Homepage
AGING Analysis Report
Jun 7, 2026
19 days ago · 100% complete

Church & Dwight Co., Inc.

CHD NYSE Categories PDF
Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products
Ewing, NJ 08628, United States IPO 1980 churchdwight.com Updated Jun 7, 1:48pm
Price
$96.74
Market Cap
$22.9B
Employees
5,750
Beta
0.47
Avg Volume
2,071,266
CEO
Richard A. Dierker
Business Description

Church & Dwight Co., Inc. develops, manufactures, and markets household, personal care, and specialty products. It operates through three segments: Consumer Domestic, Consumer International, and Specialty Products Division. The company offers cat litters, carpet deodorizers, laundry detergents, and baking soda, as well as other baking soda based products under the ARM & HAMMER brand; condoms, lubricants, and vibrators under the TROJAN brand; stain removers, cleaning solutions, laundry detergents, and bleach alternatives under the OXICLEAN brand; battery-operated and manual toothbrushes under the SPINBRUSH brand; home pregnancy and ovulation test kits under the FIRST RESPONSE brand; depilatories under the NAIR brand; oral analgesics under the ORAJEL brand; laundry detergents under the XTRA brand; gummy dietary supplements under the L'IL CRITTERS and VITAFUSION brands; dry shampoos under the BATISTE brand; water flossers and replacement showerheads under the WATERPIK brand; FLAWLESS products; cold shortening and relief products under the ZICAM brand; and oral care products under the THERABREATH brand. Its specialty products include animal productivity products, such as MEGALAC rumen bypass fat, a supplement that enables cows to maintain energy levels during the period of high milk production; BIO-CHLOR and FERMENTEN, which are used to reduce health issues associated with calving, as well as provides needed protein; and CELMANAX refined functional carbohydrate, a yeast-based prebiotic. The company offers sodium bicarbonate; and cleaning and deodorizing products. It sells its consumer products through supermarkets, mass merchandisers, wholesale clubs, drugstores, convenience stores, home stores, dollar and other discount stores, pet and other specialty stores, and websites and other e-commerce channels; and specialty products to industrial customers and livestock producers through distributors. The company was founded in 1846 and is headquartered in Ewing, New Jersey.

