split.
Quality compounder firing on all cylinders, but the stock has already priced most of the good news — fair value sits roughly where it trades.
+14 Hold / Neutral

The forensic picture is mostly clean: FCF of $254.8M is up ~35% YoY and converts at 2.63x net income, accruals are negative (-6.1% of assets), Beneish M at -2.89 shows no manipulation signature, and the diluted share count actually SHRANK from 85.8M to 83.7M with buybacks running 22x SBC. SBC is a trivial 0.9% of revenue. This is the opposite of a dilution trap — management is returning capital and the per-share story is improving. Net cash is positive ($9.4M) and the business self-funds. Insider tape shows two genuine open-market P-purchases in May 2026 (Keating $247K, Rathke $231K) clustered with the annual director award grants — small dollars, but real buying with no offsetting open-market sales in the visible window.

The one thing that genuinely doesn't add up is the gross margin line: 52.0% in 2024 → 82.6% in 2025 is not a business improvement, it's almost certainly a reclassification (likely franchisee equipment/National Ad Fund revenue netting or COGS reclass). That doesn't make the company worse, but it means the apparent 'quality inflection' is partly cosmetic — operating margin only moved 240bps (27.4% → 29.8%), which is the number that actually matters. Altman Z at 1.17 'distress' is a false flag here — the model penalizes asset-light franchise models with high lease liabilities; FCF coverage and net cash position make bankruptcy risk negligible.

Valuation is the real catch. At $51.53 the pipeline's $48.85 fair value implies -5%, and even the more generous AI synthesis ($58-65) only offers ~15-25% upside on a name growing revenue 12% with mature-business multiples. There's no margin of safety here; you're paying for execution to continue. The bull case requires the 2025 margin profile to persist AND unit growth to reaccelerate. The bear case is simply that fitness consumer spend softens and the multiple compresses on a stock with no statistical cheapness.

Deep Analysis
Last run: Jun 3, 2026 8:45:57 pm

Pre-flight intelligence scans the company first, then routes to the right analytical methods.

