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AGING Analysis Report
Jun 18, 2026
9 days ago · 89% complete

Life Time Group Holdings, Inc.

LTH NYSE Categories PDF
Consumer Cyclical · Leisure
Chanhassen, MN 55317, United States IPO 2021 lifetime.life Updated Jun 27, 7:59am
Price
$41.01
Market Cap
$9.1B
Employees
43,000
Beta
1.55
Avg Volume
2,686,512
CEO
Bahram Akradi
Business Description

Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. (LTH) delivers extensive health, fitness, and well-being experiences to its individual clientele throughout the United States and Canada. The company's primary business involves the design, construction, and operation of upscale, resort-inspired centers, which integrate facilities for sports, athletics, professional fitness, family recreation, and spa services. These establishments are predominantly situated in urban and suburban areas within major metropolitan regions. Inside these comprehensive centers, members can access fully equipped exercise areas, private locker rooms, a variety of group fitness studios, both indoor and outdoor swimming pools, on-site dining options such as bistros and LifeCafe, and athletic courts for tennis and basketball. Additional amenities include LifeSpa services and dedicated childcare along with Kids Academy educational programs. Furthermore, Life Time extends its reach digitally through Life Time Digital, offering live-streamed workout sessions, remote personal training tailored to individual goals, nutritional and weight management guidance, and a rich library of expert-curated health and wellness content. This platform also facilitates access to Apple Fitness+ for additional content and health metric monitoring. The company is also involved in media endeavors, organizing athletic events, and providing related support services. By December 31, 2021, Life Time managed 151 locations spanning 29 U.S. states and one Canadian province. Of these, 63 were company-owned (including ground leases), while 88 were operated under lease agreements. Founded in 1992, the entity was formerly known as LTF Holdings, Inc. It adopted the name Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. on June 21, 2021, and its main office is located in Chanhassen, Minnesota.

Business History
Generated: Jun 18, 2026 3:02am
Price Overview
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 7:59am (just now)
$41.01
+1.15 (+2.89%)
Day Range
$39.68 – $41.79
52-Week Range
$24.14 – $41.79
50-Day MA
$32.17
200-Day MA
$28.30
Volume
3,803,774.00
Analyst Price Targets
Low $37.00
Consensus $44.63
High $60.00
(23 analysts)
Share Structure
Outstanding 222,602,738.00
Float 164,826,198.00
Free Float 74.0%
Normal free float — 74.0% of shares trade freely, ~26% held by insiders/institutions
Healthy float typical of established companies. Good liquidity for entering and exiting positions without major price impact.
Price History (1 Year)
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 7:59am (just now)
Revenue & Net Income Trend
The directional story — useful even when net income is negative.
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 7:59am (just now)
Revenue
The top line — total sales before any costs or taxes are subtracted. A measure of how much business the company is doing.
