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AGING Analysis Report
Jun 1, 2026
25 days ago · 86% complete · +4 refreshed

AtriCure, Inc.

ATRC NASDAQ Categories PDF
Healthcare · Medical - Instruments & Supplies
Mason, OH 45040, United States IPO 2005 atricure.com Updated Jun 27, 7:59am
Price
$30.18
Market Cap
$1.5B
Employees
1,300
Beta
1.26
Avg Volume
861,261
CEO
Michael H. Carrel
Business Description

AtriCure, Inc. creates, produces, and markets medical devices for the surgical treatment of cardiac tissue and intercostal nerves. Its market reach spans the United States, Europe, Asia, and other international territories. The company's product line features various ablation technologies. These include Isolator Synergy Clamps, which are single-use radiofrequency products. Its multifunctional pens, such as the MAX Pen, uniquely enable surgeons to evaluate cardiac arrhythmias, conduct temporary pacing, sensing, and stimulation, and perform tissue ablation with a single device. The Coolrail device facilitates the creation of longer linear ablation lines. For varying lengths of linear ablations, the CryoICE Cryoablation System is available. Furthermore, the EPi-Sense Guided Coagulation System is a single-use solution for the treatment of symptomatic, drug-refractory, and long-standing persistent atrial fibrillation. AtriCure also provides systems for cardiac appendage management and soft-tissue closure. The AtriClip System is an implantable device accompanied by a disposable applier, while the LARIAT System offers a suture-based solution for soft-tissue closure, compatible with various anatomical shapes. Additionally, AtriCure offers supplementary surgical tools including Lumitip Dissectors, designed to separate tissues for optimal access, Glidepath guides for precise clamp placement, and Subtle Cannulas facilitating access for EPi-Sense catheters. A suite of reusable cardiac surgery instruments, crucial for procedures involving heart valve repair or replacement, is also available. The company distributes its offerings through a combination of independent distributors and direct sales personnel. Founded in 2000, AtriCure maintains its headquarters in Mason, Ohio.

