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FRESH Analysis Report
Jun 22, 2026
5 days ago · 96% complete · +8 refreshed

Apple Inc.

AAPL NASDAQ Categories PDF
Technology · Consumer Electronics
Cupertino, CA 95014, United States IPO 1980 apple.com Updated Jun 22, 3:00am
Price
$298.01
Market Cap
$4.4T
Employees
166,000
Beta
1.09
Avg Volume
47,300,354
CEO
Timothy D. Cook
Business Description

Apple Inc. is a global technology corporation that specializes in the conceptualization, production, and sale of a diverse suite of electronic devices. Its comprehensive hardware lineup features the well-known iPhone smartphones, Mac personal computers, and versatile iPad tablets. The company also supplies a range of wearables, smart home products, and accessories, including AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, items from the Beats brand, and HomePod speakers. Beyond its device offerings, Apple delivers essential support services like AppleCare and robust cloud solutions. It oversees key digital platforms, prominently the App Store, which acts as a central hub for customers to discover and download countless applications and digital content, from e-books and music to videos, games, and podcasts. The company also generates revenue via advertising, leveraging both its proprietary ad platforms and third-party licensing deals. Apple's ecosystem is further bolstered by a wide array of subscription-based services: Apple Arcade for gaming, Apple Fitness+ for personalized wellness, Apple Music for curated audio experiences and on-demand radio, Apple News+ for access to news and magazines, and Apple TV+ for exclusive original video programming. Its financial services portfolio includes the co-branded Apple Card and the mobile payment system, Apple Pay. Additionally, Apple strategically licenses its intellectual property. The company serves a broad clientele that spans individual consumers, small and medium-sized enterprises, as well as institutional clients in the education, corporate, and governmental sectors. Products are distributed through a multi-channel strategy, utilizing Apple's own physical retail locations and online storefronts, a dedicated direct sales team, and collaborations with external partners such as mobile network providers, wholesalers, general retailers, and authorized resellers. The App Store additionally functions as the primary conduit for third-party applications designed for its devices. Founded in 1976, Apple Inc. is headquartered in Cupertino, California.

