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FRESH Analysis Report
Jun 26, 2026
1 day ago · 100% complete · +9 refreshed

Wells Fargo & Company

WFC NYSE Categories PDF
Financial Services · Banks - Diversified
San Francisco, CA 94105, United States IPO 1972 wellsfargo.com Updated Jun 26, 3:01am
Price
$84.75
Market Cap
$259.4B
Employees
211,608
Beta
0.93
Avg Volume
16,526,309
CEO
Charles W. Scharf
Business Description

Wells Fargo & Company, a financial services company, provides diversified banking, investment, mortgage, and consumer and commercial finance products and services in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Consumer Banking and Lending; Commercial Banking; Corporate and Investment Banking; and Wealth and Investment Management. The company’s financial products and services includes checking and savings accounts, and credit and debit cards, as well as home, auto, personal, and small business lending services. It also provides personalized wealth management, brokerage, financial planning, lending, private banking, trust and fiduciary products and services; and financial solutions to private, family owned and public companies through products and services including banking and credit products across multiple industry sectors and municipalities, secured lending and lease products, and treasury management. In addition, it offers a suite of capital markets, banking, and financial products and services, such as corporate banking, investment banking, treasury management, commercial real estate lending and servicing, equity, and fixed income solutions, as well as sales, trading, and research capabilities services to corporate, commercial real estate, government, and institutional clients. Wells Fargo & Company was founded in 1852 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

Business History
Generated: Jun 26, 2026 3:03am
Price Overview
Last updated: Jun 26, 2026 3:00am (1d ago)
$84.75
+0.45 (+0.53%)
Day Range
$84.28 – $86.30
52-Week Range
$72.78 – $97.76
50-Day MA
$79.61
200-Day MA
$84.26
Volume
11,295,789.00
Analyst Price Targets
Low $74.00
Consensus $99.38
High $113.00
(78 analysts)
Share Structure
Outstanding 3,060,190,000.00
Float 3,051,804,575.00
Free Float 99.7%
High free float — 99.7% of shares trade freely, ~0.3% held by insiders/institutions
Very liquid — most shares trade freely. Low insider ownership can mean less management alignment, but makes large position sizing straightforward.
Price History (1 Year)
Last updated: Jun 26, 2026 3:06am (1d ago)
Revenue & Net Income Trend
The directional story — useful even when net income is negative.
Last updated: Jun 26, 2026 3:06am (1d ago)
Revenue
The top line — total sales before any costs or taxes are subtracted. A measure of how much business the company is doing.
Net Income
The bottom line — profit left after subtracting all expenses, interest, and taxes from revenue. Reflects accounting profitability, but includes non-cash items like depreciation, so it isn't the same as cash earned.
Operating Cash Flow
The real cash generated by the day-to-day business — selling products, paying suppliers, collecting from customers. Calculated from net income by adding back non-cash items and adjusting for timing (unpaid bills, unsold inventory). When OCF consistently lags net income, the reported profit may not be converting to real money.
Period Revenue Net Income Net Margin YoY/QoQ
Key Metrics