Business History
Generated: Jun 7, 2026 5:18pm
Price Overview
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:15pm (19d ago)
$96.74
+2.62 (+2.78%)
Day Range
$94.20 – $98.03
52-Week Range
$81.33 – $106.04
50-Day MA
$94.81
200-Day MA
$91.78
Volume
1,544,327.00
Analyst Price Targets
Low $91.00
Consensus $104.70
High $114.00
(59 analysts)
Share Structure
Outstanding 236,943,602.00
Float 236,218,555.00
Free Float 99.7%
High free float — 99.7% of shares trade freely, ~0.3% held by insiders/institutions
Very liquid — most shares trade freely. Low insider ownership can mean less management alignment, but makes large position sizing straightforward.
Price History (1 Year)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:21pm (19d ago)
Revenue & Net Income Trend
The directional story — useful even when net income is negative.
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:21pm (19d ago)
Revenue
The top line — total sales before any costs or taxes are subtracted. A measure of how much business the company is doing.
Net Income
The bottom line — profit left after subtracting all expenses, interest, and taxes from revenue. Reflects accounting profitability, but includes non-cash items like depreciation, so it isn't the same as cash earned.
Operating Cash Flow
The real cash generated by the day-to-day business — selling products, paying suppliers, collecting from customers. Calculated from net income by adding back non-cash items and adjusting for timing (unpaid bills, unsold inventory). When OCF consistently lags net income, the reported profit may not be converting to real money.
Period Revenue Net Income Net Margin YoY/QoQ
Key Metrics
API Direct from provider CALC Derived from statements
Industry comparison last run: Jun 7, 2026 5:17pm
P/E Ratio (Price per dollar of earnings)
API
Stock Price / EPS (Diluted)
31.21
Stock Price: $96.74
EPS (Diluted): 3.04
P/B Ratio (Price vs net asset value)
API
Stock Price / Book Value Per Share
5.08
Stock Price: $96.74
Total Equity: $4.00B
Shares: 244,300,000
EV/EBITDA (Total value vs operating profit)
API
Enterprise Value / EBITDA
19.18
Market Cap: $22.92B
Total Debt: $2.21B
Cash: $409.00M
EBITDA: $1.30B
Enterprise Value (Takeover price (cap + debt - cash))
API
Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash
$22.1B
Market Cap: $22.92B
Total Debt: $2.21B
Cash: $409.00M
Gross Margin (Revenue left after direct costs)
API
Gross Profit / Revenue
44.7%
Gross Profit: $2.77B
Revenue: $6.20B
Operating Margin (Revenue left after all operations)
API
Operating Income / Revenue
17.4%
Operating Income: $1.08B
Revenue: $6.20B
Net Margin (Revenue left as actual profit)
API
Net Income / Revenue
11.9%
Net Income: $736.80M
Revenue: $6.20B
ROE (Profit from shareholder equity)
API
Net Income / Total Equity
17.4%
Net Income: $736.80M
Total Equity: $4.00B
ROIC (Profit from all invested capital)
API
NOPAT / Invested Capital
10.9%
Operating Income: $1.08B
Tax Rate: 23.0%
Equity: $4.00B
Total Debt: $2.21B
Cash: $409.00M
Current Ratio (Can it pay short-term bills)
API
Current Assets / Current Liabilities
1.07
Current Assets: $1.60B
Current Liabilities: $1.50B
Debt/Equity (Leverage — debt vs equity)
CALC
Total Debt / Total Equity
0.55
Short-Term Debt: $0.00
Long-Term Debt: $2.21B
Total Debt: $2.21B
Total Equity: $4.00B
Rev/Share (Top-line per share)
CALC
Revenue / Shares Outstanding
$25.39
Revenue: $6.20B
Shares: 244,300,000
Book Value/Share (Net assets per share)
CALC
(Total Assets - Total Liabilities) / Shares
$16.38
Total Equity: $4.00B
Shares: 244,300,000
FCF/Share (Real cash generated per share)
CALC
(Operating Cash Flow + CapEx) / Shares
$4.47
Operating CF: $1.22B
CapEx: -$122.40M
Shares: 244,300,000
CapEx is negative (outflow) — added to OCF to get FCF
Div Yield (Annual income from holding)
API
Last Annual Dividend / Stock Price
1.4%
Last Dividend: N/A
Stock Price: $96.74
Payout Ratio (Earnings paid out as dividends)
Dividends Paid / Net Income
Dividends Paid: N/A
Net Income: $736.80M
Dividends paid not available in cash flow statement
Industry Benchmarks
Last run: Jun 7, 2026 5:17pm
Compares CHD against LLM-researched typical ranges for its industry. One research call per industry, cached indefinitely — every stock in the same industry reuses the same baseline.
Deep Analysis
Last run: Jun 7, 2026 5:20:34 pm

Pre-flight intelligence scans the company first, then routes to the right analytical methods.

