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FRESH Analysis Report
Jun 24, 2026
3 days ago · 100% complete · +8 refreshed

AbbVie Inc.

ABBV NYSE Categories PDF
Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General
North Chicago, IL 60064-6400, United States IPO 2013 abbvie.com Updated Jun 24, 3:01am
Price
$234.76
Market Cap
$414.8B
Employees
55,000
Beta
0.31
Avg Volume
6,155,766
CEO
Robert A. Michael
Business Description

AbbVie Inc. is a global biopharmaceutical company dedicated to the discovery, development, manufacturing, and commercialization of advanced medicines. Its extensive therapeutic portfolio encompasses several key areas: Immunology and Inflammation: Leading products include HUMIRA, an injectable therapy for autoimmune and intestinal Behçet's diseases; SKYRIZI, which addresses moderate to severe plaque psoriasis in adults; and RINVOQ, a JAK inhibitor for moderate to severe active rheumatoid arthritis in adult patients. Oncology and Hematology: For blood cancers, AbbVie provides IMBRUVICA and VENCLEXTA (a BCL-2 inhibitor), both indicated for adult patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) and small lymphocytic lymphoma (SLL). Virology: MAVYRET offers a treatment option for individuals with chronic HCV genotype 1-6 infection. Gastroenterology and Endocrinology: The company supplies CREON, an enzyme replacement therapy for exocrine pancreatic insufficiency, and Synthroid, used to manage hypothyroidism. Linzess/Constella helps treat irritable bowel syndrome with constipation (IBS-C) and chronic idiopathic constipation. Women's Health and Urology: Lupron serves as a palliative treatment for conditions like advanced prostate cancer, endometriosis, central precocious puberty, and anemia caused by uterine fibroids. ORILISSA, a nonpeptide small molecule GnRH antagonist, is designed for women experiencing moderate to severe endometriosis pain. Neurology: AbbVie offers Duopa and Duodopa, a levodopa-carbidopa intestinal gel for Parkinson's disease, and Ubrelvy to treat migraines (with or without aura) in adults. The therapeutic formulation of Botox is also part of its offerings. Ophthalmology: Its eye care segment features Lumigan/Ganfort (a bimatoprost ophthalmic solution) and Alphagan/Combigan (an alpha-adrenergic receptor agonist), both aimed at reducing elevated intraocular pressure (IOP) in patients with open-angle glaucoma (OAG) or ocular hypertension. Restasis, a calcineurin inhibitor immunosuppressant, is provided to enhance tear production, alongside other specialized eye care products. AbbVie Inc. also engages in research collaborations, including a partnership with Dragonfly Therapeutics, Inc. The company was founded in 2012 and operates from its headquarters in North Chicago, Illinois.

