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AGING Analysis Report
Jun 19, 2026
8 days ago · 100% complete · +8 refreshed

Ingram Micro Holding Corporation

INGM NYSE Categories PDF
Technology · Information Technology Services
Irvine, CA 92612, United States IPO 2024 ingrammicro.com Updated Jun 19, 3:00am
Price
$28.30
Market Cap
$6.6B
Employees
23,500
Beta
1.79
Avg Volume
1,516,073
CEO
Paul D. Bay
Business Description

Ingram Micro Holding Corporation, operating globally through its various subsidiaries, delivers a broad spectrum of technology services and solutions. Its client base spans vendors, resellers, and retailers across regions such as North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia-Pacific, and Latin America. The company offers a comprehensive Ingram Micro Cloud Marketplace portfolio, featuring a wide array of third-party cloud-based services and subscription products accessible via its Ingram Micro Xvantage platform. Beyond these, it also furnishes crucial support services like training, IT asset disposition (ITAD), reverse logistics, repair, and various financial solutions. For both corporate and individual consumers, Ingram Micro supplies a range of client and endpoint technologies. These encompass devices such as desktop PCs, laptops, and tablets, alongside printers, various application software, and a selection of peripherals and accessories. The company also distributes its own branded solutions and essential components like hard drives, motherboards, and video cards. Furthermore, its portfolio extends to enterprise-grade hardware and software. This includes robust solutions for servers, data storage, networking, and general infrastructure, alongside hybrid and software-defined technologies. Specialized offerings also cover cybersecurity, power and cooling management, and virtualization. Other specialized product categories include data capture/point-of-sale (DC/POS) systems, physical security setups, audio-visual and digital signage equipment, unified communications and collaboration (UCC) tools, telephony systems, smart office and home automation technologies, and artificial intelligence products. A significant portion of its services comprises third-party cloud-based subscriptions and offerings, spanning critical areas such as business applications, robust security solutions, communication and collaboration tools, cloud enablement services, and infrastructure-as-a-service (IaaS) offerings. Moreover, Ingram Micro manages the CloudBlue digital commerce platform, which delivers comprehensive software-as-a-service (SaaS) solutions for multi-channel and multi-tier catalog administration, subscription oversight, billing processes, and overall orchestration. Established in 1979, the company maintains its headquarters in Irvine, California.