0 Company Classification — What type of company is this?
1 Industry Landscape — Where is the industry headed?
2 Company Momentum — Where is this company trending?
3 Forward Projection — 1Y & 2Y projected metrics (requires Layer 1 + 2)
4a DCF Valuation — Present value of future cash flows
4b Earnings Power Value — Floor value — worth with zero growth
4c Anchored PE — Industry PE adjusted for growth differential
4d Reverse DCF — What growth is the market pricing in?
4e Revenue-Based DCF — For growth/narrative companies (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4f Anchored P/S — Price-to-Sales peer comparison (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4g Scenario Analysis — Bull / Base / Bear (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4h Dividend Discount Model — For dividend/income stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4i Book Value Analysis — For deep value / turnaround stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4j Insider Activity — Are insiders buying or selling?
4f Cash Flow Quality — How trustworthy is the FCF?
4g Debt Maturity Risk — Can it handle its debt?
4h Macro Environment — Rates, market valuation, volatility
4i Sector Intelligence — How does this company compare within its sector?
4j Revenue Confidence — How reliable is the growth projection?
4k Sensitivity Analysis — How fragile is the fair value estimate?
4l Sector Demand Cycle — Is the sector in a boom, steady state, or contraction?
5 AI Investigation — Adaptive research engine (Claude)
5b Thesis Evaluation — What does the market believe? (narrative/platform stocks only)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
6 Valuation Synthesis — Weighted verdict from all methods (requires Layer 4)
Income Statement (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:21pm (19d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue $5.2B $5.4B $5.9B $6.1B $6.2B
Cost of Revenue $2.9B $3.1B $3.3B $3.3B $3.4B
Gross Profit $2.3B $2.3B $2.6B $2.8B $2.8B
Operating Expenses $1.2B $1.7B $1.5B $2.0B $1.7B
Operating Income $1.1B $597.8M $1.1B $807.1M $1.1B
Net Income $827.5M $413.9M $755.6M $585.3M $736.8M
EBITDA $1.3B $831.9M $1.3B $1.1B $1.3B
EPS $3.38 $1.70 $3.09 $2.39 $3.04
EPS (Diluted)
Balance Sheet (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:15pm (19d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Cash & Equivalents $240.6M $270.3M $344.5M $964.1M $409.0M
Total Current Assets $1.2B $1.4B $1.5B $2.2B $1.6B
Total Assets $8.0B $8.3B $8.6B $8.9B $8.9B
Current Liabilities $2.1B $1.2B $1.4B $1.3B $1.5B
Long-Term Debt $1.6B $2.6B $2.2B $2.2B $2.2B
Total Liabilities $4.8B $4.9B $4.7B $4.5B $4.9B
Total Equity $3.2B $3.5B $3.9B $4.4B $4.0B
Retained Earnings $5.4B $5.5B $6.0B $6.3B $6.8B
Cash Flow (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:21pm (19d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Operating Cash Flow $993.8M $885.2M $1.0B $1.2B $1.2B
Capital Expenditure -$118.8M -$178.8M -$223.5M -$179.8M -$122.4M
Free Cash Flow $875.0M $706.4M $807.1M $976.4M $1.1B
Acquisitions (net) -$556.0M -$546.8M $0 -$13.3M $19.0M
Debt Repayment
Dividends Paid
Stock Buybacks -$500.0M $0 -$300.1M $0 -$900.0M
Net Change in Cash $57.5M $29.7M $74.2M $619.6M -$555.1M
Analyst Estimates (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:15pm (19d ago)
Metric 2027 2028 2029 2030
Revenue $6.4B
$6.3B – $6.6B
$6.6B
$6.6B – $6.6B
$7.0B
$6.9B – $7.1B
$7.2B
$7.2B – $7.4B
EBITDA $1.3B
$1.3B – $1.3B
$1.4B
$1.3B – $1.4B
$1.4B
$1.4B – $1.4B
$1.5B
$1.5B – $1.5B
Net Income $983.8M
$943.4M – $1.0B
$1.0B
$1.0B – $1.1B
$1.1B
$1.1B – $1.2B
$1.2B
$1.2B – $1.2B
EPS
Growth Trends (YoY %)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:21pm (19d ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue Growth +3.6% +9.2% +4.1% +1.6%
Gross Profit Growth -0.6% +15.0% +7.8% -0.5%
Operating Income Growth -44.6% +76.9% -23.7% +33.5%
Net Income Growth -50.0% +82.6% -22.5% +25.9%
EBITDA Growth -36.3% +56.7% -16.3% +19.2%
Insider Trading (Recent)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:20pm (19d ago)
Type codes PPurchase SSale AAward / grant MOption exercise FIn-kind (tax) CConversion GGift DReturn to issuer
All SEC Form 4 codes
Open market
P Purchase
Open-market or private purchase of shares.
S Sale
Open-market or private sale of shares.
Compensation (Rule 16b-3)
A Award / grant
Grant or award of securities (RSUs, options, etc.) under Rule 16b-3.
D Return to issuer
Securities disposed back to the company under Rule 16b-3.
F In-kind (tax)
Shares withheld or delivered to pay the option-exercise price or tax — not an open-market sale.
I Discretionary
Discretionary transaction under an employee plan — Rule 16b-3(f).
M Option exercise
Exercise or conversion of a derivative (option/RSU) into shares — exempt.
Derivatives
C Conversion
Conversion of a derivative security into the underlying shares.
E Short expiration
Expiration of a short derivative position.
H Long expiration
Expiration or cancellation of a long derivative position with value received.
O OTM exercise
Exercise of an out-of-the-money derivative.
X ITM exercise
Exercise of an in-the-money or at-the-money derivative.
Other exempt
G Gift
Bona fide gift of securities.
L Small acquisition
Small acquisition under Rule 16a-6.
W Inheritance
Acquisition or disposition by will or the laws of descent.
Z Voting trust
Deposit into or withdrawal from a voting trust.
Other
J Other
Other acquisition or disposition (explained in a Form 4 footnote).
K Equity swap
Transaction in an equity swap or similar instrument.
U Tender / buyout
Disposition via tender of shares in a change-of-control transaction.

