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AGING Analysis Report
Jun 1, 2026
25 days ago · 93% complete · +4 refreshed

Kingsoft Cloud Holdings Limited

KC NASDAQ Categories PDF
Technology · Software - Services
Beijing, BJ 100085, United States IPO 2020 ksyun.com Updated Jun 26, 6:47pm
Price
$8.58
Market Cap
$2.5B
Employees
2,228
Beta
1.95
Avg Volume
1,414,938
CEO
Tao Zou
Business Description

Kingsoft Cloud Holdings Limited provides cloud services to businesses and organizations primarily in China. The company’s product portfolio includes cloud products, such as infrastructure as a service (IaaS) infrastructure, platform as a service (PaaS) middleware, and software as a service (SaaS) applications that primarily consist of cloud computing, network, containers, database, big data, security, storage, and delivery solutions. It offers research and development services, as well as enterprise digital solutions and related services. The company also provides public cloud services to customers in various verticals, including video, e-commerce, intelligent mobility, artificial intelligence, and mobile internet; and enterprise cloud services to customers in financial services, public service, and healthcare businesses. Kingsoft Cloud Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Business History
Generated: Jun 1, 2026 8:14pm
Price Overview
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 7:59am (just now)
$8.58
-0.14 (-1.61%)
Day Range
$8.35 – $8.60
52-Week Range
$8.35 – $18.52
50-Day MA
$13.79
200-Day MA
$13.33
Volume
1,395,715.00
Analyst Price Targets
Low $15.60
Consensus $15.60
High $15.60
(7 analysts)
Share Structure
Outstanding 295,817,903.00
Float 295,788,026.00
Free Float 100.0%
High free float — 100.0% of shares trade freely, ~0% held by insiders/institutions
Very liquid — most shares trade freely. Low insider ownership can mean less management alignment, but makes large position sizing straightforward.
Price History (1 Year)
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 7:59am (just now)
Revenue & Net Income Trend
The directional story — useful even when net income is negative.
Last updated: Jun 26, 2026 6:47pm (13h ago)
Revenue
The top line — total sales before any costs or taxes are subtracted. A measure of how much business the company is doing.
Net Income
The bottom line — profit left after subtracting all expenses, interest, and taxes from revenue. Reflects accounting profitability, but includes non-cash items like depreciation, so it isn't the same as cash earned.
Operating Cash Flow
The real cash generated by the day-to-day business — selling products, paying suppliers, collecting from customers. Calculated from net income by adding back non-cash items and adjusting for timing (unpaid bills, unsold inventory). When OCF consistently lags net income, the reported profit may not be converting to real money.
Period Revenue Net Income Net Margin YoY/QoQ
Key Metrics
API Direct from provider CALC Derived from statements
Industry comparison last run: Jun 1, 2026 8:13pm
P/E Ratio (Price per dollar of earnings)
CALC
Stock Price / EPS (Diluted)
-2.60
Stock Price: $8.58
EPS (Diluted): -3.30
P/B Ratio (Price vs net asset value)
API
Stock Price / Book Value Per Share
2.12
Stock Price: $8.58
Total Equity: $9.32B
Shares: 273,804,334
EV/EBITDA (Total value vs operating profit)
API
Enterprise Value / EBITDA
9.34
Market Cap: $2.54B
Total Debt: $6.42B
Cash: $6.12B
EBITDA: $2.03B
Enterprise Value (Takeover price (cap + debt - cash))
API
Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash
$20.1B
Market Cap: $2.54B
Total Debt: $6.42B
Cash: $6.12B
P/S Ratio (Price per dollar of revenue)
API
Stock Price / Revenue Per Share
2.07
Stock Price: $8.58
Revenue: $9.56B
Shares: 273,804,334
EV/Sales (Total value vs revenue — works when P/E can't)
API
2.11
Gross Margin (Revenue left after direct costs)
API
Gross Profit / Revenue
15.7%
Gross Profit: $1.50B
Revenue: $9.56B
Operating Margin (Revenue left after all operations)
API
Operating Income / Revenue
-5.5%
Operating Income: -$527.37M
Revenue: $9.56B
Net Margin (Revenue left as actual profit)
API
Net Income / Revenue
-9.8%
Net Income: -$936.25M
Revenue: $9.56B
ROE (Profit from shareholder equity)
API
Net Income / Total Equity
-12.2%
Net Income: -$936.25M
Total Equity: $9.32B
ROIC (Profit from all invested capital)
API
NOPAT / Invested Capital
-2.1%
Operating Income: -$527.37M
Tax Rate: 0.4%
Equity: $9.32B
Total Debt: $6.42B
Cash: $6.12B
Current Ratio (Can it pay short-term bills)
API
Current Assets / Current Liabilities
1.17
Current Assets: $11.03B
Current Liabilities: $9.43B
Debt/Equity (Leverage — debt vs equity)
CALC
Total Debt / Total Equity
0.69
Short-Term Debt: $3.39B
Long-Term Debt: $3.03B
Total Debt: $6.42B
Total Equity: $9.32B
Rev/Share (Top-line per share)
CALC
Revenue / Shares Outstanding
$34.91
Revenue: $9.56B
Shares: 273,804,334
Book Value/Share (Net assets per share)
CALC
(Total Assets - Total Liabilities) / Shares
$34.05
Total Equity: $9.32B
Shares: 273,804,334
FCF/Share (Real cash generated per share)
CALC
(Operating Cash Flow + CapEx) / Shares
$-3.44
Operating CF: $3.80B
CapEx: -$4.74B
Shares: 273,804,334
CapEx is negative (outflow) — added to OCF to get FCF
Div Yield (Annual income from holding)
API
Last Annual Dividend / Stock Price
0.0%
Last Dividend: N/A
Stock Price: $8.58
Payout Ratio (Earnings paid out as dividends)
Dividends Paid / Net Income
Dividends Paid: N/A
Net Income: -$936.25M
Dividends paid not available in cash flow statement
Industry Benchmarks
Last run: Jun 1, 2026 8:13pm
Compares KC against LLM-researched typical ranges for its industry. One research call per industry, cached indefinitely — every stock in the same industry reuses the same baseline.
Advanced Analysis Forensic deep-dive · three lenses
The "final boss" read — Opus reviews every forensic module + the full e2e analysis · 2026-06-02 15:49:57
Legacy single-score read — re-run the extended pipeline to get the two-lens split.
Cash-rich ($6.12B liquid, 155% of market cap) but bleeding $941M FCF/yr in a commodity cloud war — the optionality is real, the operating business is not yet proven.
-3 Hold / Neutral