Business History
Generated: Jun 19, 2026 3:02am
Price Overview
Last updated: Jun 19, 2026 3:00am (8d ago)
$28.30
-0.19 (-0.67%)
Day Range
$27.81 – $28.93
52-Week Range
$18.09 – $31.69
50-Day MA
$28.40
200-Day MA
$23.37
Volume
1,290,177.00
Analyst Price Targets
Low $26.00
Consensus $30.40
High $34.00
(14 analysts)
Share Structure
Outstanding 231,646,530.00
Float 20,835,195.00
Free Float 9.0%
Very low free float — 9.0% of shares trade freely, ~91% held by insiders/institutions
Thinly traded — expect wider bid-ask spreads and sharp price swings on modest volume. Institutional investors may avoid due to liquidity constraints.
Price History (1 Year)
Last updated: Jun 19, 2026 3:06am (8d ago)
Revenue & Net Income Trend
The directional story — useful even when net income is negative.
Last updated: Jun 19, 2026 3:06am (8d ago)
Revenue
The top line — total sales before any costs or taxes are subtracted. A measure of how much business the company is doing.
Net Income
The bottom line — profit left after subtracting all expenses, interest, and taxes from revenue. Reflects accounting profitability, but includes non-cash items like depreciation, so it isn't the same as cash earned.
Operating Cash Flow
The real cash generated by the day-to-day business — selling products, paying suppliers, collecting from customers. Calculated from net income by adding back non-cash items and adjusting for timing (unpaid bills, unsold inventory). When OCF consistently lags net income, the reported profit may not be converting to real money.
Period Revenue Net Income Net Margin YoY/QoQ
Key Metrics
API Direct from provider CALC Derived from statements
Industry comparison last run: Jun 19, 2026 3:01am
P/E Ratio (Price per dollar of earnings)
API
Stock Price / EPS (Diluted)
18.48
Stock Price: $28.30
EPS (Diluted): 1.40
P/B Ratio (Price vs net asset value)
API
Stock Price / Book Value Per Share
1.22
Stock Price: $28.30
Total Equity: $4.25B
Shares: 235,350,268
EV/EBITDA (Total value vs operating profit)
API
Enterprise Value / EBITDA
7.88
Market Cap: $6.56B
Total Debt: $3.30B
Cash: $1.86B
EBITDA: $1.16B
Enterprise Value (Takeover price (cap + debt - cash))
API
Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash
$7.0B
Market Cap: $6.56B
Total Debt: $3.30B
Cash: $1.86B
Gross Margin (Revenue left after direct costs)
API
Gross Profit / Revenue
6.7%
Gross Profit: $3.50B
Revenue: $52.56B
Operating Margin (Revenue left after all operations)
API
Operating Income / Revenue
1.8%
Operating Income: $936.66M
Revenue: $52.56B
Net Margin (Revenue left as actual profit)
API
Net Income / Revenue
0.6%
Net Income: $327.88M
Revenue: $52.56B
ROE (Profit from shareholder equity)
API
Net Income / Total Equity
8.6%
Net Income: $327.88M
Total Equity: $4.25B
ROIC (Profit from all invested capital)
API
NOPAT / Invested Capital
7.4%
Operating Income: $936.66M
Tax Rate: 38.2%
Equity: $4.25B
Total Debt: $3.30B
Cash: $1.86B
Current Ratio (Can it pay short-term bills)
API
Current Assets / Current Liabilities
1.33
Current Assets: $18.24B
Current Liabilities: $13.68B
Debt/Equity (Leverage — debt vs equity)
CALC
Total Debt / Total Equity
0.78
Short-Term Debt: $554.05M
Long-Term Debt: $2.75B
Total Debt: $3.30B
Total Equity: $4.25B
Rev/Share (Top-line per share)
CALC
Revenue / Shares Outstanding
$223.31
Revenue: $52.56B
Shares: 235,350,268
Book Value/Share (Net assets per share)
CALC
(Total Assets - Total Liabilities) / Shares
$18.05
Total Equity: $4.25B
Shares: 235,350,268
FCF/Share (Real cash generated per share)
CALC
(Operating Cash Flow + CapEx) / Shares
$3.34
Operating CF: $916.13M
CapEx: -$130.75M
Shares: 235,350,268
CapEx is negative (outflow) — added to OCF to get FCF
Div Yield (Annual income from holding)
API
Last Annual Dividend / Stock Price
1.5%
Last Dividend: N/A
Stock Price: $28.30
Payout Ratio (Earnings paid out as dividends)
Dividends Paid / Net Income
Dividends Paid: N/A
Net Income: $327.88M
Dividends paid not available in cash flow statement
Industry Benchmarks
Last run: Jun 19, 2026 3:01am
Compares INGM against LLM-researched typical ranges for its industry. One research call per industry, cached indefinitely — every stock in the same industry reuses the same baseline.
Advanced Analysis Forensic deep-dive · three lenses
Three separate reads — Company Quality (is it a great business?), Valuation (is it mispriced?), and General Sentiment (how macro + narrative are pushing it), kept deliberately apart · 2026-06-19 03:08:37
Delvantic - Cairn AI
Pass at $28 — set alert at $24 7/10
Mediocre business at a fair-but-not-fat discount — quality says 'meh' (-55), value says 'modestly cheap' (-19), and neither is loud enough to act here.
The cruxWhether the 2025 FCF print ($785M) is a real conversion inflection or another working-capital head-fake — that single fact decides if $28 is cheap or correctly priced.
Forensic checks Derived mechanically from INGM's filed financials — not from the AI lenses
Liquidity & RunwaySelf-Funding
DilutionStable Share Count
Earnings QualityAdequate / Mixed
The three lensesswitch a tab for its full read — score + evidence
Company Quality
-55
Mixed
edge √Σ 79 · risk √Σ 135 · conf 6/10

Ingram Micro is a classic distribution business: ~$52.6B of 2025 revenue at a 6.7% gross margin and a 1.8% operating margin — razor-thin economics where the business model is working capital management, not pricing power. Revenue is essentially flat over five years ($54.5B → $52.6B), gross margin has actually compressed from 7.5% to 6.7%, and net income has bounced from $475M to a one-off $2.39B (2022 looks like a tax/one-time event given OpM jumped to 6.4% then reverted) back down to $328M. This is a mature, scale-driven middleman, not a compounder.

