Business Description
KLA Corporation specializes in creating, manufacturing, and distributing advanced solutions vital for process control, process optimization, and yield enhancement throughout the global semiconductor and broader electronics industries. The company organizes its business into four main segments: Semiconductor Process Control, Specialty Semiconductor Process, PCB, Display and Component Inspection, and an 'Other' category. For integrated circuit (IC) fabrication, KLA offers a comprehensive range of products. These include systems for wafer inspection, review, and metrology; defect inspection and metrology for both wafers/substrates and reticles; chemical and materials quality analysis tools; and real-time process management and wafer handling diagnostics essential for IC and original equipment manufacturer (OEM) production. Furthermore, the company develops software for live process control, defect excursion identification, process corrections, and defect classification. KLA also supplies refurbished and remanufactured equipment. Beyond IC manufacturing, KLA supports specialty semiconductor production. This includes benchtop metrology, surface characterization, and electrical property measurement services suitable for general-purpose and laboratory use. They also provide technologies and solutions for etching, plasma dicing, deposition, and various other wafer processing tasks within the semiconductor and microelectronics sectors. Within the printed circuit board (PCB) market, KLA delivers solutions such as direct imaging, inspection, optical shaping, additive printing, and computer-aided manufacturing and engineering. For the display industry, their offerings encompass inspection and electrical testing systems to pinpoint and categorize defects, as well as equipment for defect repair. KLA also supplies inspection and metrology systems designed to improve quality control and yield in both advanced and conventional semiconductor packaging markets. Established in 1975, the company was initially known as KLA-Tencor Corporation before rebranding as KLA Corporation in July 2019. Its corporate headquarters are situated in Milpitas, California.
Business History
Generated: Jun 24, 2026 3:02amPrice Overview
Last updated: Jun 24, 2026 3:00am (3d ago)Price History (1 Year)
Revenue & Net Income Trend
| Period | Revenue | Net Income | Net Margin | YoY/QoQ |
|---|
Key Metrics
EPS (Diluted): 30.53
Total Equity: $4.69B
Shares: 133,750,000
Total Debt: $5.88B
Cash: $2.08B
EBITDA: $5.34B
Total Debt: $5.88B
Cash: $2.08B
Revenue: $12.16B
Revenue: $12.16B
Revenue: $12.16B
Total Equity: $4.69B
Tax Rate: 12.5%
Equity: $4.69B
Total Debt: $5.88B
Cash: $2.08B
Current Liabilities: $4.09B
Long-Term Debt: $5.88B
Total Debt: $5.88B
Total Equity: $4.69B
Shares: 133,750,000
Shares: 133,750,000
CapEx: -$340.21M
Shares: 133,750,000
Stock Price: $244.49
Net Income: $4.06B
Industry Benchmarks
Advanced Analysis Forensic deep-dive · three lenses
KLA's financial trajectory is the profile of a dominant franchise. Revenue grew from 6.92B in 2021 to 12.16B in 2025 (about 15% CAGR), gross margin expanded from 59.9% to 62.3%, and operating margin jumped from 36% to a remarkable 43.1% in the latest year. Net income reached 4.06B on 3.74B of FCF, with OCF/NI of 1.07x and accruals at -1.3% of assets - earnings are backed by cash, not accounting. Beneish M of -2.26 and Altman Z of 19.36 corroborate clean books.
Verify before trusting this (6)
- Customer concentration disclosure in 10-K (TSMC, Samsung, Intel exposure)
- Process control market share trends versus AMAT, Lazertec in mask inspection
- Service revenue mix and recurring revenue percentage
- Whether CEO sales are pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plans
- China revenue exposure and export-control risk
- Debt maturity schedule and rates given net debt position
Price is $244.49 against a composite FV of $381.91 and a DCF of $454.18, while the EPV floor sits at $237.36 - essentially right where the stock trades. That EPV anchor tells me the market is paying roughly for steady-state earnings power with little credit for growth, which is a reasonable setup for a Fortress-quality compounder with 43% operating margins and a 3.7% annual buyback. The signal-adjusted $524.54 (115% upside) is not credible for a $319B mega-cap process-control monopoly already widely owned; treat it as a runaway output and discount heavily.