The headline numbers tell two contradictory stories. Story 1 (bull): $6.12B liquid cash against a $3.94B market cap means you're paying negative ~$2.2B for the operating business; revenue re-accelerated to $9.56B in 2025 (+23% YoY), gross margin expanded from 3.9% in 2021 to 15.7%, and operating margin compressed from -27% to -5.5% — a genuine multi-year inflection. Story 2 (bear): FCF burn ACCELERATED to -$941M in 2025 from -$3.05B in 2024 (still bad), the company carries net debt of $296M despite the cash pile (so the $6.12B is offset by ~$6.4B of debt — this isn't a fortress, it's a leveraged balance sheet), Altman Z of -0.3 sits in distress territory, and diluted shares grew from 230M to 273M (4.4% CAGR) while buybacks recover only 12.7% of SBC.

The critical reconciliation: the 'cash/mktcap 155%' headline is misleading because net cash is NEGATIVE. The $6.12B liquid cash is matched by roughly equivalent debt — this is a financed balance sheet, not a cash fortress. That changes the entire valuation framing. You are NOT buying the opco for free; you are buying a leveraged Chinese cloud reseller with a 26-quarter runway only if debt doesn't get called and refi stays available.

The insider tape shows essentially no directional activity — one 1.2M share transaction by Tian Kaiyan at $89K (implied $0.07/share, almost certainly an award/grant code, NOT an open-market buy at $13.74). No P codes visible. The 'no insider transactions' label is correct. Narrative-wise, the pipeline's $16-20 fair value hinges on 5% op margin by 2027 — plausible given the trajectory, but requires the commodity-cloud bear case to be wrong.

Deep Analysis
Last run: Jun 1, 2026 8:17:30 pm

Pre-flight intelligence scans the company first, then routes to the right analytical methods.