Cash quality is the live debate. 2025 FCF of $785M looks healthy, but cumulative FCF over 2021-2024 was meaningfully negative (-$1.74B) — distribution FCF swings violently with working capital, so one strong year doesn't yet prove durable conversion. Accruals at 4.2% of assets and OCF/NI at 0.33x flag that reported net income is running ahead of cash on a multi-year basis, even if Beneish (-2.5) and Altman Z (3.21) don't scream manipulation. Net debt of $1.44B against $785M FCF is manageable but not a cushion.

The loudest signal is the insider tape: Platinum Equity, the sponsor, dumped ~33.5M shares for ~$807M across four sales in March–June 2026, with zero insider buying. Share count is roughly flat (224.7M → 235.4M), and buybacks only recover 72% of SBC, so per-share value isn't being actively compounded. This is a competent, scaled operator in a structurally low-margin industry — solid, not great.

Strengths 3
m55
2025 FCF inflection
FCF turned strongly positive at $785M in 2025 after years of negative/marginal cash generation. If sustainable, this is meaningful for a scale distributor.
m45
Altman Z 3.21 / solvency safe
Despite $1.44B net debt, Z-score in safe zone and $1.86B liquid cash plus current FCF run-rate covers debt service comfortably.
m35
Stable share count discipline
Diluted share CAGR of 0.1% and no SBC line item indicates management is not funding itself via dilution — atypical for tech-adjacent names.
Concerns 5
m78
Structurally thin margins with no expansion
Gross margin 7.5% → 6.7% over 5 years; operating margin stuck at 1.6-2.0% (ex-2022 anomaly). Distribution economics — no evidence of moat or pricing power, just scale and working-capital discipline.
m72
Sponsor exit in heavy size
Platinum Equity sold 33.5M shares for $807M across four tranches (Mar-Jun 2026). Zero insider open-market buying. Sponsor unloading at this pace signals a desire for exit liquidity, not confidence.
m60
Earnings quality drift
OCF/NI 0.33x and accruals 4.2% of assets suggest reported NI runs ahead of cash. Cumulative 2021-2024 FCF was -$1.74B against positive cumulative NI of $3.48B — only 2025 broke the pattern.
m45
Flat revenue, no organic growth story
Revenue $54.5B (2021) → $52.6B (2025), essentially flat. 2022 net income spike to $2.39B looks like a one-off (OpM jumped to 6.4% then reverted to 1.7%) — not a sustainable earnings base.
m35
Buybacks only mop up dilution
Buyback/SBC = 72.3%; share count actually drifted up from 224.7M (2024) to 235.4M (2025). Capital return is not compounding per-share value.
This is a fine, competently-run distribution business — not a great one. The economics are what they are: a 7% gross margin middleman with 2% op margins, where the only meaningful lever is working capital. The 2025 FCF print is encouraging but I want to see it repeat before I trust it, because four of the prior five years' cash conversion was poor and OCF/NI at 0.33x bothers me. The Platinum Equity sale tape is the most honest signal in the file — $807M out the door from the smartest seat at the table, with no offsetting insider conviction. I'd grade this Mixed leaning Solid: durable, scaled, surviving comfortably, but not a quality compounder and the sponsor is telling you something.
Verify before trusting this (6)
  • What drove the 2022 net income spike to $2.39B and OpM of 6.4% — one-time gain, tax benefit, or accounting reclass?
  • Working capital movements behind 2025's $785M FCF — is it sustainable conversion or a one-time inventory/receivables release?
  • Customer and vendor concentration (top OEMs like Cisco, HP, Microsoft, Apple) and rebate accounting policies — critical for a distributor
  • Platinum Equity's remaining ownership stake and any lockup/registration rights schedule signaling further sales
  • Reconciliation of the OCF/NI gap — is it timing, or is reported NI being flattered by non-cash items?
  • Convertible/term debt structure within the $3.3B gross debt and refinancing schedule
Valuation / Mispricing
-19
Modestly Cheap
edge √Σ 50 · risk √Σ 69 · conf 5/10
Price $28.30 vs deserved ~$30-34 — roughly 5-15% discount, which is appropriate compensation for thin margins and sponsor overhang, not a clear mispricing. attractive below $24.00

Ingram Micro trades at a $6.55B market cap on roughly $48B+ of revenue — classic distributor optics. With ~2% operating margins, that implies ~$1B of operating profit, putting EV/EBIT in the mid-single digits even after layering on the substantial net debt typical of a Platinum Equity carve-out. For a 7% gross-margin middleman with mixed earnings quality (OCF/NI ~0.33x historically) and an aggressive sponsor overhang, a discounted multiple is not a mispricing — it is the correct price for the risk.

