Homepage
AGING Analysis Report
Jun 16, 2026
11 days ago · 100% complete

McEwen Mining Inc.

MUX NYSE Categories PDF
Basic Materials · Other Precious Metals
Toronto, ON M5H 1J9, Canada IPO 1980 mcewenmining.com Updated Jun 27, 7:58am
Price
$18.00
Market Cap
$1.1B
Employees
1,864
Beta
1.18
Avg Volume
1,047,619
CEO
Robert Ross McEwen
Business Description

McEwen Mining Inc. (MUX) is primarily engaged in the discovery, development, extraction, and sale of gold and silver deposits across the United States, Canada, Mexico, and Argentina. The company also conducts exploration for copper reserves. Its portfolio includes full ownership of several key assets: the Gold Bar mine in Eureka County, Nevada; the Black Fox gold mine located in Ontario, Canada; the El Gallo Project and the Fenix silver-gold project, both situated in Sinaloa, Mexico; and the Los Azules copper deposit in San Juan, Argentina. McEwen Mining also possesses a broad array of exploration properties spanning Nevada, Canada, Mexico, and Argentina. Furthermore, the company holds a 49% stake in the San José mine, which is located in Argentina. Initially incorporated in 1979, the enterprise was formerly recognized as US Gold Corporation before adopting the name McEwen Mining Inc. in January 2012. Its corporate headquarters are located in Toronto, Canada.

Business History
Generated: Jun 16, 2026 3:06am
Price Overview
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 7:58am (just now)
$18.00
+0.68 (+3.93%)
Day Range
$17.38 – $18.26
52-Week Range
$9.25 – $29.70
50-Day MA
$21.54
200-Day MA
$20.81
Volume
1,336,422.00
Analyst Price Targets
Low $30.00
Consensus $30.00
High $30.00
(7 analysts)
Share Structure
Outstanding 59,740,087.00
Float 51,156,034.00
Free Float 85.6%
High free float — 85.6% of shares trade freely, ~14.4% held by insiders/institutions
Very liquid — most shares trade freely. Low insider ownership can mean less management alignment, but makes large position sizing straightforward.
Price History (1 Year)
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 7:58am (just now)
Revenue & Net Income Trend
The directional story — useful even when net income is negative.
Last updated: Jun 24, 2026 8:21am (2d ago)
Revenue
The top line — total sales before any costs or taxes are subtracted. A measure of how much business the company is doing.
Net Income
The bottom line — profit left after subtracting all expenses, interest, and taxes from revenue. Reflects accounting profitability, but includes non-cash items like depreciation, so it isn't the same as cash earned.
Operating Cash Flow
The real cash generated by the day-to-day business — selling products, paying suppliers, collecting from customers. Calculated from net income by adding back non-cash items and adjusting for timing (unpaid bills, unsold inventory). When OCF consistently lags net income, the reported profit may not be converting to real money.
Period Revenue Net Income Net Margin YoY/QoQ
Key Metrics
API Direct from provider CALC Derived from statements
Industry comparison last run: Jun 16, 2026 3:01am
P/E Ratio (Price per dollar of earnings)
API
Stock Price / EPS (Diluted)
14.26
Stock Price: $18.00
EPS (Diluted): 0.64
P/B Ratio (Price vs net asset value)
API
Stock Price / Book Value Per Share
1.83
Stock Price: $18.00
Total Equity: $546.24M
Shares: 54,046,000
EV/EBITDA (Total value vs operating profit)
API
Enterprise Value / EBITDA
31.74
Market Cap: $1.08B
Total Debt: $127.09M
Cash: $51.02M
EBITDA: $45.03M
Enterprise Value (Takeover price (cap + debt - cash))
API
Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash
$1.1B
Market Cap: $1.08B
Total Debt: $127.09M
Cash: $51.02M
Gross Margin (Revenue left after direct costs)
API
Gross Profit / Revenue
11.0%
Gross Profit: $21.73M
Revenue: $197.55M
Operating Margin (Revenue left after all operations)
API
Operating Income / Revenue
-6.5%
Operating Income: -$12.93M
Revenue: $197.55M
Net Margin (Revenue left as actual profit)
API
Net Income / Revenue
17.4%
Net Income: $34.43M
Revenue: $197.55M
ROE (Profit from shareholder equity)
API
Net Income / Total Equity
13.6%
Net Income: $34.43M
Total Equity: $546.24M
ROIC (Profit from all invested capital)
API
NOPAT / Invested Capital
0.4%
Operating Income: -$12.93M
Tax Rate: -395.5%
Equity: $546.24M
Total Debt: $127.09M
Cash: $51.02M
Current Ratio (Can it pay short-term bills)
API
Current Assets / Current Liabilities
1.69
Current Assets: $107.89M
Current Liabilities: $63.81M
Debt/Equity (Leverage — debt vs equity)
CALC
Total Debt / Total Equity
0.23
Short-Term Debt: $926,000
Long-Term Debt: $126.17M
Total Debt: $127.09M
Total Equity: $546.24M
Rev/Share (Top-line per share)
CALC
Revenue / Shares Outstanding
$3.66
Revenue: $197.55M
Shares: 54,046,000
Book Value/Share (Net assets per share)
CALC
(Total Assets - Total Liabilities) / Shares
$10.11
Total Equity: $546.24M
Shares: 54,046,000
FCF/Share (Real cash generated per share)
CALC
(Operating Cash Flow + CapEx) / Shares
$-0.70
Operating CF: $6.87M
CapEx: -$44.64M
Shares: 54,046,000
CapEx is negative (outflow) — added to OCF to get FCF
Div Yield (Annual income from holding)
API
Last Annual Dividend / Stock Price
0.0%
Last Dividend: N/A
Stock Price: $18.00
Payout Ratio (Earnings paid out as dividends)
Dividends Paid / Net Income
Dividends Paid: N/A
Net Income: $34.43M
Dividends paid not available in cash flow statement
Industry Benchmarks
Last run: Jun 16, 2026 3:01am
Compares MUX against LLM-researched typical ranges for its industry. One research call per industry, cached indefinitely — every stock in the same industry reuses the same baseline.
Deep Analysis
Last run: Jun 16, 2026 3:09:18 am

