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AGING Analysis Report
Jun 7, 2026
19 days ago · 100% complete

PPG Industries, Inc.

PPG NYSE Categories PDF
Basic Materials · Chemicals - Specialty
Pittsburgh, PA 15272, United States IPO 1980 ppg.com Updated Jun 7, 3:43pm
Price
$113.80
Market Cap
$25.4B
Employees
46,000
Beta
1.06
Avg Volume
2,103,950
CEO
Timothy Knavish
Business Description

PPG Industries, Inc. manufactures and distributes paints, coatings, and specialty materials worldwide. The company's Performance Coatings segment offers coatings, solvents, adhesives, sealants, sundries, and software for automotive and commercial transport/fleet repair and refurbishing, light industrial coatings, and specialty coatings for signs; and coatings, sealants, transparencies, transparent armor, adhesives, engineered materials, and packaging and chemical management services for commercial, military, regional jet, and general aviation aircraft. It also provides coatings and finishes for the protection of metals and structures, such as metal fabricators, heavy duty maintenance contractors, and manufacturers of ships, bridges, and rail cars; paints, wood stains, adhesives, and purchased sundries for painting and maintenance contractors, and consumers for decoration and maintenance of residential and commercial building structures; and paints, thermoplastics, pavement marking products, and other technologies for pavement marking. The company's Industrial Coatings segment offers coatings, adhesives and sealants, and metal pretreatments, as well as services and coatings applications for appliances, agricultural and construction equipment, consumer electronics, automotive parts and accessories, building products, kitchenware, and transportation vehicles and other finished products; and on-site coatings services. It also provides coatings for metal cans, closures, plastic tubes, and promotional and specialty packaging; amorphous precipitated silica for tire, battery separator, and other end-uses; TESLIN substrates for labels, e-passports, drivers' licenses, breathable membranes, and loyalty and identification cards; and organic light emitting diode materials, displays and lighting lens materials, optical lenses, color-change products, and photochromic dyes. The company was incorporated in 1883 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