The e2e synthesis flags 'Disconnected from Fundamentals,' which I read as the runaway-method warning: DCFs on distributors with thin margins are hyper-sensitive to small margin assumptions and will spit out wide fair-value ranges. I will not anchor on that. Anchoring instead on peer distributor multiples (TD SYNNEX, Arrow, Avnet typically 7-10x EBIT, ~0.15-0.20x sales), INGM at ~0.14x sales screens slightly cheap to peers. Deserved value, quality-adjusted for the earnings haircut and sponsor selling, is probably $30-34. That is a ~5-15% gap to today's $28.30 — real but not a fat pitch.

Margin of safety exists but is thin. You are paid a small discount to own a structurally challenged distributor whose bull case (Xvantage, cloud marketplace) is unproven and whose bear case (disintermediation) is live. Fair-to-modestly-cheap is the honest read.

Cheap signals 2
m40
Trades at a discount to distributor peers
At ~0.14x EV/sales and mid-single-digit EV/EBIT, INGM sits at the low end of the TD SYNNEX/Arrow/Avnet peer band despite comparable scale and margins.
m30
2025 FCF print supports the multiple
If the recent cash conversion holds, current price implies a high-single-digit FCF yield, reasonable for a low-growth distributor.
Rich / priced-in 4
m45
Earnings quality haircut is real
OCF/NI at 0.33x over four of the prior five years means reported earnings overstate cash economics; deserved multiple should be at the low end of the peer range, not the middle.
m35
Sponsor overhang caps upside
Platinum Equity is selling aggressively post-IPO; technical supply pressure suppresses re-rating until the float clears, meaning any 'cheapness' may persist.
m30
Bull case requires unproven mix shift
Re-rating to a 'platform' multiple depends on Xvantage/marketplace traction that is not yet visible in segment economics — paying for it today is speculative.
m25
e2e fair value flagged 'Disconnected'
I am discounting the composite fair value — DCFs on 2% op-margin distributors are unreliable; I would not use a runaway model as evidence of cheapness.
It's modestly cheap, not a steal. I'd want $24 or lower — roughly 15%+ below here — before the margin of safety covers the earnings-quality gap and sponsor selling. At $28 you're paid a small discount to own a thin-margin distributor with a live disintermediation debate; that's a fair trade, not an edge. I pass at this price and set an alert lower.
Verify before trusting this (5)
  • Sustainability of 2025 FCF — is working capital release one-time or structural?
  • Xvantage/cloud marketplace revenue mix and gross margin contribution in segment detail
  • Remaining Platinum Equity stake and lockup/secondary schedule
  • Net debt and interest coverage trajectory post-IPO
  • Forward guidance on operating margin — any path above 2.0-2.5%?
General Sentiment
-12
Balanced
tail √Σ 52 · head √Σ 64 · conf 6/10

Ingram Micro carries almost no narrative charge. Archetype is steady-compounder with minimal intensity and low cult coefficient, meaning there is no euphoric story bidding it up and no thematic axe currently cutting it down. The tape is genuinely neutral (regime +11, VIX 17), so there is no macro wind to amplify. The catch is the 1.79 beta - if the tape tilts risk-off, this name will get marked harder than its sleepy fundamentals warrant, because distributors get lumped with cyclicals and the float is thin on conviction holders. Analyst tone is lukewarm-positive: a Buy consensus that is really a 5/5 Buy/Hold split, target only 6% above spot, and zero revisions this month. That is the textbook profile of a name analysts are not fighting over - no upgrade cycle pulling it up, no downgrade wave pushing it down. The 'cloud disintermediation' bear narrative exists in the abstract but is not actively being pressed by the tape right now; no AI-disruption headlines are landing on INGM specifically. Net: pressure is close to zero in either direction, with a mild asymmetric risk that any risk-off shift hits this 1.79-beta name disproportionately given there is no story to defend it.

