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AGING Analysis Report
Jun 7, 2026
19 days ago · 96% complete

Mettler-Toledo International Inc.

MTD NYSE Categories PDF
Healthcare · Medical - Diagnostics & Research
Columbus, OH 43240, United States IPO 1997 mt.com Updated Jun 26, 11:49pm
Price
$1,263.75
Market Cap
$25.5B
Employees
16,000
Beta
1.26
Avg Volume
186,350
CEO
Patrick K. Kaltenbach
Business Description

Mettler-Toledo International Inc. (MTD) is a global enterprise dedicated to the production and provision of precision instruments and related services. The company's operations are strategically organized across five geographical divisions: its domestic U.S. market, Swiss operations, Western European activities, Chinese operations, and an 'Other' segment covering remaining territories. Their extensive product portfolio serves diverse scientific and industrial needs. Within the laboratory sphere, Mettler-Toledo supplies a comprehensive array of equipment, including high-precision balances, advanced liquid handling systems (such as pipetting solutions), automated laboratory reactors, titrators, pH meters, sensors and analyzers for process analytics, instruments for evaluating physical properties, thermal analysis systems, and various other analytical tools. These hardware offerings are complemented by LabX, their proprietary software platform designed for managing and analyzing instrument-generated data. For industrial applications, the company offers robust weighing instruments with associated terminals, automated systems for dimensional measurement and data capture, heavy-duty vehicle scales, specialized industrial software, and a full suite of product inspection technologies. This includes metal detectors, X-ray inspection systems, checkweighers, camera-based imaging equipment, and solutions for track-and-trace. Additionally, Mettler-Toledo provides sophisticated retail weighing solutions, encompassing networked scales and accompanying software, standalone scales, and automated packaging and labeling systems specifically tailored for fresh food items. The company caters to a wide spectrum of clients, including the life sciences sector, independent research organizations, testing laboratories, food and beverage manufacturers, food retailers, chemical, specialty chemical, and cosmetics companies, transportation and logistics firms, metals and electronics industries, and the academic community. Sales and support are conducted through both a direct sales force and an established network of indirect distribution channels. Mettler-Toledo International Inc. was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Columbus, Ohio.