API Direct from provider CALC Derived from statements
Industry comparison last run: Jun 26, 2026 3:02am
P/E Ratio (Price per dollar of earnings)
API
Stock Price / EPS (Diluted)
12.40
Stock Price: $84.75
EPS (Diluted): 6.39
P/B Ratio (Price vs net asset value)
API
Stock Price / Book Value Per Share
1.64
Stock Price: $84.75
Total Equity: $181.12B
Shares: 3,217,400,000
EV/EBITDA (Total value vs operating profit)
API
Enterprise Value / EBITDA
16.02
Market Cap: $259.35B
Total Debt: $425.72B
Cash: $174.21B
EBITDA: $29.35B
Enterprise Value (Takeover price (cap + debt - cash))
API
Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash
$547.8B
Market Cap: $259.35B
Total Debt: $425.72B
Cash: $174.21B
Gross Margin (Revenue left after direct costs)
API
Gross Profit / Revenue
64.8%
Gross Profit: $80.04B
Revenue: $123.53B
Operating Margin (Revenue left after all operations)
API
Operating Income / Revenue
20.4%
Operating Income: $25.20B
Revenue: $123.53B
Net Margin (Revenue left as actual profit)
API
Net Income / Revenue
17.3%
Net Income: $21.34B
Revenue: $123.53B
ROE (Profit from shareholder equity)
API
Net Income / Total Equity
12.0%
Net Income: $21.34B
Total Equity: $181.12B
ROIC (Profit from all invested capital)
API
NOPAT / Invested Capital
3.1%
Operating Income: $25.20B
Tax Rate: 15.2%
Equity: $181.12B
Total Debt: $425.72B
Cash: $174.21B
Current Ratio (Can it pay short-term bills)
API
Current Assets / Current Liabilities
0.29
Current Assets: $494.53B
Current Liabilities: $1,722.69B
Debt/Equity (Leverage — debt vs equity)
CALC
Total Debt / Total Equity
2.35
Short-Term Debt: $251.01B
Long-Term Debt: $174.71B
Total Debt: $425.72B
Total Equity: $181.12B
Rev/Share (Top-line per share)
CALC
Revenue / Shares Outstanding
$38.39
Revenue: $123.53B
Shares: 3,217,400,000
Book Value/Share (Net assets per share)
CALC
(Total Assets - Total Liabilities) / Shares
$56.29
Total Equity: $181.12B
Shares: 3,217,400,000
FCF/Share (Real cash generated per share)
CALC
(Operating Cash Flow + CapEx) / Shares
$-5.91
Operating CF: -$19.00B
CapEx: $0.00
Shares: 3,217,400,000
Div Yield (Annual income from holding)
API
Last Annual Dividend / Stock Price
2.2%
Last Dividend: N/A
Stock Price: $84.75
Payout Ratio (Earnings paid out as dividends)
Dividends Paid / Net Income
Dividends Paid: N/A
Net Income: $21.34B
Dividends paid not available in cash flow statement
Industry Benchmarks
Last run: Jun 26, 2026 3:02am
Compares WFC against LLM-researched typical ranges for its industry. One research call per industry, cached indefinitely — every stock in the same industry reuses the same baseline.
Advanced Analysis Forensic deep-dive · three lenses
Three separate reads — Company Quality (is it a great business?), Valuation (is it mispriced?), and General Sentiment (how macro + narrative are pushing it), kept deliberately apart · 2026-06-26 03:22:23
Delvantic - Cairn AI
Quality - wait for a dip 7/10
Solid rehabilitated bank (+56 quality) but priced for it (-73 value) with a friendly capital-return tailwind (+47) - patient buyer, not chaser.
The cruxWhether I get a pullback into the low-$70s; everything hinges on entry price, not the business.
Forensic checks Derived mechanically from WFC's filed financials — not from the AI lenses
Liquidity & RunwayLong Runway
DilutionShare Count Shrinking
Earnings QualityPoor — Multiple Red Flags
The three lensesswitch a tab for its full read — score + evidence
Company Quality
+56
Solid
edge √Σ 113 · risk √Σ 58 · conf 7/10