Business History
Generated: Jun 7, 2026 5:22pm
Price Overview
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:20pm (19d ago)
$113.80
+1.84 (+1.64%)
Day Range
$111.63 – $114.18
52-Week Range
$93.39 – $133.43
50-Day MA
$108.13
200-Day MA
$107.57
Volume
1,441,951.00
Analyst Price Targets
Low $119.00
Consensus $127.67
High $135.00
(61 analysts)
Share Structure
Outstanding 222,900,000.00
Float 222,434,139.00
Free Float 99.8%
High free float — 99.8% of shares trade freely, ~0.2% held by insiders/institutions
Very liquid — most shares trade freely. Low insider ownership can mean less management alignment, but makes large position sizing straightforward.
Price History (1 Year)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:25pm (19d ago)
Revenue & Net Income Trend
The directional story — useful even when net income is negative.
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:25pm (19d ago)
Revenue
The top line — total sales before any costs or taxes are subtracted. A measure of how much business the company is doing.
Net Income
The bottom line — profit left after subtracting all expenses, interest, and taxes from revenue. Reflects accounting profitability, but includes non-cash items like depreciation, so it isn't the same as cash earned.
Operating Cash Flow
The real cash generated by the day-to-day business — selling products, paying suppliers, collecting from customers. Calculated from net income by adding back non-cash items and adjusting for timing (unpaid bills, unsold inventory). When OCF consistently lags net income, the reported profit may not be converting to real money.
Period Revenue Net Income Net Margin YoY/QoQ
Key Metrics
API Direct from provider CALC Derived from statements
Industry comparison last run: Jun 7, 2026 5:22pm
P/E Ratio (Price per dollar of earnings)
API
Stock Price / EPS (Diluted)
16.06
Stock Price: $113.80
EPS (Diluted): 6.96
P/B Ratio (Price vs net asset value)
API
Stock Price / Book Value Per Share
-6.54
Stock Price: $113.80
Total Equity: -$3.54B
Shares: 227,100,000
EV/EBITDA (Total value vs operating profit)
API
Enterprise Value / EBITDA
11.29
Market Cap: $25.37B
Total Debt: $7.45B
Cash: $2.16B
EBITDA: $2.81B
Enterprise Value (Takeover price (cap + debt - cash))
API
Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash
$28.5B
Market Cap: $25.37B
Total Debt: $7.45B
Cash: $2.16B
Gross Margin (Revenue left after direct costs)
API
Gross Profit / Revenue
38.0%
Gross Profit: $6.03B
Revenue: $15.88B
Operating Margin (Revenue left after all operations)
API
Operating Income / Revenue
13.7%
Operating Income: $2.17B
Revenue: $15.88B
Net Margin (Revenue left as actual profit)
API
Net Income / Revenue
9.9%
Net Income: $1.58B
Revenue: $15.88B
ROE (Profit from shareholder equity)
API
Net Income / Total Equity
31.8%
Net Income: $1.58B
Total Equity: -$3.54B
ROIC (Profit from all invested capital)
API
NOPAT / Invested Capital
8.8%
Operating Income: $2.17B
Tax Rate: 22.4%
Equity: -$3.54B
Total Debt: $7.45B
Cash: $2.16B
Current Ratio (Can it pay short-term bills)
API
Current Assets / Current Liabilities
1.62
Current Assets: $7.96B
Current Liabilities: $4.90B
Debt/Equity (Leverage — debt vs equity)
CALC
Total Debt / Total Equity
-2.10
Short-Term Debt: $844.00M
Long-Term Debt: $6.60B
Total Debt: $7.45B
Total Equity: -$3.54B
Rev/Share (Top-line per share)
CALC
Revenue / Shares Outstanding
$69.90
Revenue: $15.88B
Shares: 227,100,000
Book Value/Share (Net assets per share)
CALC
(Total Assets - Total Liabilities) / Shares
$-15.60
Total Equity: -$3.54B
Shares: 227,100,000
FCF/Share (Real cash generated per share)
CALC
(Operating Cash Flow + CapEx) / Shares
$5.12
Operating CF: $1.94B
CapEx: -$778.00M
Shares: 227,100,000
CapEx is negative (outflow) — added to OCF to get FCF
Div Yield (Annual income from holding)
API
Last Annual Dividend / Stock Price
2.7%
Last Dividend: N/A
Stock Price: $113.80
Payout Ratio (Earnings paid out as dividends)
Dividends Paid / Net Income
Dividends Paid: N/A
Net Income: $1.58B
Dividends paid not available in cash flow statement
Industry Benchmarks
Last run: Jun 7, 2026 5:22pm
Compares PPG against LLM-researched typical ranges for its industry. One research call per industry, cached indefinitely — every stock in the same industry reuses the same baseline.
Deep Analysis
Last run: Jun 7, 2026 5:24:46 pm

Pre-flight intelligence scans the company first, then routes to the right analytical methods.

