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AGING Analysis Report
Jun 7, 2026
19 days ago · 100% complete

Curtiss-Wright Corporation

CW NYSE Categories PDF
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Davidson, NC 28036, United States IPO 1980 curtisswright.com Updated Jun 7, 5:09pm
Price
$733.14
Market Cap
$27.1B
Employees
8,900
Beta
0.86
Avg Volume
283,215
CEO
Lynn Bamford
Business Description

Curtiss-Wright Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides engineered products, solutions, and services to the aerospace, defense, general industrial, and power generation markets worldwide. worldwide. It operates through three segments: Aerospace & Industrial, Defense Electronics, and Naval & Power. The Aerospace & Industrial segment offers industrial vehicle products, such as electronic throttle control devices, joysticks, and transmission shifters; sensors, controls and electro-mechanical actuation components used in commercial and military aircraft; and surface technology services, including shot peening, laser peening, and coatings. The Defense Electronics segment provides commercial off-the-shelf embedded computing board-level modules, data acquisition and flight test instrumentation equipment, integrated subsystems, instrumentation and control systems, turret aiming and stabilization products, and weapons handling systems; avionics and electronics; flight test equipment; and aircraft data management solutions. The Naval & Power segment offers hardware, pumps, pump seals, control rod drive mechanisms, valves, fastening systems, specialized containment doors, airlock hatches, spent fuel management products, and fluid sealing products for nuclear power plants and nuclear equipment manufacturers; and naval propulsion and auxiliary equipment, including coolant pumps, power-dense compact motors, generators, steam turbines, valves, and secondary propulsion systems, as well as ship repair and maintenance services primarily to the U.S. navy. Curtiss-Wright Corporation was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Davidson, North Carolina.

Business History
Generated: Jun 7, 2026 5:11pm
Price Overview
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:09pm (19d ago)
$733.14
-10.29 (-1.38%)
Day Range
$728.42 – $749.48
52-Week Range
$443.00 – $760.72
50-Day MA
$718.41
200-Day MA
$618.07
Volume
199,967.00
Analyst Price Targets
Low $603.00
Consensus $741.00
High $870.00
(27 analysts)
Share Structure
Outstanding 36,941,164.00
Float 36,742,790.00
Free Float 99.5%
High free float — 99.5% of shares trade freely, ~0.5% held by insiders/institutions
Very liquid — most shares trade freely. Low insider ownership can mean less management alignment, but makes large position sizing straightforward.
Price History (1 Year)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:14pm (19d ago)
Revenue & Net Income Trend
The directional story — useful even when net income is negative.
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:14pm (19d ago)
Revenue
The top line — total sales before any costs or taxes are subtracted. A measure of how much business the company is doing.
Net Income