Business History
Generated: Jun 1, 2026 7:26pm
Price Overview
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 7:59am (just now)
$30.18
+2.05 (+7.29%)
Day Range
$28.29 – $30.38
52-Week Range
$25.36 – $43.18
50-Day MA
$28.01
200-Day MA
$33.26
Volume
2,383,303.00
Analyst Price Targets
Low $44.00
Consensus $51.33
High $55.00
(17 analysts)
Share Structure
Outstanding 50,640,970.00
Float 48,551,017.00
Free Float 95.9%
High free float — 95.9% of shares trade freely, ~4.1% held by insiders/institutions
Very liquid — most shares trade freely. Low insider ownership can mean less management alignment, but makes large position sizing straightforward.
Price History (1 Year)
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 7:59am (just now)
Revenue & Net Income Trend
The directional story — useful even when net income is negative.
Last updated: Jun 22, 2026 4:11pm (4d ago)
Revenue
The top line — total sales before any costs or taxes are subtracted. A measure of how much business the company is doing.
Net Income
The bottom line — profit left after subtracting all expenses, interest, and taxes from revenue. Reflects accounting profitability, but includes non-cash items like depreciation, so it isn't the same as cash earned.
Operating Cash Flow
The real cash generated by the day-to-day business — selling products, paying suppliers, collecting from customers. Calculated from net income by adding back non-cash items and adjusting for timing (unpaid bills, unsold inventory). When OCF consistently lags net income, the reported profit may not be converting to real money.
Period Revenue Net Income Net Margin YoY/QoQ
Key Metrics
API Direct from provider CALC Derived from statements
Industry comparison last run: Jun 1, 2026 8:06pm
P/E Ratio (Price per dollar of earnings)
CALC
Stock Price / EPS (Diluted)
-125.75
Stock Price: $30.18
EPS (Diluted): -0.24
P/B Ratio (Price vs net asset value)
API
Stock Price / Book Value Per Share
3.84
Stock Price: $30.18
Total Equity: $491.94M
Shares: 47,750,000
EV/EBITDA (Total value vs operating profit)
API
Enterprise Value / EBITDA
58.99
Market Cap: $1.53B
Total Debt: $76.50M
Cash: $167.43M
EBITDA: $16.25M
Enterprise Value (Takeover price (cap + debt - cash))
API
Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash
$1.8B
Market Cap: $1.53B
Total Debt: $76.50M
Cash: $167.43M
P/S Ratio (Price per dollar of revenue)
API
Stock Price / Revenue Per Share
3.53
Stock Price: $30.18
Revenue: $534.53M
Shares: 47,750,000
EV/Sales (Total value vs revenue — works when P/E can't)
API
3.39
Gross Margin (Revenue left after direct costs)
API
Gross Profit / Revenue
74.4%
Gross Profit: $397.74M
Revenue: $534.53M
Operating Margin (Revenue left after all operations)
API
Operating Income / Revenue
-0.6%
Operating Income: -$3.45M
Revenue: $534.53M
Net Margin (Revenue left as actual profit)
API
Net Income / Revenue
-2.1%
Net Income: -$11.45M
Revenue: $534.53M
ROE (Profit from shareholder equity)
API
Net Income / Total Equity
-1.0%
Net Income: -$11.45M
Total Equity: $491.94M
ROIC (Profit from all invested capital)
API
NOPAT / Invested Capital
-0.3%
Operating Income: -$3.45M
Tax Rate: -12.6%
Equity: $491.94M
Total Debt: $76.50M
Cash: $167.43M
Current Ratio (Can it pay short-term bills)
API
Current Assets / Current Liabilities
3.96
Current Assets: $322.52M
Current Liabilities: $81.52M
Debt/Equity (Leverage — debt vs equity)
CALC
Total Debt / Total Equity
0.16
Short-Term Debt: $3.12M
Long-Term Debt: $73.38M
Total Debt: $76.50M
Total Equity: $491.94M
Rev/Share (Top-line per share)
CALC
Revenue / Shares Outstanding
$11.19
Revenue: $534.53M
Shares: 47,750,000
Book Value/Share (Net assets per share)
CALC
(Total Assets - Total Liabilities) / Shares
$10.30
Total Equity: $491.94M
Shares: 47,750,000
FCF/Share (Real cash generated per share)
CALC
(Operating Cash Flow + CapEx) / Shares
$1.01
Operating CF: $57.33M
CapEx: -$9.05M
Shares: 47,750,000
CapEx is negative (outflow) — added to OCF to get FCF
Div Yield (Annual income from holding)
API
Last Annual Dividend / Stock Price
0.0%
Last Dividend: N/A
Stock Price: $30.18
Payout Ratio (Earnings paid out as dividends)
Dividends Paid / Net Income
Dividends Paid: N/A
Net Income: -$11.45M
Dividends paid not available in cash flow statement
Industry Benchmarks
Last run: Jun 1, 2026 8:06pm
Compares ATRC against LLM-researched typical ranges for its industry. One research call per industry, cached indefinitely — every stock in the same industry reuses the same baseline.
Advanced Analysis Forensic deep-dive · three lenses
The "final boss" read — Opus reviews every forensic module + the full e2e analysis · 2026-06-02 15:48:08
Legacy single-score read — re-run the extended pipeline to get the two-lens split.
Real FCF inflection at AtriCure is genuine, but the 9% SBC drag and PFA competitive overhang keep this from being a clean winner at $26.
+1 Hold / Neutral

The numbers tell a more constructive story than the 'pre-profit growth' label suggests. Revenue compounded from $274M (2021) to $534M (2025) — roughly 18% CAGR — at a remarkably stable 74-75% gross margin, and operating margin has marched from -12.9% (2022) back to roughly breakeven (-0.6%) in 2025. Crucially FCF flipped from -$11.3M to +$48.3M in a single year, and the balance sheet carries $167M cash with $91M net cash. Beneish (-2.91), Altman Z (5.32), and accruals (-3.9%) all clear the mechanical earnings-quality checks. This is not a survival story.