Tailwinds 3
m35
Neutral tape, no active selling pressure
Regime score +11, VIX 17.3, S&P just 1.8% off highs - there is no risk-off wave currently mauling cyclicals or high-beta names. The macro is simply not pressing on INGM right now.
m30
Improving balance sheet narrative
D/E moving 1.12 to 0.78 and low revenue-growth volatility quietly support the steady-compounder framing, giving the few believers something to point to even without a hot story.
m25
Low expectations floor
With minimal narrative intensity and thin premium baked in, there is little story-driven air to come out. Sentiment downside is partially capped because nobody is long the dream.
Headwinds 3
m45
High beta with no narrative shield
Beta 1.79 means any tape wobble lands hard, and there is no cult/story bid (intensity minimal, cult low) to absorb selling. In a neutral-to-shaky tape this is an asymmetric downside exposure.
m35
Tepid analyst conviction
5 Buys / 5 Holds, target only $30.4 vs $28.63, and zero revisions this month signals analysts are not championing the name. No upgrade momentum to pull sentiment higher.
m30
Latent disintermediation narrative
The bear story (cloud bypassing distributors, AWS/Azure/GCP direct) is dormant but plausible; any sector headline about distributor margin compression would land here with no counter-narrative.
Net pressure here is near zero with a mild negative tilt. There is no story bidding INGM up and no active narrative cutting it down - it is a forgotten distributor in a neutral tape. My honest read: the 1.79 beta is the only thing that matters for sentiment risk, because if the tape rolls over this name will get sold harder than the business deserves and there is no cult to defend it. In the current calm regime, call it Balanced; if VIX pushes 20+, this quietly becomes a Headwind name.
Verify before trusting this (4)
  • Any escalation of 'AI/cloud disintermediates distributors' headlines that could activate the dormant bear story
  • Direction of analyst revisions over next 1-2 months - currently zero, watch for the first move
  • VIX breakout above 20 or regime tilt to risk-off, which would punish the 1.79 beta disproportionately
  • Xvantage marketplace traction commentary - the only credible bull catalyst to lift the narrative from minimal
The market-wide tape + this name's exposure to it (beta / sector / narrative durability). Context on the non-fundamental pressure — not a call on the business or the price. processId: detail-general-sentiment
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Three lenses kept deliberately separate — Company Quality (price-agnostic), Valuation (price-conditional), and General Sentiment (non-fundamental macro/narrative pressure). The scores are not blended. Filing-level items (convertibles, lock-ups, customer concentration) are v2 — see each lens's "verify."
Deep Analysis
Last run: Jun 19, 2026 3:05:51 am

Pre-flight intelligence scans the company first, then routes to the right analytical methods.