Net Income
The bottom line — profit left after subtracting all expenses, interest, and taxes from revenue. Reflects accounting profitability, but includes non-cash items like depreciation, so it isn't the same as cash earned.
Operating Cash Flow
The real cash generated by the day-to-day business — selling products, paying suppliers, collecting from customers. Calculated from net income by adding back non-cash items and adjusting for timing (unpaid bills, unsold inventory). When OCF consistently lags net income, the reported profit may not be converting to real money.
Period Revenue Net Income Net Margin YoY/QoQ
Key Metrics
API Direct from provider CALC Derived from statements
Industry comparison last run: Jun 18, 2026 3:02am
P/E Ratio (Price per dollar of earnings)
API
Stock Price / EPS (Diluted)
23.59
Stock Price: $41.01
EPS (Diluted): 1.71
P/B Ratio (Price vs net asset value)
API
Stock Price / Book Value Per Share
1.85
Stock Price: $41.01
Total Equity: $3.13B
Shares: 225,495,000
EV/EBITDA (Total value vs operating profit)
API
Enterprise Value / EBITDA
14.72
Market Cap: $9.13B
Total Debt: $4.15B
Cash: $232.17M
EBITDA: $789.85M
Enterprise Value (Takeover price (cap + debt - cash))
API
Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash
$12.3B
Market Cap: $9.13B
Total Debt: $4.15B
Cash: $232.17M
Gross Margin (Revenue left after direct costs)
API
Gross Profit / Revenue
47.6%
Gross Profit: $1.43B
Revenue: $3.00B
Operating Margin (Revenue left after all operations)
API
Operating Income / Revenue
16.1%
Operating Income: $481.29M
Revenue: $3.00B
Net Margin (Revenue left as actual profit)
API
Net Income / Revenue
12.5%
Net Income: $373.67M
Revenue: $3.00B
ROE (Profit from shareholder equity)
API
Net Income / Total Equity
12.6%
Net Income: $373.67M
Total Equity: $3.13B
ROIC (Profit from all invested capital)
API
NOPAT / Invested Capital
4.9%
Operating Income: $481.29M
Tax Rate: 24.3%
Equity: $3.13B
Total Debt: $4.15B
Cash: $232.17M
Current Ratio (Can it pay short-term bills)
API
Current Assets / Current Liabilities
0.63
Current Assets: $385.76M
Current Liabilities: $609.51M
Debt/Equity (Leverage — debt vs equity)
CALC
Total Debt / Total Equity
1.33
Short-Term Debt: $113.17M
Long-Term Debt: $4.04B
Total Debt: $4.15B
Total Equity: $3.13B
Rev/Share (Top-line per share)
CALC
Revenue / Shares Outstanding
$13.28
Revenue: $3.00B
Shares: 225,495,000
Book Value/Share (Net assets per share)
CALC
(Total Assets - Total Liabilities) / Shares
$13.86
Total Equity: $3.13B
Shares: 225,495,000
FCF/Share (Real cash generated per share)
CALC
(Operating Cash Flow + CapEx) / Shares
$-0.09
Operating CF: $870.53M
CapEx: -$891.48M
Shares: 225,495,000
CapEx is negative (outflow) — added to OCF to get FCF
Div Yield (Annual income from holding)
API
Last Annual Dividend / Stock Price
0.0%
Last Dividend: N/A
Stock Price: $41.01
Payout Ratio (Earnings paid out as dividends)
Dividends Paid / Net Income
Dividends Paid: N/A
Net Income: $373.67M
Dividends paid not available in cash flow statement
Industry Benchmarks
Last run: Jun 18, 2026 3:02am
Compares LTH against LLM-researched typical ranges for its industry. One research call per industry, cached indefinitely — every stock in the same industry reuses the same baseline.
Deep Analysis
Last run: Jun 18, 2026 3:06:12 am