Compensation-plan codes (A, D, F, M) are routine and rarely directional. Open-market P (buy) and S (sale) carry the most signal.

Date Insider Type Shares Price Value
2026-06-25 Raup Charles R F-InKind 853.00 $98.15 $83,722
2026-06-16 Linares Carlos G. M-Exempt 10,000.00 $50.28 $502,800
2026-06-16 Linares Carlos G. M-Exempt 10,000.00 $50.28 $502,800
2026-06-16 Linares Carlos G. S-Sale 10,000.00 $99.71 $997,067
2026-06-15 Dierker Richard A A-Award 43.99 $0.00 $0
2026-06-15 Buchert Brian D A-Award 5.56 $0.00 $0
2026-06-11 SHEARER ROBERT K M-Exempt 8,600.00 $77.33 $665,038
2026-06-11 SHEARER ROBERT K S-Sale 8,600.00 $97.97 $842,543
2026-06-11 SHEARER ROBERT K M-Exempt 8,600.00 $77.33 $665,038
2026-06-10 Buchert Brian D M-Exempt 10,160.00 $49.62 $504,139
2026-06-10 Buchert Brian D S-Sale 10,160.00 $98.15 $997,153
2026-06-10 Buchert Brian D M-Exempt 10,160.00 $49.62 $504,139
2026-06-10 Saligram Ravichandra Krishnamurty M-Exempt 12,960.00 $49.62 $643,075
2026-06-10 Saligram Ravichandra Krishnamurty S-Sale 12,960.00 $98.00 $1.3M
2026-06-10 Saligram Ravichandra Krishnamurty M-Exempt 12,960.00 $49.62 $643,075
2026-05-29 Saligram Ravichandra Krishnamurty G-Gift 24.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-29 Saligram Ravichandra Krishnamurty G-Gift 25.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-29 Saligram Ravichandra Krishnamurty G-Gift 45.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-29 Dierker Richard A A-Award 45.23 $0.00 $0
2026-05-29 Buchert Brian D A-Award 5.72 $0.00 $0
Dividend History (Last 20)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:15pm (19d ago)
Date Dividend Declaration Record Payment
2026-05-15 $0.31 2026-04-29 2026-05-15 2026-06-01
2026-02-13 $0.31 2026-01-30 2026-02-13 2026-03-02
2025-11-14 $0.30 2025-10-27 2025-11-14 2025-12-01
2025-08-15 $0.30 2025-07-30 2025-08-15 2025-09-02
2025-05-15 $0.30 2025-04-30 2025-05-15 2025-06-02
2025-02-14 $0.30 2025-01-31 2025-02-14 2025-03-03
2024-11-15 $0.28 2024-10-30 2024-11-15 2024-12-02
2024-08-15 $0.28 2024-07-31 2024-08-15 2024-09-03
2024-05-14 $0.28 2024-05-01 2024-05-15 2024-06-03
2024-02-14 $0.28 2024-02-02 2024-02-15 2024-03-01
2023-11-14 $0.27 2023-11-01 2023-11-15 2023-12-01
2023-08-14 $0.27 2023-07-26 2023-08-15 2023-09-01
2023-05-12 $0.27 2023-04-26 2023-05-15 2023-06-01
2023-02-14 $0.27 2023-02-03 2023-02-15 2023-03-01
2022-11-14 $0.26 2022-10-26 2022-11-15 2022-12-01
2022-08-12 $0.26 2022-07-27 2022-08-15 2022-09-01
2022-05-13 $0.26 2022-04-27 2022-05-16 2022-06-01
2022-02-14 $0.26 2022-01-28 2022-02-15 2022-03-01
2021-11-12 $0.25 2021-10-27 2021-11-15 2021-12-01
2021-08-13 $0.25 2021-07-28 2021-08-16 2021-09-01
Narrative Economics
The story the market is telling about this stock — the intangible X-factor (founder mythology, cult dynamics, TAM-of-imagination) that moves price beyond what cash flows alone explain. After Shiller, Narrative Economics.
No narrative profile yet for CHD — it's generated by the pipeline (market-narrative step).
Delvantic AI Findings
Independent analyst synthesis · Delvantic - Cairn AI · generated 2026-06-07 17:21:11
Reviews the pipeline's own verdicts
Verdict Overvalued but not a short — fair value $72-78 vs $96.74; wait for either a rate-driven multiple reset or a sub-$85 entry before owning the FCF yield.