Business History
Generated: Jun 24, 2026 3:02am
Price Overview
Last updated: Jun 24, 2026 3:00am (3d ago)
$234.76
+4.75 (+2.07%)
Day Range
$231.30 – $235.31
52-Week Range
$181.73 – $244.81
50-Day MA
$212.12
200-Day MA
$220.66
Volume
7,182,895.00
Analyst Price Targets
Low $223.00
Consensus $258.00
High $298.00
(79 analysts)
Share Structure
Outstanding 1,766,792,821.00
Float 1,763,612,594.00
Free Float 99.8%
High free float — 99.8% of shares trade freely, ~0.2% held by insiders/institutions
Very liquid — most shares trade freely. Low insider ownership can mean less management alignment, but makes large position sizing straightforward.
Price History (1 Year)
Last updated: Jun 24, 2026 3:06am (3d ago)
Revenue & Net Income Trend
The directional story — useful even when net income is negative.
Last updated: Jun 24, 2026 3:06am (3d ago)
Revenue
The top line — total sales before any costs or taxes are subtracted. A measure of how much business the company is doing.
Net Income
The bottom line — profit left after subtracting all expenses, interest, and taxes from revenue. Reflects accounting profitability, but includes non-cash items like depreciation, so it isn't the same as cash earned.
Operating Cash Flow
The real cash generated by the day-to-day business — selling products, paying suppliers, collecting from customers. Calculated from net income by adding back non-cash items and adjusting for timing (unpaid bills, unsold inventory). When OCF consistently lags net income, the reported profit may not be converting to real money.
Period Revenue Net Income Net Margin YoY/QoQ
Key Metrics
API Direct from provider CALC Derived from statements
Industry comparison last run: Jun 24, 2026 3:02am
P/E Ratio (Price per dollar of earnings)
API
Stock Price / EPS (Diluted)
114.44
Stock Price: $234.76
EPS (Diluted): 2.37
P/B Ratio (Price vs net asset value)
API
Stock Price / Book Value Per Share
-124.40
Stock Price: $234.76
Total Equity: -$3.27B
Shares: 1,774,000,000
EV/EBITDA (Total value vs operating profit)
API
Enterprise Value / EBITDA
28.26
Market Cap: $414.77B
Total Debt: $68.36B
Cash: $5.23B
EBITDA: $17.63B
Enterprise Value (Takeover price (cap + debt - cash))
API
Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash
$470.6B
Market Cap: $414.77B
Total Debt: $68.36B
Cash: $5.23B
Gross Margin (Revenue left after direct costs)
API
Gross Profit / Revenue
70.2%
Gross Profit: $42.96B
Revenue: $61.16B
Operating Margin (Revenue left after all operations)
API
Operating Income / Revenue
32.8%
Operating Income: $20.09B
Revenue: $61.16B
Net Margin (Revenue left as actual profit)
API
Net Income / Revenue
6.9%
Net Income: $4.23B
Revenue: $61.16B
ROE (Profit from shareholder equity)
API
Net Income / Total Equity
68.0%
Net Income: $4.23B
Total Equity: -$3.27B
ROIC (Profit from all invested capital)
API
NOPAT / Invested Capital
10.3%
Operating Income: $20.09B
Tax Rate: 35.8%
Equity: -$3.27B
Total Debt: $68.36B
Cash: $5.23B
Current Ratio (Can it pay short-term bills)
API
Current Assets / Current Liabilities
0.67
Current Assets: $29.06B
Current Liabilities: $43.29B
Debt/Equity (Leverage — debt vs equity)
CALC
Total Debt / Total Equity
-20.90
Short-Term Debt: $8.75B
Long-Term Debt: $59.61B
Total Debt: $68.36B
Total Equity: -$3.27B
Rev/Share (Top-line per share)
CALC
Revenue / Shares Outstanding
$34.48
Revenue: $61.16B
Shares: 1,774,000,000
Book Value/Share (Net assets per share)
CALC
(Total Assets - Total Liabilities) / Shares
$-1.84
Total Equity: -$3.27B
Shares: 1,774,000,000
FCF/Share (Real cash generated per share)
CALC
(Operating Cash Flow + CapEx) / Shares
$10.04
Operating CF: $19.03B
CapEx: -$1.21B
Shares: 1,774,000,000
CapEx is negative (outflow) — added to OCF to get FCF
Div Yield (Annual income from holding)
API
Last Annual Dividend / Stock Price
2.9%
Last Dividend: N/A
Stock Price: $234.76
Payout Ratio (Earnings paid out as dividends)
Dividends Paid / Net Income
Dividends Paid: N/A
Net Income: $4.23B
Dividends paid not available in cash flow statement
Industry Benchmarks
Last run: Jun 24, 2026 3:02am
Compares ABBV against LLM-researched typical ranges for its industry. One research call per industry, cached indefinitely — every stock in the same industry reuses the same baseline.
Advanced Analysis Forensic deep-dive · three lenses
Three separate reads — Company Quality (is it a great business?), Valuation (is it mispriced?), and General Sentiment (how macro + narrative are pushing it), kept deliberately apart · 2026-06-24 03:09:34
Delvantic - Cairn AI
Quality - wait for a dip 7/10
Great franchise (+49 quality) but I'm being asked to overpay ~24% (-77 value), and the +56 sentiment tailwind is exactly what's keeping it expensive - so wait for the pullback.
The cruxEntry price. The Humira-handoff thesis is real and largely working, but it's fully in the tape at $235; the play is whether I get a chance to buy it closer to $195-200.
Forensic checks Derived mechanically from ABBV's filed financials — not from the AI lenses
Liquidity & RunwaySelf-Funding
DilutionStable Share Count
Earnings QualityHigh Earnings Quality
The three lensesswitch a tab for its full read — score + evidence
Company Quality
+49
Strong
edge √Σ 134 · risk √Σ 85 · conf 7/10