The bottom line — profit left after subtracting all expenses, interest, and taxes from revenue. Reflects accounting profitability, but includes non-cash items like depreciation, so it isn't the same as cash earned.
Operating Cash Flow
The real cash generated by the day-to-day business — selling products, paying suppliers, collecting from customers. Calculated from net income by adding back non-cash items and adjusting for timing (unpaid bills, unsold inventory). When OCF consistently lags net income, the reported profit may not be converting to real money.
Period Revenue Net Income Net Margin YoY/QoQ
Key Metrics
API Direct from provider CALC Derived from statements
Industry comparison last run: Jun 7, 2026 5:11pm
P/E Ratio (Price per dollar of earnings)
API
Stock Price / EPS (Diluted)
52.93
Stock Price: $733.14
EPS (Diluted): 12.94
P/B Ratio (Price vs net asset value)
API
Stock Price / Book Value Per Share
8.14
Stock Price: $733.14
Total Equity: $2.53B
Shares: 37,631,000
EV/EBITDA (Total value vs operating profit)
API
Enterprise Value / EBITDA
37.42
Market Cap: $27.08B
Total Debt: $1.14B
Cash: $371.35M
EBITDA: $638.03M
Enterprise Value (Takeover price (cap + debt - cash))
API
Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash
$21.6B
Market Cap: $27.08B
Total Debt: $1.14B
Cash: $371.35M
Gross Margin (Revenue left after direct costs)
API
Gross Profit / Revenue
37.2%
Gross Profit: $1.30B
Revenue: $3.50B
Operating Margin (Revenue left after all operations)
API
Operating Income / Revenue
18.2%
Operating Income: $638.03M
Revenue: $3.50B
Net Margin (Revenue left as actual profit)
API
Net Income / Revenue
13.8%
Net Income: $484.23M
Revenue: $3.50B
ROE (Profit from shareholder equity)
API
Net Income / Total Equity
19.6%
Net Income: $484.23M
Total Equity: $2.53B
ROIC (Profit from all invested capital)
API
NOPAT / Invested Capital
12.7%
Operating Income: $638.03M
Tax Rate: 21.9%
Equity: $2.53B
Total Debt: $1.14B
Cash: $371.35M
Current Ratio (Can it pay short-term bills)
API
Current Assets / Current Liabilities
1.44
Current Assets: $2.02B
Current Liabilities: $1.41B
Debt/Equity (Leverage — debt vs equity)
CALC
Total Debt / Total Equity
0.45
Short-Term Debt: $200.00M
Long-Term Debt: $936.35M
Total Debt: $1.14B
Total Equity: $2.53B
Rev/Share (Top-line per share)
CALC
Revenue / Shares Outstanding
$92.97
Revenue: $3.50B
Shares: 37,631,000
Book Value/Share (Net assets per share)
CALC
(Total Assets - Total Liabilities) / Shares
$67.33
Total Equity: $2.53B
Shares: 37,631,000
FCF/Share (Real cash generated per share)
CALC
(Operating Cash Flow + CapEx) / Shares
$14.71
Operating CF: $643.40M
CapEx: -$89.69M
Shares: 37,631,000
CapEx is negative (outflow) — added to OCF to get FCF
Div Yield (Annual income from holding)
API
Last Annual Dividend / Stock Price
0.2%
Last Dividend: N/A
Stock Price: $733.14
Payout Ratio (Earnings paid out as dividends)
Dividends Paid / Net Income
Dividends Paid: N/A
Net Income: $484.23M
Dividends paid not available in cash flow statement
Industry Benchmarks
Last run: Jun 7, 2026 5:11pm
Compares CW against LLM-researched typical ranges for its industry. One research call per industry, cached indefinitely — every stock in the same industry reuses the same baseline.
Deep Analysis
Last run: Jun 7, 2026 5:13:48 pm

