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Jun 27, 2026
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Toyota Motor Corporation

TM NYSE Categories PDF
Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Manufacturers
Toyota, 471-8571, Japan IPO 1980 global.toyota/en Updated Jun 27, 3:12am
Price
$171.48
Market Cap
$203.1B
Employees
383,853
Beta
0.31
Avg Volume
544,702
CEO
Kenta Kon
Business Description

Toyota Motor Corporation is a multinational automotive manufacturer responsible for the design, production, assembly, and sale of a diverse range of passenger vehicles, minivans, commercial vehicles, and their associated components and accessories. The company organizes its operations into distinct segments: Automotive, Financial Services, and various other ventures. Its extensive vehicle portfolio includes environmentally friendly options such as hybrid cars under the Prius brand and advanced fuel cell vehicles like the MIRAI. For conventional engine vehicles, it offers models like the subcompact and compact Corolla and Raize. Under the overarching Toyota brand, the company provides mini-vehicles, general passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and automotive parts. Its offerings also encompass mid-size and luxury automobiles, alongside sports cars such as the GR Yaris, Corolla Sport, Corolla Cross, and Supra, and recreational and sport-utility vehicles like the Highlander. Furthermore, Toyota produces pickup trucks, exemplified by the Tacoma, as well as minivans, heavy-duty trucks, and buses. Beyond vehicle manufacturing, Toyota provides a suite of financial services, including retail and wholesale financing, leasing arrangements, insurance products, and credit cards. It also diversifies into the prefabricated housing sector, handling its design, manufacturing, and sales. For automotive enthusiasts, the company operates GAZOO.com, an informational web portal. Established in 1933 and headquartered in Toyota, Japan, the company boasts a global presence, conducting business across Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, Central and South America, Oceania, Africa, and the Middle East.