Business History
Generated: Jun 22, 2026 3:03am
Price Overview
Last updated: Jun 22, 2026 3:00am (5d ago)
$298.01
+2.06 (+0.70%)
Day Range
$295.62 – $300.57
52-Week Range
$198.96 – $317.40
50-Day MA
$288.74
200-Day MA
$268.19
Volume
85,962,201.00
Analyst Price Targets
Low $253.00
Consensus $326.47
High $400.00
(245 analysts)
Share Structure
Outstanding 14,687,356,000.00
Float 14,662,240,621.00
Free Float 99.8%
High free float — 99.8% of shares trade freely, ~0.2% held by insiders/institutions
Very liquid — most shares trade freely. Low insider ownership can mean less management alignment, but makes large position sizing straightforward.
Price History (1 Year)
Last updated: Jun 22, 2026 3:07am (5d ago)
Revenue & Net Income Trend
The directional story — useful even when net income is negative.
Last updated: Jun 22, 2026 3:07am (5d ago)
Revenue
The top line — total sales before any costs or taxes are subtracted. A measure of how much business the company is doing.
Net Income
The bottom line — profit left after subtracting all expenses, interest, and taxes from revenue. Reflects accounting profitability, but includes non-cash items like depreciation, so it isn't the same as cash earned.
Operating Cash Flow
The real cash generated by the day-to-day business — selling products, paying suppliers, collecting from customers. Calculated from net income by adding back non-cash items and adjusting for timing (unpaid bills, unsold inventory). When OCF consistently lags net income, the reported profit may not be converting to real money.
Period Revenue Net Income Net Margin YoY/QoQ
Key Metrics
API Direct from provider CALC Derived from statements
Industry comparison last run: Jun 22, 2026 3:02am
P/E Ratio (Price per dollar of earnings)
API
Stock Price / EPS (Diluted)
35.77
Stock Price: $298.01
EPS (Diluted): 7.49
P/B Ratio (Price vs net asset value)
API
Stock Price / Book Value Per Share
51.79
Stock Price: $298.01
Total Equity: $73.73B
Shares: 15,004,697,000
EV/EBITDA (Total value vs operating profit)
API
Enterprise Value / EBITDA
27.60
Market Cap: $4,376.98B
Total Debt: $98.66B
Cash: $35.93B
EBITDA: $144.43B
Enterprise Value (Takeover price (cap + debt - cash))
API
Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash
$3.9T
Market Cap: $4,376.98B
Total Debt: $98.66B
Cash: $35.93B
Gross Margin (Revenue left after direct costs)
API
Gross Profit / Revenue
46.9%
Gross Profit: $195.20B
Revenue: $416.16B
Operating Margin (Revenue left after all operations)
API
Operating Income / Revenue
32.0%
Operating Income: $133.05B
Revenue: $416.16B
Net Margin (Revenue left as actual profit)
API
Net Income / Revenue
26.9%
Net Income: $112.01B
Revenue: $416.16B
ROE (Profit from shareholder equity)
API
Net Income / Total Equity
146.7%
Net Income: $112.01B
Total Equity: $73.73B
ROIC (Profit from all invested capital)
API
NOPAT / Invested Capital
49.6%
Operating Income: $133.05B
Tax Rate: 15.6%
Equity: $73.73B
Total Debt: $98.66B
Cash: $35.93B
Current Ratio (Can it pay short-term bills)
API
Current Assets / Current Liabilities
0.89
Current Assets: $147.96B
Current Liabilities: $165.63B
Debt/Equity (Leverage — debt vs equity)
CALC
Total Debt / Total Equity
1.34
Short-Term Debt: $20.33B
Long-Term Debt: $78.33B