Verify before trusting this (4)
- Forward guidance and book-to-bill trajectory in next earnings
- Services/recurring revenue mix and growth (supports EPV durability)
- China revenue exposure and any incremental export controls
- Capex/buyback pace - confirms per-share compounding continues
The macro tape is only mildly negative (S&P -3.2% off highs, VIX 19.5), but KLAC's 1.5 beta and direct exposure to the AI-chip narrative mean the landing is harder than the headline suggests. The proximate hit is a 9.2% single-day drop on the SK Hynix HBM-slowdown report - the exact kind of narrative crack that punishes a 'pick-and-shovel to AI capex' story. The bull thesis (indispensable process control, AI buildout winner) was the dominant frame and is now being tested in real time. Analyst tone is stale and diverging unfavorably: consensus is Buy with target $198.85 versus a $244.49 spot, meaning the Street's published targets sit 19% BELOW the price even after recent revisions averaged only $239.6. That is a quiet headwind - any further AI-capex tape weakness gives analysts cover to keep targets where they are while the stock mean-reverts. Narrative durability is only 'moderate' and intensity 'moderate' with low cult coefficient, so there is no fanatic bid to defend it on red days. Offsetting tailwinds exist - YTD +113%, strong momentum, UBS raised target, AI-memory inclusion lists - but these are backward-looking and were built on the very HBM/AI-capex story that just got challenged.
None surfaced.
None surfaced.
Deep Analysis
Pre-flight intelligence scans the company first, then routes to the right analytical methods.
Income Statement (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 24, 2026 3:03am (3d ago)| Metric | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $6.9B | $9.2B | $10.5B | $9.8B | $12.2B |
| Cost of Revenue | $2.8B | $3.6B | $4.2B | $3.9B | $4.6B |
| Gross Profit | $4.1B | $5.6B | $6.3B | $5.9B | $7.6B |
| Operating Expenses | $1.7B | $2.0B | $2.3B | $2.2B | $2.3B |
| Operating Income | $2.5B | $3.7B | $4.0B | $3.6B | $5.2B |
| Net Income | $2.1B | $3.3B | $3.4B | $2.8B | $4.1B |
| EBITDA | $2.9B | $4.0B | $4.5B | $3.9B | $5.3B |
| EPS | $13.49 | $22.07 | $24.28 | $20.41 | $30.53 |
| EPS (Diluted) | — | — | — | — | — |
Balance Sheet (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 24, 2026 3:00am (3d ago)| Metric | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & Equivalents | $1.4B | $1.6B | $1.9B | $2.0B | $2.1B |
| Total Current Assets | $5.7B | $7.2B | $8.4B | $10.0B | $10.7B |
| Total Assets | $10.3B | $12.6B | $14.1B | $15.4B | $16.1B |
| Current Liabilities | $2.1B | $2.9B | $3.7B | $4.7B | $4.1B |
| Long-Term Debt | $3.4B | $6.7B | $5.9B | $5.9B | $5.9B |
| Total Liabilities | $6.9B | $11.2B | $11.2B | $12.1B | $11.4B |
| Total Equity | $3.4B | $1.4B | $2.9B | $3.4B | $4.7B |
| Retained Earnings | $1.3B | $366.9M | $848.4M | $1.1B | $2.2B |
Cash Flow (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 22, 2026 3:04am (5d ago)| Metric | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $2.2B | $3.3B | $3.7B | $3.3B | $4.1B |
| Capital Expenditure | -$231.6M | -$307.3M | -$341.6M | -$277.4M | -$340.2M |
| Free Cash Flow | $2.0B | $3.0B | $3.3B | $3.0B | $3.7B |
| Acquisitions (net) | $16.8M | -$479.1M | $43.9M | -$3.7M | $0 |
| Debt Repayment | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividends Paid | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stock Buybacks | -$938.6M | -$4.9B | -$1.3B | -$1.7B | -$2.1B |
| Net Change in Cash | $200.2M | $150.3M | $343.0M | $49.3M | $101.8M |
Analyst Estimates (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 24, 2026 3:00am (3d ago)| Metric | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue |
$17.1B $16.1B – $17.7B
|
$19.7B $19.6B – $19.9B
|
$22.0B $20.7B – $22.9B
|
$24.8B $23.3B – $25.9B
|
| EBITDA |
$7.2B $6.8B – $7.5B
|
$8.3B $8.3B – $8.4B
|
$9.3B $8.7B – $9.7B
|
$10.5B $9.9B – $11.0B
|
| Net Income |
$683.0M $645.8M – $720.2M
|
$866.8M $690.9M – $1.0B
|
$902.4M $831.7M – $953.3M
|
$1.0B $940.3M – $1.1B
|
| EPS | — | — | — | — |
Growth Trends (YoY %)
Last updated: Jun 24, 2026 3:03am (3d ago)| Metric | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | +33.1% | +13.9% | -6.5% | +23.9% |
| Gross Profit Growth | +35.5% | +11.7% | -6.3% | +28.7% |
| Operating Income Growth | +46.8% | +9.3% | -9.0% | +44.2% |
| Net Income Growth | +59.8% | +2.0% | -18.5% | +47.1% |
| EBITDA Growth | +40.7% | +12.2% | -13.3% | +36.8% |
Insider Trading (Recent)
Last updated: Jun 24, 2026 3:03am (3d ago)All SEC Form 4 codes
- P Purchase
- Open-market or private purchase of shares.