AbbVie remains a cash machine: revenue recovered from the 2023 Humira biosimilar trough ($54.3B) to $61.2B in 2025, gross margins are back to 70%+, and FCF has been $17-24B every year for five years. The Skyrizi/Rinvoq immunology successors plus the Allergan portfolio appear to be carrying the franchise through the loss-of-exclusivity transition, and 2025 operating margin snapped back to 32.8% from a depressed 16.2% in 2024 (which was weighed by acquisition-related IPR and D charges, inferred). Earnings quality screens clean: OCF/NI of 3.54x, accruals -10.5% of assets, Beneish M of -2.87 - no manipulation flags. Share count is essentially flat (diluted CAGR ~0%), buybacks run 178% of SBC, and SBC is only 1.6% of revenue, so per-share value is genuinely protected. The real constraint is the balance sheet: net debt of roughly $63B against only $5.3B liquid cash, with $8.75B short-term debt exceeding cash on hand. Altman Z of 2.48 sits in the grey zone. For a company throwing off $17B+ FCF this is serviceable, but it is a constraint, not a cushion - leaving little room for another large levered deal without stressing the structure. Insider tape is routine equity awards with no open-market buys and modest sales ($21.8M over 12 months); not a quality signal either way.

Strengths 4
m80
Durable FCF generation through LOE
FCF of $22.0B/$24.3B/$22.1B/$17.8B/$17.8B across 2021-2025 despite the Humira biosimilar cliff - demonstrates real franchise depth beyond a single drug.
m70
Clean earnings quality
OCF/NI 3.54x, accruals -10.5% of assets, Beneish M -2.87. No mechanical red flags - reported numbers appear to be real cash economics.
m60
Margins recovered and dilution disciplined
Gross margin back to 70.2% and operating margin 32.8% in 2025; diluted share count essentially flat at 1.77-1.78B since 2021 with buybacks 178% of SBC.
m55
Successor immunology franchise working
Revenue grew from $54.3B (2023 trough) to $61.2B (2025), implying Skyrizi/Rinvoq plus Allergan assets are absorbing the Humira erosion - the most important quality test for this business.
Concerns 3
m65
Heavy net debt position
Net cash of -$63.1B with only $5.26B liquid against $8.75B short-term debt. Altman Z 2.48 (grey). FCF covers it, but it removes optionality and any FCF wobble tightens the screw.
m45
Net income volatility vs cash flow
Net income fell from $11.8B (2022) to $4.2-4.9B in 2023-2025 even as FCF stayed strong - suggests heavy non-cash charges (amortization, IPR and D) from M and A that distort GAAP earnings comparability.
m30
No insider conviction buying
Zero open-market purchases over 12 months against $21.8M in sales; routine but not a vote of confidence at the executive level.
This is a high-quality cash-generation business that just proved it can survive its biggest patent cliff with margins and FCF largely intact - that is the single most important quality test for big pharma and AbbVie passed it. Earnings integrity is genuinely clean and per-share discipline is real. What keeps it out of fortress territory is the levered balance sheet: $63B net debt and $5B of liquid cash means there is no margin of error if the immunology successors stumble or if another large deal stacks on more debt. Solid-to-strong operator, not a pristine compounder.
Verify before trusting this (6)
  • Pace of Humira erosion vs Skyrizi/Rinvoq growth trajectory in segment disclosures
  • Debt maturity ladder and refinancing schedule for the $8.75B short-term portion
  • Nature of 2023-2024 operating margin compression - acquired IPR and D vs operational issues
  • Pipeline depth beyond immunology (oncology, neuroscience) to gauge next-decade durability
  • Patent cliff exposure for Skyrizi and Rinvoq themselves (late 2020s/early 2030s)
  • Goodwill and intangibles on balance sheet from Allergan and other deals - impairment risk
Valuation / Mispricing
-77
Rich
edge √Σ 25 · risk √Σ 102 · conf 7/10
Price $234.76 vs deserved ~$190, ~24% overpay - priced for continued post-Humira execution with little room for slippage. attractive below $195.00

The e2e composite and signal-adjusted fair value both land at $189.93, while shares change hands at $234.76. That is roughly a 24% premium to deserved value, or put differently, the market is paying $235 for what the blended methods say is worth $190. Earnings quality is high (no haircut needed) and the business is genuinely strong, which justifies a premium multiple - but a premium is already embedded in the $190 fair value, so paying another ~24% on top is doubling up on quality.