Total Debt: $98.66B
Total Equity: $73.73B
Rev/Share (Top-line per share)
CALC
Revenue / Shares Outstanding
$27.74
Revenue: $416.16B
Shares: 15,004,697,000
Book Value/Share (Net assets per share)
CALC
(Total Assets - Total Liabilities) / Shares
$4.91
Total Equity: $73.73B
Shares: 15,004,697,000
FCF/Share (Real cash generated per share)
CALC
(Operating Cash Flow + CapEx) / Shares
$6.58
Operating CF: $111.48B
CapEx: -$12.72B
Shares: 15,004,697,000
CapEx is negative (outflow) — added to OCF to get FCF
Div Yield (Annual income from holding)
API
Last Annual Dividend / Stock Price
0.4%
Last Dividend: N/A
Stock Price: $298.01
Payout Ratio (Earnings paid out as dividends)
Dividends Paid / Net Income
Dividends Paid: N/A
Net Income: $112.01B
Dividends paid not available in cash flow statement
Industry Benchmarks
Last run: Jun 22, 2026 3:02am
Compares AAPL against LLM-researched typical ranges for its industry. One research call per industry, cached indefinitely — every stock in the same industry reuses the same baseline.
Advanced Analysis Forensic deep-dive · three lenses
Three separate reads — Company Quality (is it a great business?), Valuation (is it mispriced?), and General Sentiment (how macro + narrative are pushing it), kept deliberately apart · 2026-06-22 03:09:41
Delvantic - Cairn AI
Quality - wait for a dip 8/10
Fortress business (+100) at a priced-for-perfection multiple (-100) - I want to own Apple, just not at $298.
The cruxThe multiple. At ~33-35x forward earnings the bull case is fully embedded; my entry depends entirely on whether the market gives me a derate toward the $230 zone.
Forensic checks Derived mechanically from AAPL's filed financials — not from the AI lenses
Liquidity & RunwaySelf-Funding
DilutionShare Count Shrinking
Earnings QualityHigh Earnings Quality
The three lensesswitch a tab for its full read — score + evidence
Company Quality
+100
Fortress
edge √Σ 176 · risk √Σ 43 · conf 9/10

Apple compounded revenue from $365.8B (2021) to $416.2B (2025) while expanding gross margin from 41.8% to 46.9% and operating margin from 29.8% to 32.0%. That is rare for a hardware-anchored business at this scale, and it points to genuine mix shift toward Services and pricing power rather than volume push. Net income hit $112.0B in 2025 on $98.8B FCF, and FCF has stayed near or above $99B every year since 2022 — a remarkably stable cash engine. Earnings integrity is clean: OCF/NI of 1.14x, accruals at -3.9% of assets, Beneish M of -2.37, Altman Z of 11.46. Nothing in the mechanical checks suggests aggressive accounting. Capital return discipline is exemplary. Diluted shares fell from 16.86B to 15.00B (-2.9% CAGR), and buybacks ran 838% of SBC, so the 3.1% SBC/revenue is more than fully absorbed and per-share value is being concentrated. The one nuance is the balance sheet: net debt of about $44B and only $54.7B liquid cash against $4.4T market cap means the cushion is thinner than Apple's mythology suggests, but $99B+ annual FCF makes this a strategic capital-structure choice, not a constraint. Insider tape is routine: Levinson and others trimming via planned sales, no open-market buys, but also no panic selling — neutral signal for a mature large-cap.