Pre-flight intelligence scans the company first, then routes to the right analytical methods.

0 Company Classification — What type of company is this?
1 Industry Landscape — Where is the industry headed?
2 Company Momentum — Where is this company trending?
3 Forward Projection — 1Y & 2Y projected metrics (requires Layer 1 + 2)
4a DCF Valuation — Present value of future cash flows
No positive free cash flow — DCF requires positive FCF
4b Earnings Power Value — Floor value — worth with zero growth
4c Anchored PE — Industry PE adjusted for growth differential
4d Reverse DCF — What growth is the market pricing in?
No positive free cash flow — reverse DCF requires positive FCF
4e Revenue-Based DCF — For growth/narrative companies (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4f Anchored P/S — Price-to-Sales peer comparison (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4g Scenario Analysis — Bull / Base / Bear (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4h Dividend Discount Model — For dividend/income stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4i Book Value Analysis — For deep value / turnaround stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4j Insider Activity — Are insiders buying or selling?
4f Cash Flow Quality — How trustworthy is the FCF?
4g Debt Maturity Risk — Can it handle its debt?
4h Macro Environment — Rates, market valuation, volatility
4i Sector Intelligence — How does this company compare within its sector?
4j Revenue Confidence — How reliable is the growth projection?
4k Sensitivity Analysis — How fragile is the fair value estimate?
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4l Sector Demand Cycle — Is the sector in a boom, steady state, or contraction?
5 AI Investigation — Adaptive research engine (Claude)
5b Thesis Evaluation — What does the market believe? (narrative/platform stocks only)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
6 Valuation Synthesis — Weighted verdict from all methods (requires Layer 4)
Income Statement (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 24, 2026 8:21am (2d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue $136.5M $110.4M $166.2M $174.5M $197.6M
Cost of Revenue $143.0M $111.0M $148.5M $143.5M $175.8M
Gross Profit -$6.5M $-544,000 $17.8M $30.9M $21.7M
Operating Expenses $57.8M $94.9M $179.8M $81.5M $34.7M
Operating Income -$64.3M -$95.4M -$162.1M -$50.6M -$12.9M
Net Income -$56.7M -$81.1M $55.3M -$43.7M $34.4M
EBITDA -$32.7M -$78.7M -$73.9M $18.2M $45.0M
EPS $-1.25 $-1.71 $1.16 $-0.86 $0.64
EPS (Diluted)
Balance Sheet (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 24, 2026 8:21am (2d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Cash & Equivalents $56.8M $39.8M $23.0M $13.7M $51.0M
Total Current Assets $85.0M $81.7M $52.7M $41.2M $107.9M
Total Assets $534.7M $528.7M $659.5M $664.6M $820.2M
Current Liabilities $52.4M $84.2M $30.0M $47.7M $63.8M
Long-Term Debt $47.7M $54.0M $39.7M $40.0M $126.2M
Total Liabilities $144.7M $172.4M $157.1M $169.6M $274.0M
Total Equity $375.2M $322.8M $502.4M $495.0M $546.2M