Cheap signals 1
m25
High earnings quality supports a modest premium to FV
Clean cash conversion and per-share discipline argue the true deserved value is slightly above the $190 composite - maybe $200-210 - which trims, but does not close, the gap.
Rich / priced-in 4
m70
24% premium to composite FV
Composite and signal-adjusted FV both $189.93 vs price $234.76 - the gap is large and consistent across methods, not a single outlier.
m55
Priced for smooth Humira handoff
Market cap of $415B implies investors fully believe RINVOQ/SKYRIZI ramp offsets the Humira cliff with minimal scarring - that outcome is now the base case in the price, not the upside.
m40
Leverage caps the deserved multiple
$63B net debt limits how much premium the balance sheet deserves; a fortress pharma would warrant the current multiple, ABBV does not quite.
m30
Narrative already consensus
'Steady compounder post-Humira' is the bull case AND the market view - when narrative and price align this tightly, mispricing is unlikely to be on the cheap side.
I think ABBV is a great business at a full price, which is exactly the setup that scores poorly on this lens. Fair value clusters near $190 and I will give quality some credit to push deserved value to roughly $200-210, but I am still being asked to pay $235. That is no margin of safety on a name with $63B of net debt and an ongoing patent-cliff transition. I would want shares closer to $195 before this becomes interesting; in the $210s it is a hold-not-a-buy, and at $235 the risk/reward on price alone is unattractive.
Verify before trusting this (4)
  • RINVOQ and SKYRIZI quarterly script trends and guidance updates
  • Updated immunology peak-sales guidance from management
  • Net debt paydown pace and any large BD/M&A that re-levers
  • Oncology pipeline readouts that could justify a higher deserved value
General Sentiment
+56
Tailwind
tail √Σ 110 · head √Σ 54 · conf 7/10

The macro tape is neutral-to-slightly-soft (VIX 19.5, S&P off 3% from highs, 10y at 4.5%), which would normally drag equities, but with a beta of 0.31 ABBV barely feels the rates pressure. Big Pharma is currently the market's preferred hide-out: the healthcare sector closed higher Tuesday, and the active narrative around ABBV is the 'boring but trustworthy' steady-compounder archetype that investors lean into during regime uncertainty. That archetype is being actively reinforced this week by the $10.9B Apogee deal, which the tape read as a pipeline-deepening, immunology-bolstering move - shares jumped, and the bull case (offsetting HUMIRA cliff with JAK and now Apogee assets) just got fresh oxygen. Analyst tone confirms the lean: 28 Buys vs 12 Holds, target $258 vs $235, and 2 upward revisions this month averaging $266.5 - tone is tilting MORE positive, not diverging negatively from the narrative. The competing news flow (Lilly dominating by 2032, Merck's $50B plan) is a low-grade headwind reminding investors ABBV is not the glamour name in pharma, but the cult coefficient is low and nobody owns ABBV for glamour. Net: defensive sector bid + fresh deal narrative + improving analyst revisions > mild macro drag.

Tailwinds 4
m70
Apogee deal refreshes pipeline narrative
The $10.9B APGE buyout directly attacks the bear thesis (HUMIRA cliff, thin pipeline) and was received positively - ABBV jumped on the news. Gives the steady-compounder story a concrete forward catalyst.
m55
Low beta insulates from soft tape
Beta 0.31 means the neutral/slightly risk-off market and 4.5% 10y barely transmit to this name. In an uncertain regime, defensive dividend pharma is exactly where flows hide.
m50
Analyst revisions tilting up
Two upward revisions this month averaging $266.5 vs consensus $258 - tone is strengthening, not fading, and is not diverging negatively from the live narrative.
m40
Healthcare sector bid
NYSE Healthcare Index +1.5% on the session; sector rotation into defensives is a quiet but real tailwind for a low-beta pharma name.
Headwinds 2
m45
Lilly and Merck steal the pharma spotlight
News flow frames LLY as the 2032 winner and MRK as the surprise re-rating story. ABBV risks being the 'boring' relative trade - capital may chase the higher-narrative names within pharma.
m30
Macro rates backdrop
10y at 4.5% and stretched market PE are a generic drag on all equities, including dividend-yield proxies like ABBV - muted by low beta but not zero.
Net pressure here is a modest tailwind. The macro tape is soft but ABBV's 0.31 beta makes that nearly irrelevant, while the live narrative just got a concrete refresh from the Apogee deal and analyst revisions are ticking up, not down. The story stays intact - 'boring, durable, dividend-safe pharma with a freshly deepened pipeline' - and that is exactly the archetype a neutral-to-uncertain tape rewards. The only real sentiment drag is that LLY and MRK are sucking the oxygen out of the pharma headline space, but ABBV holders don't own it for headlines. Lean tailwind, moderate conviction.
Verify before trusting this (4)
  • Whether Apogee deal sentiment holds past the initial pop or fades into integration concerns
  • Any further analyst target hikes following the APGE announcement
  • Rotation flows: if risk-on returns, defensive pharma bid could reverse
  • HUMIRA biosimilar erosion datapoints in next print - could break the steady-compounder narrative
The market-wide tape + this name's exposure to it (beta / sector / narrative durability). Context on the non-fundamental pressure — not a call on the business or the price. processId: detail-general-sentiment
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Three lenses kept deliberately separate — Company Quality (price-agnostic), Valuation (price-conditional), and General Sentiment (non-fundamental macro/narrative pressure). The scores are not blended. Filing-level items (convertibles, lock-ups, customer concentration) are v2 — see each lens's "verify."
Deep Analysis
Last run: Jun 24, 2026 3:06:01 am

