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FRESH Analysis Report
Jun 26, 2026
1 day ago · 93% complete

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc.

MUFG NYSE Categories PDF
Financial Services · Banks - Diversified
Tokyo, 100-8330, Japan IPO 2001 mufg.jp Updated Jun 27, 3:07am
Price
$20.16
Market Cap
$227.6B
Employees
140,000
Beta
0.32
Avg Volume
3,211,203
CEO
Junichi Hanzawa
Business Description

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. (MUFG), a prominent financial powerhouse tracing its origins to 1880 and headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, serves as the parent company for MUFG Bank, Ltd. This conglomerate provides an extensive range of financial products and services across its domestic market of Japan, as well as in the United States, Europe, the Asia/Oceania region, and other international locations. Its operations are strategically structured into distinct business divisions, which include digital services, retail and commercial banking, specialized Japanese corporate and investment banking, global corporate and investment banking, global commercial banking, asset management and investor services, and global markets. MUFG caters to a diverse clientele, encompassing individual consumers, small and medium-sized businesses, large corporations, and financial institutions. The company’s offerings span traditional commercial banking, trust banking, and securities products. Furthermore, it delivers M&A and real estate-related advisory, state-of-the-art digital financial solutions, credit card services, lending, fund transfer capabilities, and foreign exchange dealings. For major corporate and institutional clients, MUFG provides sophisticated corporate, investment, and transaction banking services. The firm also offers asset management and administration for corporations and pension funds, facilitates loans, deposits, fund transfers, and investment opportunities across all customer segments, and actively originates and distributes a variety of financial products such as fixed income instruments, currencies, and equities, complemented by comprehensive treasury services.

Business History
Generated: Jun 26, 2026 3:15am
Price Overview
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 8:00am (just now)
$20.16
+0.14 (+0.70%)
Day Range
$20.08 – $20.33
52-Week Range
$13.19 – $21.18
50-Day MA
$18.96
200-Day MA
$17.20
Volume
2,220,059.00
Share Structure
Outstanding 11,287,595,009.00
Float 11,182,518,318.00
Free Float 99.1%
High free float — 99.1% of shares trade freely, ~0.9% held by insiders/institutions
Very liquid — most shares trade freely. Low insider ownership can mean less management alignment, but makes large position sizing straightforward.
Price History (1 Year)
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 8:00am (just now)
Revenue & Net Income Trend
The directional story — useful even when net income is negative.
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 8:00am (just now)
Revenue
The top line — total sales before any costs or taxes are subtracted. A measure of how much business the company is doing.
Net Income
The bottom line — profit left after subtracting all expenses, interest, and taxes from revenue. Reflects accounting profitability, but includes non-cash items like depreciation, so it isn't the same as cash earned.