- S Sale
- Open-market or private sale of shares.
- A Award / grant
- Grant or award of securities (RSUs, options, etc.) under Rule 16b-3.
- D Return to issuer
- Securities disposed back to the company under Rule 16b-3.
- F In-kind (tax)
- Shares withheld or delivered to pay the option-exercise price or tax — not an open-market sale.
- I Discretionary
- Discretionary transaction under an employee plan — Rule 16b-3(f).
- M Option exercise
- Exercise or conversion of a derivative (option/RSU) into shares — exempt.
- C Conversion
- Conversion of a derivative security into the underlying shares.
- E Short expiration
- Expiration of a short derivative position.
- H Long expiration
- Expiration or cancellation of a long derivative position with value received.
- O OTM exercise
- Exercise of an out-of-the-money derivative.
- X ITM exercise
- Exercise of an in-the-money or at-the-money derivative.
- G Gift
- Bona fide gift of securities.
- L Small acquisition
- Small acquisition under Rule 16a-6.
- W Inheritance
- Acquisition or disposition by will or the laws of descent.
- Z Voting trust
- Deposit into or withdrawal from a voting trust.
- J Other
- Other acquisition or disposition (explained in a Form 4 footnote).
- K Equity swap
- Transaction in an equity swap or similar instrument.
- U Tender / buyout
- Disposition via tender of shares in a change-of-control transaction.
Compensation-plan codes (A, D, F, M) are routine and rarely directional. Open-market P (buy) and S (sale) carry the most signal.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | WALLACE RICHARD P | S-Sale | 4,512.00 | $2,213.37 | $10.0M |
| 2026-05-12 | WALLACE RICHARD P | S-Sale | 4,512.00 | $1,794.00 | $8.1M |
| 2026-05-11 | Kirloskar Virendra A | S-Sale | 297.00 | $1,879.02 | $558,069 |
| 2026-05-11 | Hanley Jeneanne Michelle | S-Sale | 550.00 | $1,874.71 | $1.0M |
| 2026-02-05 | CALDERONI ROBERT | A-Award | 11.27 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2025-12-16 | Higgins Bren D. | S-Sale | 2,254.00 | $1,237.01 | $2.8M |
| 2025-11-12 | Khan Ahmad A. | G-Gift | 85.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2025-11-11 | WALLACE RICHARD P | S-Sale | 10,803.00 | $1,203.10 | $13.0M |
| 2025-11-11 | WALLACE RICHARD P | G-Gift | 804.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Embree Tracy A | A-Award | 203.73 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Conley Jason | A-Award | 203.73 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2025-11-05 | CALDERONI ROBERT | A-Award | 256.70 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2025-11-05 | McMullen Michael R. | A-Award | 203.73 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Conley Jason | 0.00 | $0.00 | $0 | |
| 2025-11-05 | Taylor Susan J.S. | A-Award | 203.73 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2025-11-05 | PENG VICTOR | A-Award | 203.73 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2025-11-05 | KENNEDY KEVIN | A-Award | 203.73 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Hanley Jeneanne Michelle | A-Award | 203.73 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Samath Jamie | A-Award | 203.73 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Embree Tracy A | 0.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