Pre-flight intelligence scans the company first, then routes to the right analytical methods.

0 Company Classification — What type of company is this?
1 Industry Landscape — Where is the industry headed?
2 Company Momentum — Where is this company trending?
3 Forward Projection — 1Y & 2Y projected metrics (requires Layer 1 + 2)
4a DCF Valuation — Present value of future cash flows
4b Earnings Power Value — Floor value — worth with zero growth
4c Anchored PE — Industry PE adjusted for growth differential
4d Reverse DCF — What growth is the market pricing in?
4e Revenue-Based DCF — For growth/narrative companies (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for High Growth Profitable companies
4f Anchored P/S — Price-to-Sales peer comparison (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for High Growth Profitable companies
4g Scenario Analysis — Bull / Base / Bear (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for High Growth Profitable companies
4h Dividend Discount Model — For dividend/income stocks only
Not applicable for High Growth Profitable companies
4i Book Value Analysis — For deep value / turnaround stocks only
Not applicable for High Growth Profitable companies
4j Insider Activity — Are insiders buying or selling?
4f Cash Flow Quality — How trustworthy is the FCF?
4g Debt Maturity Risk — Can it handle its debt?
4h Macro Environment — Rates, market valuation, volatility
4i Sector Intelligence — How does this company compare within its sector?
4j Revenue Confidence — How reliable is the growth projection?
4k Sensitivity Analysis — How fragile is the fair value estimate?
4l Sector Demand Cycle — Is the sector in a boom, steady state, or contraction?
5 AI Investigation — Adaptive research engine (Claude)
5b Thesis Evaluation — What does the market believe? (narrative/platform stocks only)
Not applicable for High Growth Profitable companies
6 Valuation Synthesis — Weighted verdict from all methods (requires Layer 4)
Income Statement (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 24, 2026 3:06am (3d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue $56.2B $58.1B $54.3B $56.3B $61.2B
Cost of Revenue $17.4B $17.4B $20.4B $16.9B $18.2B
Gross Profit $38.8B $40.6B $33.9B $39.4B $43.0B
Operating Expenses $20.8B $22.5B $21.1B $30.3B $22.9B
Operating Income $17.9B $18.1B $12.8B $9.1B $20.1B
Net Income $11.5B $11.8B $4.9B $4.3B $4.2B
EBITDA $23.9B $24.2B $17.2B $14.9B $17.6B
EPS $6.48 $6.65 $2.73 $2.40 $2.37
EPS (Diluted)
Balance Sheet (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 24, 2026 3:00am (3d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Cash & Equivalents $9.7B $9.2B $12.8B $5.5B $5.2B
Total Current Assets $27.9B $28.5B $33.0B $25.6B $29.1B
Total Assets $146.5B $138.8B $134.7B $135.2B $134.0B
Current Liabilities $35.2B $29.5B $37.8B $38.7B $43.3B
Long-Term Debt $64.2B $59.1B $52.2B $60.3B $59.6B
Total Liabilities $131.1B $121.5B $124.3B $131.8B $137.2B