Pre-flight intelligence scans the company first, then routes to the right analytical methods.

0 Company Classification — What type of company is this?
1 Industry Landscape — Where is the industry headed?
2 Company Momentum — Where is this company trending?
3 Forward Projection — 1Y & 2Y projected metrics (requires Layer 1 + 2)
4a DCF Valuation — Present value of future cash flows
Average FCF is negative — DCF not applicable
4b Earnings Power Value — Floor value — worth with zero growth
4c Anchored PE — Industry PE adjusted for growth differential
4d Reverse DCF — What growth is the market pricing in?
Average FCF is negative
4e Revenue-Based DCF — For growth/narrative companies (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4f Anchored P/S — Price-to-Sales peer comparison (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4g Scenario Analysis — Bull / Base / Bear (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4h Dividend Discount Model — For dividend/income stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4i Book Value Analysis — For deep value / turnaround stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4j Insider Activity — Are insiders buying or selling?
4f Cash Flow Quality — How trustworthy is the FCF?
4g Debt Maturity Risk — Can it handle its debt?
4h Macro Environment — Rates, market valuation, volatility
4i Sector Intelligence — How does this company compare within its sector?
4j Revenue Confidence — How reliable is the growth projection?
4k Sensitivity Analysis — How fragile is the fair value estimate?
4l Sector Demand Cycle — Is the sector in a boom, steady state, or contraction?
5 AI Investigation — Adaptive research engine (Claude)
5b Thesis Evaluation — What does the market believe? (narrative/platform stocks only)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
6 Valuation Synthesis — Weighted verdict from all methods (requires Layer 4)
Income Statement (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 7:59am (just now)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue $1.3B $1.8B $2.2B $2.6B $3.0B
Cost of Revenue $844.1M $1.1B $1.2B $1.4B $1.6B
Gross Profit $474.0M $754.3M $1.0B $1.2B $1.4B
Operating Expenses $969.1M $643.7M $807.0M $871.1M $945.4M
Operating Income -$495.2M $110.6M $225.2M $357.5M $481.3M
Net Income -$579.4M -$1.8M $76.1M $156.2M $373.7M
EBITDA -$260.1M $339.8M $470.0M $631.5M $789.8M
EPS $-3.00 $-0.01 $0.39 $0.77 $1.71
EPS (Diluted)
Balance Sheet (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 7:59am (just now)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Cash & Equivalents $31.6M $25.5M $30.0M $10.9M $232.2M
Total Current Assets $131.5M $131.0M $174.5M $171.0M $385.8M
Total Assets $6.3B $6.6B $7.0B $7.2B $8.8B
Current Liabilities $406.3M $457.4M $557.2M $520.1M $609.5M
Long-Term Debt $1.8B $1.8B $1.9B $1.5B $4.0B
Total Liabilities $4.2B $4.5B $4.8B $4.5B $5.7B
Total Equity $2.1B $2.1B $2.3B $2.6B $3.1B
Retained Earnings -$651.1M -$652.9M -$576.8M -$420.6M -$46.9M
Cash Flow (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 7:59am (just now)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Operating Cash Flow -$20.0M $201.0M $463.0M $575.1M $870.5M
Capital Expenditure -$328.9M -$591.2M -$693.9M -$524.5M -$891.5M
Free Cash Flow -$348.9M -$390.2M -$230.9M $50.6M -$21.0M
Acquisitions (net) -$9.5M $351.9M -$5.7M $0 $227.4M
Debt Repayment
Dividends Paid
Stock Buybacks $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Net Change in Cash -$1.6M -$6.1M $4.5M -$2.1M $204.3M
Analyst Estimates (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 7:59am (just now)
Metric 2025 2026 2027 2028
Revenue $3.0B
$3.0B – $3.0B
$3.3B
$3.3B – $3.3B
$3.7B
$3.7B – $3.8B
$4.1B
$4.1B – $4.1B
EBITDA $422.3M
$418.5M – $426.7M
$470.7M
$469.3M – $472.1M
$524.9M
$517.9M – $533.4M
$584.3M
$583.6M – $585.0M
Net Income $307.1M
$304.0M – $310.2M
$345.7M
$315.9M – $354.6M
$399.1M
$337.0M – $416.2M
$421.5M
$401.0M – $442.0M
EPS
Growth Trends (YoY %)
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 7:59am (just now)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue Growth +38.3% +21.6% +18.2% +14.3%
Gross Profit Growth +59.2% +36.8% +19.0% +16.1%
Operating Income Growth +122.3% +103.6% +58.7% +34.6%
Net Income Growth +99.7% +4,342.2% +105.4% +139.2%
EBITDA Growth +230.7% +38.3% +34.4% +25.1%
Insider Trading (Recent)
Type codes PPurchase SSale AAward / grant MOption exercise FIn-kind (tax) CConversion GGift DReturn to issuer
All SEC Form 4 codes
Open market
P Purchase
Open-market or private purchase of shares.
S Sale
Open-market or private sale of shares.
Compensation (Rule 16b-3)
A Award / grant
Grant or award of securities (RSUs, options, etc.) under Rule 16b-3.
D Return to issuer
Securities disposed back to the company under Rule 16b-3.
F In-kind (tax)
Shares withheld or delivered to pay the option-exercise price or tax — not an open-market sale.
I Discretionary
Discretionary transaction under an employee plan — Rule 16b-3(f).
M Option exercise
Exercise or conversion of a derivative (option/RSU) into shares — exempt.
Derivatives
C Conversion
Conversion of a derivative security into the underlying shares.
E Short expiration
Expiration of a short derivative position.
H Long expiration
Expiration or cancellation of a long derivative position with value received.
O OTM exercise
Exercise of an out-of-the-money derivative.
X ITM exercise
Exercise of an in-the-money or at-the-money derivative.
Other exempt
G Gift
Bona fide gift of securities.
L Small acquisition
Small acquisition under Rule 16a-6.
W Inheritance
Acquisition or disposition by will or the laws of descent.
Z Voting trust
Deposit into or withdrawal from a voting trust.
Other
J Other
Other acquisition or disposition (explained in a Form 4 footnote).
K Equity swap
Transaction in an equity swap or similar instrument.
U Tender / buyout
Disposition via tender of shares in a change-of-control transaction.