Strengths 5
m90
Elite, stable cash generation
FCF of $92.9B, $111.4B, $99.6B, $108.8B, $98.8B across 2021-2025 — durable $100B/yr cash engine with minimal volatility.
m85
Margin expansion at scale
Gross margin rose from 41.8% to 46.9% and operating margin from 29.8% to 32.0% over five years on $416B revenue — strong evidence of mix shift to Services and pricing power.
m80
Clean earnings quality
OCF/NI 1.14x, accruals -3.9% of assets, Beneish M -2.37, Altman Z 11.46. Reported earnings are backed by cash; no forensic red flags.
m75
Per-share value concentration
Diluted shares shrank from 16.86B to 15.00B (-2.9% CAGR); buybacks at 838% of SBC fully neutralize 3.1% SBC/revenue and then some.
m60
Net income inflection in 2025
Net income jumped from $93.7B (2024) to $112.0B (2025), a 19.5% increase on 6.4% revenue growth — operating leverage is showing through.
Concerns 3
m35
Net debt position
Net cash is -$44B with only $54.7B liquid against gross debt. Easily serviced by $99B FCF, but the balance sheet is a deliberate lever rather than a true fortress of net cash.
m20
Revenue growth modest for the multiple of scale
Five-year revenue CAGR is about 3.3% (365.8 to 416.2); growth depends heavily on Services mix and margin, not unit volume.
m15
Insider sales without offsetting buys
23 sells totaling $147M and zero open-market buys in 12 months. Largely planned/10b5-1 in character, but no insider is voting with cash on the upside.
This is as close to a fortress operating business as the public markets offer. The numbers tell a coherent story: $99B+ FCF every year, margins expanding at $400B scale, earnings quality that passes every mechanical check, and a buyback program that genuinely shrinks the share count rather than papering over SBC. The only honest knocks on the business itself are that net debt is not zero and top-line growth is in the low single digits — neither is disqualifying for a mature compounder of this caliber. Management capital allocation looks disciplined and shareholder-aligned. As a business, this is elite.
Verify before trusting this (6)
  • Services segment revenue and gross margin trajectory in the 10-K to confirm the margin expansion is structurally driven by Services mix
  • China revenue trend and customer/geographic concentration disclosures
  • Gross debt maturity schedule and weighted cost vs. cash yield to confirm net debt is a tax/capital-return optimization, not a stress point
  • Magnitude and pace of remaining buyback authorization to validate continued share-count shrink
  • R&D spend and capex trajectory relative to AI/silicon ambitions to gauge reinvestment adequacy
  • Whether insider sales are under pre-set 10b5-1 plans (form footnotes) to confirm the neutral read
Valuation / Mispricing
-100
Rich
edge √Σ 25 · risk √Σ 126 · conf 8/10
Price $298 vs deserved ~$210-240 - roughly 20-30% above fair, negative margin of safety. attractive below $230.00

At $298 and a ~$4.38T market cap, Apple trades at roughly 33-35x forward earnings and ~28x FCF on ~$100B of annual free cash flow - a premium normally reserved for businesses with double-digit top-line growth, not a hardware franchise growing low-to-mid single digits with Services in the low teens. The e2e synthesis label 'Priced for Perfection' lines up with the math: to justify today's price you need Services to keep compounding mid-teens, iPhone ASPs to keep rising, China to stabilize, and regulators to leave the App Store alone. That is the bull case in full, already in the tape. Earnings quality is high (no haircut needed) and the business is a Fortress, which absolutely raises deserved value - but quality this widely recognized does not equal cheapness. A deserved multiple in the high 20s on ~$7.20 of forward EPS gets me to a deserved value around $210-240, putting the stock ~20-30% above what I would pay. There is no identifiable margin of safety; the gap runs the wrong way.