0 Company Classification — What type of company is this?
1 Industry Landscape — Where is the industry headed?
2 Company Momentum — Where is this company trending?
3 Forward Projection — 1Y & 2Y projected metrics (requires Layer 1 + 2)
4a DCF Valuation — Present value of future cash flows
4b Earnings Power Value — Floor value — worth with zero growth
4c Anchored PE — Industry PE adjusted for growth differential
4d Reverse DCF — What growth is the market pricing in?
4e Revenue-Based DCF — For growth/narrative companies (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4f Anchored P/S — Price-to-Sales peer comparison (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4g Scenario Analysis — Bull / Base / Bear (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4h Dividend Discount Model — For dividend/income stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4i Book Value Analysis — For deep value / turnaround stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4j Insider Activity — Are insiders buying or selling?
4f Cash Flow Quality — How trustworthy is the FCF?
4g Debt Maturity Risk — Can it handle its debt?
4h Macro Environment — Rates, market valuation, volatility
4i Sector Intelligence — How does this company compare within its sector?
4j Revenue Confidence — How reliable is the growth projection?
4k Sensitivity Analysis — How fragile is the fair value estimate?
4l Sector Demand Cycle — Is the sector in a boom, steady state, or contraction?
5 AI Investigation — Adaptive research engine (Claude)
5b Thesis Evaluation — What does the market believe? (narrative/platform stocks only)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
6 Valuation Synthesis — Weighted verdict from all methods (requires Layer 4)
Income Statement (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:25pm (19d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue $16.8B $15.6B $16.2B $15.8B $15.9B
Cost of Revenue $10.3B $10.0B $9.7B $9.3B $9.8B
Gross Profit $6.5B $5.6B $6.6B $6.6B $6.0B
Operating Expenses $4.8B $4.0B $4.5B $4.3B $3.9B
Operating Income $1.7B $1.7B $2.0B $2.3B $2.2B
Net Income $1.4B $1.0B $1.3B $1.1B $1.6B
EBITDA $2.5B $2.0B $2.5B $2.6B $2.8B
EPS $6.06 $4.35 $5.38 $4.77 $6.96
EPS (Diluted)
Balance Sheet (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:20pm (19d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Cash & Equivalents $1.0B $1.1B $1.5B $1.3B $2.2B
Total Current Assets $6.8B $7.2B $7.4B $6.6B $8.0B
Total Assets $21.4B $20.7B $21.6B $19.4B $8.0B
Current Liabilities $4.8B $4.7B $5.1B $5.0B $4.9B
Long-Term Debt $6.6B $6.5B $5.7B $4.9B $6.6B
Total Liabilities $14.9B $14.0B $13.6B $12.5B $11.5B
Total Equity $6.3B $6.6B $7.8B $6.8B -$3.5B
Retained Earnings $20.4B $20.8B $21.5B $22.0B $0
Cash Flow (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:25pm (19d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Operating Cash Flow $1.6B $963.0M $2.4B $1.4B $1.9B
Capital Expenditure -$371.0M -$486.0M -$516.0M -$721.0M -$778.0M
Free Cash Flow $1.2B $477.0M $1.9B $699.0M $1.2B
Acquisitions (net) -$2.1B $3.0M -$73.0M $294.0M $42.0M
Debt Repayment
Dividends Paid
Stock Buybacks -$210.0M -$190.0M -$86.0M -$752.0M -$790.0M
Net Change in Cash -$821.0M $94.0M $394.0M -$223.0M $893.0M
Analyst Estimates (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:20pm (19d ago)
Metric 2026 2027 2028 2029
Revenue $16.7B
$16.2B – $17.1B
$17.2B
$16.6B – $18.1B
$17.7B
$17.7B – $17.7B
$18.0B
$17.3B – $18.6B
EBITDA $3.7B
$3.6B – $3.8B
$3.8B
$3.7B – $4.0B
$3.9B
$3.9B – $3.9B
$4.0B
$3.8B – $4.1B
Net Income $1.8B
$1.7B – $1.8B
$2.0B
$1.9B – $2.0B
$2.1B
$2.0B – $2.2B
$2.4B
$2.3B – $2.5B
EPS
Growth Trends (YoY %)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:25pm (19d ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue Growth -7.1% +4.0% -2.4% +0.2%
Gross Profit Growth -13.5% +16.4% +0.4% -8.5%
Operating Income Growth -1.2% +22.1% +12.4% -5.2%
Net Income Growth -28.7% +23.8% -12.1% +41.2%
EBITDA Growth -18.9% +21.1% +5.5% +8.9%
Insider Trading (Recent)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:24pm (19d ago)
Type codes PPurchase SSale AAward / grant MOption exercise FIn-kind (tax) CConversion GGift DReturn to issuer
All SEC Form 4 codes
Open market
P Purchase
Open-market or private purchase of shares.
S Sale
Open-market or private sale of shares.
Compensation (Rule 16b-3)
A Award / grant
Grant or award of securities (RSUs, options, etc.) under Rule 16b-3.
D Return to issuer
Securities disposed back to the company under Rule 16b-3.
F In-kind (tax)
Shares withheld or delivered to pay the option-exercise price or tax — not an open-market sale.
I Discretionary
Discretionary transaction under an employee plan — Rule 16b-3(f).
M Option exercise
Exercise or conversion of a derivative (option/RSU) into shares — exempt.
Derivatives
C Conversion
Conversion of a derivative security into the underlying shares.
E Short expiration
Expiration of a short derivative position.
H Long expiration
Expiration or cancellation of a long derivative position with value received.
O OTM exercise
Exercise of an out-of-the-money derivative.
X ITM exercise
Exercise of an in-the-money or at-the-money derivative.
Other exempt
G Gift
Bona fide gift of securities.
L Small acquisition
Small acquisition under Rule 16a-6.
W Inheritance
Acquisition or disposition by will or the laws of descent.
Z Voting trust
Deposit into or withdrawal from a voting trust.
Other
J Other
Other acquisition or disposition (explained in a Form 4 footnote).
K Equity swap
Transaction in an equity swap or similar instrument.
U Tender / buyout
Disposition via tender of shares in a change-of-control transaction.