Operating Cash Flow
The real cash generated by the day-to-day business — selling products, paying suppliers, collecting from customers. Calculated from net income by adding back non-cash items and adjusting for timing (unpaid bills, unsold inventory). When OCF consistently lags net income, the reported profit may not be converting to real money.
Period Revenue Net Income Net Margin YoY/QoQ
Key Metrics
API Direct from provider CALC Derived from statements
Industry comparison last run: Jun 26, 2026 3:14am
P/E Ratio (Price per dollar of earnings)
API
Stock Price / EPS (Diluted)
14.88
Stock Price: $20.16
EPS (Diluted): 225.29
P/B Ratio (Price vs net asset value)
API
Stock Price / Book Value Per Share
1.37
Stock Price: $20.16
Total Equity: $22,370.65B
Shares: 11,386,395,000
EV/EBITDA (Total value vs operating profit)
API
Enterprise Value / EBITDA
7.15
Market Cap: $227.56B
Total Debt: $78,685.09B
Cash: $91,600.35B
EBITDA: $4,002.49B
Enterprise Value (Takeover price (cap + debt - cash))
API
Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash
$17.8T
Market Cap: $227.56B
Total Debt: $78,685.09B
Cash: $91,600.35B
Gross Margin (Revenue left after direct costs)
API
Gross Profit / Revenue
56.8%
Gross Profit: $8,099.51B
Revenue: $14,247.24B
Operating Margin (Revenue left after all operations)
API
Operating Income / Revenue
24.7%
Operating Income: $3,522.51B
Revenue: $14,247.24B
Net Margin (Revenue left as actual profit)
API
Net Income / Revenue
18.1%
Net Income: $2,573.61B
Revenue: $14,247.24B
ROE (Profit from shareholder equity)
API
Net Income / Total Equity
11.5%
Net Income: $2,573.61B
Total Equity: $22,370.65B
ROIC (Profit from all invested capital)
API
NOPAT / Invested Capital
0.6%
Operating Income: $3,522.51B
Tax Rate: 22.9%
Equity: $22,370.65B
Total Debt: $78,685.09B
Cash: $91,600.35B
Current Ratio (Can it pay short-term bills)
API
Current Assets / Current Liabilities
2.61
Current Assets: $131,769.15B
Current Liabilities: $50,509.41B
Debt/Equity (Leverage — debt vs equity)
CALC
Total Debt / Total Equity
3.52
Short-Term Debt: $50,509.41B
Long-Term Debt: $28,175.68B
Total Debt: $78,685.09B
Total Equity: $22,370.65B
Rev/Share (Top-line per share)
CALC
Revenue / Shares Outstanding
$1,251.25
Revenue: $14,247.24B
Shares: 11,386,395,000
Book Value/Share (Net assets per share)
CALC
(Total Assets - Total Liabilities) / Shares
$1,964.68
Total Equity: $22,370.65B
Shares: 11,386,395,000
FCF/Share (Real cash generated per share)
CALC
(Operating Cash Flow + CapEx) / Shares
$710.92
Operating CF: $8,421.32B
CapEx: -$326.48B
Shares: 11,386,395,000
CapEx is negative (outflow) — added to OCF to get FCF
Div Yield (Annual income from holding)
API
Last Annual Dividend / Stock Price
2.9%
Last Dividend: N/A
Stock Price: $20.16
Payout Ratio (Earnings paid out as dividends)
Dividends Paid / Net Income
Dividends Paid: N/A
Net Income: $2,573.61B
Dividends paid not available in cash flow statement
Industry Benchmarks
Last run: Jun 26, 2026 3:14am
Compares MUFG against LLM-researched typical ranges for its industry. One research call per industry, cached indefinitely — every stock in the same industry reuses the same baseline.
Deep Analysis
Last run: Jun 26, 2026 3:17:59 am