Cheap signals 1
m25
Fortress quality deserves a premium
Elite FCF (~$100B), buyback that genuinely shrinks share count, and pristine earnings quality justify paying above the market multiple - just not this far above. Supports deserved value in high-20s P/E, not low-30s.
Rich / priced-in 4
m80
Multiple well above growth profile
~33-35x forward EPS and ~28x FCF on a business compounding revenue mid-single-digits; EPS growth is largely buyback-assisted, not organic. The multiple implies a growth rate Apple has not delivered for years.
m70
Priced-for-perfection narrative confirmed
e2e synthesis flags 'Priced for Perfection.' Bull case (Services mid-teens forever, ecosystem lock-in, AI monetization) is fully embedded; any disappointment on Services growth or China is asymmetrically downside.
m55
No margin of safety on $4.38T cap
At a $4.4T market cap, even modest deratings to a still-premium ~25x FCF imply ~$240 - 20% downside - before any fundamental miss. Mean reversion risk on the multiple itself is the dominant exposure.
m40
Regulatory and China tail risks not discounted
App Store rulings (DOJ, EU DMA) directly threaten the highest-margin Services dollars; China is ~17% of revenue with geopolitical overhang. Neither risk appears reflected in the multiple.
The business is genuinely elite and I will not pretend otherwise - but at $298 I am being asked to pay a growth multiple for a mature franchise with real regulatory and China tails. The deserved value sits around $210-240 on any disciplined framework; today's price embeds the bull case in full. I need it closer to $230, ideally lower, before the risk/reward turns. Fortress quality is the reason I would own it - not the reason I would overpay for it. Pass at this price, revisit on weakness.
Verify before trusting this (5)
  • Services gross margin trajectory and growth rate decomposition (price vs volume vs new products) in next 10-Q
  • China revenue trend and management commentary on demand and tariff exposure
  • Capital return cadence - buyback pace at current price (are they still buying at 33x?)
  • Any quantified AI/Apple Intelligence monetization in guidance or transcripts
  • App Store take-rate changes from EU DMA and US court rulings
General Sentiment
+23
Tailwind
tail √Σ 79 · head √Σ 56 · conf 7/10

The macro tape is neutral with a slight tailwind bias (VIX 16.8, S&P just 1.4% off highs), and with beta near 1.0 Apple absorbs that calmly rather than amplifying it; this is a name that benefits from boring tape, and it is getting one. The active narrative - platform-monopoly, durable, moderate intensity - is intact and just got a topical boost from the Apple-Intel US chip manufacturing partnership, which slots neatly into the politically favored 'reshoring + AI infrastructure' story that retail and policy flows are chasing right now. Analyst tone is constructive and improving at the margin: consensus Buy, target $326 vs spot $298 (about 10% upside), and three fresh revisions this month averaging $345 - tone is drifting up, not down. Offsetting that, Cook's own warning on rising iPhone costs (tariffs/AI input inflation) is a live negative narrative thread, and Middle East/Hormuz headlines plus lingering App Store regulatory risk cap the upside. Net: modest, name-specific tailwind - the story is working, the tape is friendly enough, and analysts are nudging higher, but nothing here is euphoric or decisive.

Tailwinds 3
m55
Intel partnership plugs AAPL into the reshoring/AI-chip narrative
The Apple-Intel US chip manufacturing deal with White House backing gives Apple a fresh, politically blessed story hook in the hottest narrative cluster (chips, AI infra, reshoring). It is a sentiment win even before any fundamental impact.
m45
Analyst tone drifting up
Consensus Buy, $326 target vs $298 spot, and three June revisions averaging $345 signal sell-side is leaning incrementally more positive - a quiet but real tailwind into a name this widely owned.
m35
Neutral tape suits a low-beta mega-cap
With beta 1.09, VIX 16.8 and S&P near highs, the macro backdrop is benign. Apple is a default mega-cap parking spot in calm tape and does not need a risk-on surge to grind.
Headwinds 3
m40
Cook flags rising iPhone costs
CEO commentary on AI/tariff-driven cost pressure feeding into retail prices is a live negative narrative beat - it threatens the 'pricing power forever' pillar of the bull story and gives bears a fresh talking point.
m30
Geopolitical and China/Iran overhang
Hormuz/Iran headlines and ongoing China exposure are a low-grade but persistent drag on Apple specifically given its supply chain and end-market footprint - it caps risk appetite for the name even in a calm tape.
m25
Narrative is durable but not hot
Platform-monopoly story is moderate intensity, medium cult - reliable but not the kind of euphoria flowing into AI infra and SpaceX-adjacent names. Apple is not where the marginal speculative dollar is going.
Net I read this as a mild tailwind on AAPL specifically. The tape is calm, the platform-monopoly story is intact, and Apple just got handed a topical Intel/reshoring hook that drops it into the hottest narrative bucket in the market - while sell-side is quietly nudging targets higher. The offsets (Cook's cost warning, China/Iran, regulatory) are real but chronic, not acute. With beta near 1 and no euphoric premium being applied, the non-fundamental pressure here is gently positive, not decisive - call it a Tailwind, not a Strong Tailwind.
Verify before trusting this (5)
  • Whether the Intel/US-chip partnership keeps generating positive headline flow or fades within a week
  • Any App Store regulatory ruling or DOJ update that could break the platform-monopoly narrative
  • China demand data points or further Hormuz/Iran escalation hitting supply chain sentiment
  • Next iPhone pricing decision - confirmation or denial of Cook's cost-pressure warning
  • Continued upward target revisions vs a stall around the $326 consensus
The market-wide tape + this name's exposure to it (beta / sector / narrative durability). Context on the non-fundamental pressure — not a call on the business or the price. processId: detail-general-sentiment
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Three lenses kept deliberately separate — Company Quality (price-agnostic), Valuation (price-conditional), and General Sentiment (non-fundamental macro/narrative pressure). The scores are not blended. Filing-level items (convertibles, lock-ups, customer concentration) are v2 — see each lens's "verify."
Deep Analysis
Last run: Jun 22, 2026 3:06:41 am