Compensation-plan codes (A, D, F, M) are routine and rarely directional. Open-market P (buy) and S (sale) carry the most signal.

Date Insider Type Shares Price Value
2026-06-12 Hefel Juliane M. P-Purchase 8.73 $114.84 $1,002
2026-06-12 Hefel Juliane M. P-Purchase 2.81 $121.45 $342
2026-06-15 Hefel Juliane M. A-Award 1.16 $0.00 $0
2026-06-12 Hefel Juliane M. A-Award 7.23 $0.00 $0
2026-06-15 Massy Robert L. A-Award 0.22 $0.00 $0
2026-06-15 KNAVISH TIMOTHY M A-Award 27.67 $0.00 $0
2026-06-15 Hagerty Chancey E. A-Award 0.09 $0.00 $0
2026-06-15 Foulkes Anne M. A-Award 15.72 $0.00 $0
2026-06-15 Braun Kevin D. A-Award 1.20 $0.00 $0
2026-06-15 Bellezza Alisha A-Award 0.53 $0.00 $0
2026-06-12 Morales Vincent J A-Award 122.14 $0.00 $0
2026-06-12 Massy Robert L. A-Award 0.88 $0.00 $0
2026-06-12 KNAVISH TIMOTHY M A-Award 64.35 $0.00 $0
2026-06-12 Hagerty Chancey E. A-Award 0.98 $0.00 $0
2026-06-12 Foulkes Anne M. A-Award 3.56 $0.00 $0
2026-06-12 Ericson Amy R. A-Award 1.01 $0.00 $0
2026-06-12 Braun Kevin D. A-Award 4.51 $0.00 $0
2026-06-12 Bellezza Alisha A-Award 0.84 $0.00 $0
2026-06-12 Topalian Leon J A-Award 16.08 $0.00 $0
2026-06-12 Roberts III Chris A-Award 28.61 $0.00 $0
Dividend History (Last 20)
Last updated: Jun 7, 2026 5:20pm (19d ago)
Date Dividend Declaration Record Payment
2026-05-11 $0.71 2026-04-16 2026-05-11 2026-06-12
2026-02-20 $0.71 2026-01-15 2026-02-20 2026-03-12
2025-11-10 $0.71 2025-10-16 2025-11-10 2025-12-12
2025-08-11 $0.71 2025-07-17 2025-08-11 2025-09-12
2025-05-12 $0.68 2025-04-17 2025-05-12 2025-06-12
2025-02-21 $0.68 2025-01-16 2025-02-21 2025-03-12
2024-11-12 $0.68 2024-10-17 2024-11-12 2024-12-12
2024-08-12 $0.68 2024-07-18 2024-08-12 2024-09-12
2024-05-09 $0.65 2024-04-18 2024-05-10 2024-06-12
2024-02-15 $0.65 2024-01-18 2024-02-16 2024-03-12
2023-11-09 $0.65 2023-10-19 2023-11-10 2023-12-12
2023-08-09 $0.65 2023-07-20 2023-08-10 2023-09-12
2023-05-09 $0.62 2023-04-20 2023-05-10 2023-06-12
2023-02-16 $0.62 2023-01-19 2023-02-17 2023-03-10
2022-11-09 $0.62 2022-10-20 2022-11-10 2022-12-12
2022-08-09 $0.62 2022-07-21 2022-08-10 2022-09-10
2022-05-09 $0.59 2022-04-21 2022-05-10 2022-06-10
2022-02-17 $0.59 2022-01-20 2022-02-18 2022-03-11
2021-11-09 $0.59 2021-10-21 2021-11-10 2021-12-10
2021-08-09 $0.59 2021-07-15 2021-08-10 2021-09-10
Narrative Economics
The story the market is telling about this stock — the intangible X-factor (founder mythology, cult dynamics, TAM-of-imagination) that moves price beyond what cash flows alone explain. After Shiller, Narrative Economics.
No narrative profile yet for PPG — it's generated by the pipeline (market-narrative step).
Delvantic AI Findings
Independent analyst synthesis · Delvantic - Cairn AI · generated 2026-06-07 17:25:20
Reviews the pipeline's own verdicts
Verdict Modestly overvalued — fair value $95-105 vs $113.80; synthesis's $82 is too harsh, but wait for sub-$100 to add; Q2'26 margin print is the catalyst.