Retained Earnings -$1.2B -$1.3B -$1.3B -$1.3B -$1.3B
Cash Flow (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 24, 2026 8:21am (2d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Operating Cash Flow -$20.2M -$56.6M -$39.6M $29.5M $6.9M
Capital Expenditure -$34.9M -$24.2M -$26.1M -$43.1M -$44.6M
Free Cash Flow -$55.1M -$80.8M -$65.7M -$13.6M -$37.8M
Acquisitions (net) $0 $0 -$39.7M -$12.9M $0
Debt Repayment
Dividends Paid
Stock Buybacks $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Net Change in Cash $36.2M -$17.1M -$16.1M -$10.0M $37.8M
Analyst Estimates (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 7:58am (just now)
Metric 2027 2028 2029 2030
Revenue $395.2M
$326.2M – $456.4M
$567.7M
$468.6M – $655.6M
$315.3M
$260.3M – $364.2M
$354.4M
$292.6M – $409.3M
EBITDA -$84.1M
-$97.1M – -$69.4M
-$120.8M
-$139.5M – -$99.7M
-$67.1M
-$77.5M – -$55.4M
-$75.4M
-$87.1M – -$62.3M
Net Income $149.8M
$112.2M – $174.4M
$249.4M
$195.3M – $303.5M
$111.7M
$86.3M – $134.1M
$689.2M
$532.8M – $828.0M
EPS
Growth Trends (YoY %)
Last updated: Jun 24, 2026 8:21am (2d ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue Growth -19.1% +50.5% +5.0% +13.2%
Gross Profit Growth +91.6% +3,368.4% +74.0% -29.8%
Operating Income Growth -48.5% -69.8% +68.8% +74.4%
Net Income Growth -43.0% +168.2% -179.0% +178.8%
EBITDA Growth -140.9% +6.0% +124.7% +146.8%
Insider Trading (Recent)
Type codes PPurchase SSale AAward / grant MOption exercise FIn-kind (tax) CConversion GGift DReturn to issuer
All SEC Form 4 codes
Open market
P Purchase
Open-market or private purchase of shares.
S Sale
Open-market or private sale of shares.
Compensation (Rule 16b-3)
A Award / grant
Grant or award of securities (RSUs, options, etc.) under Rule 16b-3.
D Return to issuer
Securities disposed back to the company under Rule 16b-3.
F In-kind (tax)
Shares withheld or delivered to pay the option-exercise price or tax — not an open-market sale.
I Discretionary
Discretionary transaction under an employee plan — Rule 16b-3(f).
M Option exercise
Exercise or conversion of a derivative (option/RSU) into shares — exempt.
Derivatives
C Conversion
Conversion of a derivative security into the underlying shares.
E Short expiration
Expiration of a short derivative position.
H Long expiration
Expiration or cancellation of a long derivative position with value received.
O OTM exercise
Exercise of an out-of-the-money derivative.
X ITM exercise
Exercise of an in-the-money or at-the-money derivative.
Other exempt
G Gift
Bona fide gift of securities.
L Small acquisition
Small acquisition under Rule 16a-6.
W Inheritance
Acquisition or disposition by will or the laws of descent.
Z Voting trust
Deposit into or withdrawal from a voting trust.
Other
J Other
Other acquisition or disposition (explained in a Form 4 footnote).
K Equity swap
Transaction in an equity swap or similar instrument.
U Tender / buyout
Disposition via tender of shares in a change-of-control transaction.

Compensation-plan codes (A, D, F, M) are routine and rarely directional. Open-market P (buy) and S (sale) carry the most signal.