Pre-flight intelligence scans the company first, then routes to the right analytical methods.

0 Company Classification — What type of company is this?
1 Industry Landscape — Where is the industry headed?
2 Company Momentum — Where is this company trending?
3 Forward Projection — 1Y & 2Y projected metrics (requires Layer 1 + 2)
4a DCF Valuation — Present value of future cash flows
4b Earnings Power Value — Floor value — worth with zero growth
4c Anchored PE — Industry PE adjusted for growth differential
4d Reverse DCF — What growth is the market pricing in?
4e Revenue-Based DCF — For growth/narrative companies (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4f Anchored P/S — Price-to-Sales peer comparison (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4g Scenario Analysis — Bull / Base / Bear (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4h Dividend Discount Model — For dividend/income stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4i Book Value Analysis — For deep value / turnaround stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4j Insider Activity — Are insiders buying or selling?
4f Cash Flow Quality — How trustworthy is the FCF?
4g Debt Maturity Risk — Can it handle its debt?
4h Macro Environment — Rates, market valuation, volatility
4i Sector Intelligence — How does this company compare within its sector?
4j Revenue Confidence — How reliable is the growth projection?
4k Sensitivity Analysis — How fragile is the fair value estimate?
4l Sector Demand Cycle — Is the sector in a boom, steady state, or contraction?
5 AI Investigation — Adaptive research engine (Claude)
5b Thesis Evaluation — What does the market believe? (narrative/platform stocks only)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
6 Valuation Synthesis — Weighted verdict from all methods (requires Layer 4)
Income Statement (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:14pm (19d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue $2.5B $2.6B $2.8B $3.1B $3.5B
Cost of Revenue $1.6B $1.6B $1.8B $2.0B $2.2B
Gross Profit $927.8M $954.6M $1.1B $1.2B $1.3B
Operating Expenses $550.7M $531.2M $582.6M $625.0M $663.5M
Operating Income $377.1M $423.4M $484.6M $528.6M $638.0M
Net Income $262.8M $294.3M $354.5M $405.0M $484.2M
EBITDA $503.6M $548.2M $630.6M $674.6M $638.0M
EPS $6.61 $7.67 $9.26 $10.61 $12.94
EPS (Diluted)
Balance Sheet (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:11pm (19d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Cash & Equivalents $171.0M $257.0M $406.9M $385.0M $371.3M
Total Current Assets $1.3B $1.5B $1.7B $1.8B $2.0B
Total Assets $4.1B $4.4B $4.6B $5.0B $5.2B
Current Liabilities $734.9M $981.0M $806.5M $1.1B $1.4B
Long-Term Debt $1.0B $1.0B $1.0B $958.9M $936.4M
Total Liabilities $2.3B $2.5B $2.3B $2.5B $2.7B
Total Equity $1.8B $2.0B $2.3B $2.4B $2.5B
Retained Earnings $2.9B $3.2B $3.5B $3.9B $4.3B
Cash Flow (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:14pm (19d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Operating Cash Flow $387.7M $294.8M $448.1M $544.3M $643.4M
Capital Expenditure -$41.1M -$38.2M -$44.7M -$61.0M -$89.7M
Free Cash Flow $346.6M $256.6M $403.4M $483.3M $553.7M
Acquisitions (net) -$5.3M -$287.5M $0 -$225.5M $0
Debt Repayment
Dividends Paid
Stock Buybacks -$343.1M -$56.9M -$50.1M -$250.0M -$465.0M
Net Change in Cash -$27.2M $86.0M $149.9M -$21.8M -$13.7M
Analyst Estimates (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:09pm (19d ago)
Metric 2027 2028 2029 2030
Revenue $4.1B
$4.0B – $4.2B
$4.4B
$4.4B – $4.4B
$4.7B
$4.7B – $4.8B
$5.1B
$5.0B – $5.1B
EBITDA $846.0M
$831.4M – $860.5M
$916.5M
$915.4M – $917.6M
$978.3M
$967.2M – $987.3M
$1.0B
$1.0B – $1.1B
Net Income $632.6M
$618.9M – $667.1M
$727.8M
$718.2M – $737.3M
$793.6M
$781.9M – $803.2M
$848.6M
$836.1M – $858.8M
EPS
Growth Trends (YoY %)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:14pm (19d ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue Growth +2.2% +11.3% +9.7% +12.1%
Gross Profit Growth +2.9% +11.8% +8.1% +12.8%
Operating Income Growth +12.3% +14.4% +9.1% +20.7%
Net Income Growth +12.0% +20.4% +14.2% +19.6%
EBITDA Growth +8.9% +15.0% +7.0% -5.4%
Insider Trading (Recent)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:14pm (19d ago)
Type codes PPurchase SSale AAward / grant MOption exercise FIn-kind (tax) CConversion GGift DReturn to issuer
All SEC Form 4 codes
Open market
P Purchase
Open-market or private purchase of shares.
S Sale
Open-market or private sale of shares.
Compensation (Rule 16b-3)
A Award / grant
Grant or award of securities (RSUs, options, etc.) under Rule 16b-3.
D Return to issuer
Securities disposed back to the company under Rule 16b-3.
F In-kind (tax)
Shares withheld or delivered to pay the option-exercise price or tax — not an open-market sale.
I Discretionary
Discretionary transaction under an employee plan — Rule 16b-3(f).
M Option exercise
Exercise or conversion of a derivative (option/RSU) into shares — exempt.
Derivatives
C Conversion
Conversion of a derivative security into the underlying shares.
E Short expiration
Expiration of a short derivative position.
H Long expiration
Expiration or cancellation of a long derivative position with value received.
O OTM exercise
Exercise of an out-of-the-money derivative.
X ITM exercise
Exercise of an in-the-money or at-the-money derivative.
Other exempt
G Gift
Bona fide gift of securities.
L Small acquisition
Small acquisition under Rule 16a-6.
W Inheritance
Acquisition or disposition by will or the laws of descent.
Z Voting trust
Deposit into or withdrawal from a voting trust.
Other
J Other
Other acquisition or disposition (explained in a Form 4 footnote).
K Equity swap
Transaction in an equity swap or similar instrument.
U Tender / buyout
Disposition via tender of shares in a change-of-control transaction.

Compensation-plan codes (A, D, F, M) are routine and rarely directional. Open-market P (buy) and S (sale) carry the most signal.