Wells Fargo is a mature, systemically important U.S. bank generating roughly 123B in revenue and 21B in net income in 2025, with operating margin nudging up to 20.4% from 18.6%, suggesting cost discipline and improving operating leverage as the asset cap era wound down. Net income has been remarkably steady (13.7B to 22.1B across the cycle) and share count has fallen from 4.10B to 3.22B, a -5.9% CAGR, meaning per-share earnings power is being meaningfully concentrated via buybacks with negligible SBC dilution. The forensic flags here mostly reflect bank-accounting artifacts rather than true distress. Altman Z of -0.36 is essentially meaningless for a deposit-funded bank where liabilities dwarf equity by design; the model is calibrated for industrials. Similarly, FCF swings from +40B to -19B reflect changes in loan balances, trading assets, and deposit flows, not operating deterioration. OCF/NI of 0.57x and lumpy FCF are normal for banks. Liquid cash of 471B is balance-sheet cash backing deposits, not discretionary firepower. Real quality questions are governance and risk culture: WFC carried regulatory consent orders (asset cap lifted 2025) tied to legacy sales-practice issues, and earnings integrity ultimately rests on credit reserving and reg compliance, neither of which the modules can see. Insider tape is benign (awards and tax withholdings, no open-market buys or sales of consequence).

Strengths 4
m75
Aggressive share count reduction
Diluted shares fell from 4.10B (2021) to 3.22B (2025), a -5.9% CAGR, with minimal SBC. Per-share earnings power concentrated by ~21% over four years.
m60
Operating margin expansion
Op margin rose from 18.6% (2024) to 20.4% (2025) on flat revenue, and net income grew to a cycle-high 21.3B, consistent with efficiency gains as the Fed asset cap was lifted.
m55
Earnings stability through cycle
Net income range 13.7B-22.1B across 2021-2025 despite rate shocks and regulatory overhang, reflecting diversified franchise (consumer, commercial, wealth, IB).
m25
Clean insider tape
Recent insider activity is routine director awards and tax-withholding F-codes; no open-market P or S transactions of size suggest insider stress.
Concerns 3
m45
Legacy regulatory/conduct overhang
WFC operated under a Fed-imposed asset cap and multiple consent orders stemming from sales-practice scandals; risk-culture remediation is real but unfinished, and tail risk on compliance remains above peer.
m30
OCF/NI 0.57x and volatile FCF
Cash conversion looks weak on paper, but for a bank this largely reflects loan and trading-asset growth rather than earnings quality. Worth noting, not decisive.
m20
Beneish/Altman of limited use
Altman Z of -0.36 flags 'distress' but the model does not apply to deposit-funded banks; treating it as a real signal would be a category error.
This is a solid, scaled diversified bank doing the right per-share things - shrinking the count nearly 6% annually with little SBC, expanding op margin, and producing remarkably steady ~20B net income. The scary-looking forensic flags (Altman Z distress, negative FCF, low OCF/NI) are mostly bank-accounting artifacts and I would not treat them as quality signals. The real quality question is cultural and regulatory: WFC spent the better part of a decade under the Fed's asset cap for a reason, and while the franchise is clearly being rehabilitated, I would not call it Fortress until a few more clean years prove the risk culture has actually changed. Solid, not yet Strong.
Verify before trusting this (6)
  • Status of remaining consent orders post-asset-cap lift and any new MRAs/MRIAs in the 10-K risk factors
  • CET1 ratio trajectory and SCB buffer vs. the pace of buybacks to ensure capital return is not procyclical
  • Credit quality trends: NCO ratio, ACL coverage, and CRE office exposure given commercial real estate stress
  • Net interest margin trajectory and deposit beta as rates normalize
  • Litigation/operational-loss reserves and any DOJ/CFPB updates
  • Composition of the -19B FCF print (loan growth vs. trading book changes vs. true operating drag)
Valuation / Mispricing
-73
Rich
edge √Σ 39 · risk √Σ 112 · conf 7/10
Price $84.75 vs deserved ~$78-80 (composite $80.68, signal-adj $71.00) - roughly 5-16% overvalued, no margin of safety. attractive below $70.00

Price $84.75 sits above the composite fair value of $80.68 and meaningfully above the signal-adjusted FV of $71.00 (implied downside ~16%). The EPV floor at $65.88 says the durable earnings power alone does not support today's quote, while the anchored P/E of $95.48 reflects a friendly multiple on a peak-ish earnings run-rate. Triangulating, deserved value lands in the high-$70s, call it ~$78-80 before any earnings-quality haircut, and below that after one.

Cheap signals 2
m30
Anchored P/E supports a higher mark
Anchored-PE method yields $95.48, suggesting if the ~$20B net income run-rate holds and multiple normalizes, there is a path higher - but this is the most aggressive of the three methods.
m25
Aggressive buybacks compound per-share value
Share count shrinking ~6%/yr with low SBC mechanically lifts deserved per-share value over time, partially offsetting the current premium.
Rich / priced-in 4
m70
Above signal-adjusted fair value
Signal-adj FV of $71 implies -16% from $84.75; the quality-aware triangulation does not support today's price.
m55
Above composite fair value
Composite FV $80.68 vs price $84.75 - trading ~5% above the blended deserved level even before any haircut for earnings quality.
m50
Fallen-angel rerate largely complete
Consent-order removal and buyback story are in the price; bull case now requires execution on wealth and consumer franchises, not just normalization.
m45
Earnings-quality haircut argues lower
Forensic signal scored -2 (Multiple Red Flags); even discounting bank-accounting noise, this pushes deserved value below composite, not above.
I cannot call this cheap. At $84.75 the stock is bracketed by a $71 signal-adjusted FV on the downside and a $95 anchored-PE on the upside, with the composite at $80.68 - meaning today's price already sits in the upper half of the deserved range for a solid-but-not-elite bank. The rehab story is no longer a secret. I would want to see the high-$60s to low-$70s before this becomes interesting on valuation grounds; anywhere above $85 I am a seller of optimism, not a buyer of a gap.
Verify before trusting this (5)
  • Forward NII guidance and deposit-cost trajectory in next earnings - drives the EPV floor
  • Wealth management segment margins and net flows - key bear thesis
  • Pace of buyback authorization and CET1 ratio post asset-cap removal benefits
  • Any one-time items or reserve releases inflating the $20B NI run-rate
  • Peer multiple comparison (JPM, BAC) to confirm if WFC discount has actually closed
General Sentiment
+47
Tailwind
tail √Σ 100 · head √Σ 52 · conf 7/10