Business History
Generated: Jun 27, 2026 3:10am
Price Overview
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 7:58am (just now)
$171.48
+4.98 (+2.99%)
Day Range
$169.89 – $172.22
52-Week Range
$166.10 – $248.90
50-Day MA
$186.14
200-Day MA
$205.71
Volume
458,640.00
Analyst Price Targets
Low $179.41
Consensus $179.41
High $179.41
(1 analysts)
Share Structure
Outstanding 1,184,106,605.00
Float 674,178,978.00
Free Float 56.9%
Normal free float — 56.9% of shares trade freely, ~43.1% held by insiders/institutions
Healthy float typical of established companies. Good liquidity for entering and exiting positions without major price impact.
Price History (1 Year)
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 7:58am (just now)
Revenue & Net Income Trend
The directional story — useful even when net income is negative.
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 7:57am (just now)
Revenue
The top line — total sales before any costs or taxes are subtracted. A measure of how much business the company is doing.
Net Income
The bottom line — profit left after subtracting all expenses, interest, and taxes from revenue. Reflects accounting profitability, but includes non-cash items like depreciation, so it isn't the same as cash earned.
Operating Cash Flow
The real cash generated by the day-to-day business — selling products, paying suppliers, collecting from customers. Calculated from net income by adding back non-cash items and adjusting for timing (unpaid bills, unsold inventory). When OCF consistently lags net income, the reported profit may not be converting to real money.
Period Revenue Net Income Net Margin YoY/QoQ
Key Metrics
API Direct from provider CALC Derived from statements
Industry comparison last run: Jun 27, 2026 3:08am
P/E Ratio (Price per dollar of earnings)
API
Stock Price / EPS (Diluted)
9.38
Stock Price: $171.48
EPS (Diluted): 3,130.10
P/B Ratio (Price vs net asset value)
API
Stock Price / Book Value Per Share
1.06
Stock Price: $171.48
Total Equity: $40,091.99B
Shares: 1,303,327,400
EV/EBITDA (Total value vs operating profit)
API
Enterprise Value / EBITDA
8.48
Market Cap: $203.05B
Total Debt: $43,392.86B
Cash: $12,714.53B
EBITDA: $8,092.55B
Enterprise Value (Takeover price (cap + debt - cash))
API
Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash
$73.3T
Market Cap: $203.05B
Total Debt: $43,392.86B
Cash: $12,714.53B
Gross Margin (Revenue left after direct costs)
API
Gross Profit / Revenue
16.7%
Gross Profit: $8,974.17B
Revenue: $53,741.65B
Operating Margin (Revenue left after all operations)
API
Operating Income / Revenue
7.4%
Operating Income: $3,993.35B
Revenue: $53,741.65B
Net Margin (Revenue left as actual profit)
API
Net Income / Revenue
7.6%
Net Income: $4,080.17B
Revenue: $53,741.65B
ROE (Profit from shareholder equity)
API
Net Income / Total Equity
10.1%
Net Income: $4,080.17B
Total Equity: $40,091.99B
ROIC (Profit from all invested capital)
API
NOPAT / Invested Capital
3.3%
Operating Income: $3,993.35B
Tax Rate: 22.7%
Equity: $40,091.99B
Total Debt: $43,392.86B
Cash: $12,714.53B
Current Ratio (Can it pay short-term bills)
API
Current Assets / Current Liabilities
1.27
Current Assets: $43,009.82B
Current Liabilities: $33,750.77B
Debt/Equity (Leverage — debt vs equity)
CALC
Total Debt / Total Equity
1.08
Short-Term Debt: $17,657.36B
Long-Term Debt: $25,735.50B
Total Debt: $43,392.86B
Total Equity: $40,091.99B
Rev/Share (Top-line per share)
CALC
Revenue / Shares Outstanding
$41,234.19
Revenue: $53,741.65B
Shares: 1,303,327,400
Book Value/Share (Net assets per share)
CALC
(Total Assets - Total Liabilities) / Shares
$30,761.26
Total Equity: $40,091.99B
Shares: 1,303,327,400
FCF/Share (Real cash generated per share)
CALC
(Operating Cash Flow + CapEx) / Shares
$454.26
Operating CF: $5,802.98B
CapEx: -$5,210.93B
Shares: 1,303,327,400
CapEx is negative (outflow) — added to OCF to get FCF
Div Yield (Annual income from holding)
API
Last Annual Dividend / Stock Price
3.1%
Last Dividend: N/A
Stock Price: $171.48
Payout Ratio (Earnings paid out as dividends)
Dividends Paid / Net Income
Dividends Paid: N/A
Net Income: $4,080.17B
Dividends paid not available in cash flow statement
Industry Benchmarks
Last run: Jun 27, 2026 3:08am
Compares TM against LLM-researched typical ranges for its industry. One research call per industry, cached indefinitely — every stock in the same industry reuses the same baseline.
Deep Analysis
Last run: Jun 27, 2026 3:12:17 am

Pre-flight intelligence scans the company first, then routes to the right analytical methods.