Date Insider Type Shares Price Value
2026-06-05 Kaszas Stephen Douglas P-Purchase 1,000.00 $18.36 $18,360
2026-03-19 Shaver William M A-Award 4,440.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-19 Shaver William M A-Award 479.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-19 Makori Michelle A-Award 239.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-19 Ing Perry A-Award 1,890.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-19 Florek John Casimir A-Award 479.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-19 Diges Carmen L A-Award 1,140.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-19 Darveau-Garneau Nicolas A-Award 479.00 $0.00 $0
2026-03-19 Asterbadi Dalia Nadine A-Award 479.00 $0.00 $0
2025-12-20 Diges Carmen L M-Exempt 3,370.00 $0.00 $0
2025-12-20 Diges Carmen L M-Exempt 1,470.00 $0.00 $0
2025-12-20 Diges Carmen L M-Exempt 1,300.00 $0.00 $0
2025-12-20 Diges Carmen L M-Exempt 533.00 $0.00 $0
2025-12-20 Ball Ian J M-Exempt 310.00 $0.00 $0
2025-12-20 Ball Ian J M-Exempt 160.00 $0.00 $0
2025-12-20 Chan Jeffrey M-Exempt 275.00 $0.00 $0
2025-12-20 Chan Jeffrey M-Exempt 588.00 $0.00 $0
2025-12-20 Chan Jeffrey M-Exempt 1,266.00 $0.00 $0
2025-12-20 Chan Jeffrey M-Exempt 533.00 $0.00 $0
2025-12-20 Ing Perry M-Exempt 372.00 $0.00 $0
Dividend History (Last 20)
Last updated: Jun 24, 2026 8:21am (2d ago)
Date Dividend Declaration Record Payment
2019-03-07 $0.01 2019-02-21 2019-03-08 2019-03-15
2018-08-24 $0.01 2018-08-13 2018-08-27 2018-09-04
2018-02-01 $0.01 2018-01-17 2018-02-02 2018-02-14
2017-08-10 $0.01 2017-08-02 2017-08-14 2017-08-17
2017-02-01 $0.01 2017-01-18 2017-02-03 2017-02-14
2016-08-22 $0.01 2016-08-10 2016-08-24 2016-08-29
2016-02-01 $0.01 2016-01-14 2016-02-03 2016-02-12
2015-07-29 $0.01 2015-06-19 2015-07-31 2015-08-17
Narrative Economics
The story the market is telling about this stock — the intangible X-factor (founder mythology, cult dynamics, TAM-of-imagination) that moves price beyond what cash flows alone explain. After Shiller, Narrative Economics.
No narrative profile yet for MUX — it's generated by the pipeline (market-narrative step).
Delvantic AI Findings
Independent analyst synthesis · Delvantic - Cairn AI · generated 2026-06-16 03:09:56
Reviews the pipeline's own verdicts
Verdict Fairly valued as a levered gold call at $20 — fundamentals justify $16-24 range conditional on $2,900+ gold; not a buy-and-hold, only a tactical position sized as commodity exposure, trim aggressively on any gold weakness below $2,800.

The raw numbers tell a more interesting story than the synthesis admits. Quarterly revenue went from $33.5M in Q4'24 to $74.0M in Q1'26 — a 121% ramp in five quarters — while net margin went from -24.6% to +45.1%. That's not gentle reacceleration; that's a step-change, almost certainly driven by gold ripping from ~$2,000 to north of $3,000/oz combined with Gold Bar/Los Azules-area production coming online. Annual 2025 revenue of $197.6M with NI of $34.4M masks the fact that the exit-rate run-rate is closer to $280M+ with materially higher operating leverage. The "mature_earner" classification is wrong; the "pre-profit-platform" tag is also wrong. This is a small-cap gold producer at the inflection of a commodity super-cycle, full stop.

That said, the Market Forces module's "operationally failing" verdict is overcooked and the synthesis's "high conviction required" is properly cautious but for partially wrong reasons. The genuine problems: operating income was still -$12.9M for full-year 2025 despite the revenue surge, meaning the $34.4M NI is heavily flattered by below-the-line items (equity-method gains from the San José stake, possibly deferred tax benefits, FX). Operating CF of $6.9M against $44.6M capex means -$37.8M FCF — the business does not self-fund at current metals prices, let alone weaker ones. Cash of $51M is thin against that burn rate. The TTM P/E of 16x and EV/EBITDA of 35x are essentially meaningless backward-looking artifacts; on a forward exit-rate basis (annualize Q1'26: ~$133M NI, but discount aggressively for non-cash items, call it $70-90M of real earnings power) you get a forward P/E closer to 13-17x — not cheap for a high-cost producer levered to gold, not expensive if gold holds.