Date Insider Type Shares Price Value
2026-06-15 Watts John C S-Sale 200.00 $770.56 $154,112
2026-06-12 Bamford Lynn M S-Sale 2,500.00 $758.20 $1.9M
2026-06-09 Ogilby Gary A S-Sale 399.00 $721.95 $288,058
2026-06-09 Bamford Lynn M S-Sale 2,500.00 $721.72 $1.8M
2026-05-29 MINOR GLENDA J A-Award 20.00 $747.61 $14,952
2026-06-01 Wallace Peter C A-Award 221.00 $719.99 $159,118
2026-05-27 Watts John C S-Sale 220.00 $752.91 $165,640
2026-05-12 MINOR GLENDA J A-Award 221.00 $735.34 $162,510
2026-05-07 Lyash Jeffrey J. A-Award 48.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-07 Lyash Jeffrey J. 0.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-18 Ogilby Gary A S-Sale 252.00 $689.14 $173,663
2026-03-18 Farkas K Christopher S-Sale 1,265.00 $689.69 $872,458
2026-03-16 Watts John C M-Exempt 512.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-17 Watts John C S-Sale 220.00 $678.11 $149,184
2026-03-16 Watts John C M-Exempt 512.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-16 Freda Robert F M-Exempt 296.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-17 Freda Robert F S-Sale 140.00 $678.61 $95,005
2026-03-16 Freda Robert F M-Exempt 296.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-16 Ogilby Gary A M-Exempt 400.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-16 Ogilby Gary A M-Exempt 400.00 $0.00 $0
Dividend History (Last 20)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:09pm (19d ago)
Date Dividend Declaration Record Payment
2026-06-15 $0.26 2026-05-13 2026-06-15 2026-07-06
2026-03-26 $0.24 2026-02-04 2026-03-26 2026-04-13
2025-11-28 $0.24 2025-11-20 2025-11-28 2025-12-12
2025-09-26 $0.24 2025-09-10 2025-09-26 2025-10-10
2025-06-16 $0.24 2025-05-14 2025-06-16 2025-07-07
2025-03-27 $0.21 2025-02-05 2025-03-27 2025-04-14
2024-11-22 $0.21 2024-11-13 2024-11-22 2024-12-03
2024-09-27 $0.21 2024-09-11 2024-09-27 2024-10-11
2024-06-17 $0.21 2024-05-10 2024-06-17 2024-07-05
2024-03-27 $0.20 2024-02-08 2024-03-28 2024-04-15
2023-11-21 $0.20 2023-11-16 2023-11-22 2023-12-01
2023-09-28 $0.20 2023-09-13 2023-09-29 2023-10-12
2023-06-15 $0.20 2023-05-10 2023-06-16 2023-07-05
2023-03-30 $0.19 2023-02-15 2023-03-31 2023-04-14
2022-11-22 $0.19 2022-11-17 2022-11-23 2022-12-01
2022-09-29 $0.19 2022-09-14 2022-09-30 2022-10-13
2022-06-16 $0.19 2022-05-11 2022-06-17 2022-07-01
2022-03-30 $0.18 2022-02-16 2022-03-31 2022-04-14
2021-11-23 $0.18 2021-11-18 2021-11-24 2021-12-02
2021-09-29 $0.18 2021-09-16 2021-09-30 2021-10-14
Narrative Economics
The story the market is telling about this stock — the intangible X-factor (founder mythology, cult dynamics, TAM-of-imagination) that moves price beyond what cash flows alone explain. After Shiller, Narrative Economics.
No narrative profile yet for CW — it's generated by the pipeline (market-narrative step).
Delvantic AI Findings
Independent analyst synthesis · Delvantic - Cairn AI · generated 2026-06-07 17:14:32
Reviews the pipeline's own verdicts
Verdict Overvalued but not catastrophically so — fair value $520-580 on 30-35x FY26E EPS; synthesis's $293 is too harsh, but $733 prices in flawless execution plus nuclear optionality. Wait for $580 or a concrete SMR catalyst.

Looking at the raw trajectory first: revenue went from $2.50B (2021) → $3.50B (2025), a 40% cumulative gain or ~8.8% CAGR (the "10.9%" cited looks like it uses a different window). Net income compounded harder: $263M → $484M, an 84% gain. Operating margin expanded from 15.1% to 18.2% — that's the real story, not top-line. Quarterly cadence shows Q1 2026 at $913.7M vs Q1 2025 at $805.6M, ~13.4% YoY, with margins holding at 14% net. This is a genuinely accelerating mature industrial, not a decelerating one — the "decelerating quarterly trend" tag is wrong; sequential Q4→Q1 dips are seasonal for defense. FCF of $554M on a $27B cap is a 2.0% FCF yield. That's the number that matters.

Now, the synthesis verdict — $293 fair value, ~60% downside — strikes me as dramatically too punitive, and the market-forces "cyclical peak earnings" framing is the kind of phrase analysts use when they can't justify a multiple but want to sound prudent. CW's margin expansion is structural (mix shift toward naval nuclear and Columbia/Virginia-class content, plus AP1000 small modular reactor optionality), not cyclical. The bear case requires defense budget contraction, which is inconsistent with every forward-looking budget marker through FY27. That said, the synthesis is directionally right that the multiple is rich: 52.9x TTM PE is absurd for a 10-12% grower even after you discount it as a TTM artifact — on FY25 earnings of $484M, you get 56x; on consensus-ish FY26 of ~$550M you're still at 49x. Even GE Aerospace and HEICO, the premium A&D comps, trade at 38-45x. CW historically traded 22-28x. Something is off in the canonical PE — but even haircut to a "normal" 35x earnings, fair value is closer to $500-540, not $293 and not $733.