Dividend History (Last 20)
Last updated: Jun 24, 2026 3:00am (3d ago)| Date | Dividend | Declaration | Record | Payment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | $2.30 | 2026-05-07 | 2026-05-18 | 2026-06-02 |
| 2026-02-17 | $1.90 | 2026-02-05 | 2026-02-17 | 2026-03-03 |
| 2025-11-17 | $1.90 | 2025-11-06 | 2025-11-17 | 2025-12-02 |
| 2025-08-18 | $1.90 | 2025-08-07 | 2025-08-18 | 2025-09-03 |
| 2025-05-19 | $1.90 | 2025-05-08 | 2025-05-19 | 2025-06-03 |
| 2025-02-24 | $1.70 | 2025-02-13 | 2025-02-24 | 2025-03-04 |
| 2024-11-18 | $1.70 | 2024-11-07 | 2024-11-18 | 2024-12-03 |
| 2024-08-15 | $1.45 | 2024-08-01 | 2024-08-15 | 2024-09-03 |
| 2024-05-14 | $1.45 | 2024-05-02 | 2024-05-15 | 2024-05-31 |
| 2024-02-15 | $1.45 | 2024-02-07 | 2024-02-19 | 2024-03-01 |
| 2023-11-14 | $1.45 | 2023-11-02 | 2023-11-15 | 2023-12-01 |
| 2023-08-14 | $1.30 | 2023-08-03 | 2023-08-15 | 2023-09-01 |
| 2023-05-12 | $1.30 | 2023-05-04 | 2023-05-15 | 2023-06-01 |
| 2023-02-10 | $1.30 | 2023-02-02 | 2023-02-13 | 2023-03-01 |
| 2022-11-14 | $1.30 | 2022-11-03 | 2022-11-15 | 2022-12-01 |
| 2022-08-12 | $1.30 | 2022-08-04 | 2022-08-15 | 2022-09-01 |
| 2022-05-13 | $1.05 | 2022-05-05 | 2022-05-16 | 2022-06-01 |
| 2022-02-11 | $1.05 | 2022-02-02 | 2022-02-14 | 2022-03-01 |
| 2021-11-12 | $1.05 | 2021-11-04 | 2021-11-15 | 2021-12-01 |
| 2021-08-13 | $1.05 | 2021-08-05 | 2021-08-16 | 2021-09-01 |
Narrative Economics
market-narrative step).
Delvantic AI Findings
The raw trajectory here is unambiguously strong, not "decelerating" as the secondary signal claims. Quarterly revenue has marched from $2.57B (Jun-24) to $3.42B (Mar-26) — eight consecutive quarters of sequential growth, with the most recent print +23.9% YoY. Net margin has expanded from 32.6% to 35.2%, and the Jun-25 fiscal year delivered $12.16B revenue (+24% YoY) and $4.06B NI (+47%). FCF of $3.74B on $340M capex is a fortress — 31% FCF margin, capex/sales of 2.8%, which is the giveaway that KLA isn't really a "semicap equipment" company in the cyclical Applied Materials/Lam sense; it's a software-and-systems oligopolist in process control with ~85% share. The "Low Revenue Confidence / decelerating" tag looks like an artifact — sequential deltas are slowing in percentage terms because the base is bigger, but absolute dollar adds per quarter are still rising.
Now the model contradictions, which are loud. The synthesis claims composite fair value of $381 → signal-adjusted $524 (+114%), Market Narrative repeats the "53% discount" framing, but Market Forces says "27x P/E fully reflects near-term perfection" and Thesis Evaluation calls it a "Reasonable Premium" pricing in only 1.5% FCF growth. These cannot all be true. The reconciliation: the headline P/E of 6.85 is almost certainly a data artifact (TTM tag, anomaly flagged 9/10) — at $244 and roughly $4.6B run-rate NI, real P/E is ~25x, not 6.8x. The DCF-implied $525 leans on extrapolating current 23% YoY growth and 35% margins into perpetuity, which is exactly the wrong thing to do for a company whose customers (TSMC, Samsung, SK Hynix, Intel) are mid-cycle in an AI-driven capex surge. Meanwhile the "1.5% implied growth" bear case ignores that KLA's services/software revenue (~25% of mix, growing double-digits) is genuinely recurring.