Pre-flight intelligence scans the company first, then routes to the right analytical methods.

0 Company Classification — What type of company is this?
1 Industry Landscape — Where is the industry headed?
2 Company Momentum — Where is this company trending?
3 Forward Projection — 1Y & 2Y projected metrics (requires Layer 1 + 2)
4a DCF Valuation — Present value of future cash flows
Average FCF is negative — DCF not applicable
4b Earnings Power Value — Floor value — worth with zero growth
4c Anchored PE — Industry PE adjusted for growth differential
4d Reverse DCF — What growth is the market pricing in?
Average FCF is negative
4e Revenue-Based DCF — For growth/narrative companies (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4f Anchored P/S — Price-to-Sales peer comparison (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4g Scenario Analysis — Bull / Base / Bear (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4h Dividend Discount Model — For dividend/income stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4i Book Value Analysis — For deep value / turnaround stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4j Insider Activity — Are insiders buying or selling?
4f Cash Flow Quality — How trustworthy is the FCF?
4g Debt Maturity Risk — Can it handle its debt?
4h Macro Environment — Rates, market valuation, volatility
4i Sector Intelligence — How does this company compare within its sector?
4j Revenue Confidence — How reliable is the growth projection?
4k Sensitivity Analysis — How fragile is the fair value estimate?
4l Sector Demand Cycle — Is the sector in a boom, steady state, or contraction?
5 AI Investigation — Adaptive research engine (Claude)
5b Thesis Evaluation — What does the market believe? (narrative/platform stocks only)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
6 Valuation Synthesis — Weighted verdict from all methods (requires Layer 4)
Income Statement (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 8:00am (just now)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Revenue $5.2T $8.4T $10.9T $12.4T $14.2T
Cost of Revenue $875.4B $3.0T $5.5T $5.4T $6.1T
Gross Profit $4.4T $5.4T $5.4T $7.0T $8.1T
Operating Expenses $2.9T $3.8T $3.3T $4.5T $4.6T
Operating Income $1.5T $1.6T $2.1T $2.6T $3.5T
Net Income $1.1T $1.1T $1.5T $1.9T $2.6T
EBITDA $1.9T $1.9T $2.4T $3.0T $4.0T
EPS $88.45 $90.73 $124.64 $160.01 $225.29
EPS (Diluted)
Balance Sheet (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 26, 2026 3:12am (1d ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Cash & Equivalents $110.8T $113.6T $109.9T $109.1T $91.6T
Total Current Assets $110.8T $113.6T $109.9T $127.7T $131.8T
Total Assets $373.7T $386.8T $403.7T $413.1T $433.6T
Current Liabilities $264.0T $278.2T $290.1T $307.9T $50.5T
Long-Term Debt $14.6T $16.8T $17.5T $15.4T $28.2T
Total Liabilities $355.7T $368.5T $383.0T $391.4T $409.8T
Total Equity $17.0T $17.2T $19.6T $20.5T $22.4T
Retained Earnings $12.0T $12.7T $13.8T $14.8T $16.2T
Cash Flow (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 8:00am (just now)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Operating Cash Flow $9.8T $13.4T -$9.8T $6.4B $8.4T
Capital Expenditure -$384.0B -$401.6B -$462.8B -$456.7B -$326.5B
Free Cash Flow $9.5T $13.0T -$10.3T -$450.3B $8.1T
Acquisitions (net) -$689.7B -$1.8T -$196.3B -$163.4B $44.7B
Debt Repayment
Dividends Paid
Stock Buybacks -$158.5B -$450.2B -$400.2B -$418.5B -$530.4B
Net Change in Cash $7.8T $2.9T -$3.8T -$779.7B $0
Analyst Estimates (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 8:00am (just now)
Metric 2027 2028 2029 2030
Revenue $6.1T
$5.5T – $6.7T
$6.7T
$6.0T – $7.3T
$7.1T
$6.3T – $7.8T
$29.4T
$26.4T – $32.3T
EBITDA $1.6T
$1.4T – $1.8T
$1.8T
$1.6T – $1.9T
$1.9T
$1.7T – $2.1T
$7.8T
$7.0T – $8.5T
Net Income $2.7T
$2.5T – $2.9T
$3.0T
$2.9T – $3.1T
$3.1T
$2.7T – $3.5T
$3.6T
$3.1T – $4.1T
EPS
Growth Trends (YoY %)
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 8:00am (just now)
Metric 2023 2024 2025 2026
Revenue Growth +60.7% +29.2% +14.1% +14.6%
Gross Profit Growth +23.1% 0.0% +30.6% +15.3%
Operating Income Growth +5.4% +30.6% +24.4% +38.1%
Net Income Growth -1.3% +33.5% +25.0% +38.1%
EBITDA Growth +2.8% +26.7% +22.9% +35.0%
Insider Trading (Recent)
Type codes PPurchase SSale AAward / grant MOption exercise FIn-kind (tax) CConversion GGift DReturn to issuer
All SEC Form 4 codes
Open market
P Purchase
Open-market or private purchase of shares.
S Sale
Open-market or private sale of shares.
Compensation (Rule 16b-3)
A Award / grant
Grant or award of securities (RSUs, options, etc.) under Rule 16b-3.
D Return to issuer
Securities disposed back to the company under Rule 16b-3.
F In-kind (tax)
Shares withheld or delivered to pay the option-exercise price or tax — not an open-market sale.
I Discretionary
Discretionary transaction under an employee plan — Rule 16b-3(f).
M Option exercise
Exercise or conversion of a derivative (option/RSU) into shares — exempt.
Derivatives
C Conversion
Conversion of a derivative security into the underlying shares.
E Short expiration
Expiration of a short derivative position.
H Long expiration
Expiration or cancellation of a long derivative position with value received.
O OTM exercise
Exercise of an out-of-the-money derivative.
X ITM exercise
Exercise of an in-the-money or at-the-money derivative.
Other exempt
G Gift
Bona fide gift of securities.
L Small acquisition
Small acquisition under Rule 16a-6.
W Inheritance
Acquisition or disposition by will or the laws of descent.
Z Voting trust
Deposit into or withdrawal from a voting trust.
Other
J Other
Other acquisition or disposition (explained in a Form 4 footnote).
K Equity swap
Transaction in an equity swap or similar instrument.
U Tender / buyout
Disposition via tender of shares in a change-of-control transaction.

Compensation-plan codes (A, D, F, M) are routine and rarely directional. Open-market P (buy) and S (sale) carry the most signal.