Business History
Generated: Jun 7, 2026 5:11pm
Price Overview
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 8:01am (just now)
$1,263.75
+20.33 (+1.64%)
Day Range
$1,240.60 – $1,269.62
52-Week Range
$1,023.05 – $1,525.17
50-Day MA
$1,183.19
200-Day MA
$1,313.15
Volume
258,079.00
Analyst Price Targets
Low $1,194.00
Consensus $1,392.25
High $1,500.00
(25 analysts)
Share Structure
Outstanding 20,207,601.00
Float 20,098,076.00
Free Float 99.5%
High free float — 99.5% of shares trade freely, ~0.5% held by insiders/institutions
Very liquid — most shares trade freely. Low insider ownership can mean less management alignment, but makes large position sizing straightforward.
Price History (1 Year)
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 8:01am (just now)
Revenue & Net Income Trend
The directional story — useful even when net income is negative.
Last updated: Jun 24, 2026 1:29pm (2d ago)
Revenue
The top line — total sales before any costs or taxes are subtracted. A measure of how much business the company is doing.
Net Income
The bottom line — profit left after subtracting all expenses, interest, and taxes from revenue. Reflects accounting profitability, but includes non-cash items like depreciation, so it isn't the same as cash earned.
Operating Cash Flow
The real cash generated by the day-to-day business — selling products, paying suppliers, collecting from customers. Calculated from net income by adding back non-cash items and adjusting for timing (unpaid bills, unsold inventory). When OCF consistently lags net income, the reported profit may not be converting to real money.
Period Revenue Net Income Net Margin YoY/QoQ
Key Metrics
API Direct from provider CALC Derived from statements
Industry comparison last run: Jun 7, 2026 5:11pm
P/E Ratio (Price per dollar of earnings)
API
Stock Price / EPS (Diluted)
29.30
Stock Price: $1,264
EPS (Diluted): 42.17
P/B Ratio (Price vs net asset value)
API
Stock Price / Book Value Per Share
-1,215.71
Stock Price: $1,264
Total Equity: -$23.64M
Shares: 20,610,189
EV/EBITDA (Total value vs operating profit)
API
Enterprise Value / EBITDA
22.12
Market Cap: $25.54B
Total Debt: $2.27B
Cash: $66.89M
EBITDA: $1.23B
Enterprise Value (Takeover price (cap + debt - cash))
API
Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash
$31.0B
Market Cap: $25.54B
Total Debt: $2.27B
Cash: $66.89M
Gross Margin (Revenue left after direct costs)
API
Gross Profit / Revenue
57.5%
Gross Profit: $2.32B
Revenue: $4.03B
Operating Margin (Revenue left after all operations)
API
Operating Income / Revenue
27.8%
Operating Income: $1.12B
Revenue: $4.03B
Net Margin (Revenue left as actual profit)
API
Net Income / Revenue
21.6%
Net Income: $869.19M
Revenue: $4.03B
ROE (Profit from shareholder equity)
API
Net Income / Total Equity
-610.3%
Net Income: $869.19M
Total Equity: -$23.64M
ROIC (Profit from all invested capital)
API
NOPAT / Invested Capital
36.1%
Operating Income: $1.12B
Tax Rate: 17.1%
Equity: -$23.64M
Total Debt: $2.27B
Cash: $66.89M
Current Ratio (Can it pay short-term bills)
API
Current Assets / Current Liabilities
1.14
Current Assets: $1.36B
Current Liabilities: $1.20B
Debt/Equity (Leverage — debt vs equity)
CALC
Total Debt / Total Equity
-95.84
Short-Term Debt: $99.04M
Long-Term Debt: $2.17B
Total Debt: $2.27B
Total Equity: -$23.64M
Rev/Share (Top-line per share)
CALC
Revenue / Shares Outstanding
$195.36
Revenue: $4.03B
Shares: 20,610,189
Book Value/Share (Net assets per share)
CALC
(Total Assets - Total Liabilities) / Shares
$-1.15
Total Equity: -$23.64M
Shares: 20,610,189
FCF/Share (Real cash generated per share)
CALC
(Operating Cash Flow + CapEx) / Shares
$41.18
Operating CF: $955.77M
CapEx: -$107.12M
Shares: 20,610,189
CapEx is negative (outflow) — added to OCF to get FCF
Div Yield (Annual income from holding)
API
Last Annual Dividend / Stock Price
0.0%
Last Dividend: N/A
Stock Price: $1,264
Payout Ratio (Earnings paid out as dividends)
Dividends Paid / Net Income
Dividends Paid: N/A
Net Income: $869.19M
Dividends paid not available in cash flow statement
Industry Benchmarks
Last run: Jun 7, 2026 5:11pm
Compares MTD against LLM-researched typical ranges for its industry. One research call per industry, cached indefinitely — every stock in the same industry reuses the same baseline.
Deep Analysis
Last run: Jun 7, 2026 5:13:42 pm

Pre-flight intelligence scans the company first, then routes to the right analytical methods.