0 Company Classification — What type of company is this?
1 Industry Landscape — Where is the industry headed?
2 Company Momentum — Where is this company trending?
3 Forward Projection — 1Y & 2Y projected metrics (requires Layer 1 + 2)
4a DCF Valuation — Present value of future cash flows
4b Earnings Power Value — Floor value — worth with zero growth
4c Anchored PE — Industry PE adjusted for growth differential
4d Reverse DCF — What growth is the market pricing in?
4e Revenue-Based DCF — For growth/narrative companies (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4f Anchored P/S — Price-to-Sales peer comparison (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4g Scenario Analysis — Bull / Base / Bear (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4h Dividend Discount Model — For dividend/income stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4i Book Value Analysis — For deep value / turnaround stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4j Insider Activity — Are insiders buying or selling?
4f Cash Flow Quality — How trustworthy is the FCF?
4g Debt Maturity Risk — Can it handle its debt?
4h Macro Environment — Rates, market valuation, volatility
4i Sector Intelligence — How does this company compare within its sector?
4j Revenue Confidence — How reliable is the growth projection?
4k Sensitivity Analysis — How fragile is the fair value estimate?
4l Sector Demand Cycle — Is the sector in a boom, steady state, or contraction?
5 AI Investigation — Adaptive research engine (Claude)
5b Thesis Evaluation — What does the market believe? (narrative/platform stocks only)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
6 Valuation Synthesis — Weighted verdict from all methods (requires Layer 4)
Income Statement (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 3, 2026 7:58pm (23d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue $587.0M $936.8M $1.1B $1.2B $1.3B
Cost of Revenue $271.2M $462.7M $513.7M $566.6M $230.3M
Gross Profit $315.9M $474.0M $557.6M $615.0M $1.1B
Operating Expenses $172.5M $244.0M $284.7M $290.8M $699.2M
Operating Income $143.4M $230.1M $272.9M $324.2M $394.7M
Net Income $42.8M $99.4M $138.3M $172.0M $219.1M
EBITDA $196.0M $374.1M $443.5M $507.1M $570.2M
EPS $0.51 $1.18 $1.63 $2.01 $2.62
EPS (Diluted)
Balance Sheet (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 3, 2026 7:56pm (23d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Cash & Equivalents $545.9M $409.8M $275.8M $293.2M $345.7M
Total Current Assets $662.4M $555.5M $471.8M $588.0M $658.4M
Total Assets $2.0B $2.9B $3.0B $3.1B $3.1B
Current Liabilities $176.6M $244.5M $251.3M $282.5M $312.5M
Long-Term Debt $1.7B $2.0B $2.0B $2.1B $419.1M
Total Liabilities $2.7B $3.1B $3.1B $3.3B $3.6B
Total Equity -$645.4M -$199.0M -$115.6M -$215.4M -$483.4M
Retained Earnings -$708.8M -$703.7M -$691.5M -$822.2M -$1.1B
Cash Flow (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 3, 2026 7:58pm (23d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Operating Cash Flow $189.3M $240.2M $330.3M $343.9M $418.4M
Capital Expenditure -$54.1M -$100.1M -$136.0M -$155.1M -$163.7M
Free Cash Flow $135.2M $140.2M $194.3M $188.8M $254.8M
Acquisitions (net) -$1.9M -$404.1M -$43.3M $0 $0
Debt Repayment
Dividends Paid
Stock Buybacks $0 -$94.3M -$125.0M -$300.2M -$500.4M
Net Change in Cash $88.1M -$131.4M -$150.4M $27.6M $62.3M
Analyst Estimates (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 3, 2026 7:53pm (23d ago)
Metric 2027 2028 2029 2030
Revenue $1.5B
$1.5B – $1.6B
$1.7B
$1.7B – $1.7B
$1.9B
$1.8B – $1.9B
$2.0B
$2.0B – $2.1B
EBITDA $807.2M
$786.1M – $859.9M
$869.4M
$868.3M – $870.4M
$987.4M
$970.4M – $1.0B
$1.1B
$1.1B – $1.1B
Net Income $255.1M
$249.8M – $350.8M
$353.9M
$324.1M – $383.6M
$492.3M
$481.3M – $512.5M
$553.4M
$541.1M – $576.2M
EPS
Growth Trends (YoY %)
Last updated: Jun 3, 2026 7:58pm (23d ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue Growth +59.6% +14.4% +10.3% +12.1%
Gross Profit Growth +50.1% +17.6% +10.3% +77.9%
Operating Income Growth +60.5% +18.6% +18.8% +21.7%
Net Income Growth +132.4% +39.1% +24.4% +27.4%
EBITDA Growth +90.9% +18.6% +14.3% +12.4%
Insider Trading (Recent)
Last updated: Jun 3, 2026 7:58pm (23d ago)
Type codes PPurchase SSale AAward / grant MOption exercise FIn-kind (tax) CConversion GGift DReturn to issuer
All SEC Form 4 codes
Open market
P Purchase
Open-market or private purchase of shares.
S Sale
Open-market or private sale of shares.
Compensation (Rule 16b-3)
A Award / grant
Grant or award of securities (RSUs, options, etc.) under Rule 16b-3.
D Return to issuer
Securities disposed back to the company under Rule 16b-3.
F In-kind (tax)
Shares withheld or delivered to pay the option-exercise price or tax — not an open-market sale.
I Discretionary
Discretionary transaction under an employee plan — Rule 16b-3(f).
M Option exercise
Exercise or conversion of a derivative (option/RSU) into shares — exempt.
Derivatives
C Conversion
Conversion of a derivative security into the underlying shares.
E Short expiration
Expiration of a short derivative position.
H Long expiration
Expiration or cancellation of a long derivative position with value received.
O OTM exercise
Exercise of an out-of-the-money derivative.
X ITM exercise
Exercise of an in-the-money or at-the-money derivative.
Other exempt
G Gift
Bona fide gift of securities.
L Small acquisition
Small acquisition under Rule 16a-6.
W Inheritance
Acquisition or disposition by will or the laws of descent.
Z Voting trust
Deposit into or withdrawal from a voting trust.
Other
J Other
Other acquisition or disposition (explained in a Form 4 footnote).
K Equity swap
Transaction in an equity swap or similar instrument.
U Tender / buyout
Disposition via tender of shares in a change-of-control transaction.