Pre-flight intelligence scans the company first, then routes to the right analytical methods.

0 Company Classification — What type of company is this?
1 Industry Landscape — Where is the industry headed?
2 Company Momentum — Where is this company trending?
3 Forward Projection — 1Y & 2Y projected metrics (requires Layer 1 + 2)
4a DCF Valuation — Present value of future cash flows
4b Earnings Power Value — Floor value — worth with zero growth
4c Anchored PE — Industry PE adjusted for growth differential
4d Reverse DCF — What growth is the market pricing in?
4e Revenue-Based DCF — For growth/narrative companies (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4f Anchored P/S — Price-to-Sales peer comparison (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4g Scenario Analysis — Bull / Base / Bear (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4h Dividend Discount Model — For dividend/income stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4i Book Value Analysis — For deep value / turnaround stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4j Insider Activity — Are insiders buying or selling?
4f Cash Flow Quality — How trustworthy is the FCF?
4g Debt Maturity Risk — Can it handle its debt?
4h Macro Environment — Rates, market valuation, volatility
4i Sector Intelligence — How does this company compare within its sector?
4j Revenue Confidence — How reliable is the growth projection?
4k Sensitivity Analysis — How fragile is the fair value estimate?
4l Sector Demand Cycle — Is the sector in a boom, steady state, or contraction?
5 AI Investigation — Adaptive research engine (Claude)
5b Thesis Evaluation — What does the market believe? (narrative/platform stocks only)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
6 Valuation Synthesis — Weighted verdict from all methods (requires Layer 4)
Income Statement (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 22, 2026 3:07am (5d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue $365.8B $394.3B $383.3B $391.0B $416.2B
Cost of Revenue $213.0B $223.5B $214.1B $210.4B $221.0B
Gross Profit $152.8B $170.8B $169.1B $180.7B $195.2B
Operating Expenses $43.9B $51.3B $54.8B $57.5B $62.2B
Operating Income $108.9B $119.4B $114.3B $123.2B $133.1B
Net Income $94.7B $99.8B $97.0B $93.7B $112.0B
EBITDA $123.1B $133.1B $129.2B $134.9B $144.4B
EPS $5.67 $6.15 $6.16 $6.11 $7.49
EPS (Diluted)
Balance Sheet (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 22, 2026 3:02am (5d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Cash & Equivalents $34.9B $23.6B $30.0B $29.9B $35.9B
Total Current Assets $134.8B $135.4B $143.6B $153.0B $148.0B
Total Assets $351.0B $352.8B $352.6B $365.0B $359.2B
Current Liabilities $125.5B $154.0B $145.3B $176.4B $165.6B
Long-Term Debt $109.1B $99.0B $95.3B $85.8B $78.3B
Total Liabilities $287.9B $302.1B $290.4B $308.0B $285.5B
Total Equity $63.1B $50.7B $62.1B $57.0B $73.7B
Retained Earnings $5.6B -$3.1B -$214.0M -$19.2B -$14.3B
Cash Flow (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 22, 2026 3:07am (5d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Operating Cash Flow $104.0B $122.2B $110.5B $118.3B $111.5B
Capital Expenditure -$11.1B -$10.7B -$11.0B -$9.4B -$12.7B
Free Cash Flow $93.0B $111.4B $99.6B $108.8B $98.8B
Acquisitions (net) -$33.0M -$306.0M $0 $0 $0
Debt Repayment
Dividends Paid
Stock Buybacks -$86.0B -$89.4B -$77.6B -$94.9B -$90.7B
Net Change in Cash -$3.9B -$11.0B $5.8B -$794.0M $6.0B
Analyst Estimates (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 22, 2026 3:00am (5d ago)
Metric 2027 2028 2029 2030
Revenue $518.7B
$498.2B – $561.1B
$554.1B
$550.9B – $557.3B
$483.1B
$466.0B – $515.1B
$662.3B
$638.9B – $706.1B
EBITDA $187.2B
$179.8B – $202.5B
$200.0B
$198.8B – $201.1B
$174.4B
$168.2B – $185.9B
$239.1B
$230.6B – $254.9B
Net Income $139.9B
$137.2B – $156.1B
$154.3B
$140.8B – $177.6B
$176.8B
$168.7B – $192.1B
$192.4B
$183.5B – $208.9B
EPS
Growth Trends (YoY %)
Last updated: Jun 22, 2026 3:07am (5d ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue Growth +7.8% -2.8% +2.0% +6.4%
Gross Profit Growth +11.7% -1.0% +6.8% +8.0%
Operating Income Growth +9.6% -4.3% +7.8% +8.0%
Net Income Growth +5.4% -2.8% -3.4% +19.5%
EBITDA Growth +8.1% -3.0% +4.4% +7.0%
Insider Trading (Recent)
Last updated: Jun 22, 2026 3:06am (5d ago)
Type codes PPurchase SSale AAward / grant MOption exercise FIn-kind (tax) CConversion GGift DReturn to issuer
All SEC Form 4 codes
Open market
P Purchase
Open-market or private purchase of shares.
S Sale
Open-market or private sale of shares.
Compensation (Rule 16b-3)
A Award / grant
Grant or award of securities (RSUs, options, etc.) under Rule 16b-3.
D Return to issuer
Securities disposed back to the company under Rule 16b-3.
F In-kind (tax)
Shares withheld or delivered to pay the option-exercise price or tax — not an open-market sale.
I Discretionary
Discretionary transaction under an employee plan — Rule 16b-3(f).
M Option exercise
Exercise or conversion of a derivative (option/RSU) into shares — exempt.
Derivatives
C Conversion
Conversion of a derivative security into the underlying shares.
E Short expiration
Expiration of a short derivative position.
H Long expiration
Expiration or cancellation of a long derivative position with value received.
O OTM exercise
Exercise of an out-of-the-money derivative.
X ITM exercise
Exercise of an in-the-money or at-the-money derivative.
Other exempt
G Gift
Bona fide gift of securities.
L Small acquisition
Small acquisition under Rule 16a-6.
W Inheritance
Acquisition or disposition by will or the laws of descent.
Z Voting trust
Deposit into or withdrawal from a voting trust.
Other
J Other
Other acquisition or disposition (explained in a Form 4 footnote).
K Equity swap
Transaction in an equity swap or similar instrument.
U Tender / buyout
Disposition via tender of shares in a change-of-control transaction.