Independent read of the tape first: PPG is doing roughly $15.9B at a 38% gross margin and 13.7% operating margin, generating $1.94B in operating cash and $1.16B FCF on a $25.4B market cap. That's a ~4.6% FCF yield with a 2.7% dividend on top — not cheap, not egregious for a mature coatings franchise. But the quarterly trajectory is uglier than the headline metric: Q1'26 revenue $3.93B is flat against Q1'25 $3.68B (+6.8%) but down sharply from Q3'24 $4.58B and Q2'24 $4.24B. The Q4'24 print ($2.17B rev, -$280M NI) is clearly a divestiture/discontinued ops artifact (likely the architectural coatings sale) and should be treated as noise, not a collapse. Stripping that, run-rate revenue is ~$16B and net income is annualizing around $1.6B — flat-to-slightly-up. Earnings CAGR of 11.4% is largely mix/buyback-driven, not organic.

The synthesis verdict of $82.62 fair value (-27% from $113.80) strikes me as too punitive but directionally right. A 4.6% FCF yield on a flat-revenue specialty chemical with cyclical end-market exposure (auto OEM, aerospace, industrial) deserves something like a 5.5-6% FCF yield in a normalized rate environment, which gets you to $90-105, not $82. The DCF is probably anchoring on the -21.7% FCF CAGR, which I'd argue overweights working capital noise and divestiture-related capex — the $778M capex line is elevated and likely normalizes. ROIC of 8.8% against what's probably a ~9-10% WACC is the real problem: this business isn't creating much economic value at the margin, and that, not the multiple, is what should cap the price.

The contrarian case the models underplay: PPG just shed architectural coatings (lower-margin, more cyclical), the remaining mix is aerospace + industrial + auto refinish, and aerospace coatings is a genuinely good business with multi-year backlog visibility. If Q1'26's 9.7% net margin holds and inflects toward 11% (where Q2-Q3'25 ran), you're looking at $1.75-1.8B normalized NI, which puts the forward P/E at ~14x — reasonable for a quality industrial. The narrative layer's "moderate intensity, anchored" framing is fair; this isn't a story stock, it's a show-me-the-margin stock. The negative book value flag (pb -6.54) is a buyback/goodwill artifact, not a solvency issue — ignore it. Insider data is useless (all small awards, no open-market activity to read).