But the bear texture is real. SBC is running 8.4% of revenue (~$45M on $534M) — larger than the entire reported FCF — and buybacks only mop up 40% of it, meaning shareholders are paying the employees in equity while the company calls the residual 'FCF.' Diluted shares crept from 46.0M to 47.8M (~4% over four years, accelerating). The insider tape shows ZERO open-market buys and a cluster of S-sales (Prange, Doraiswamy x2) plus a CEO gift — directionally bearish, though small in dollar terms. The OCF/NI ratio of -1.05x flagged as 'Poor Cash Flow Quality' is mechanically distorted by negative NI, not a true quality signal — that's a module artifact.

Valuation at ~19x forward EV/FCF is reasonable IF the FCF margin holds and growth stays mid-teens. It is expensive if PFA (Boston/Abbott/J&J pulsed-field) compresses surgical ablation TAM or if 2025's FCF leap was partly a working-capital one-off after years of inventory build. The pipeline's bull-case framing is defensible; the GPT critique calling it cheap is also defensible. The honest read is mixed-leaning-constructive.

Deep Analysis
Last run: Jun 1, 2026 8:10:27 pm

Pre-flight intelligence scans the company first, then routes to the right analytical methods.

0 Company Classification — What type of company is this?
1 Industry Landscape — Where is the industry headed?
2 Company Momentum — Where is this company trending?
3 Forward Projection — 1Y & 2Y projected metrics (requires Layer 1 + 2)
4a DCF Valuation — Present value of future cash flows
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4b Earnings Power Value — Floor value — worth with zero growth
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4c Anchored PE — Industry PE adjusted for growth differential
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4d Reverse DCF — What growth is the market pricing in?
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4e Revenue-Based DCF — For growth/narrative companies (skip if mature earner)
4f Anchored P/S — Price-to-Sales peer comparison (skip if mature earner)
4g Scenario Analysis — Bull / Base / Bear (skip if mature earner)
4h Dividend Discount Model — For dividend/income stocks only
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4i Book Value Analysis — For deep value / turnaround stocks only
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4j Insider Activity — Are insiders buying or selling?
4f Cash Flow Quality — How trustworthy is the FCF?
4g Debt Maturity Risk — Can it handle its debt?
4h Macro Environment — Rates, market valuation, volatility
4i Sector Intelligence — How does this company compare within its sector?
4j Revenue Confidence — How reliable is the growth projection?
4k Sensitivity Analysis — How fragile is the fair value estimate?
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4l Sector Demand Cycle — Is the sector in a boom, steady state, or contraction?
5 AI Investigation — Adaptive research engine (Claude)
5b Thesis Evaluation — What does the market believe? (narrative/platform stocks only)
6 Valuation Synthesis — Weighted verdict from all methods (requires Layer 4)
Income Statement (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 22, 2026 4:11pm (4d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue $274.3M $330.4M $399.2M $465.3M $534.5M
Cost of Revenue $68.5M $84.4M $98.9M $117.8M $136.8M
Gross Profit $205.9M $245.9M $300.4M $347.5M $397.7M
Operating Expenses $150.7M $288.6M $327.1M $387.5M $401.2M
Operating Income $55.2M -$42.7M -$26.7M -$40.0M -$3.4M
Net Income $50.2M -$46.5M -$30.4M -$44.7M -$11.4M
EBITDA $65.7M -$29.5M -$8.1M -$18.5M $16.2M