0 Company Classification — What type of company is this?
1 Industry Landscape — Where is the industry headed?
2 Company Momentum — Where is this company trending?
3 Forward Projection — 1Y & 2Y projected metrics (requires Layer 1 + 2)
4a DCF Valuation — Present value of future cash flows
Average FCF is negative — DCF not applicable
4b Earnings Power Value — Floor value — worth with zero growth
4c Anchored PE — Industry PE adjusted for growth differential
4d Reverse DCF — What growth is the market pricing in?
Average FCF is negative
4e Revenue-Based DCF — For growth/narrative companies (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4f Anchored P/S — Price-to-Sales peer comparison (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4g Scenario Analysis — Bull / Base / Bear (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4h Dividend Discount Model — For dividend/income stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4i Book Value Analysis — For deep value / turnaround stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4j Insider Activity — Are insiders buying or selling?
4f Cash Flow Quality — How trustworthy is the FCF?
4g Debt Maturity Risk — Can it handle its debt?
4h Macro Environment — Rates, market valuation, volatility
4i Sector Intelligence — How does this company compare within its sector?
4j Revenue Confidence — How reliable is the growth projection?
4k Sensitivity Analysis — How fragile is the fair value estimate?
4l Sector Demand Cycle — Is the sector in a boom, steady state, or contraction?
5 AI Investigation — Adaptive research engine (Claude)
5b Thesis Evaluation — What does the market believe? (narrative/platform stocks only)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
6 Valuation Synthesis — Weighted verdict from all methods (requires Layer 4)
Income Statement (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 7:57am (just now)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Revenue $31.4T $37.2T $45.1T $48.0T $53.7T
Cost of Revenue $25.4T $30.8T $35.7T $38.5T $44.8T
Gross Profit $6.0T $6.3T $9.4T $9.6T $9.0T
Operating Expenses $3.0T $3.6T $4.0T $4.8T $5.0T
Operating Income $3.0T $2.7T $5.4T $4.8T $4.0T
Net Income $2.9T $2.5T $4.9T $4.8T $4.1T
EBITDA $5.8T $5.8T $9.1T $8.7T $8.1T
EPS $2,052.30 $1,794.70 $3,659.40 $3,595.60 $3,130.10
EPS (Diluted)
Balance Sheet (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 3:06am (4h ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Cash & Equivalents $6.1T $7.5T $9.4T $9.0T $12.7T
Total Current Assets $23.7T $26.5T $34.7T $37.1T $43.0T
Total Assets $67.7T $74.3T $90.1T $93.6T $106.0T
Current Liabilities $21.8T $24.0T $29.2T $29.4T $33.8T
Long-Term Debt $14.9T $16.7T $20.8T $22.5T $25.7T
Total Liabilities $40.5T $45.0T $54.9T $56.7T $64.8T
Total Equity $26.2T $28.3T $34.2T $35.9T $40.1T
Retained Earnings $26.5T $28.3T $32.8T $35.8T $38.9T
Cash Flow (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 7:57am (just now)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Operating Cash Flow $3.7T $3.0T $4.2T $3.7T $5.8T
Capital Expenditure -$3.8T -$3.7T -$5.0T -$5.3T -$5.2T
Free Cash Flow -$107.6B -$750.8B -$842.0B -$1.6T $592.1B
Acquisitions (net) $1.6T $1.7T $0 $0 $1.5T
Debt Repayment
Dividends Paid
Stock Buybacks -$404.7B -$431.1B -$231.1B -$1.2T -$42.4B
Net Change in Cash $1.0T $1.4T $1.9T -$429.7B $3.1T
Analyst Estimates (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 3:06am (4h ago)
Metric 2028 2029 2030 2031
Revenue $55.3T
$51.3T – $57.3T
$56.8T
$54.2T – $62.9T
$60.0T
$57.3T – $66.5T
$60.1T
$57.4T – $66.6T
EBITDA $9.7T
$9.0T – $10.0T
$9.9T
$9.5T – $11.0T
$10.5T
$10.0T – $11.7T
$10.5T
$10.1T – $11.7T
Net Income $4.6T
$4.1T – $5.0T
$5.0T
$4.7T – $5.7T
$4.7T
$4.5T – $5.4T
$6.1T
$5.8T – $7.0T
EPS
Growth Trends (YoY %)
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 7:57am (just now)
Metric 2023 2024 2025 2026
Revenue Growth +18.4% +21.4% +6.5% +11.9%
Gross Profit Growth +5.7% +48.4% +2.2% -6.3%
Operating Income Growth -9.0% +96.4% -10.4% -16.7%
Net Income Growth -14.0% +101.7% -3.6% -14.4%
EBITDA Growth -1.5% +58.4% -4.0% -7.5%
Insider Trading (Recent)
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 3:12am (4h ago)
Type codes PPurchase SSale AAward / grant MOption exercise FIn-kind (tax) CConversion GGift DReturn to issuer
All SEC Form 4 codes
Open market
P Purchase
Open-market or private purchase of shares.
S Sale
Open-market or private sale of shares.
Compensation (Rule 16b-3)
A Award / grant
Grant or award of securities (RSUs, options, etc.) under Rule 16b-3.
D Return to issuer
Securities disposed back to the company under Rule 16b-3.
F In-kind (tax)
Shares withheld or delivered to pay the option-exercise price or tax — not an open-market sale.
I Discretionary
Discretionary transaction under an employee plan — Rule 16b-3(f).
M Option exercise
Exercise or conversion of a derivative (option/RSU) into shares — exempt.
Derivatives
C Conversion
Conversion of a derivative security into the underlying shares.
E Short expiration
Expiration of a short derivative position.
H Long expiration
Expiration or cancellation of a long derivative position with value received.
O OTM exercise
Exercise of an out-of-the-money derivative.
X ITM exercise
Exercise of an in-the-money or at-the-money derivative.
Other exempt
G Gift
Bona fide gift of securities.
L Small acquisition
Small acquisition under Rule 16a-6.
W Inheritance
Acquisition or disposition by will or the laws of descent.
Z Voting trust
Deposit into or withdrawal from a voting trust.
Other
J Other
Other acquisition or disposition (explained in a Form 4 footnote).
K Equity swap
Transaction in an equity swap or similar instrument.
U Tender / buyout
Disposition via tender of shares in a change-of-control transaction.