Compensation-plan codes (A, D, F, M) are routine and rarely directional. Open-market P (buy) and S (sale) carry the most signal.

Date Insider Type Shares Price Value
2026-06-10 Keating Colleen F-InKind 22,494.00 $50.60 $1.1M
2026-05-12 Keating Colleen P-Purchase 5,000.00 $49.54 $247,700
2026-05-08 RATHKE FRANCES G P-Purchase 5,000.00 $46.21 $231,050
2026-05-05 Spinelli Stephen JR A-Award 3,226.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-05 Tanco Christopher A-Award 2,254.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-05 Singh Harmit J A-Award 2,254.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-05 Beard, Stephen W. A-Award 2,254.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-05 RATHKE FRANCES G A-Award 2,254.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-05 DUNAWAY CAMBRIA W A-Award 2,254.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-05 BENSON CRAIG R A-Award 2,254.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-05 Anderson Enshalla A-Award 2,254.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-05 Acoca Bernard A-Award 2,254.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-01 Singh Harmit J A-Award 43.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-01 Beard, Stephen W. A-Award 139.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-01 Tanco Christopher A-Award 320.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-01 Spinelli Stephen JR A-Award 736.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-01 RATHKE FRANCES G A-Award 346.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-01 Anderson Enshalla A-Award 329.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-09 Fitzgerald Thomas J III 0.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-16 Singh Harmit J A-Award 263.00 $0.00 $0
Dividend History (Last 20)
Last updated: Jun 3, 2026 7:53pm (23d ago)
Date Dividend Declaration Record Payment
2016-11-18 $2.78 2016-11-10 2016-11-22 2016-12-05
Narrative Economics
The story the market is telling about this stock — the intangible X-factor (founder mythology, cult dynamics, TAM-of-imagination) that moves price beyond what cash flows alone explain. After Shiller, Narrative Economics.
No narrative profile yet for PLNT — it's generated by the pipeline (market-narrative step).
Delvantic AI Findings
Independent analyst synthesis · Delvantic - Cairn AI · generated 2026-06-03 20:46:34
Reviews the pipeline's own verdicts
Verdict Modestly undervalued — fair value $58-65 on 7x EV/EBITDA and a 6%+ FCF yield against 12-15% forward growth; start a position here, add aggressively below $45, trim above $62.

Reading the raw tape first: PLNT printed $1.32B revenue in 2025 vs $587M in 2021 — that's a 22% revenue CAGR off the COVID trough, decelerating to ~12% YoY in the most recent quarter. Net income compounded from $42.8M to $219.1M over the same window, and TTM margins are running 16-17% vs 13-14% a year ago. Q1'26 at $337.2M rev / $51.6M NI grew ~22% YoY against the easy $276.7M Q1'25 comp, so the "decelerating" tag in secondary signals is wrong on a YoY basis — sequentially it's noisy because Q1 is the seasonal low. FCF $254.8M on a $4.09B cap is a ~6.2% FCF yield; EV/EBITDA 7.1x is genuinely cheap for an asset-light franchise royalty stream. The negative book value is a buyback-driven artifact, not distress — operating cash flow of $418M against $345M cash and a 2.1 current ratio says the balance sheet is fine.

Where I diverge from the prior models: the synthesis "fair value $48.40, -5.2%" verdict is anchored to a DCF that I suspect under-weights the margin expansion already in the tape. Gross margin went from 52% (2024) to 82% (2025 ratios line) — that's a reporting/mix shift worth interrogating (likely franchise-mix accounting reclassification), but operating margin genuinely stepped from 27% to 30% and net margin from 14.6% to 16.6%. If you take TTM EPS run-rate implied by the 17.9x P/E ($51.53/17.9 = ~$2.88) and grow it at the earnings CAGR of 25% (or even half that), the multiple compresses fast. The narrative engine calling this "quiet-quality, fundamentals doing 95% of the work" is the most honest read here — but it then concludes fairly valued, which contradicts its own observation that earnings are growing 27% YoY at a 17.9x multiple. That's a PEG well under 1.