Where I dissent from the synthesis: "extremely fragile, almost no scenarios support the current price" is overstated. A flat-revenue, 14% op-margin, 4.6% FCF-yield specialty chem with a 2.7% dividend doesn't need heroic assumptions to defend $100-110; it needs the margin expansion to hold and aerospace to not roll over. Where I agree: $113.80 is paying for execution that hasn't been demonstrated for four consecutive quarters yet — Q4'25's 7.7% margin is a yellow flag and the -1.1% revenue CAGR is real. Market Forces' "Neutral with caution" is the most honest read in the stack. Fair value range I'd defend: $95-105, call it $100. Current price embeds 10-15% of optimism on margin durability and bolt-on M&A accretion. Not a short, not a buy here — a hold with a clear add level in the low $90s if industrial PMI weakens further and takes the stock down with the sector.

GPT Critique
Second-opinion review · gpt-4o · generated 2026-06-07 17:25:26
Reviews the Opus findings above
Verdict I agree with Opus — PPG is overvalued at $113.80, with fair value closer to $90-$100. Sub-$100 presents a more compelling entry, aligning with Opus's cautious optimism but with tighter valuation constraints.

PPG Industries Inc. shows a consistent yet stagnant revenue trajectory, maintaining a five-year range between $15.6 billion and $16.8 billion. The revenue stagnation contrasts with a fluctuating net income, notably recovering from a significant dip in 2024 with a net income of -$280 million in Q4. The recent periods suggest a stabilization around a $1.58 billion net income for 2025. The quarterly data reveals a slight revenue uptick in Q1 2026 compared to Q1 2025, indicating some resilience amidst broader market challenges. However, the margins exhibit a volatile trend, with the most recent quarter's net margin at 9.7%, a recovery from the previous decline. Notably, the cash flow metrics, particularly the $1.16 billion free cash flow, reflect a robust cash management strategy, albeit with a significant capex burden likely tied to strategic investments.

Opus argues that PPG is "modestly overvalued" with a fair value range of $95 to $105. I concur with their assessment of overvaluation but diverge on the fair value's upper bound. The current market price of $113.80 reflects an optimistic view of PPG's margin expansion potential, which is not yet consistently demonstrated. Opus's critique of the synthesis's $82.62 fair value as too harsh is reasonable; however, I would place fair value slightly lower, around $90-$100, reflecting greater caution about the sustainability of recent earnings improvements and the broader market's cyclical challenges. The synthesis's focus on the FCF CAGR of -21.7% seems overly pessimistic, but it rightly highlights concerns over economic value creation, with the ROIC at 8.8% against a WACC of 9-10%.

I agree with Opus's dismissal of the negative book value as a significant issue, attributing it to buybacks and goodwill rather than solvency concerns. However, I disagree with their assertion that PPG doesn't need "heroic assumptions" to justify the $100-$110 range. Given the cyclicality and the observed market contractions, the current price requires faith in both margin expansion and favorable market conditions, which are not assured in the near term. Additionally, while Opus acknowledges the potential for aerospace coatings as a growth driver, I remain skeptical about its capacity to offset broader cyclical pressures, especially with the noted 1.1% revenue CAGR decline.

A skeptic might argue that both Opus and my analyses underestimate the potential for PPG's strategic shifts post-divestiture to unlock higher margins, particularly if aerospace and industrial segments outperform expectations. They might also point to the robust cash flow and dividend yield as indicators of latent value yet to be recognized fully by the market.

Community AI Feedback
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My Notes personal — only you see this
Data via Financial Modeling Prep · Cached for performance · fmp
v1.1.352 · d1100787 · 2026-06-26 11:39:30