Compensation-plan codes (A, D, F, M) are routine and rarely directional. Open-market P (buy) and S (sale) carry the most signal.

Date Insider Type Shares Price Value
2026-06-18 Ueda Tatsuro A-Award 10.00 $17.38 $174
2026-06-18 Tomoyama Shigeki A-Award 36.00 $17.38 $626
2026-06-18 Oshima Masahiko A-Award 9.00 $17.38 $156
2026-06-18 Osada Hiromi A-Award 4.00 $17.38 $70
2026-06-18 Olcott George Cunningham A-Award 8.00 $17.38 $139
2026-06-18 Okamoto Shigeaki A-Award 10.00 $17.38 $174
2026-06-18 Imura Takahiro A-Award 347.00 $17.38 $6,031
2026-06-18 Fujisawa Kumi A-Award 3.00 $17.38 $52
2026-06-18 Asakura Masashi A-Award 350.00 $17.38 $6,083
2026-05-25 Ueda Tatsuro A-Award 101.00 $19.22 $1,941
2026-05-25 Tomoyama Shigeki A-Award 17.00 $19.22 $327
2026-05-25 Oshima Masahiko A-Award 83.00 $19.22 $1,595
2026-05-25 Osada Hiromi A-Award 33.00 $19.22 $634
2026-05-25 Olcott George Cunningham A-Award 84.00 $19.22 $1,614
2026-05-25 Okamoto Shigeaki A-Award 100.00 $19.22 $1,922
2026-05-25 Kawai Mitsuru A-Award 117.00 $19.22 $2,249
2026-05-25 Imura Takahiro A-Award 67.00 $19.22 $1,288
2026-05-25 Fujisawa Kumi A-Award 33.00 $19.22 $634
2026-05-25 Asakura Masashi A-Award 67.00 $19.22 $1,288
2026-04-24 Ueda Tatsuro A-Award 85.00 $19.61 $1,667
Dividend History (Last 20)
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026 3:06am (4h ago)
Date Dividend Declaration Record Payment
2026-03-31 $3.13 2026-03-10 2026-03-31 2026-06-08
2025-09-30 $2.87 2025-09-03 2025-09-30 2025-12-08
2025-03-31 $3.46 2025-03-04 2025-03-31 2025-06-05
2024-09-30 $2.60 2024-09-10 2024-09-30 2024-12-06
2024-03-27 $2.55 2024-03-15 2024-03-28 2024-06-03
2023-09-28 $2.00 2023-09-06 2023-09-29 2023-12-04
2023-03-30 $2.50 2023-03-06 2023-03-31 2023-06-06
2022-09-29 $1.76 2022-09-13 2022-09-30 2022-12-07
2022-03-30 $2.20 2022-03-08 2022-03-31 2022-06-06
2021-09-29 $2.10 2021-09-30 2021-12-06
2021-03-30 $2.45 2021-03-31 2021-06-07
2020-09-29 $2.02 2020-09-30 2020-12-07
2020-03-30 $2.23 2020-03-31 2020-06-08
2019-09-27 $1.83 2019-09-30 2019-12-09
2019-03-28 $2.19 2019-03-15 2019-03-29 2019-06-04
2018-09-27 $1.76 2018-09-11 2018-09-28 2018-12-07
2018-03-28 $2.19 2018-03-14 2018-03-29 2018-06-04
2017-09-28 $1.80 2017-09-14 2017-09-29 2017-12-07
2017-03-30 $1.97 2017-03-15 2017-03-31 2017-06-05
2016-09-29 $1.77 2016-09-15 2016-09-30 2016-12-09
Narrative Economics
The story the market is telling about this stock — the intangible X-factor (founder mythology, cult dynamics, TAM-of-imagination) that moves price beyond what cash flows alone explain. After Shiller, Narrative Economics.
No narrative profile yet for TM — it's generated by the pipeline (market-narrative step).
Delvantic AI Findings
Independent analyst synthesis · Delvantic - Cairn AI · generated 2026-06-27 03:12:55
Reviews the pipeline's own verdicts