0 Company Classification — What type of company is this?
1 Industry Landscape — Where is the industry headed?
2 Company Momentum — Where is this company trending?
3 Forward Projection — 1Y & 2Y projected metrics (requires Layer 1 + 2)
4a DCF Valuation — Present value of future cash flows
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4b Earnings Power Value — Floor value — worth with zero growth
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4c Anchored PE — Industry PE adjusted for growth differential
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4d Reverse DCF — What growth is the market pricing in?
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4e Revenue-Based DCF — For growth/narrative companies (skip if mature earner)
4f Anchored P/S — Price-to-Sales peer comparison (skip if mature earner)
4g Scenario Analysis — Bull / Base / Bear (skip if mature earner)
4h Dividend Discount Model — For dividend/income stocks only
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4i Book Value Analysis — For deep value / turnaround stocks only
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4j Insider Activity — Are insiders buying or selling?
4f Cash Flow Quality — How trustworthy is the FCF?
4g Debt Maturity Risk — Can it handle its debt?
4h Macro Environment — Rates, market valuation, volatility
4i Sector Intelligence — How does this company compare within its sector?
4j Revenue Confidence — How reliable is the growth projection?
4k Sensitivity Analysis — How fragile is the fair value estimate?
Not applicable for Pre Profit Growth companies
4l Sector Demand Cycle — Is the sector in a boom, steady state, or contraction?
5 AI Investigation — Adaptive research engine (Claude)
5b Thesis Evaluation — What does the market believe? (narrative/platform stocks only)
6 Valuation Synthesis — Weighted verdict from all methods (requires Layer 4)
Income Statement (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 26, 2026 6:47pm (13h ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue $9.1B $8.2B $7.0B $7.8B $9.6B
Cost of Revenue $8.7B $7.8B $6.2B $6.4B $8.1B
Gross Profit $351.3M $429.5M $850.2M $1.3B $1.5B
Operating Expenses $2.1B $2.7B $2.2B $2.2B $2.0B
Operating Income -$1.7B -$2.2B -$1.4B -$825.7M -$527.4M
Net Income -$1.6B -$2.7B -$2.2B -$2.0B -$936.3M
EBITDA -$668.4M -$1.4B -$1.1B -$487.8M $2.0B
EPS $-6.90 $-10.95 $-9.15 $-8.10 $-3.30
EPS (Diluted)
Balance Sheet (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 26, 2026 6:47pm (13h ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Cash & Equivalents $4.2B $3.4B $2.3B $2.6B $6.1B
Total Current Assets $12.4B $9.0B $6.1B $6.8B $11.0B
Total Assets $21.1B $17.3B $15.1B $17.6B $26.7B
Current Liabilities $7.5B $6.7B $6.8B $9.2B $9.4B
Long-Term Debt $0 $0 $100.0M $1.7B $3.0B
Total Liabilities $9.6B $7.7B $7.8B $12.1B $17.4B
Total Equity $10.6B $8.8B $6.9B $5.2B $9.3B
Retained Earnings -$7.5B -$10.1B -$12.3B -$14.3B -$15.3B
Cash Flow (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 26, 2026 6:47pm (13h ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Operating Cash Flow -$708.9M $189.0M -$169.1M $628.4M $3.8B
Capital Expenditure -$735.4M -$1.4B -$2.0B -$3.7B -$4.7B
Free Cash Flow -$1.4B -$1.2B -$2.1B -$3.1B -$941.3M
Acquisitions (net) $150.3M -$223.4M -$5.5M -$2.8M $0
Debt Repayment
Dividends Paid
Stock Buybacks $0 -$208.4M $0 $0 $0
Net Change in Cash $1.0B -$922.9M -$1.0B $240.6M $3.4B
Analyst Estimates (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 26, 2026 6:47pm (13h ago)
Metric 2026 2027 2028 2029
Revenue $12.6B
$11.0B – $14.0B
$15.7B
$11.9B – $18.6B
$19.1B
$16.6B – $21.3B
$18.6B
$16.1B – $20.7B
EBITDA -$617.1M
-$685.9M – -$535.6M
-$767.6M
-$911.4M – -$581.0M
-$935.9M
-$1.0B – -$812.2M
-$909.2M
-$1.0B – -$789.0M
Net Income -$702.5M
-$788.1M – -$616.8M
-$443.5M
-$739.1M – -$147.8M
-$326.9M
-$496.2M – -$157.6M
$5.0M
$4.2M – $5.7M
EPS
Growth Trends (YoY %)
Last updated: Jun 26, 2026 6:47pm (13h ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue Growth -9.7% -13.8% +10.5% +22.8%
Gross Profit Growth +22.3% +97.9% +57.7% +12.1%
Operating Income Growth -29.2% +39.2% +39.0% +36.1%
Net Income Growth -67.3% +18.1% +9.6% +52.4%
EBITDA Growth -104.8% +21.2% +54.8% +516.3%
Insider Trading (Recent)
Type codes PPurchase SSale AAward / grant MOption exercise FIn-kind (tax) CConversion GGift DReturn to issuer
All SEC Form 4 codes
Open market
P Purchase
Open-market or private purchase of shares.
S Sale
Open-market or private sale of shares.
Compensation (Rule 16b-3)
A Award / grant
Grant or award of securities (RSUs, options, etc.) under Rule 16b-3.
D Return to issuer
Securities disposed back to the company under Rule 16b-3.
F In-kind (tax)
Shares withheld or delivered to pay the option-exercise price or tax — not an open-market sale.
I Discretionary
Discretionary transaction under an employee plan — Rule 16b-3(f).
M Option exercise
Exercise or conversion of a derivative (option/RSU) into shares — exempt.
Derivatives
C Conversion
Conversion of a derivative security into the underlying shares.
E Short expiration
Expiration of a short derivative position.
H Long expiration
Expiration or cancellation of a long derivative position with value received.
O OTM exercise
Exercise of an out-of-the-money derivative.
X ITM exercise
Exercise of an in-the-money or at-the-money derivative.
Other exempt
G Gift
Bona fide gift of securities.
L Small acquisition
Small acquisition under Rule 16a-6.
W Inheritance
Acquisition or disposition by will or the laws of descent.
Z Voting trust
Deposit into or withdrawal from a voting trust.
Other
J Other
Other acquisition or disposition (explained in a Form 4 footnote).
K Equity swap
Transaction in an equity swap or similar instrument.
U Tender / buyout
Disposition via tender of shares in a change-of-control transaction.