0 Company Classification — What type of company is this?
1 Industry Landscape — Where is the industry headed?
2 Company Momentum — Where is this company trending?
3 Forward Projection — 1Y & 2Y projected metrics (requires Layer 1 + 2)
4a DCF Valuation — Present value of future cash flows
4b Earnings Power Value — Floor value — worth with zero growth
4c Anchored PE — Industry PE adjusted for growth differential
4d Reverse DCF — What growth is the market pricing in?
4e Revenue-Based DCF — For growth/narrative companies (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4f Anchored P/S — Price-to-Sales peer comparison (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4g Scenario Analysis — Bull / Base / Bear (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4h Dividend Discount Model — For dividend/income stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4i Book Value Analysis — For deep value / turnaround stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4j Insider Activity — Are insiders buying or selling?
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4f Cash Flow Quality — How trustworthy is the FCF?
4g Debt Maturity Risk — Can it handle its debt?
4h Macro Environment — Rates, market valuation, volatility
4i Sector Intelligence — How does this company compare within its sector?
4j Revenue Confidence — How reliable is the growth projection?
4k Sensitivity Analysis — How fragile is the fair value estimate?
4l Sector Demand Cycle — Is the sector in a boom, steady state, or contraction?
5 AI Investigation — Adaptive research engine (Claude)
5b Thesis Evaluation — What does the market believe? (narrative/platform stocks only)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
6 Valuation Synthesis — Weighted verdict from all methods (requires Layer 4)
Income Statement (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 24, 2026 1:29pm (2d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue $3.7B $3.9B $3.8B $3.9B $4.0B
Cost of Revenue $1.6B $1.7B $1.6B $1.6B $1.7B
Gross Profit $2.1B $2.2B $2.2B $2.3B $2.3B
Operating Expenses $1.1B $1.1B $1.1B $1.1B $1.2B
Operating Income $994.7M $1.1B $1.1B $1.1B $1.1B
Net Income $769.0M $872.5M $788.8M $863.1M $869.2M
EBITDA $1.1B $1.2B $1.2B $1.2B $1.2B
EPS $33.25 $38.79 $36.10 $40.67 $42.17
EPS (Diluted)
Balance Sheet (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 24, 2026 1:29pm (2d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Cash & Equivalents $98.6M $96.0M $69.8M $59.4M $66.9M
Total Current Assets $1.3B $1.4B $1.2B $1.2B $1.4B
Total Assets $3.3B $3.5B $3.4B $3.2B $3.7B
Current Liabilities $1.1B $1.1B $1.2B $1.2B $1.2B
Long-Term Debt $1.6B $1.9B $1.9B $1.8B $2.2B
Total Liabilities $3.2B $3.5B $3.5B $3.4B $3.7B
Total Equity $171.4M $24.8M -$149.9M -$126.9M -$23.6M
Retained Earnings $5.9B $6.7B $7.5B $8.4B $9.2B
Cash Flow (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 24, 2026 1:29pm (2d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Operating Cash Flow $908.8M $859.1M $965.9M $968.3M $955.8M
Capital Expenditure -$107.6M -$121.2M -$105.3M -$103.9M -$107.1M
Free Cash Flow $801.2M $737.8M $860.6M $864.4M $848.6M
Acquisitions (net) -$220.9M -$38.0M -$5.8M -$10.1M -$93.8M
Debt Repayment
Dividends Paid
Stock Buybacks -$1,000.0M -$1.1B -$900.0M -$850.0M -$800.0M
Net Change in Cash $4.3M -$2.6M -$26.2M -$10.4M $7.5M
Analyst Estimates (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 26, 2026 11:49pm (8h ago)
Metric 2027 2028 2029 2030
Revenue $4.4B
$4.4B – $4.4B
$4.7B
$4.7B – $4.7B
$4.9B
$4.9B – $4.9B
$5.2B
$5.1B – $5.2B
EBITDA $1.4B
$1.4B – $1.4B
$1.5B
$1.5B – $1.5B
$1.5B
$1.5B – $1.6B
$1.6B
$1.6B – $1.6B
Net Income $1.1B
$1.0B – $1.1B
$1.2B
$1.2B – $1.2B
$1.3B
$1.3B – $1.3B
$1.4B
$1.4B – $1.4B
EPS
Growth Trends (YoY %)
Last updated: Jun 24, 2026 1:29pm (2d ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue Growth +5.4% -3.4% +2.2% +4.0%
Gross Profit Growth +6.3% -3.2% +3.9% +2.8%
Operating Income Growth +13.2% -4.1% +4.4% -0.8%
Net Income Growth +13.5% -9.6% +9.4% +0.7%
EBITDA Growth +13.1% -4.8% +3.4% +0.9%
Insider Trading (Recent)
Type codes PPurchase SSale AAward / grant MOption exercise FIn-kind (tax) CConversion GGift DReturn to issuer
All SEC Form 4 codes
Open market
P Purchase
Open-market or private purchase of shares.
S Sale
Open-market or private sale of shares.
Compensation (Rule 16b-3)
A Award / grant
Grant or award of securities (RSUs, options, etc.) under Rule 16b-3.
D Return to issuer
Securities disposed back to the company under Rule 16b-3.
F In-kind (tax)
Shares withheld or delivered to pay the option-exercise price or tax — not an open-market sale.
I Discretionary
Discretionary transaction under an employee plan — Rule 16b-3(f).
M Option exercise
Exercise or conversion of a derivative (option/RSU) into shares — exempt.
Derivatives
C Conversion
Conversion of a derivative security into the underlying shares.
E Short expiration
Expiration of a short derivative position.
H Long expiration
Expiration or cancellation of a long derivative position with value received.
O OTM exercise
Exercise of an out-of-the-money derivative.
X ITM exercise
Exercise of an in-the-money or at-the-money derivative.
Other exempt
G Gift
Bona fide gift of securities.
L Small acquisition
Small acquisition under Rule 16a-6.
W Inheritance
Acquisition or disposition by will or the laws of descent.
Z Voting trust
Deposit into or withdrawal from a voting trust.
Other
J Other
Other acquisition or disposition (explained in a Form 4 footnote).
K Equity swap
Transaction in an equity swap or similar instrument.
U Tender / buyout
Disposition via tender of shares in a change-of-control transaction.