Looking at the raw yen-denominated numbers first: FY2026 (ending March 2026) revenue of ¥53.7T grew 11.9% YoY, but net income fell to ¥4.08T from ¥4.77T — a 14% earnings decline, and operating income compressed harder, from ¥4.80T to ¥3.99T (op margin 7.4% vs 10.0% prior year, and 11.9% in FY2024). Gross margin collapsed from 21% in FY2024/25 to 16.7% in FY2026. This is not "trough profitability navigating a transition" — this is active margin erosion in real time, with the most recent quarter (Mar 2026) showing 6.5% net margin, the weakest in the visible series ex the Sept 2024 outlier. The Dec 2024 17.7% margin print is clearly a one-off (likely an asset sale or FX gain) and is anchoring the YoY comps unfavorably, but even normalizing for it, the trend in 2025-2026 quarters (5.4%, 6.9%, 7.5%, 9.3%, 6.5%) is structurally below 2023-2024 levels. FCF of ¥592B against ¥5.2T capex is the real tell: Toyota is spending 97% of operating cash flow on capex to defend its position. That is EV transition cost showing up in cash, not narrative.

The Synthesis verdict claiming a fair value of $59,507 versus $171 price is obvious garbage — it's mixing yen-denominated per-share fundamentals with a dollar ADR price (each ADR = 10 ordinary shares, and the FX is ~150 ¥/$). The "+34,210% undervalued" output should have been auto-rejected; instead it got laundered into a "fully_priced" verdict, which is incoherent on its face. Ignore it. The honest valuation anchors are the canonical ratios: 9.4x TTM P/E, 1.06x P/B, 0.79x P/S, 8.5x EV/EBITDA, 3.1% dividend yield. Those are cheap in absolute terms and roughly in line with Honda, Ford, GM, Stellantis — i.e., the entire legacy auto complex trades at single-digit P/Es because the market doesn't believe the earnings are durable through the EV cycle. Toyota deserves a modest premium for hybrid leadership and balance sheet (¥12.7T cash), but ROIC of 3.25% TTM and ROE of 10.1% don't justify a re-rating to 15-18x historical multiples. The Pre-Flight thesis is directionally right; the Market Forces "trough profitability" framing is too generous given margins are still falling, not bottoming.