Total Equity $15.4B $17.3B $10.4B $3.3B -$3.3B
Retained Earnings $3.1B $4.8B -$1.0B -$7.9B -$15.5B
Cash Flow (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 24, 2026 3:06am (3d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Operating Cash Flow $22.8B $24.9B $22.8B $18.8B $19.0B
Capital Expenditure -$787.0M -$695.0M -$777.0M -$974.0M -$1.2B
Free Cash Flow $22.0B $24.2B $22.1B $17.8B $17.8B
Acquisitions (net) -$1.9B -$794.0M -$1.2B -$17.5B -$204.0M
Debt Repayment
Dividends Paid
Stock Buybacks -$934.0M -$1.5B -$2.0B -$1.7B -$980.0M
Net Change in Cash $1.3B -$545.0M $3.6B -$7.3B -$295.0M
Analyst Estimates (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 24, 2026 3:00am (3d ago)
Metric 2027 2028 2029 2030
Revenue $72.7B
$71.2B – $74.0B
$78.0B
$77.9B – $78.0B
$82.2B
$80.5B – $83.4B
$83.7B
$82.0B – $84.9B
EBITDA $24.9B
$24.4B – $25.3B
$26.7B
$26.7B – $26.7B
$28.1B
$27.6B – $28.5B
$28.7B
$28.1B – $29.1B
Net Income $29.3B
$27.7B – $30.8B
$30.3B
$24.6B – $35.9B
$34.7B
$33.8B – $35.3B
$35.7B
$34.7B – $36.3B
EPS
Growth Trends (YoY %)
Last updated: Jun 24, 2026 3:06am (3d ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue Growth +3.3% -6.4% +3.7% +8.6%
Gross Profit Growth +4.9% -16.6% +16.3% +8.9%
Operating Income Growth +1.1% -29.6% -28.4% +119.9%
Net Income Growth +2.5% -58.9% -12.0% -1.2%
EBITDA Growth +1.0% -29.0% -13.2% +18.2%
Insider Trading (Recent)
Last updated: Jun 24, 2026 3:06am (3d ago)
Type codes PPurchase SSale AAward / grant MOption exercise FIn-kind (tax) CConversion GGift DReturn to issuer
All SEC Form 4 codes
Open market
P Purchase
Open-market or private purchase of shares.
S Sale
Open-market or private sale of shares.
Compensation (Rule 16b-3)
A Award / grant
Grant or award of securities (RSUs, options, etc.) under Rule 16b-3.
D Return to issuer
Securities disposed back to the company under Rule 16b-3.
F In-kind (tax)
Shares withheld or delivered to pay the option-exercise price or tax — not an open-market sale.
I Discretionary
Discretionary transaction under an employee plan — Rule 16b-3(f).
M Option exercise
Exercise or conversion of a derivative (option/RSU) into shares — exempt.
Derivatives
C Conversion
Conversion of a derivative security into the underlying shares.
E Short expiration
Expiration of a short derivative position.
H Long expiration
Expiration or cancellation of a long derivative position with value received.
O OTM exercise
Exercise of an out-of-the-money derivative.
X ITM exercise
Exercise of an in-the-money or at-the-money derivative.
Other exempt
G Gift
Bona fide gift of securities.
L Small acquisition
Small acquisition under Rule 16a-6.
W Inheritance
Acquisition or disposition by will or the laws of descent.
Z Voting trust
Deposit into or withdrawal from a voting trust.
Other
J Other
Other acquisition or disposition (explained in a Form 4 footnote).
K Equity swap
Transaction in an equity swap or similar instrument.
U Tender / buyout
Disposition via tender of shares in a change-of-control transaction.