Compensation-plan codes (A, D, F, M) are routine and rarely directional. Open-market P (buy) and S (sale) carry the most signal.

Date Insider Type Shares Price Value
2026-05-12 Wong Ann Ping Richard A-Award 103.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-12 Wong Ann Ping Richard A-Award 255.00 $1,072.45 $273,475
2026-05-12 Wittorf Oliver A-Award 87.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-12 Wittorf Oliver A-Award 215.00 $1,072.45 $230,577
2026-05-12 Vadala Shawn A-Award 291.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-12 Vadala Shawn A-Award 720.00 $1,072.45 $772,164
2026-05-12 Keller Gerry A-Award 100.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-12 Keller Gerry A-Award 250.00 $1,072.45 $268,113
2026-05-12 Kaltenbach Patrick A-Award 810.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-12 Kaltenbach Patrick A-Award 2,005.00 $1,072.45 $2.2M
2026-05-12 Graham-Bryce Susan A-Award 71.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-12 Graham-Bryce Susan A-Award 175.00 $1,072.45 $187,679
2026-02-17 TOKICH MICHAEL J A-Award 130.00 $1,353.24 $175,921
2026-02-17 TOKICH MICHAEL J A-Award 50.00 $0.00 $0
2026-02-10 Vadala Shawn M-Exempt 800.00 $595.31 $476,248
2026-02-10 Vadala Shawn S-Sale 800.00 $1,410.12 $1.1M
2026-02-10 Vadala Shawn M-Exempt 800.00 $595.31 $476,248
2026-02-05 TOKICH MICHAEL J 0.00 $0.00 $0
2026-01-01 Wittorf Oliver 0.00 $0.00 $0
2023-11-03 Wittorf Oliver 610.00 $1,225.87 $747,781
Narrative Economics
The story the market is telling about this stock — the intangible X-factor (founder mythology, cult dynamics, TAM-of-imagination) that moves price beyond what cash flows alone explain. After Shiller, Narrative Economics.
No narrative profile yet for MTD — it's generated by the pipeline (market-narrative step).
Delvantic AI Findings
Independent analyst synthesis · Delvantic - Cairn AI · generated 2026-06-07 17:14:20
Reviews the pipeline's own verdicts
Verdict Overvalued but not egregiously — fair value $950–$1,050 vs $1,154; wait for sub-$1,000 or evidence of organic growth re-accelerating above 5% before committing capital.

The raw numbers tell a less heroic story than the price implies. Annual revenue went from $3.72B (2021) to $4.03B (2025) — a 2.0% CAGR, not the 3.1% the momentum module shows, and well below what you need to justify 27x earnings and 20.6x EV/EBITDA. Net income has barely budged: $769M (2021) → $869M (2025), about 3.1% CAGR, and 2025's $869M is only marginally above 2022's $872M. Three years of flat earnings on a stock trading at a premium-quality-compounder multiple is the central tension. Quarterly margins are genuinely impressive — 25.3% net in Q4'25, 20%+ run-rate — and FCF conversion of $848.6M on $869M NI (98%) is best-in-class. But Q1'26 at $947M revenue and 17.9% margin is a step down from Q4'25's $1.13B/25.3%, and while seasonality explains some of it, YoY Q1 growth is only 7.2% on revenue with margin barely above Q1'25's 18.5%. This is not a business re-accelerating.

The synthesis verdict pegging fair value at $661 (-43%) is directionally correct but I'd push back on the precision. A mature 2–3% top-line grower with 22% net margins and 98% FCF conversion deserves a quality premium — call it 22–25x earnings, not 15x. On $869M trailing NI that's $19–22B market cap, or roughly $940–$1,090/share — meaningfully below $1,154 but not a 43% haircut. The DCF likely uses a discount rate that doesn't fully credit MTD's pricing power and service/consumables annuity (the ~50% recurring revenue mix the bulls cite is real). Where the bears are unambiguously right: paying 7.1x sales and 20.6x EBITDA for 2–3% growth requires a margin expansion or growth re-acceleration story that the trailing quarters don't support. Negative book value (the -1215 P/B) is just aggressive buybacks — MTD has repurchased relentlessly, which is shareholder-friendly but also means the equity cushion is gone and ROE figures are meaningless.