Date Insider Type Shares Price Value
2026-06-01 Kubota Hiroshi A-Award 27,084.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-01 Kamioka Tomoyuki A-Award 12,179.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-01 Kuniyuki Masahiro A-Award 5,899.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-01 Itagaki Yasushi A-Award 13,174.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-01 Tanaka Takuya A-Award 9,281.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-01 Yamamoto Tadashi A-Award 6,671.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-01 Ihara Takafumi A-Award 10,803.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-01 Komoriya Masatoshi A-Award 6,682.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-01 Takase Hideaki A-Award 9,280.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-01 Mike Kanetsugu A-Award 14,252.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-01 Togawa Jun A-Award 8,373.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-01 Ueno Yoshiaki A-Award 6,115.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-01 Kobayashi Makoto A-Award 25,640.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-01 Sueoka Akiko A-Award 6,104.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-01 KAMEZAWA HIRONORI A-Award 29,477.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-01 Yokomaku Katsunori A-Award 6,671.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-01 Katayama Miki A-Award 3,502.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-01 Hanzawa Junichi A-Award 31,914.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-01 Nakahama Fumitaka A-Award 9,280.00 $0.00 $0
2026-06-01 Tokuma Kensuke A-Award 3,502.00 $0.00 $0
Dividend History (Last 20)
Last updated: Jun 26, 2026 3:12am (1d ago)
Date Dividend Declaration Record Payment
2026-03-31 $0.31 2026-03-31
2025-09-30 $0.22 2025-09-03 2025-09-30 2025-12-15
2025-03-31 $0.27 2025-03-11 2025-03-31 2025-07-10
2024-09-30 $0.17 2024-09-10 2024-09-30 2024-12-16
2024-03-27 $0.13 2024-03-13 2024-03-28 2024-07-08
2023-09-28 $0.14 2023-09-12 2023-09-29 2023-12-15
2023-03-30 $0.11 2023-03-10 2023-03-31 2023-07-13
2022-09-29 $0.12 2022-09-14 2022-09-30 2022-12-15
2022-03-30 $0.11 2022-03-14 2022-03-31 2022-07-11
2021-09-29 $0.12 2021-09-15 2021-09-30 2021-12-16
2021-03-30 $0.11 2021-03-31 2021-07-12
2020-09-29 $0.12 2020-09-30 2020-12-17
2020-03-30 $0.12 2020-01-22 2020-03-31 2020-07-10
2019-09-27 $0.11 2019-09-30 2019-12-16
2019-03-28 $0.10 2019-03-15 2019-03-29 2019-07-09
2018-09-27 $0.10 2018-09-11 2018-09-28 2018-12-17
2018-03-27 $0.09 2018-03-12 2018-03-29 2018-07-09
2017-09-28 $0.08 2017-09-13 2017-09-29 2017-12-15
2017-03-29 $0.08 2017-03-15 2017-03-31 2017-07-10
2016-09-29 $0.08 2016-09-14 2016-09-30 2016-12-15
Narrative Economics
The story the market is telling about this stock — the intangible X-factor (founder mythology, cult dynamics, TAM-of-imagination) that moves price beyond what cash flows alone explain. After Shiller, Narrative Economics.
No narrative profile yet for MUFG — it's generated by the pipeline (market-narrative step).
Delvantic AI Findings
Independent analyst synthesis · Delvantic - Cairn AI · generated 2026-06-26 03:18:35
Reviews the pipeline's own verdicts

The synthesis model tripped on a unit-recognition error and declared the data corrupted. It's not — MUFG reports in yen (¥), and the "billions" tag is the FMP convention. ¥14.25 trillion in FY26 revenue (~$95B USD at ¥150) and ¥2.57 trillion net income (~$17B USD) are entirely consistent with a megabank that has a $226B market cap and trades at ~14.9x TTM earnings and 1.37x book. The "P/E of 0.1x" the synthesis model panicked about is an artifact of mixing yen financials with a dollar market cap. Once you correct for that, the canonical metrics (P/E 14.9, P/B 1.37, ROE 11.5%, div yield 2.93%) are internally consistent and tell a coherent story: a Japanese megabank finally earning above its cost of equity for the first time in a decade-plus.

The trajectory is genuinely strong and the pre-flight model captured it best. Revenue grew from ¥5.25T (FY22) to ¥14.25T (FY26) — a 28% CAGR — and net income more than doubled from ¥1.13T to ¥2.57T. The most recent quarter (¥3,590B rev, 17.4% NI margin) accelerated YoY against ¥3,143B. This is the BOJ-normalization trade playing out in real time: rate hikes lifting NIM after twenty years of zero-rate purgatory, plus FX translation gains on the overseas businesses (Morgan Stanley stake, Krungsri, MUFG Americas). ROE at 11.5% TTM is finally pushing past a plausible ~8% cost of equity, which is precisely what would justify a re-rating from the historical ~0.6x P/B Japanese-bank discount toward the 1.37x it now trades at. The Market Forces model calling this a "value trap" feels stale — it's describing the pre-2023 MUFG. The data shows a bank mid-re-rating, not pre-re-rating.