The contrarian case the models underweight: Toyota's hybrid bet is actually winning right now — US hybrid demand is surging as BEV adoption stalls, and Toyota's mix advantage should show up in FY2027 margins if input costs stabilize and the yen cooperates. The bull case isn't narrative; it's that 7.4% operating margin is a cyclical/transition low and reverts to 9-10%, which on ¥55T revenue is ¥5T+ operating income and earnings power closer to ¥4.5-5T — putting forward P/E at ~7-8x. That's genuinely cheap. But the contrarian-to-the-contrarian point: Chinese OEMs (BYD, Geely) are structurally lower cost, and Toyota's China JV revenue is bleeding share; if hybrid is a 5-year bridge rather than a 15-year moat, the terminal value math gets ugly fast. The insider data is useless (tiny award grants, no open-market buying or selling signal), and the "No Insider Transactions" tag is misleading — Japanese disclosure norms differ.

Where I land: the synthesis "fully_priced" verdict is wrong on math but accidentally close to right on conclusion — Toyota is fairly valued to modestly cheap, not a screaming buy. At $171 with a 3.1% yield, 1.06x book, and visible margin compression, you're being paid to wait but not compensated for the transition risk. Fair value range is $165-195 depending on whether you believe FY2027 op margins recover to 9% (upper) or stay at 7-8% (lower). I dissent from "Market Headwinds = meaningful upside" framing — the upside is real but requires margin recovery that the most recent quarter (6.5% net margin) actively contradicts. I'd want to see one more quarter confirming margin stabilization

GPT Critique
Second-opinion review · gpt-4o · generated 2026-06-27 03:13:01
Reviews the Opus findings above
Verdict I align with Opus — Toyota is modestly undervalued at $171 but not significantly so; fair value likely between $165-195 based on potential margin recovery.

In my independent analysis of Toyota Motor Corporation, several key data points stand out. The company's revenue growth is robust, with a recent annual revenue of ¥53.7 trillion, marking an 11.9% year-over-year increase. However, net income has declined to ¥4.08 trillion from ¥4.77 trillion, indicating a 14% drop, which highlights a troubling trend of shrinking margins. Operating income also decreased significantly, with margins compressing from 10.0% in the previous year to 7.4% in FY2026. Gross margins have similarly fallen from 21% in FY2024/25 to 16.7% in FY2026. The most concerning aspect is the free cash flow of only ¥592 billion against a massive capex of ¥5.2 trillion, suggesting Toyota is heavily investing in maintaining its competitive position amidst the industry shift towards electric vehicles (EVs).

Claude Opus's findings indicate skepticism towards the valuation synthesis that claims Toyota is "fully priced," which I agree with. The erroneous valuation synthesis that places Toyota at $59,507 per share is clearly flawed due to the currency and ADR conversion issues. Opus rightly points out that the canonical ratios (P/E of 9.4x, P/B of 1.06x, and EV/EBITDA of 8.5x) provide a more realistic valuation context, suggesting Toyota trades cheaply in absolute terms but in line with other legacy automakers. Opus's acknowledgment of Toyota's hybrid leadership and strong balance sheet, with ¥12.7 trillion in cash, supports the notion that Toyota deserves some premium in its valuation. I concur with the assessment that Toyota's current valuation does not warrant a re-rating to historical multiples given the current ROIC and ROE figures.

I diverge from Opus's view that the "Market Forces" framing is too generous. While it's true that Toyota is not at trough profitability, the notion that the hybrid strategy is winning in the short term, particularly in the US market, should not be dismissed. The potential for margins to recover to 9-10% by FY2027, as Opus suggests, offers a plausible upside scenario if cost pressures stabilize. However, I share Opus's concern about the competitive threat from Chinese manufacturers and the potential for Toyota's hybrid strategy to be a temporary advantage rather than a long-term moat.

A careful skeptic might argue that both our views underestimate the potential impact of macroeconomic headwinds and the aggressive competition in the EV market, which could further pressure Toyota's margins and market share. They might also question the sustainability of Toyota's hybrid strategy in the face of rapid technological advancements and regulatory changes favoring full EVs.

Community AI Feedback
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My Notes personal — only you see this
Data via Financial Modeling Prep · Cached for performance · fmp
v1.1.352 · d1100787 · 2026-06-26 11:39:30