0 Company Classification — What type of company is this?
1 Industry Landscape — Where is the industry headed?
2 Company Momentum — Where is this company trending?
3 Forward Projection — 1Y & 2Y projected metrics (requires Layer 1 + 2)
4a DCF Valuation — Present value of future cash flows
4b Earnings Power Value — Floor value — worth with zero growth
4c Anchored PE — Industry PE adjusted for growth differential
4d Reverse DCF — What growth is the market pricing in?
4e Revenue-Based DCF — For growth/narrative companies (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4f Anchored P/S — Price-to-Sales peer comparison (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4g Scenario Analysis — Bull / Base / Bear (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4h Dividend Discount Model — For dividend/income stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4i Book Value Analysis — For deep value / turnaround stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4j Insider Activity — Are insiders buying or selling?
4f Cash Flow Quality — How trustworthy is the FCF?
4g Debt Maturity Risk — Can it handle its debt?
4h Macro Environment — Rates, market valuation, volatility
4i Sector Intelligence — How does this company compare within its sector?
4j Revenue Confidence — How reliable is the growth projection?
4k Sensitivity Analysis — How fragile is the fair value estimate?
4l Sector Demand Cycle — Is the sector in a boom, steady state, or contraction?
5 AI Investigation — Adaptive research engine (Claude)
5b Thesis Evaluation — What does the market believe? (narrative/platform stocks only)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
6 Valuation Synthesis — Weighted verdict from all methods (requires Layer 4)
Income Statement (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 19, 2026 3:06am (8d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue $54.5B $50.8B $48.0B $48.0B $52.6B
Cost of Revenue $50.3B $47.1B $44.5B $44.5B $49.1B
Gross Profit $4.1B $3.7B $3.5B $3.4B $3.5B
Operating Expenses $3.3B $444.5M $2.6B $2.6B $2.6B
Operating Income $849.3M $3.2B $944.3M $817.9M $936.7M
Net Income $475.2M $2.4B $352.7M $264.2M $327.9M
EBITDA $1.2B $3.4B $1.2B $1.1B $1.2B
EPS $2.02 $10.20 $1.50 $1.18 $1.40
EPS (Diluted)
Balance Sheet (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 19, 2026 3:00am (8d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Cash & Equivalents $1.2B $1.3B $948.5M $918.4M $1.9B
Total Current Assets $16.7B $16.2B $15.4B $15.8B $18.2B
Total Assets $19.8B $19.1B $18.4B $18.8B $21.2B
Current Liabilities $12.0B $11.3B $10.7B $11.3B $13.7B
Long-Term Debt $4.6B $4.2B $3.7B $3.2B $2.7B
Total Liabilities $17.1B $16.0B $14.9B $15.0B $17.0B
Total Equity $2.7B $3.1B $3.5B $3.7B $4.2B
Retained Earnings $96.7M $737.5M $1.1B $1.3B $1.6B
Cash Flow (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 19, 2026 3:06am (8d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Operating Cash Flow -$1.2B -$361.1M $58.8M $333.8M $916.1M
Capital Expenditure -$126.3M -$135.8M -$201.5M -$142.7M -$130.8M
Free Cash Flow -$1.3B -$496.9M -$142.7M $191.1M $785.4M
Acquisitions (net) -$29.3M -$2.1M -$3.0M $0 $0
Debt Repayment
Dividends Paid
Stock Buybacks $0 $0 $0 -$36.8M -$3.1M
Net Change in Cash $288.2M $90.1M -$371.6M -$30.1M $946.3M
Analyst Estimates (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 19, 2026 3:00am (8d ago)
Metric 2025 2026 2027 2028
Revenue $52.0B
$51.9B – $52.0B
$56.5B
$55.9B – $57.2B
$58.1B
$56.3B – $59.1B
$59.4B
$59.4B – $59.4B
EBITDA $1.7B
$1.7B – $1.7B
$1.8B
$1.8B – $1.8B
$1.9B
$1.8B – $1.9B
$1.9B
$1.9B – $1.9B
Net Income $679.0M
$666.8M – $691.2M
$770.4M
$747.9M – $792.8M
$863.8M
$830.3M – $897.3M
$958.2M
$814.5M – $1.1B
EPS
Growth Trends (YoY %)
Last updated: Jun 19, 2026 3:06am (8d ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue Growth -6.7% -5.5% -0.1% +9.5%
Gross Profit Growth -10.1% -4.0% -2.9% +1.7%
Operating Income Growth +282.6% -70.9% -13.4% +14.5%
Net Income Growth +403.9% -85.3% -25.1% +24.1%
EBITDA Growth +184.9% -65.2% -7.8% +5.2%
Insider Trading (Recent)
Last updated: Jun 19, 2026 3:05am (8d ago)
Type codes PPurchase SSale AAward / grant MOption exercise FIn-kind (tax) CConversion GGift DReturn to issuer
All SEC Form 4 codes
Open market
P Purchase
Open-market or private purchase of shares.
S Sale
Open-market or private sale of shares.
Compensation (Rule 16b-3)
A Award / grant
Grant or award of securities (RSUs, options, etc.) under Rule 16b-3.
D Return to issuer
Securities disposed back to the company under Rule 16b-3.
F In-kind (tax)
Shares withheld or delivered to pay the option-exercise price or tax — not an open-market sale.
I Discretionary
Discretionary transaction under an employee plan — Rule 16b-3(f).
M Option exercise
Exercise or conversion of a derivative (option/RSU) into shares — exempt.
Derivatives
C Conversion
Conversion of a derivative security into the underlying shares.
E Short expiration
Expiration of a short derivative position.
H Long expiration
Expiration or cancellation of a long derivative position with value received.
O OTM exercise
Exercise of an out-of-the-money derivative.
X ITM exercise
Exercise of an in-the-money or at-the-money derivative.
Other exempt
G Gift
Bona fide gift of securities.
L Small acquisition
Small acquisition under Rule 16a-6.
W Inheritance
Acquisition or disposition by will or the laws of descent.
Z Voting trust
Deposit into or withdrawal from a voting trust.
Other
J Other
Other acquisition or disposition (explained in a Form 4 footnote).
K Equity swap
Transaction in an equity swap or similar instrument.
U Tender / buyout
Disposition via tender of shares in a change-of-control transaction.

Compensation-plan codes (A, D, F, M) are routine and rarely directional. Open-market P (buy) and S (sale) carry the most signal.