The contrarian case is real, though. First, ROIC at 0.59% and ROA at 0.6% are anemic even for a bank — leverage is doing most of the work on that 11.5% ROE, and Japanese megabanks have historically destroyed capital on overseas adventures (witness UnionBanCal sale). Second, earnings quality is choppy: the March 2025 quarter printed a 3.9% net margin (¥114B on ¥2,893B rev) — that's a 4-5x swing from the prior and following quarters, indicating mark-to-market or credit provisioning lumpiness that the headline CAGRs obscure. Third, the 38% earnings YoY and 31% earnings CAGR are not repeatable — they're a one-time step-up from negative-rate to positive-rate Japan. Modeling forward growth off that base is the classic late-cycle bank mistake. Fourth, the secondary signal flagging "Poor Cash Flow Quality" matters for a bank where OCF is dominated by balance-sheet movements (deposits, securities) rather than operating earnings — ¥8.4T OCF tells you almost nothing about underlying franchise economics. Fifth, insider activity is purely awards (no open-market buys), so the "alignment" signal is zero.

I dissent from the Synthesis "Disconnected from Fundamentals" verdict — that's a data-parsing failure, not a thesis. I partially dissent from Market Forces' "value trap" framing — the re-rating is already happening, and 1.37x P/B is no longer the 0.5-0.7x trap multiple. I largely agree with the Pre-Flight dividend-income framing but think it understates the cyclical earnings tailwind still in front of MUFG if BOJ continues normalizing toward 1%+ policy rates. Fair value: at 11.5% sustainable ROE, 8% cost of equity, and 3% terminal growth, justified P/B is ~1.7x, implying ~$25 vs. the current $20.02 — roughly 25% upside plus the 2.93% yield. The risk is that ROE mean-reverts to 8-9% as the normalization sugar high fades, in which case fair P/B drops to ~1.2x and the stock is fully valued here. The trade depends on BOJ rate path: if Ueda hikes to 1%+ by end-2026, MUFG re-rates to $25-28; if the BOJ stalls (recession, yen crisis), it's dead money at $18-20 collecting the dividend.

VER

GPT Critique
Second-opinion review · gpt-4o · generated 2026-06-26 03:18:40
Reviews the Opus findings above
Verdict I partially agree with Opus's verdict of undervaluation but argue for a more conservative fair value of $22, based on potential ROE regression and earnings volatility risks.

In reviewing MUFG's financial data, the standout feature is the remarkable growth trajectory. The company reported a revenue increase from ¥5.25 trillion in FY22 to ¥14.25 trillion in FY26, representing a 28% CAGR. This growth is impressive, especially when juxtaposed with the strong net income surge from ¥1.13 trillion to ¥2.57 trillion over the same period. The current price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of approximately 14.9 and price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.37 further corroborate the company's current market valuation, suggesting it is trading at a premium compared to its historical discount. Notably, the 17.4% net income margin in the latest quarter underscores operational efficiency, although the March 2025 quarter's 3.9% margin indicates possible earnings volatility.

I agree with Claude Opus's assertion that the synthesis model's verdict of "Disconnected from Fundamentals" stems from a data misinterpretation, mistaking yen for dollars. This error skewed the P/E calculation, leading to an erroneous conclusion. Opus rightly corrects this by emphasizing the legitimacy of MUFG's financials in yen terms, which align with its market cap and earnings multiples. Furthermore, I concur with Opus that the recent financial performance reflects the Bank of Japan's policy normalization, which has positively impacted net interest margins.

However, I diverge from Opus's optimism regarding the forward growth potential. While Opus suggests a fair value increase to $25 based on sustained ROE improvements, I am more cautious. The low ROIC of 0.59% and ROA of 0.6% highlight underlying inefficiencies, suggesting that leverage rather than operational performance is driving ROE. Additionally, the "Poor Cash Flow Quality" signal is concerning, as it highlights potential volatility in cash flows due to balance sheet adjustments rather than robust operating earnings. This volatility, coupled with the non-repeatable nature of recent earnings growth, casts doubt on the sustainability of current valuation levels.

A careful skeptic might argue that both Opus and I are overly optimistic about MUFG's long-term prospects. They would point to the historical challenges Japanese megabanks face in generating sufficient ROIC and the potential for the BOJ to backtrack on rate hikes in response to economic volatility. Moreover, the absence of insider buying suggests limited confidence from management in the stock's upside potential, further fueling skepticism about MUFG's future performance.

Community AI Feedback
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My Notes personal — only you see this
Data via Financial Modeling Prep · Cached for performance · fmp
v1.1.352 · d1100787 · 2026-06-26 11:39:30