The contrarian read a careful skeptic should voice: KLA's revenue is up 76% from the FY21 trough of $6.92B to $12.16B+ TTM, driven by a once-in-a-decade leading-edge logic buildout (3nm/2nm, advanced packaging for HBM/CoWoS). Process control intensity rises with each node, yes — but WFE spending has historically corrected 20-30% peak-to-trough, and the last real down-cycle (FY23, $10.5B → trough) was masked by services. If China DUV restrictions tighten further (China was ~40% of KLA revenue in 2024, already normalizing down), and if memory capex digests in CY26 after the current HBM build, you can easily model FY27 revenue back to $11-12B and NI to $3.5B. At a normalized ~22x on $3.5B NI, that's roughly $230-240/share — i.e., the stock is already near fair value on a cycle-normalized basis, not 53% below it. Insider activity supports this — eight sales versus two small awards over 13 months, with the largest (10,803 sh in Nov-25) clustered near highs, is not "Neutral," it's quietly distributional.
I dissent from the synthesis verdict of $524 fair value and side with Market Forces. The narrative engine got this right: anchored, moderate intensity, no cult premium — the question is purely cycle timing. The +114% upside claim is a DCF that mistakes peak-cycle earnings for trend. But the bear case ($83 trough revisit) also overshoots — KLA's structural margin profile and dividend (7.6% yield per the tile, though that number looks suspect; real yield is ~0.9%, another likely data error) plus net cash balance sheet floors the downside. Fair value is closer to $240-270 on cycle-normalized $4B NI at 20-22x, which is essentially where it trades. The asymmetry is poor at $244: maybe +10% if AI capex extends through CY27, -25 to -30% if WFE rolls in 2H26. Wait for either a capex air-pocket re-rating into the $190s or a clear post-digestion inflection. The "53% discount" framing in synthesis and narrative layers is being driven by a P/E ratio that the anomaly file itself flags as period-mismatched — the models are believing their own
GPT Critique
In reviewing the raw data on KLA Corporation, several key metrics stand out to me. The company shows impressive revenue growth, moving from $2.57 billion in June 2024 to $3.42 billion in March 2026. This represents a substantial sequential growth pattern, even if the percentage growth rate is slowing due to the larger base. The net income margin improvement from 32.6% to 35.2% during the same period highlights strong operational efficiency. KLA's free cash flow margin of 31% is robust, indicating solid cash generation capability, especially with a relatively low capex of $340.2 million. However, the current valuation metrics are contradictory. A TTM P/E ratio of 6.85 seems anomalously low and likely incorrect, given the data's flagged anomalies and mismatched period windows. The EV/EBITDA of 54.85 suggests a high valuation relative to earnings capacity if not adjusted properly for anomalies.
Delvantic AI's findings, particularly those from Claude Opus, present a compelling argument but also invite scrutiny. Opus argues that "the raw trajectory here is unambiguously strong," which is consistent with the revenue growth and margin expansion data. I agree that the "Low Revenue Confidence / decelerating" tag might be an artifact, as absolute dollar growth remains healthy. However, where I diverge from Opus is in the interpretation of valuation. Opus recognizes the inconsistency in the valuation synthesis, noting the mismatch between a supposed 53% discount and a 27x P/E fully reflecting perfection. I agree with this assessment and would add that the fair value synthesis seems overly optimistic by relying on extrapolating current high growth rates, which may not be sustainable given the cyclical nature of semiconductor capex.
Where I strongly agree with Opus is in the skepticism towards the synthesis's $524 fair value verdict. The extrapolation of current growth rates into perpetuity ignores historical cyclical corrections in the semiconductor industry. Opus correctly points out that the last down-cycle was masked by services growth and that future revenue could normalize to $11-12 billion, making a fair value around $230-240/share more realistic. This is consistent with historical trends where semiconductor equipment companies face significant variance in revenue based on capex cycles. The insider selling activity noted by Opus further supports a cautious stance, suggesting that insiders might also view the current price as fully valued or even overvalued.
A careful skeptic might argue against both Opus and my views by emphasizing the potential for a longer-lasting AI-driven capex cycle that could sustain KLA's growth rates beyond typical cycles. They might point to the increasing complexity and need for advanced metrology equipment in semiconductor manufacturing as a secular tailwind that could decouple KLA from historical cyclicality. However, this outlook requires faith in the uniqueness and longevity of the current tech cycle, which remains speculative.