Compensation-plan codes (A, D, F, M) are routine and rarely directional. Open-market P (buy) and S (sale) carry the most signal.

Date Insider Type Shares Price Value
2026-05-08 FALK THOMAS J A-Award 1,118.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-08 WADDELL FREDERICK H A-Award 1,118.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-08 Roberts Rebecca B A-Award 1,118.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-08 RAPP EDWARD J A-Award 1,118.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-08 Quaggin Susan E A-Award 1,118.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-08 MEYER MELODY B A-Award 1,118.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-08 Hart Brett J A-Award 1,118.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-08 FREYMAN THOMAS C A-Award 1,118.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-08 Davis Jennifer L. A-Award 1,118.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-08 BURNSIDE WILLIAM H.L. A-Award 1,118.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-08 AUSTIN ROXANNE S A-Award 1,118.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-31 Quaggin Susan E A-Award 71.00 $217.49 $15,442
2026-03-31 RAPP EDWARD J A-Award 155.00 $217.49 $33,711
2026-03-31 Alpern Robert J A-Award 35.00 $217.49 $7,612
2026-02-27 Purdue David Ryan F-InKind 2,108.00 $232.08 $489,225
2026-03-04 Purdue David Ryan S-Sale 5,230.00 $233.56 $1.2M
2026-02-27 Crum Demetris D F-InKind 1,594.00 $232.08 $369,936
2026-02-27 Thakkar Roopal F-InKind 8,037.00 $232.08 $1.9M
2026-02-27 Michael Robert A. F-InKind 36,523.00 $232.08 $8.5M
2026-02-27 Stewart Jeffrey Ryan F-InKind 23,812.00 $232.08 $5.5M
Dividend History (Last 20)
Last updated: Jun 24, 2026 3:00am (3d ago)
Date Dividend Declaration Record Payment
2026-07-15 $1.73 2026-06-18 2026-07-15 2026-08-14
2026-04-15 $1.73 2026-02-19 2026-04-15 2026-05-15
2026-01-16 $1.73 2025-10-31 2026-01-16 2026-02-17
2025-10-15 $1.64 2025-09-05 2025-10-15 2025-11-14
2025-07-15 $1.64 2025-06-20 2025-07-15 2025-08-15
2025-04-15 $1.64 2025-02-13 2025-04-15 2025-05-15
2025-01-15 $1.64 2024-10-30 2025-01-15 2025-02-14
2024-10-15 $1.55 2024-09-06 2024-10-15 2024-11-15
2024-07-15 $1.55 2024-06-20 2024-07-15 2024-08-15
2024-04-12 $1.55 2024-02-15 2024-04-15 2024-05-15
2024-01-12 $1.55 2023-10-27 2024-01-16 2024-02-15
2023-10-12 $1.48 2023-09-08 2023-10-13 2023-11-15
2023-07-13 $1.48 2023-06-22 2023-07-14 2023-08-15
2023-04-13 $1.48 2023-02-16 2023-04-14 2023-05-15
2023-01-12 $1.48 2022-10-28 2023-01-13 2023-02-15
2022-10-13 $1.41 2022-09-09 2022-10-14 2022-11-15
2022-07-14 $1.41 2022-06-23 2022-07-15 2022-08-15
2022-04-13 $1.41 2022-02-17 2022-04-15 2022-05-16
2022-01-13 $1.41 2021-10-29 2022-01-14 2022-02-15
2021-10-14 $1.30 2021-09-10 2021-10-15 2021-11-15
Narrative Economics
The story the market is telling about this stock — the intangible X-factor (founder mythology, cult dynamics, TAM-of-imagination) that moves price beyond what cash flows alone explain. After Shiller, Narrative Economics.
No narrative profile yet for ABBV — it's generated by the pipeline (market-narrative step).
Delvantic AI Findings
Independent analyst synthesis · Delvantic - Cairn AI · generated 2026-06-24 03:06:41
Reviews the pipeline's own verdicts
Verdict I dissent mildly from "Reasonable Premium" toward "Fairly Valued, Modestly Rich." At $234.76, you're paying 23.3x FCF and 28x EV/EBITDA for 8% revenue growth, a 2.87% yield, and a credible-but-not-derisked HUMIRA transition. The bull DCF gets you to ~$240-250 assuming SKYRIZI/RINVOQ hit $30B combined by 2027 and margins normalize to 25%+ net by 2028 as Allergan amortization rolls off. The bear DCF (Narrative engine's $190) assumes JAK adoption stalls and Lilly's Omvoh/mirikizumab takes share. My fair value sits at $210-220 — call it a 6-10% overvaluation, not the 24% the narrative model claims. Not a sell, not a buy at this print. The trade is: wait for a $200-205 print

Starting with the raw tape: TTM revenue is roughly $62.8B (Q2'25 through Q1'26: 15.42+15.78+16.62+15.00), up from ~$58B a year prior — call it 8% organic growth, consistent with the SKYRIZI/RINVOQ ramp narrative. But the net income line is ugly and noisy: Q1'26 NI $699M on $15B revenue (4.7% margin), Q3'25 NI $186M (1.2%), Q4'24 essentially zero. Full-year 2025 GAAP NI of $4.23B on $61.16B revenue is a 6.9% net margin versus 20%+ in 2021-22. Operating income did rebound to $20.1B in 2025 from $9.1B in 2024, so the operating engine is recovering — the gap between op income and NI ($20.1B vs $4.2B) is the IPR&D charges, amortization of the Allergan/ImmunoGen/Cerevel deals, and interest expense on the debt stack. FCF of $17.8B against a $415B market cap is a 4.3% FCF yield, plus a 2.87% dividend. That is not "priced for perfection"; that is priced like a quality compounder with a known overhang.