Looking at the raw quarterlies first: revenue went $1.51B → $1.58B → $1.47B → $1.51B → $1.59B → $1.64B → $1.47B across the last seven prints. That's not a "steady" growth trend — that's flat-to-noisy with seasonal lumpiness, and the most recent Q (Mar 2026 at $1.47B) is dead flat versus Mar 2025 ($1.47B). Zero YoY growth on the latest comparable quarter. Net income at $216M in Q1'26 vs $220M Q1'25 — also flat. The "recent_earnings_yoy: 25.9%" in the momentum block looks like it's anchored to the Q4'24 print which was suppressed; on a like-for-like basis CHD is not growing. Full-year 2025 revenue of $6.20B vs 2024's $6.11B is 1.5% growth — below CPG inflation pass-through, implying volume decline. That matches the bear narrative cleanly.

The valuation math is unforgiving. At $96.74, P/E of 31x TTM and EV/EBITDA of ~19x for a business growing revenue 1.5% and earnings essentially zero is rich even for staples. PG trades around 25x with comparable growth and better scale; CLX is in the high teens. The synthesis fair value of ~$65 implies ~17x earnings, which is actually fair-to-generous for a no-growth household products name with $1.09B FCF (yielding ~4.8% at that price vs 4.7% at current). FCF CAGR of 16.4% is real and the cash conversion (OCF $1.22B on $737M NI) is high quality — but you're paying a 21x FCF multiple at current price for a business whose top line isn't moving. I don't buy the "hidden compounder" narrative when the compounding stopped two years ago.

Where I'd push back on the prior models: the Market Forces call of "deteriorating, losing to private label" is plausible but unsupported by the data shown — gross margin held at 44.7% and operating margin expanded to 17.4% in 2025 from 13.2% in 2024, which is the opposite of a brand under private-label assault (you'd see gross compression first). More likely CHD is doing what mature CPG does: trading volume for price/mix and cutting SG&A. That's sustainable for 2-3 years, not a decade. The narrative layer's "47% premium is story" framing is directionally right but I'd argue the premium is also rate-driven — staples re-rated as bond proxies. If 10Y stays at 4.5%+, multiple compression to 22-24x P/E (~$70-75) is the realistic path, not a snap to $65. The insider activity is genuinely neutral-to-slightly-negative (the M-Exempt/S-Sale pattern is routine option exercise-and-sell, not conviction buying), and the absence of any open-market insider purchases at these levels is itself a signal.