The contrarian read that nobody articulated: the EV/EBITDA of 37x at a ~$27B EV implies ~$725M EBITDA, but operating income was $638M in 2025 with maybe $130-150M D&A, suggesting EBITDA closer to $780M and EV/EBITDA closer to 35x — still rich but the metric itself looks roughly correct. The bigger issue is that the narrative engine's "platform-monopoly" archetype is overstated; CW is a quality subsystems supplier but it is not Heico-class irreplaceable, and the AP1000/SMR nuclear story (a real driver of recent multiple expansion) is binary — if Westinghouse SMR deployment slips past 2030, the growth premium collapses. Insider activity shows consistent sales (no buys), which the "neutral" tag underweights; this is a stock where insiders are taking gains, not accumulating. Balance sheet data is incomplete (no debt figure shown) — CW carries ~$1.1B net debt historically, which I'd want confirmed before sizing.

Net: I dissent from the synthesis's $293 fair value as mechanically too harsh — it's a DCF using normalized growth that doesn't credit the nuclear optionality or the demonstrated margin expansion — but I agree directionally with the "overvalued" call. The market-forces and synthesis are both pointing the right direction with the wrong magnitudes. Fair value is roughly $520-580 on 30-35x FY26 EPS of ~$16-17, giving 20-30% downside, not 60%. At $733 you're paying for AP1000 to work, naval cycle to extend through 2030, and zero execution misses. The insider selling pattern and the gap between FCF yield (2%) and 10-year (~4.3%) reinforce that the cushion is gone. I'd wait for either a ~$580 re-entry or a concrete SMR contract catalyst before committing capital; a quality compounder bought at peak multiple is still a bad trade.

GPT Critique
Second-opinion review · gpt-4o · generated 2026-06-07 17:14:37
Reviews the Opus findings above
Verdict I agree with Opus — overvalued at $733, but I'd peg fair value closer to $480-520, given the high valuation multiples and potential overreliance on uncertain growth drivers.

Curtiss-Wright's performance over the past few years paints a picture of a reliable, albeit expensive, player in the aerospace and defense industry. The company's revenue growth from $2.50 billion in 2021 to $3.50 billion in 2025 represents a significant growth trajectory, with an annual growth rate of approximately 8.8%. Net income has also seen robust growth, increasing from $262.8 million to $484.2 million in the same period, indicating strong operational improvements and efficiency gains. The steady improvement in operating margins from 15.1% to 18.2% underscores this trend. The free cash flow generation of $553.7 million against a market cap of $27.08 billion, however, suggests a modest yield of around 2%, which seems low for a company trading at a substantial premium.

Opus's analysis suggests that the current valuation of Curtiss-Wright is overblown, arguing a fair value range of $520-580 compared to the current price of $733.14. I concur with Opus's assessment that the stock is overvalued, but I find the suggested fair value range to still be somewhat optimistic. Curtiss-Wright's P/E ratio of 52.9x, even when adjusted for forward earnings, remains significantly higher than industry norms, especially given the mid-tier contractor status of the company and its heavy reliance on continued defense spending. The market's valuation appears to be pricing in flawless execution and significant growth driven by strategic initiatives like the AP1000 SMR nuclear projects. However, these assumptions entail considerable risks, including geopolitical and budgetary uncertainties.

Where I diverge from Opus is in the interpretation of insider activity and the narrative intensity. Opus downplays the insider selling, which I believe could be a red flag indicating a lack of confidence in the current valuation from those with intimate knowledge of the company's prospects. Additionally, while Opus critiques the narrative positioning of Curtiss-Wright as a 'platform-monopoly,' I agree with this sentiment, noting that despite its strong positions in defense subsystems, it lacks the irreplaceable nature and extensive diversification of true industry giants. The reliance on a few key programs like the F-35 and potential nuclear projects could indeed be overstated in terms of their long-term durability and impact.

A skeptic might argue that both Opus and I are underestimating the company's strategic positioning and potential for long-term growth driven by its unique market position and product offerings. They could point to Curtiss-Wright's historical ability to expand margins and its strategic investments in growth areas like naval nuclear capabilities, suggesting these could provide exponential returns if global defense budgets continue expanding.

Community AI Feedback
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My Notes personal — only you see this
Data via Financial Modeling Prep · Cached for performance · fmp
v1.1.352 · d1100787 · 2026-06-26 11:39:30