Compensation-plan codes (A, D, F, M) are routine and rarely directional. Open-market P (buy) and S (sale) carry the most signal.

Date Insider Type Shares Price Value
2026-03-25 Qu Heng 0.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-18 Wang Hang 0.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-18 Zou Tao 0.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-18 Li Yi 0.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-18 Liu Tao 0.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-18 Liu Tao 0.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-18 Liu Tao 0.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-18 Qu Jingyuan 0.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-18 Tian Kaiyan 0.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-18 Tian Kaiyan 0.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-18 Tian Kaiyan 0.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-18 Tian Kaiyan 0.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-18 Tian Kaiyan 1,200,000.00 $0.07 $89,040
2026-03-18 Zhang Duo 0.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-18 Yu Ming-to 0.00 $0.00 $0
Narrative Economics
The story the market is telling about this stock — the intangible X-factor (founder mythology, cult dynamics, TAM-of-imagination) that moves price beyond what cash flows alone explain. After Shiller, Narrative Economics.
No narrative profile yet for KC — it's generated by the pipeline (market-narrative step).
Delvantic AI Findings
Independent analyst synthesis · Delvantic - Cairn AI · generated 2026-06-01 20:18:07
Reviews the pipeline's own verdicts
Verdict Cheap for a reason but not distressed — fair value $16-20 if operating margin reaches 5% by 2027; small position appropriate, size for VIE/capex tail risk, not the platform-monopoly narrative the models oversold.

The raw trajectory is genuinely striking before any narrative overlay. Revenue went $7.05B (2023) → $7.79B (2024) → $9.56B (2025), with the most recent quarter at $2.70B versus $1.97B a year prior — that's 37% YoY acceleration in Q1 2026, not the 22.8% the momentum tile flags from older windows. Gross profit nearly doubled from $850M (2023) to $1.50B (2025), gross margin from 12% to 15.7%, and operating loss compressed from -$1.35B to -$527M. Net loss halved from -$1.97B to -$936M. Operating cash flow swung to a positive $3.80B in 2025 — that is not a distressed business. The catch: capex of -$4.74B drove FCF to -$941M, meaning KC is plowing everything plus more into AI/GPU infrastructure buildout. Cash of $6.12B is real but the burn rate matters: at -$941M FCF and accelerating capex, runway is maybe 3-4 years absent capital raises or capex moderation.

The synthesis verdict ("Disconnected from Fundamentals — priced as distressed") is directionally defensible but the underlying P/S claim is wrong-numbered. FMP's ps_ratio is 2.07x and ev_to_revenue is 2.11x — not the 0.4x the pre-flight and synthesis layers repeatedly cite. At $3.94B market cap on $9.56B revenue that's 0.41x in USD terms, but the canonical ratio uses ADR-adjusted share economics. Either way, the models are arguing past each other: market-forces flags "unsustainable debt-funded growth" and "zero insider confidence" as bearish, while synthesis calls it catastrophically cheap. Both can't be right, and the insider data is unreadable (ten "?" entries with 0 shares — that's a data failure, not a signal of absent insider buying). I'd discount the market-forces "zero insider confidence" claim entirely.