Date Insider Type Shares Price Value
2026-06-15 PLATINUM EQUITY, LLC S-Sale 5,167,069.00 $29.03 $150.0M
2026-06-12 Aragone Augusto S-Sale 50,000.00 $29.30 $1.5M
2026-06-15 Aragone Augusto S-Sale 10,000.00 $30.00 $300,044
2026-05-14 ASHMORE CRAIG W A-Award 7,031.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-14 Wienbar Sharon L A-Award 7,031.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-14 Haussler Jakki L. A-Award 7,031.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-14 STONE HEISZ LESLIE A-Award 7,031.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-14 Alvaro Felicia A-Award 7,031.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-14 MONIE ALAIN A-Award 7,031.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-07 PLATINUM EQUITY, LLC S-Sale 14,471,153.00 $24.96 $361.2M
2026-03-30 PLATINUM EQUITY, LLC S-Sale 1,348,314.00 $21.36 $28.8M
2026-03-09 PLATINUM EQUITY, LLC S-Sale 12,499,999.00 $21.36 $267.0M
2026-03-04 Hornstein Carolyn A-Award 8,407.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-03 Hornstein Carolyn F-InKind 597.00 $21.35 $12,746
2026-03-04 Aragone Augusto A-Award 25,222.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-03 Aragone Augusto F-InKind 1,424.00 $21.35 $30,402
2026-03-04 Sherman Scott D A-Award 25,222.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-03 Sherman Scott D F-InKind 1,853.00 $21.35 $39,562
2026-03-04 Zilis Michael A-Award 37,833.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-03 Zilis Michael F-InKind 2,601.00 $21.35 $55,531
Dividend History (Last 20)
Last updated: Jun 19, 2026 3:00am (8d ago)
Date Dividend Declaration Record Payment
2026-05-12 $0.08 2026-04-28 2026-05-12 2026-05-26
2026-03-10 $0.08 2026-02-24 2026-03-10 2026-03-24
2025-11-10 $0.08 2025-10-30 2025-11-10 2025-11-24
2025-08-19 $0.08 2025-08-06 2025-08-19 2025-09-02
2025-05-20 $0.08 2025-05-08 2025-05-20 2025-06-03
2025-03-11 $0.07 2025-03-04 2025-03-11 2025-03-25
Narrative Economics
The story the market is telling about this stock — the intangible X-factor (founder mythology, cult dynamics, TAM-of-imagination) that moves price beyond what cash flows alone explain. After Shiller, Narrative Economics.
No narrative profile yet for INGM — it's generated by the pipeline (market-narrative step).
Delvantic AI Findings
Independent analyst synthesis · Delvantic - Cairn AI · generated 2026-06-19 03:06:30
Reviews the pipeline's own verdicts
Verdict Fairly valued with modest upside — $31-34 fair value vs $28.30 spot; PE overhang and thin margins justify the discount, but Market Forces' "melting ice cube" call is wrong given +9.5% revenue growth and stable FCF. Starter position acceptable; wait for sponsor exit completion or Q2 margin confirmation before sizing up.

Looking at the raw tape first: Ingram is a $52.5B revenue distributor doing 67bps net margins, with FY25 revenue +9.5% YoY ($47.98B → $52.56B) and net income +24% ($264M → $328M). The most recent quarter (Q1 FY26, $13.96B rev, $98.9M NI) is +13.7% YoY on revenue and shows margins holding at 70bps. FCF of $785M on a $6.56B market cap is an 12% FCF yield. EV/EBITDA at 7.9x and P/B at 1.22 are distributor-normal, not distressed. The 2022 anomaly ($2.39B NI on $50.8B rev) is almost certainly a one-time tax/deferred item — ignore it as a comp.

The synthesis call of "Disconnected from Fundamentals" and Market Forces' "melting ice cube" verdict are in direct contradiction with each other and I side against Market Forces. A melting ice cube doesn't grow revenue 9.5% YoY with accelerating quarterly cadence ($11.54B → $11.76B → $13.34B → $12.28B → $12.79B → $12.60B → $14.88B → $13.96B shows seasonality but a clear upward step). TD Synnex, the closest pure comp, trades at similar EV/sales (~0.15x) and similar EBITDA multiples — INGM is not anomalously cheap, it's distributor-cheap, which is the correct regime. The pre-flight note nailed this: 8-9x FCF is the right frame, not a reverse-DCF that spits out 39% implied growth (that output is mechanical garbage when applied to a sub-1%-margin volume business — small absolute FCF changes look like huge percentage moves).