Compensation-plan codes (A, D, F, M) are routine and rarely directional. Open-market P (buy) and S (sale) carry the most signal.

Date Insider Type Shares Price Value
2026-06-15 Newstead Jennifer M-Exempt 30,104.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-15 Newstead Jennifer M-Exempt 30,104.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-15 Newstead Jennifer F-InKind 16,238.00 $296.42 $4.8M
2026-06-15 Borders Ben M-Exempt 240.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-15 Borders Ben F-InKind 124.00 $296.42 $36,756
2026-06-16 Borders Ben S-Sale 116.00 $295.14 $34,236
2026-06-15 Borders Ben M-Exempt 240.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-27 LEVINSON ARTHUR D S-Sale 50,000.00 $311.02 $15.6M
2026-05-27 LEVINSON ARTHUR D G-Gift 65,000.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-08 Borders Ben S-Sale 1,274.00 $290.00 $369,460
2026-05-06 LEVINSON ARTHUR D S-Sale 149,527.00 $284.57 $42.6M
2026-05-06 LEVINSON ARTHUR D S-Sale 100,473.00 $285.04 $28.6M
2026-05-06 LEVINSON ARTHUR D G-Gift 5,000.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-23 Parekh Kevan S-Sale 1,534.00 $275.00 $421,850
2026-04-15 Borders Ben M-Exempt 1,717.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-15 Borders Ben F-InKind 892.00 $266.43 $237,656
2026-04-15 Borders Ben M-Exempt 331.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-15 Borders Ben M-Exempt 371.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-15 Borders Ben M-Exempt 475.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-15 Borders Ben M-Exempt 540.00 $0.00 $0
Dividend History (Last 20)
Last updated: Jun 22, 2026 3:00am (5d ago)
Date Dividend Declaration Record Payment
2026-05-11 $0.27 2026-04-30 2026-05-11 2026-05-14
2026-02-09 $0.26 2026-01-29 2026-02-09 2026-02-12
2025-11-10 $0.26 2025-10-30 2025-11-10 2025-11-13
2025-08-11 $0.26 2025-07-31 2025-08-11 2025-08-14
2025-05-12 $0.26 2025-05-01 2025-05-12 2025-05-15
2025-02-10 $0.25 2025-01-30 2025-02-10 2025-02-13
2024-11-08 $0.25 2024-10-31 2024-11-11 2024-11-14
2024-08-12 $0.25 2024-08-01 2024-08-12 2024-08-15
2024-05-10 $0.25 2024-05-02 2024-05-13 2024-05-16
2024-02-09 $0.24 2024-02-01 2024-02-12 2024-02-15
2023-11-10 $0.24 2023-11-02 2023-11-13 2023-11-16
2023-08-11 $0.24 2023-08-03 2023-08-14 2023-08-17
2023-05-12 $0.24 2023-05-04 2023-05-15 2023-05-18
2023-02-10 $0.23 2023-02-02 2023-02-13 2023-02-16
2022-11-04 $0.23 2022-10-27 2022-11-07 2022-11-10
2022-08-05 $0.23 2022-07-28 2022-08-08 2022-08-11
2022-05-06 $0.23 2022-04-28 2022-05-09 2022-05-12
2022-02-04 $0.22 2022-01-27 2022-02-07 2022-02-10
2021-11-05 $0.22 2021-10-28 2021-11-08 2021-11-11
2021-08-06 $0.22 2021-07-27 2021-08-09 2021-08-12
Narrative Economics
The story the market is telling about this stock — the intangible X-factor (founder mythology, cult dynamics, TAM-of-imagination) that moves price beyond what cash flows alone explain. After Shiller, Narrative Economics.
No narrative profile yet for AAPL — it's generated by the pipeline (market-narrative step).
Delvantic AI Findings
Independent analyst synthesis · Delvantic - Cairn AI · generated 2026-06-22 03:07:22
Reviews the pipeline's own verdicts
Verdict Priced for perfection but not

Looking at the raw quarterly cadence first: Apple printed $416B in FY2025 revenue versus $391B prior, a 6.4% bump, with NI jumping from $93.7B to $112B — a 19.5% earnings YoY that flatters the trend because the FY2024 comp included a one-time European tax charge that crushed the Sept-2024 quarter to a 15.5% margin. Strip that out and underlying earnings growth is closer to high single digits, matching the 7.5% 5-yr EPS CAGR. The Dec-2025 holiday quarter at $143.8B/29.3% margin is genuinely strong (vs $124.3B prior year, +15.7%), and March-2026 at $111.2B is +16.6% YoY. So the "accelerating" tag is defensible on the top line — two quarters of mid-teens growth is a real inflection from the 4.2% 3-yr revenue CAGR. The question is whether that's a sustainable services/AI re-rate or an iPhone upgrade-cycle bulge.

On valuation, the math is unforgiving. 35.8x TTM earnings on ~$118B run-rate NI gets you to roughly $4.2T — basically where it trades. EV/EBITDA of 27.6x and P/S of 9.2x for a company compounding revenue at 4-6% structurally is a software multiple on hardware-weighted cash flows. FCF of $98.8B against a $4.38T market cap is a 2.25% FCF yield; the 10-year is ~4.3%. To justify $298 with any reasonable equity risk premium, you need FCF growth in the 8-10% range sustained for a decade-plus, or terminal multiple compression that nobody's modeling. The synthesis "priced for perfection" verdict and the market-forces "luxury brand priced as growth stock" framing both land correctly here. The narrative layer's claim of a "15-25% narrative premium" is probably understated — against a mature-earner fair multiple of 20-22x, fair value is closer to $185-205, implying a 30-40% premium, not 20%.