The contrarian case the models underweight: this is a Chinese VIE-structured cloud provider whose largest customer historically has been Xiaomi/Kingsoft group — related-party revenue concentration is a real overhang the data here doesn't disclose. The 15.7% gross margin is still thin for "cloud infrastructure" — AWS runs 60%+, even Alibaba Cloud is in the high-teens to low-20s. KC's margin expansion (12% → 15.7% over two years) is real but the asymptote may be 20%, not 40%. That caps terminal operating margin somewhere around 8-12%, not SaaS-like. Capex at $4.74B against $9.56B revenue (50% of sales) is GPU/AI buildout that either (a) generates the next leg of growth at premium pricing or (b) becomes stranded capacity if Chinese AI demand disappoints or US chip export controls bite harder. The bear case isn't "dying business" — it's "capital-intensive utility with structural margin ceiling and geopolitical tail risk."

I dissent from "disconnected from fundamentals" framing — the market isn't being irrational, it's pricing real risks the synthesis layer hand-waves: VIE structure, customer concentration, capex-driven dilution risk, and a margin profile that may never reach hyperscaler economics. That said, at 2x EV/revenue with 37% recent quarterly growth, OCF positive $3.8B, and loss curve bending, the stock is more interesting than the bearish components suggest. Fair value if you believe operating margin reaches 5% by 2027 on $13-14B revenue: ~$700M operating profit, slap a 20x multiple = $14B EV, roughly $18-20/share. If capex normalizes and AI infra monetizes, upside to $25. If margins stall at break-even and dilution comes, $8-10. The expected value skews modestly positive at $13.33 but with fat left tail. The "platform-monopoly" narrative archetype is wrong — KC is a #4 player in a market where #1-3 have structural advantages; calling it platform-monopoly inflates the bull case. This is a leveraged bet on China cloud capex cycle + AI buildout monetization, not a quality compounder.

GPT Critique
Second-opinion review · gpt-4o · generated 2026-06-01 20:18:13
Reviews the Opus findings above
Verdict I disagree with Opus's "cheap for a reason" stance — while risks are significant, the operational improvements and revenue growth suggest a fair value closer to $18-20, contingent on successful AI infrastructure monetization and operating margin expansion.

From my perspective on the raw data, Kingsoft Cloud Holdings Limited presents a complex picture of a company that is growing rapidly yet remains burdened by significant structural challenges. The revenue growth is a standout, with an impressive trajectory from $7.05B in 2023 to $9.56B in 2025, marking a robust growth rate. The recent quarterly revenue of $2.70B represents a substantial 37% year-over-year increase, contrary to the 22.8% flagged in the momentum tile, indicating acceleration rather than deceleration. However, the company is still grappling with persistent losses, albeit reduced, as seen with an improving net income margin from -56.1% to -12.7% over recent quarters. The cash flow statement reveals a positive operating cash flow of $3.80B for 2025, yet free cash flow remains negative due to high capital expenditures, suggesting an aggressive investment phase, likely in infrastructure. This positions Kingsoft Cloud as a high-revenue, high-burn entity with a precarious balance between growth and financial sustainability.

I agree with Opus on several points, particularly the observation that Kingsoft Cloud is not distressed in the traditional sense. The operating cash flow turning positive is a significant milestone, indicating operational improvements that are not typically characteristic of a distressed firm. Opus rightly critiques the synthesis verdict's assertion of a "0.4x P/S multiple," which seems to be an error or misinterpretation, as the ps_ratio from FMP is 2.07x. This discrepancy highlights the importance of accurate ratio interpretation in valuation. However, I diverge from Opus's framing on some key aspects. For instance, Opus describes the market's pricing as reflecting "real risks," such as the VIE structure and customer concentration. While these are valid concerns, I think the potential for a positive turnaround, driven by increased AI infrastructure investment, is underappreciated by the market. The narrative that Kingsoft Cloud could leverage these investments into future growth represents a substantial potential upside that is not fully priced in.

A careful skeptic might argue that both Opus's and my views are overly optimistic about the potential for margin improvements and growth sustainability. They could point to the thin gross margins, which remain considerably lower than industry leaders, and the massive capex as indicators that Kingsoft Cloud may not achieve the economies of scale required for substantial profitability. Furthermore, the geopolitical risks inherent in a Chinese VIE-structured company operating under an unpredictable regulatory environment add layers of uncertainty that could derail even the most promising financial trajectories.

Community AI Feedback
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My Notes personal — only you see this
Data via Financial Modeling Prep · Cached for performance · fmp
v1.1.352 · d1100787 · 2026-06-26 11:39:30