EPS $1.11 $-1.02 $-0.66 $-0.95 $-0.24
EPS (Diluted)
Balance Sheet (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 22, 2026 4:11pm (4d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Cash & Equivalents $43.7M $58.1M $84.3M $122.7M $167.4M
Total Current Assets $196.1M $215.2M $266.2M $267.8M $322.5M
Total Assets $615.3M $585.4M $613.9M $609.3M $654.2M
Current Liabilities $56.4M $58.4M $74.6M $73.4M $81.5M
Long-Term Debt $59.7M $56.8M $60.6M $61.9M $73.4M
Total Liabilities $131.6M $128.7M $147.8M $148.4M $162.2M
Total Equity $483.8M $456.8M $466.2M $461.0M $491.9M
Retained Earnings -$280.2M -$326.6M -$357.1M -$401.8M -$413.2M
Cash Flow (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 22, 2026 4:11pm (4d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Operating Cash Flow -$13.8M -$22.1M $4.5M $12.2M $57.3M
Capital Expenditure -$9.8M -$16.9M -$42.0M -$23.5M -$9.1M
Free Cash Flow -$23.5M -$39.0M -$37.5M -$11.3M $48.3M
Acquisitions (net) -$33.3M -$44.0M $0 $0 $0
Debt Repayment
Dividends Paid
Stock Buybacks -$18.0M -$12.2M -$6.6M -$7.0M -$11.2M
Net Change in Cash $1.7M $14.4M $26.2M $38.4M $44.7M
Analyst Estimates (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 7:59am (just now)
Metric 2027 2028 2029 2030
Revenue $678.0M
$673.1M – $681.7M
$763.4M
$763.4M – $763.4M
$847.2M
$842.6M – $852.0M
$973.5M
$968.2M – $979.0M
EBITDA $16.4M
$16.2M – $16.4M
$18.4M
$18.4M – $18.4M
$20.4M
$20.3M – $20.6M
$23.5M
$23.4M – $23.6M
Net Income $17.5M
$14.7M – $19.3M
$30.6M
$19.1M – $36.7M
$34.9M
$34.6M – $35.1M
$49.7M
$49.3M – $50.0M
EPS
Growth Trends (YoY %)
Last updated: Jun 22, 2026 4:11pm (4d ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue Growth +20.4% +20.8% +16.5% +14.9%
Gross Profit Growth +19.5% +22.1% +15.7% +14.4%
Operating Income Growth -177.3% +37.5% -50.0% +91.4%
Net Income Growth -192.6% +34.5% -46.8% +74.4%
EBITDA Growth -144.9% +72.5% -128.6% +187.7%
Insider Trading (Recent)
Type codes PPurchase SSale AAward / grant MOption exercise FIn-kind (tax) CConversion GGift DReturn to issuer
All SEC Form 4 codes
Open market
P Purchase
Open-market or private purchase of shares.
S Sale
Open-market or private sale of shares.
Compensation (Rule 16b-3)
A Award / grant
Grant or award of securities (RSUs, options, etc.) under Rule 16b-3.
D Return to issuer
Securities disposed back to the company under Rule 16b-3.
F In-kind (tax)
Shares withheld or delivered to pay the option-exercise price or tax — not an open-market sale.
I Discretionary
Discretionary transaction under an employee plan — Rule 16b-3(f).
M Option exercise
Exercise or conversion of a derivative (option/RSU) into shares — exempt.
Derivatives
C Conversion
Conversion of a derivative security into the underlying shares.
E Short expiration
Expiration of a short derivative position.
H Long expiration
Expiration or cancellation of a long derivative position with value received.
O OTM exercise
Exercise of an out-of-the-money derivative.
X ITM exercise
Exercise of an in-the-money or at-the-money derivative.
Other exempt
G Gift
Bona fide gift of securities.
L Small acquisition
Small acquisition under Rule 16a-6.
W Inheritance
Acquisition or disposition by will or the laws of descent.
Z Voting trust
Deposit into or withdrawal from a voting trust.
Other
J Other
Other acquisition or disposition (explained in a Form 4 footnote).
K Equity swap
Transaction in an equity swap or similar instrument.
U Tender / buyout
Disposition via tender of shares in a change-of-control transaction.

Compensation-plan codes (A, D, F, M) are routine and rarely directional. Open-market P (buy) and S (sale) carry the most signal.