Where I'd push back on the prior models: the contrarian case they're missing is that Apple's "perfection" pricing might actually be rational if you believe Services is structurally undermonetized. Services hit a ~$100B run-rate at ~70%+ gross margins; if that segment compounds at 12-15% (it has been) and hardware merely treads water, mix shift alone delivers 200-300bps of consolidated margin expansion over five years, which on a flat revenue base is meaningful EPS growth. The bears (and the synthesis) anchor on iPhone saturation and China, but the FY2025 acceleration suggests either (a) the AI-driven upgrade cycle is real or (b) pricing power remains intact — either is bullish for the multiple. That said, the insider activity is telling: pure sales and gifts, zero open-market buys, including a 50,000-share sale on 5/27 at these prices. Executives with the best view of the AI roadmap are net distributing, not accumulating. The "Neutral Insider Activity" tag is too generous — this is quiet, persistent selling into strength.

Data caveats: P/B at 51.8x is meaningless because Apple has bought back so much stock that book equity is structurally depressed (~$67B equity against $4.4T cap); ignore it. The TTM-vs-annual mismatch flags are real but don't change the verdict — TTM and annual both point to a 30-35x earnings multiple. The current ratio of 0.89 would be alarming anywhere else; for Apple it reflects working-capital efficiency, not distress. The bigger gap in the file is that total debt is missing — Apple carries ~$100B of gross debt against $35B cash, so net debt of ~$65B is immaterial against $99B annual FCF but worth noting that "net cash" Apple is now a "modest net debt" Apple, which is a subtle quality degradation few discuss. I agree with the synthesis verdict directionally but think it underweights the Services re-rate optionality and overweights the AI-monetization requirement — Apple doesn't need to win AI, it needs to not lose the ecosystem, which is a much lower bar. Still, $298 demands you pay full price for an outcome that has maybe 60% odds, and the asymmetry isn't there. Fair value 20-22x on $118B NI is $235-260; current price embeds 15-25% of narrative premium that fundamentals can't fully support.

GPT Critique
Second-opinion review · gpt-4o · generated 2026-06-22 03:07:34
Reviews the Opus findings above
Verdict I agree with Opus—priced for perfection at $298, with fair value likely closer to $235-$260, given the over-reliance on high services growth and potential overstating of AI and ecosystem monetization.

In analyzing Apple's recent financial performance, several noteworthy elements stand out. First, the revenue growth from $383.29B in 2023 to $416.16B in 2025 marks a steady increase, albeit at a modest 4.2% CAGR for revenue. However, the net income jump from $93.74B in 2024 to $112.01B in 2025 is more pronounced, reflecting a 19.5% YoY increase, though this is inflated by a one-time tax issue in 2024. The gross margin has remained robust at about 47%, indicative of the strength of Apple's high-margin services. The quarterly revenue figures also show a strong holiday quarter in 2025, with $143.76B, a significant increase from the previous year's $124.3B, suggesting robust consumer demand, possibly driven by an upgrade cycle.

Opus's analysis rightly points out the valuation stretch at a P/E of 35.8x. I agree with Opus that Apple's valuation is priced for perfection; the implied FCF growth required to justify the current market cap seems overly optimistic given the mature nature of its core hardware business. Moreover, the EV/EBITDA and P/S ratios are more typical of high-growth software companies, not a hardware-centric giant like Apple, which traditionally sees lower growth rates. Opus argues that the valuation synthesis underestimates the narrative premium, suggesting a fair value closer to $185-205. I concur that the current valuation embeds a significant narrative premium, likely around 30-40%, rather than the stated 20%, particularly when considering the P/E compression that might be warranted for a mature company facing growth headwinds.

Where I diverge from Opus is on the potential of Apple's services segment. While Opus sees the services division as possibly undervalued, driving future growth, I am less convinced. The services segment, while high margin, would need to sustain extraordinary growth to materially offset hardware stagnation. The FY2025 acceleration might indicate a temporary uptick rather than a sustainable trend, especially given external pressures like regulatory scrutiny and market saturation. Additionally, Opus highlights insider selling as a red flag, which I agree with, signaling potential internal skepticism about the stock's current valuation.

A careful skeptic might argue that both Opus and I are overly fixated on the valuation metrics without fully appreciating Apple's unique ecosystem, which might justify a higher premium. They could posit that Apple's brand strength and user loyalty create a durable competitive advantage that merits higher multiples. Furthermore, skeptics might suggest that Apple's strategic moves in AI and wearables could unlock new growth avenues that are currently underappreciated.

Community AI Feedback
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My Notes personal — only you see this
Data via Financial Modeling Prep · Cached for performance · fmp
v1.1.352 · d1100787 · 2026-06-26 11:39:30