The contrarian argument cuts both ways and the models miss the more dangerous direction. The obvious bear case (high-cost producer, jurisdictional risk in Argentina/Mexico, capex hole, insider awards outweighing the single 1,000-share purchase) is well-articulated. The non-obvious bear case: this revenue/margin trajectory is almost entirely gold-price beta. If gold mean-reverts 20% — perfectly plausible if real rates normalize or the Fed cuts less than priced — Q1'26's 45% net margin compresses violently because cash costs are sticky. MUX's beta to gold is probably 2-3x, meaning a 20% gold drawdown could be a 50% equity drawdown. The 52-week range of $8.95-$29.70 already demonstrates this. The contrarian bull case the models also miss: Los Azules (copper) is a genuinely strategic asset in a copper-deficit world, and if McEwen monetizes it via a major partnership, that single transaction could exceed the current market cap. Neither tail is priced.

I dissent from the synthesis's hedged "high conviction required" framing — that's not a verdict, it's a deferral. I also dissent from Market Forces' "avoid completely" — that ignores the documented inflection. The honest read: at $20.10 and 5.5x EV/revenue on trailing numbers but ~3x on forward run-rate, MUX is fairly valued assuming gold stays $2,900+, undervalued if gold runs to $3,500 and Los Azules gets a partner, and a 40-60% drawdown candidate if gold corrects 15%+. Insider data is genuinely neutral-to-slightly-negative (awards are routine; the single 1,000-share purchase is a token). The data is not stale but the TTM ratios are useless given the Q4'25/Q1'26 discontinuity — anyone citing 16x P/E or 35x EV/EBITDA is anchoring on a regime that no longer exists. This is a tactical commodity-beta vehicle, not an investment; sizing should reflect that you're really expressing a view on gold, not on McEwen's operating excellence (which the -$12.9M annual operating loss confirms is mediocre).

GPT Critique
Second-opinion review · gpt-4o · generated 2026-06-16 03:10:05
Reviews the Opus findings above
Verdict I disagree with Opus's fair value assessment at $20.10 — while contingent on $2,900+ gold, the operational inefficiencies and liquidity concerns make it overvalued; I'd peg fair value closer to $15-18, emphasizing the risk of a significant drawdown if gold prices decrease.

In reviewing McEwen Mining Inc.'s latest financial data, several elements stand out. The company's recent revenue trajectory is indeed impressive, with quarterly revenue nearly doubling from $35.7M in Q1'25 to $74.0M in Q1'26, suggesting significant operational improvements or favorable external conditions such as a rise in gold prices. However, despite this revenue growth, the company struggles with negative free cash flow, as evidenced by a $37.8M FCF drain in 2025. This highlights the capital-intensive nature of their operations and the reliance on external financing or cash reserves to sustain activities, which is concerning given their $51M cash position. The operating margin remains negative, at -6.54%, indicating that core operations are not yet profitable without reliance on non-operational gains. Such metrics suggest that while top-line growth is strong, financial health remains precarious.

I find myself in agreement with Opus's assertion that McEwen Mining is not a straightforward investment. Opus correctly identifies the revenue surge as largely attributable to a favorable commodity price environment, particularly with gold prices rising dramatically. This aligns with the observed price volatility of MUX, which tracks closely with gold price movements. Additionally, Opus highlights the company's continued negative operating income despite revenue growth, suggesting that profitability improvements are not as robust as they might appear superficially. I concur with the assessment that this points to a business model heavily reliant on external market conditions rather than internal operational excellence.

However, I diverge from Opus's conclusion on the valuation being fair at $20.10, contingent on gold maintaining a price above $2,900. While Opus provides a solid analysis of the potential for increased valuation should gold prices surge or McEwen successfully partner on the Los Azules project, I view the current price as over-optimistic given the operational inefficiencies and fiscal vulnerabilities. The high operating leverage and the company's inability to self-fund through free cash flow make it a risky bet if gold prices falter. The lack of debt might provide some flexibility, but the thin cash reserves against a backdrop of high capex needs suggests potential liquidity issues should market conditions tighten.

A careful skeptic might argue that both Opus and I are underestimating the strategic value of McEwen's asset portfolio, particularly the Los Azules copper project. If McEwen secures a strategic partnership or sale, the narrative could shift significantly, unlocking substantial shareholder value. Conversely, skeptics could emphasize the geopolitical risks in jurisdictions like Mexico and Argentina, where permitting and operational challenges could derail even the most promising growth stories.

Community AI Feedback
No community reviews yet for MUX. Be the first — hit How to Contribute, have any AI review this page, and paste its take back here.
My Notes personal — only you see this
Data via Financial Modeling Prep · Cached for performance · fmp
v1.1.352 · d1100787 · 2026-06-26 11:39:30