Date Insider Type Shares Price Value
2026-05-20 Prange Karen S-Sale 3,000.00 $28.65 $85,950
2026-05-18 Prange Karen A-Award 6,144.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-18 Telman Deborah H A-Award 6,144.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-18 Yuen Maggie A-Award 6,144.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-18 Nachman Shlomo A-Award 6,144.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-18 JOHNSON B KRISTINE A-Award 6,144.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-18 GROVES REGINA E A-Award 6,144.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-18 WEHRWEIN SVEN A-Award 6,144.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-18 WHITE ROBERT S. A-Award 6,144.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-15 Doraiswamy Vinayak S-Sale 5,000.00 $28.13 $140,650
2026-03-12 Doraiswamy Vinayak S-Sale 5,000.00 $29.83 $149,150
2026-03-10 WHITE ROBERT S. M-Exempt 10,000.00 $14.99 $149,900
2026-03-10 WHITE ROBERT S. M-Exempt 10,000.00 $14.99 $149,900
2026-03-06 CARREL MICHAEL H G-Gift 5,000.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-06 CARREL MICHAEL H G-Gift 1,000.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-01 CARREL MICHAEL H A-Award 101,280.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-01 CARREL MICHAEL H F-InKind 72,777.00 $31.26 $2.3M
2026-03-01 CARREL MICHAEL H A-Award 68,618.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-01 Noznesky Justin J A-Award 15,198.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-01 Noznesky Justin J A-Award 27,991.00 $0.00 $0
Narrative Economics
The story the market is telling about this stock — the intangible X-factor (founder mythology, cult dynamics, TAM-of-imagination) that moves price beyond what cash flows alone explain. After Shiller, Narrative Economics.
No narrative profile yet for ATRC — it's generated by the pipeline (market-narrative step).
Delvantic AI Findings
Independent analyst synthesis · Delvantic - Cairn AI · generated 2026-06-01 20:11:05
Reviews the pipeline's own verdicts
Verdict I dissent from "High Conviction Required" — that framing is too fence-sitting given the data. The FCF inflection is real and recent, the balance sheet is unlevered with $167M cash, revenue growth of 15% is sustaining into Q1 2026, and the stock is down ~40% from the $43 anchor cited. On 2026E revenue of ~$610M (15% growth) and a 10% FCF margin run-rate ($61M), EV/FCF is ~19x — cheap for the quality. The risk is PFA-driven TAM erosion and continued 4-5% dilution, but at $26 those risks are largely priced. I'd start a position here and add below $24; fair value with margin expansion to 12-13% FCF margin and sustained 13-15% growth gets you to $33-36 over 18 months.

Looking at the raw quarterly tape first: revenue went $116.3M → $115.9M → $124.3M → $123.6M → $136.1M → $134.3M → $140.5M → $141.2M. That's a clean 21% lift over seven quarters with a clear seasonal Q1 dip pattern broken this year (Q1 2026 actually edged above Q4 2025). YoY in the most recent quarter is $141.2M vs $123.6M = 14.2%, slightly decelerating from the 18% they printed in mid-2025 but still solid. More important: the net income line went from -$15.6M in Q4 2024 to roughly breakeven across the last four quarters, with TTM net income now barely negative (-$4.5M) versus -$36.7M for calendar 2024. Operating margin flipped from -8.6% annualized in 2024 to roughly flat in 2025. FCF of $48.3M on $534.5M revenue (9% FCF margin) is the real story the synthesis underweights — this is no longer a cash-burning pre-profit name, it's a freshly cash-generative one trading at 28x trailing FCF and ~3.5x sales.