A contrarian would argue three things. First, MTD's installed base + LabX software switching costs are genuinely SaaS-like — pharma QC labs don't rip out balances and titrators, and the consumables/service tail is ~50% of revenue at higher margins. Second, the China weakness flagged by the market-forces module is cyclical, not structural; biopharma capex troughs reverse. Third, the buyback machine ($800M+ FCF, near-zero dividend, aggressive repo) mechanically compounds EPS even at flat revenue — at current pace that's 3–4% annual share count reduction, turning 3% revenue growth into 6–7% EPS growth. That's the bull case for paying up. But none of this justifies 27x on flat earnings; it justifies 22–24x, which is still below today's multiple. The insider activity is uninformative — all small awards, no open-market buys or sells, on a single date in May 2026.

I agree with the synthesis direction but dissent on magnitude: overvalued, yes, but $661 understates fair value. My read is $950–$1,050 fair value, implying 9–18% downside, not 43%. The stock isn't a short — quality is real, FCF is pristine, and the buyback floor matters — but new money at $1,154 is paying for a re-acceleration that the Q1'26 print actively contradicts. The market-narrative module nails it: this is anchored-but-stretched, a platform-monopoly story applied to a 2% grower. The catalyst path matters: if Q2/Q3 2026 show organic growth re-accelerating to mid-single-digits and China stabilizing, the multiple holds and you make the buyback yield (~4%) plus growth (~5%) = ~9% returns. If growth stays at 2–4%, multiple compresses to 22x and you lose 10–15% before the buyback bails you out. Risk/reward is mildly negative at this price; meaningfully positive below $1,000.

GPT Critique
Second-opinion review · gpt-4o · generated 2026-06-07 17:14:26
Reviews the Opus findings above
Verdict I disagree with Opus's moderate overvaluation call — Mettler-Toledo's current price of $1,154 is too high given its 2% growth rate and flat earnings. I'd peg fair value closer to $850, indicating a more significant downside than Opus suggests, with valuation metrics not supporting the premium.

Mettler-Toledo International Inc.'s financials paint a picture of a stable, mature company with strong margins and cash flow generation but tepid growth. The company's revenue from 2021 to 2025 grew from $3.72 billion to $4.03 billion, which equates to a modest 2.0% CAGR. This growth rate is indeed consistent with the narrative that Mettler-Toledo is not a high-growth company, particularly when juxtaposed against its current valuation multiples, such as a P/E ratio of 26.8 and EV/EBITDA of 20.6. Its impressive 57% gross margins and 98% free cash flow conversion highlight robust operational efficiency. However, these metrics alone do not justify the premium valuation without accompanying robust growth. The recent quarterly data reveals a deceleration in growth, with Q1 2026 revenue of $947 million and a net margin of 17.9%, down from Q4 2025's $1.13 billion and 25.3% margin. This suggests seasonality and perhaps an inability to sustain higher margins consistently.

Opus argues that Mettler-Toledo is overvalued but not drastically, suggesting a fair value range of $950–$1,050 compared to the current price of $1,154. I concur with the overvaluation assessment but disagree with the extent of the premium Opus finds justifiable. The company's current market cap reflects expectations of continued high growth and margin expansion, which recent results do not support. While Opus acknowledges the impressive cash flow and margin performance, they view the synthesis verdict of a $661 fair value as overly conservative. I agree that $661 may be too low, but I would place fair value even lower than Opus's $950–$1,050 range, considering the company's flat earnings and limited revenue growth.

The Delvantic AI Findings suggest that Mettler-Toledo's pricing, based on a narrative of a SaaS-like moat due to its LabX software and installed base, is overstretched. I agree with this assessment, as the company's fundamentals do not align with a SaaS multiple. The narrative of Mettler-Toledo as a platform monopoly is compelling but not enough to warrant such a high premium without more substantial growth or margin expansion evidence. The narrative's intensity may be strong, but its durability is moderate, as the market's expectations of biotech capex and margin expansion may not materialize. Opus's mention of aggressive share buybacks reducing equity cushion further supports the argument for caution, as negative book value complicates traditional valuation metrics like P/B ratio.

A careful skeptic might argue that Mettler-Toledo's entrenched market position and recurring revenue streams provide a solid, defensive investment case even if growth is not stellar. They might also suggest that the company's strong cash flows and buyback strategy could sustain shareholder returns despite modest revenue growth. However, these points do not negate the fact that the stock is priced for growth that it is not currently delivering.

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My Notes personal — only you see this
Data via Financial Modeling Prep · Cached for performance · fmp
v1.1.352 · d1100787 · 2026-06-26 11:39:30