A contrarian would argue: CHD's category mix (cat litter via ARM & HAMMER, condoms via TROJAN, vitamins) is genuinely defensive and the FCF yield north of 4.5% with a 1.4% dividend and buybacks gives you a ~6-7% shareholder yield even with zero growth — not terrible in a recession. Operating margin expansion suggests management has pricing/cost discipline that the bears underweight. And the balance sheet data is suspiciously incomplete (no total debt shown), which matters — if net debt is modest, the EV/EBITDA of 19x overstates the equity risk. But none of this gets you to $97; it gets you to "don't short it." I agree with the synthesis verdict directionally but think $65 is too punitive — fair value is more like $72-78, putting CHD ~20-25% overvalued, not 32%. The data thinness on balance sheet items (no debt, no equity figure) and the stale 2024 quarter that's distorting YoY comparisons are real cautions. Bottom line: prior models converge on overvalued and I agree, but the magnitude is overstated and the timeline to mean-revert depends entirely on rates and whether 2026 organic growth re-accelerates above 3%.

GPT Critique
Second-opinion review · gpt-4o · generated 2026-06-07 17:21:17
Reviews the Opus findings above
Verdict I align with Opus, agreeing that Church & Dwight is overvalued at $96.74. I suggest a fair value closer to $70-75, emphasizing margin stability and defensive brand strength as key factors.

Upon examining the raw data, several key observations emerge. Church & Dwight's quarterly revenues have indeed displayed a pattern of stagnation, with recent figures showing minimal growth. The revenue for the first quarter of 2026 stands at $1.47 billion, identical to the same quarter in 2025, highlighting a lack of year-over-year growth. This stasis is evident in the annual figures as well, with 2025's revenue of $6.20 billion representing only a 1.5% increase from 2024 - a rate that does not even keep pace with typical consumer product inflation, suggesting possible declines in sales volumes. Additionally, Church & Dwight's current valuation appears stretched, with a P/E ratio of 31.2x and an EV/EBITDA ratio of about 19x, which seem excessive given the company's modest top-line growth and the overall competitive landscape in the consumer defensive sector.

Opus accurately identifies the lack of growth momentum, characterizing the company's recent revenue trajectory as "flat-to-noisy with seasonal lumpiness." I agree with this assessment, particularly as the recent earnings YoY growth figure of 25.9% is misleading when considering the depressed Q4 2024 baseline. Opus's valuation concerns are well-founded; the company's premium valuation multiples contrast sharply with its stagnant revenue growth. Where I diverge is in the interpretation of market forces. Opus suggests a narrative of "deterioration" in market share due to private labels, but the stable gross margins and expanding operating margins imply otherwise. These financial metrics suggest that Church & Dwight might be successfully managing its cost structure and product mix, rather than losing out significantly to lower-cost competitors.

Opus points to the potential for multiple compression if interest rates remain elevated, suggesting a more realistic P/E range of 22-24x, translating to a stock price around $70-75. I concur with this view, but I am less convinced by Opus's assertion that the current valuation premium is primarily rate-driven. While interest rates play a role, the premium also likely reflects investor confidence in Church & Dwight's historically stable cash flows and brand strength as defensive qualities amid economic uncertainty.

A careful skeptic might argue that Church & Dwight's defensive product portfolio, encompassing staple brands like ARM & HAMMER and TROJAN, provides a solid buffer against broader economic downturns. They might posit that the company's ability to maintain healthy margins indicates resilience and pricing power, potentially justifying a higher valuation than peers. Furthermore, the absence of detailed debt and equity figures in the balance sheet data could mask a stronger financial position than perceived, thus mitigating perceived risk and supporting the current valuation.

Community AI Feedback
No community reviews yet for CHD. Be the first — hit How to Contribute, have any AI review this page, and paste its take back here.
My Notes personal — only you see this
Data via Financial Modeling Prep · Cached for performance · fmp
v1.1.352 · d1100787 · 2026-06-26 11:39:30