Compensation-plan codes (A, D, F, M) are routine and rarely directional. Open-market P (buy) and S (sale) carry the most signal.

Date Insider Type Shares Price Value
2026-06-24 Singh Ritadhwaja Jebens M-Exempt 67,751.00 $13.65 $924,801
2026-06-24 Singh Ritadhwaja Jebens S-Sale 67,751.00 $38.65 $2.6M
2026-06-24 Singh Ritadhwaja Jebens M-Exempt 67,751.00 $13.65 $924,801
2026-06-10 Almendares Jimena S-Sale 40,589.00 $33.59 $1.4M
2026-06-04 DANHAKL JOHN G S-Sale 2,208,580.00 $28.60 $63.2M
2026-06-04 Galashan John Kristofer S-Sale 2,208,580.00 $28.60 $63.2M
2026-06-04 Green LTF Holdings II LP S-Sale 2,168,305.00 $28.60 $62.0M
2026-06-04 Green LTF Holdings II LP S-Sale 36,602.00 $28.60 $1.0M
2026-06-04 Green LTF Holdings II LP S-Sale 3,673.00 $28.60 $105,048
2026-06-04 Partners Group Private Equity Fund, LLC S-Sale 329,921.00 $28.60 $9.4M
2026-05-21 Partners Group Private Equity Fund, LLC S-Sale 449,960.00 $32.51 $14.6M
2026-05-21 Green LTF Holdings II LP S-Sale 2,951,282.00 $32.51 $95.9M
2026-05-21 Green LTF Holdings II LP S-Sale 49,819.00 $32.51 $1.6M
2026-05-21 Green LTF Holdings II LP S-Sale 4,999.00 $32.51 $162,517
2026-05-21 Galashan John Kristofer S-Sale 3,006,100.00 $32.51 $97.7M
2026-05-21 DANHAKL JOHN G S-Sale 3,006,100.00 $32.51 $97.7M
2026-05-20 Wagner Rachael A. A-Award 5,429.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-20 Wagner Rachael A. 0.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-07 Partners Group Private Equity Fund, LLC S-Sale 747,178.00 $31.46 $23.5M
2026-05-07 Green LTF Holdings II LP S-Sale 4,900,722.00 $31.46 $154.2M
Narrative Economics
The story the market is telling about this stock — the intangible X-factor (founder mythology, cult dynamics, TAM-of-imagination) that moves price beyond what cash flows alone explain. After Shiller, Narrative Economics.
No narrative profile yet for LTH — it's generated by the pipeline (market-narrative step).
Delvantic AI Findings
Independent analyst synthesis · Delvantic - Cairn AI · generated 2026-06-18 03:06:48
Reviews the pipeline's own verdicts
Verdict Fairly valued at best with a sponsor-selling overhang — fair value $30–34, no margin of safety; wait for either FCF to inflect positive or shares to clear $28 before committing.

The raw quarterly trajectory tells a cleaner story than the synthesis lets on, but it also contains a yellow flag the models underweight. Revenue went $667.8M → $706M → $761.5M → $782.6M → $745.1M → $788.7M — that's roughly 18% YoY in the latest print (Q1 2026 vs Q1 2025: $788.7M vs $706M = +11.7%, not the 14.3% claimed; either way, decelerating from the high-teens 2024 pace). Net margins have stair-stepped from 5.6% (Q4 2024) to a 16.5% peak in Q4 2025, then back to 11.2% in Q1 2026. That margin volatility — 700bps quarter-to-quarter — is not a "steady compounder" pattern; it suggests either tax/one-time items or genuine operating leverage that's lumpy. The annual NI doubling from $156M to $374M is real, but a chunk of that gap is likely below-the-line.

The balance sheet and cash flow data are where I part ways with the bullish framing. Operating CF of $870M against capex of $891M produces FCF of -$21M — the company is reinvesting every dollar it earns into new clubs. That's fine for a growth-real-estate hybrid, but the pre-flight note calling capex "$89M in 2025" is off by an order of magnitude (it's $891M); the synthesis was working from bad data. Current ratio of 0.63 plus a missing total debt figure on a real-estate-heavy operator is a meaningful gap — Life Time historically carries $1.7–2B+ in debt and lease obligations. EV/EBITDA of 13.1x is reasonable for a real REIT-adjacent operator, but EV/Revenue of 4.1x on a business with -$21M FCF is what a contrarian seizes on: you're paying a premium multiple for accounting earnings that haven't translated to distributable cash.