The contrarian case is the GLP-1 / saturation thesis the pre-flight flagged, and it deserves more weight than the synthesis gave it. US Planet Fitness unit penetration is the real ceiling — if same-store membership growth stalls and new franchisee builds slow, the royalty stream caps out and 12% revenue growth becomes 4-5%. The "sector in contraction" red flag is real: discretionary consumer spending is wobbly, and a $25 Black Card tier is more elastic than the $10 classic tier. The bear case isn't that PLNT breaks — it's that the terminal growth rate the market is implicitly underwriting (mid-teens FCF growth in perpetuity, per the thesis evaluation) gets cut in half, and the stock re-rates to 13-14x earnings, i.e., closer to $40. The insider activity is weak signal — two 5,000-share open-market purchases against a flood of awards is not a thumping insider bid; it's compensation-driven noise dressed up as conviction.

I dissent modestly from the "fair value" verdict and lean toward modestly undervalued. At 7.1x EV/EBITDA, 6.2% FCF yield, 25% earnings CAGR (even halving forward to 12-15%), and a franchise royalty model with structurally rising margins, the math supports fair value in the $58-65 range, not $48. The synthesis is anchoring on a DCF that's likely punishing the stock for the 55% drawdown narrative rather than the cash flows. That said, this is not a fat pitch — the GLP-1 overhang is real but unquantified, Q1'26 revenue decelerated sequentially in a way that bears watching, and the gross margin jump needs an accounting explanation before I'd size up. Starter position at $51.53 with adds on any pullback to $45 makes sense; the asymmetry is favorable but not screaming.

GPT Critique
Second-opinion review · gpt-4o · generated 2026-06-03 20:46:41
Reviews the Opus findings above
Verdict I agree with Opus that PLNT is modestly undervalued, but I peg fair value closer to $55-60, considering the potential for market saturation and macroeconomic headwinds, which Opus might have underplayed.

In reviewing the raw data for Planet Fitness, Inc. (PLNT), I notice that revenue growth has been robust, climbing from $587M in 2021 to $1.32B in 2025, a CAGR of approximately 22%. This is impressive, but it's important to recognize that this growth is partly rebounding from a low base during the COVID-19 pandemic. The recent quarter's revenue of $337.2M represents a YoY growth of 22% against a softer comparable, suggesting some underlying momentum, although the 12% recent YoY growth indicates a deceleration trend. Net income has similarly expanded from $42.8M to $219.1M over the last five years. Margins are a bright spot, with the net margin improving to 16.6% recently. However, the balance sheet's negative book value, driven by buybacks, and the 2.1 current ratio indicate a stable liquidity position.

I agree with Opus's assertion that the stock appears modestly undervalued. With a 6.2% FCF yield and a 7.1x EV/EBITDA, the valuation metrics suggest some mispricing given the asset-light, high-margin nature of their franchise model. Opus rightly points out that the narrative around a "quiet-quality" company, where fundamentals are doing the heavy lifting, seems consistent with the financials. However, I diverge on the extent of undervaluation. While Opus suggests a fair value range of $58-65, I am more cautious due to potential headwinds. I believe the fair value might be slightly lower, considering the "sector in contraction" flag and the emerging threat from GLP-1 drugs potentially impacting the budget fitness market.

Where I disagree more strongly is on the margin expansion story. Opus highlights a dramatic rise in gross margin from 52% to 82%, attributing it to a likely accounting shift rather than operational improvements. This requires further scrutiny, as such a jump could distort profitability perceptions. Additionally, the reliance on franchise growth as a core strategy could encounter saturation, capping growth and impacting the royalty stream, a concern Opus acknowledges but perhaps underweights in their valuation.

A skeptic might argue that both my view and Opus's overlook the potential impact of macroeconomic pressures on discretionary spending, particularly with inflationary pressures reducing consumer budgets for non-essential services like gym memberships. The narrative that Planet Fitness provides a recession-resistant service might not hold if consumer behavior shifts significantly towards home fitness solutions.

Community AI Feedback
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My Notes personal — only you see this
Data via Financial Modeling Prep · Cached for performance · fmp
v1.1.352 · d1100787 · 2026-06-26 11:39:30