Where I diverge from the prior models: the pre-flight thesis says the market implies "15% margins, not 20%." Look at the actual operating margin — 32.9% TTM and 32.9% on 2025 annual. The GAAP NI compression is largely non-cash amortization and one-time charges, not a real economic margin collapse. EV/EBITDA of 28x is the more honest multiple and it is rich — but not crazy for a company growing revenue 8-9% with $17.8B in FCF and a credible post-HUMIRA growth algorithm (SKYRIZI alone is tracking to $20B+ peak). The synthesis verdict of "Reasonable Premium" is directionally right but understates the cash quality. The Market Narrative engine's $190 DCF fair value implies a 19% downside; I think that DCF is using GAAP earnings and missing that maintenance capex is only $1.2B against $19B operating cash — this is a capital-light franchise with structurally high FCF conversion.

The contrarian case I'd actually press: (1) The Q1'26 print shows revenue stepped down to $15.00B from $16.62B in Q4'25 — sequential deceleration that could be seasonality but warrants scrutiny against the "accelerating SKYRIZI ramp" story. Recent revenue YoY of 8.6% is good, but the quarterly trend tag says "decelerating," and that matters at 28x EV/EBITDA. (2) Negative book value (P/B -124) means AbbVie has bought back more equity than it has retained earnings and carries $60B+ of goodwill from Allergan — any impairment is a headline risk and the balance sheet has zero margin of safety, current ratio 0.67. (3) Cash is only $5.23B against a debt load the file conspicuously omits (it's ~$67B gross last I checked); refinancing at 5%+ rates versus the sub-3% legacy stack is a real EPS drag the bulls hand-wave. (4) JAK class safety overhangs (boxed warnings on RINVOQ) are a tail risk that doesn't show up in any multiple until it does. (5) Insider activity is ten identical 1,118-share awards on the same day — that's a board grant, not a signal; the "Neutral Insider Activity" tag is correct but the absence of open-market buying at $235 is itself a mild tell.

GPT Critique
Second-opinion review · gpt-4o · generated 2026-06-24 03:06:52
Reviews the Opus findings above
Verdict I disagree with Opus's mild dissent towards "Fairly Valued, Modestly Rich." At $234.76, AbbVie appears overvalued, considering the financial headwinds and balance sheet concerns. I would peg fair value closer to $200, aligning with the risks of the HUMIRA transition and current financial metrics.

In analyzing AbbVie's recent financial performance, a few key points stand out. The company's quarterly revenue has been relatively stable, with a slight upward trend over the past year, reaching $15.00 billion in Q1 2026. However, net income has been erratic, with significant fluctuations in margins, such as a 4.7% margin in the most recent quarter down from 10.9% in the prior quarter. The annual figures show a stark contrast between operating and net income, likely due to non-cash charges, indicating that while operationally strong, AbbVie's profitability is heavily impacted by amortization and interest expenses. Their cash flow remains robust with a free cash flow of $17.82 billion, supporting a 2.87% dividend yield, a clear signal of financial strength amidst the transition from HUMIRA.

I disagree with Opus's assertion that AbbVie is "not priced for perfection" but is a "quality compounder with a known overhang." The high EV/EBITDA of 28x amidst a transitioning phase suggests that much optimism is baked into the current price. While Opus mentions the credible growth trajectory with SKYRIZI and RINVOQ, the significant amortization charges and the negative book value due to the Allergan acquisition are concerning, reflecting potential balance sheet vulnerabilities. The high price-to-earnings ratio of 114.44x further indicates that the market's valuation is aggressive given the current earnings profile.

I concur with Opus's point on the potential risks arising from the "sequential deceleration" in revenue from Q4 2025 to Q1 2026, which contradicts the narrative of an accelerating SKYRIZI ramp. This deceleration, combined with the negative book value and significant goodwill, suggests a precarious balance sheet position that could become problematic if the macro environment worsens or if competitive pressures from Eli Lilly intensify.

A careful skeptic might argue that both Opus and I are underestimating AbbVie's potential for operational improvement and margin recovery, particularly if the company's pipeline assets diversify successfully. They might also point to the company's strategic acquisitions as a long-term value driver, which could mitigate the immediate concerns around amortization and debt. However, this optimism is contingent on execution and market conditions, which remain uncertain.

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My Notes personal — only you see this
Data via Financial Modeling Prep · Cached for performance · fmp
v1.1.352 · d1100787 · 2026-06-26 11:39:30