The genuine concerns are not "structural decline" — they're capital structure and insider behavior. The balance sheet tile is missing total debt and total equity, which is a serious gap for a distributor where leverage and working-capital float are the entire game; ROA of 1.67% on $52B of revenue tells you this is a thin-spread financing business and debt levels matter enormously to equity value. More damning: the 5.17M-share sale on June 15 2026 plus the 14.47M-share sale on May 7 2026 — roughly 20M shares combined against a ~230M share count — is almost certainly PE sponsor (Platinum Equity) unwinding post-IPO. That's a known overhang, not new information, but it caps near-term upside and explains the depressed multiple as much as any fundamental concern. The contrarian read is that once the sponsor finishes distributing, the float normalizes, sell-side picks up coverage, and a re-rating from 0.10x sales to 0.13-0.15x (TD Synnex range) implies $37-42 fair value. The bear contrarian read is that sponsor selling continues for another 12-18 months and the stock dead-money grinds sideways while AI-era hyperscaler disintermediation slowly erodes the value-add layer Ingram sells into.

I dissent from the synthesis "Disconnected" verdict in spirit and strongly dissent from Market Forces' headwinds call. This is a properly-priced low-margin distributor with a sponsor overhang, not a value trap and not a hidden gem. Fair value on 9-10x FCF ($785M) is $7.1-7.9B equity, or $31-34/share — call it 10-20% upside from $28.30, plus a 1.5% dividend. That's not a fat pitch; it's a reasonable hold-or-starter for someone who wants distributor exposure and can tolerate 12 months of sponsor selling. The accelerating Q1 print (+13.7% revenue YoY, margins stable) is the single most underweighted data point in the prior models — if Q2 confirms, the re-rating thesis hardens. If Q2 shows margin compression back to 30-50bps like Q2 2025, the bear case on AI-era disintermediation gets real evidence and $24 becomes the floor.

GPT Critique
Second-opinion review · gpt-4o · generated 2026-06-19 03:06:37
Reviews the Opus findings above
Verdict I agree with Opus — fairly valued at $28.30, with a fair target range of $31-34, but I maintain that structural threats warrant close monitoring, especially regarding the cloud marketplace pivot.

In analyzing Ingram Micro Holding Corporation, several key observations arise from the raw data. The company presents itself as a low-margin distributor with revenues of $52.56 billion in 2025 and a net income of $327.9 million, translating to a net margin of just 0.6%. The most recent quarterly figures show a revenue of $13.96 billion and net income of $98.9 million, maintaining a similar margin. These figures underscore Ingram's position as a volume-driven business with a focus on logistics efficiency. Interestingly, Ingram has shown a recent uptick in revenue growth, with a year-over-year increase of 9.5% in 2025. However, the operating cash flow and free cash flow figures, $916.1 million and $785.4 million respectively, suggest that despite low margins, the company is managing to generate substantial cash, which is crucial for a distributor reliant on working capital management.

Opus's analysis contends that Ingram is fairly valued with modest upside, pegging the fair value at $31-34 per share. I concur with this assessment, particularly in light of the company's stable FCF generation and revenue growth. However, I diverge from Opus in the interpretation of the "melting ice cube" narrative. While Opus dismisses this characterization due to the revenue growth, I believe this view should not be entirely disregarded. The structural challenges posed by direct-to-consumer and cloud-native supply chains, as highlighted in the bear story, represent genuine threats to Ingram's traditional distribution model. Although revenue growth is positive, it does not negate the long-term margin pressures and competitive threats from major cloud providers bypassing traditional distributors.

I also agree with Opus's point regarding the concerns over capital structure and insider behavior. The absence of total debt and equity figures is a notable oversight, as these metrics are critical in assessing the financial health of a company with such thin margins. The significant insider selling activity further compounds this issue, suggesting potential caution on the part of insiders regarding future prospects, which could contribute to the current discount in the stock's valuation.

A careful skeptic would argue that both Opus's and my analyses may underplay the potential impact of technological shifts and competitive pressures. They might contend that the narrative around cloud marketplaces and the potential for margin uplift could be overly optimistic, and that the structural decline of traditional distribution models might accelerate faster than anticipated, leading to prolonged margin erosion and a more significant devaluation of the business.

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My Notes personal — only you see this
Data via Financial Modeling Prep · Cached for performance · fmp
v1.1.352 · d1100787 · 2026-06-26 11:39:30