Where I disagree with the prior models: the "Pre-Flight" thesis claims the market repriced from $43 to $26 on slower adoption or competitive fears, and Synthesis lands on "High Conviction Required" framing this as uncomfortable middle ground. I think both are anchoring on staleness. The TTM cash flow inflection is fresh — FY2025 was the first genuinely FCF-positive year, and Q1 2026 sustained it. At $1.34B market cap with $167M cash and apparently no meaningful debt, EV is ~$1.17B, putting EV/FCF near 24x for a 75% gross margin medical device franchise growing revenue 15% with operating leverage just kicking in. That's not "disconnected from fundamentals" — that's reasonable-to-cheap for the asset profile. The EV/EBITDA of 54x is misleading because EBITDA is suppressed by the tail of stock-comp-heavy losses; FCF tells the truer story.

The contrarian case I'd actually worry about: gross margin is 74.4% versus the 77% peak medical device peers print, and it has been flat-to-down — there's no margin expansion narrative supporting the valuation, only revenue scale. Stock-based compensation is the gap between $48M FCF and -$11M GAAP net income — that's roughly $60M/year of dilution running through, which on a $1.34B cap is ~4.5% annual share creep. The insider activity is also worth flagging more harshly than the models do: nine awards on a single May 2026 date plus two sales in the same week, with no offsetting open-market purchases over the visible window, is consistent with comp-driven liquidation, not conviction. And the "platform-monopoly" narrative is generous — AtriClip is a real franchise but Boston Scientific's Farapulse PFA platform is genuinely cannibalizing the catheter ablation adjacency and could compress AtriCure's TAM growth assumption from low-teens to high-single digits. If revenue growth slips to 10%, the multiple compresses fast.

GPT Critique
Second-opinion review · gpt-4o · generated 2026-06-01 20:11:13
Reviews the Opus findings above
Verdict I disagree with Opus's optimism. While the company's transition to positive cash flow is notable, at $26.48, the competitive risks and margin pressures suggest the market isn't undervaluing the stock. Fair value aligns closer to current levels unless margin expansion or growth acceleration is evidenced.

An independent review of AtriCure, Inc., reveals a company transitioning from persistent losses to a nascent profitability era. Revenue has steadily grown, illustrating a 21% increase over the past seven quarters, with the latest quarter showing $141.2M in revenue, up 14.2% year-on-year. This growth is commendable given the company's previous challenges, with net income moving from substantial losses to near breakeven in recent quarters. The shift from a -$15.6M net income in Q4 2024 to a modest profit of $108K in Q1 2026 indicates operational improvements, though these are yet to be consistent. The balance sheet shows strength with $167.4M in cash and no debt, supporting the operational shift and potential for strategic investments.

Opus correctly identifies the significance of AtriCure's cash flow inflection, stating that the company is no longer a cash-burning entity. The free cash flow of $48.3M in 2025, equating to a 9% FCF margin, supports this narrative. I agree with Opus's assertion that the current valuation, at approximately 24x EV/FCF, isn't "disconnected from fundamentals" for a company with a 75% gross margin and solid revenue growth. However, I diverge from Opus on the valuation perspective. While Opus sees the company's market repricing as overdone, I believe the market's caution might be warranted given the potential competitive threats and margin pressures highlighted in the data.

Opus argues that the market's transition from $43 to $26 is a stale thesis, suggesting that the recent cash flow improvements warrant a reevaluation. However, the margin expansion narrative remains unconvincing. A gross margin of 74.4%, below the peak of 77% seen in similar companies, coupled with significant stock-based compensation, poses challenges to sustainable profitability. The dilution from stock-based compensation, at approximately 4.5% annually, is a concern that Opus underplays when considering the firm's valuation metrics.

A careful skeptic would argue that while AtriCure shows promise, the risks of competitive pressures and stock dilution are significant. The narrative of becoming a "platform-monopoly" might be overly optimistic, especially with competitors like Boston Scientific presenting viable threats. The absence of consistent insider buying, in contrast to sales, may signal internal caution about future prospects. For AtriCure to justify a higher valuation, it must demonstrate consistent margin improvement and address competitive threats effectively.

Community AI Feedback
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My Notes personal — only you see this
Data via Financial Modeling Prep · Cached for performance · fmp
v1.1.352 · d1100787 · 2026-06-26 11:39:30