The insider activity is the loudest signal in the file and the models dramatically underplay it. Eight sales in three weeks totaling north of 10.4 million shares — at $34.59, that's roughly $360M of insider selling between May 21 and June 10, 2026. That's not 10b5-1 trim; that's a coordinated exit, almost certainly the Bahram Akradi/LGP/TPG sponsor block continuing to monetize. Even if mechanical, the supply overhang on a $7.7B market cap is material — sponsors selling 5%+ of shares outstanding in three weeks caps near-term upside regardless of fundamentals. The "Unusual Selling Activity" tag in secondary signals is the only model output that registers this, and even it doesn't quantify it.

A contrarian would argue: the 16.5% Q4 net margin was the cycle peak, Q1 2026's 11.2% is the truer run-rate, the FCF deficit means equity holders are funding growth that benefits debt holders first, and sponsor selling is telling you who the marginal seller is for the next year. The bull counter — that same-club maturation drops capex/revenue and unlocks $300–400M of annual FCF by 2027–2028 — is plausible but unproven; LTH has been "about to inflect to positive FCF" for three years running. I dissent mildly from the "High Conviction Required" synthesis, which is really a non-verdict. At 19.9x earnings and 4.1x EV/sales with FCF still negative and sponsors dumping, the risk/reward is asymmetric to the downside near-term. Fair value on a normalized 13% net margin and $3.4B 2026 revenue is ~$440M NI, and a 17–18x multiple (appropriate for decelerating mid-teens growth with leverage) gets you to $7.5–8B market cap — essentially today's price. There's no margin of safety, and there is an identifiable forced seller. Wait for the overhang to clear or for a sub-$28 print that gives you a real entry.

GPT Critique
Second-opinion review · gpt-4o · generated 2026-06-18 03:06:57
Reviews the Opus findings above
Verdict I agree with Opus — fairly valued at $34 with downside risks from insider selling and negative FCF; a more attractive entry point would be below $30.

Upon reviewing the data for Life Time Group Holdings, Inc., the narrative that emerges is of a company experiencing robust growth in revenue but accompanied by significant volatility in net margins and a concerning cash flow situation. Revenue has seen a commendable increase from $1.32B in 2021 to $3B in 2025, indicating a strong growth trajectory. However, the quarterly fluctuations in net margins, particularly the drop from 16.5% in Q4 2025 to 11.2% in Q1 2026, suggest underlying volatility that may not align with the steady-compounder archetype the market narrative suggests.

I agree with Claude Opus’s identification of the cash flow issues. The negative free cash flow of -$21M in 2025, despite a high operating cash flow of $870.5M, highlights the aggressive capital expenditure strategy, which reached $891.5M. This strategy, while potentially setting up future growth, currently leaves the company without positive distributable cash flows. Opus rightly points out that the capex was vastly underestimated in the pre-flight note, reaffirming the need to correctly weigh the impact of substantial reinvestment on financial health.

Opus and I diverge slightly on the insider selling activity. While Opus emphasizes the significant volume of shares sold by insiders, totaling over 10 million shares, as a potential overhang, I see this more as a neutral indicator, given the context of a maturing business strategy where early investors might be looking to exit. However, it's undoubtedly a factor that could cap short-term price appreciation.

Where I strongly align with Opus is in the risk assessment associated with the company's valuation metrics. The EV/Revenue ratio of 4.1x and a P/E ratio of 19.9x, juxtaposed against the negative FCF and substantial insider selling, suggest a high valuation that might not be justifiable without clear evidence of future cash flow inflection. The market is indeed pricing Life Time Group as a premium growth story, yet the lack of a safety margin in its current valuation prompts caution.

A careful skeptic might argue that the ongoing capital investments are a strategic move that could bear significant fruit, with a potential shift towards positive free cash flow as new clubs mature and the initial capital intensity decreases. They may also argue that the market has already priced in the insider sales, and the focus should remain on operational performance and market expansion.

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My Notes personal — only you see this
Data via Financial Modeling Prep · Cached for performance · fmp
v1.1.352 · d1100787 · 2026-06-26 11:39:30