The macro tape is only mildly negative (VIX 18.9, S&P -3.3% from highs, neutral regime) and WFC's 0.93 beta means the broad pressure barely amplifies on this name. What dominates right now is a clean, positive bank-specific narrative pulse: WFC cleared the Fed's 2026 stress test with SCB held at 2.5% and announced an 11% dividend hike, slotting it into the 'banks go on a dividend spree' story flooding financial media this week. That is exactly the kind of headline that reinforces the fallen-angel archetype the market has been underwriting.

Tailwinds 3
m70
Stress test pass + 11% dividend hike
Capital return news is the dominant 72h narrative for WFC and validates the fallen-angel rehab story. Lands hard on this name because dividend/capital signaling is the core bull pillar.
m55
Sector dividend-spree narrative
Big-bank dividend hikes are the active media story this week, pulling generalist flows into the cohort and giving WFC a friendly tape into Q2 earnings preview cycle.
m45
Analyst targets above price
Consensus target $99.38 vs $84.75 (17% upside) with zero negative revisions this month - tone is supportive and not diverging negatively from the live narrative.
Headwinds 3
m35
Neutral-to-soft macro tape
10y at 4.4% and S&P off highs cap multiple expansion for financials, but low beta (0.93) and defensive money-center status mute the hit on WFC specifically.
m30
Narrative may be priced in
Bear case explicitly flags that consent-order relief is already in the stock; with intensity only moderate and cult low, the upside surprise from here is limited - story is maturing, not igniting.
m25
Hold consensus dominates
29 Holds vs 27 Buys and zero Strong Buys signals tepid Street enthusiasm - no aggressive upgrade cycle to chase the dividend news.
Net pressure leans positive, not euphoric. WFC is catching a clean, well-timed catalyst (stress test + dividend hike) inside a supportive sector narrative, while its low beta insulates it from the soft tape. The fallen-angel story is being actively reinforced this week, and analyst tone is quietly constructive with no negative revisions. I read this as a moderate tailwind - enough to push the stock through the earnings window, but not a runaway because the narrative is maturing, cult coefficient is low, and bears can credibly argue the rehab is already priced in.
Verify before trusting this (4)
  • Q2 earnings reaction in mid-July - whether NII guide and deposit trends validate or crack the rehab story
  • Any follow-on broker upgrades citing the SCB/dividend news (would confirm tape turning)
  • 10y yield direction - a move above 4.6% would re-pressure the whole bank cohort
  • Signs the dividend-spree narrative fades as peers all match it (commoditizing the catalyst)
The market-wide tape + this name's exposure to it (beta / sector / narrative durability). Context on the non-fundamental pressure — not a call on the business or the price. processId: detail-general-sentiment
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Three lenses kept deliberately separate — Company Quality (price-agnostic), Valuation (price-conditional), and General Sentiment (non-fundamental macro/narrative pressure). The scores are not blended. Filing-level items (convertibles, lock-ups, customer concentration) are v2 — see each lens's "verify."
Deep Analysis
Last run: Jun 26, 2026 3:06:03 am

Pre-flight intelligence scans the company first, then routes to the right analytical methods.

0 Company Classification — What type of company is this?
1 Industry Landscape — Where is the industry headed?
2 Company Momentum — Where is this company trending?
3 Forward Projection — 1Y & 2Y projected metrics (requires Layer 1 + 2)
4a DCF Valuation — Present value of future cash flows
4b Earnings Power Value — Floor value — worth with zero growth
4c Anchored PE — Industry PE adjusted for growth differential
4d Reverse DCF — What growth is the market pricing in?
4e Revenue-Based DCF — For growth/narrative companies (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4f Anchored P/S — Price-to-Sales peer comparison (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4g Scenario Analysis — Bull / Base / Bear (skip if mature earner)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4h Dividend Discount Model — For dividend/income stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4i Book Value Analysis — For deep value / turnaround stocks only
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
4j Insider Activity — Are insiders buying or selling?
4f Cash Flow Quality — How trustworthy is the FCF?
4g Debt Maturity Risk — Can it handle its debt?
4h Macro Environment — Rates, market valuation, volatility
4i Sector Intelligence — How does this company compare within its sector?
4j Revenue Confidence — How reliable is the growth projection?
4k Sensitivity Analysis — How fragile is the fair value estimate?
4l Sector Demand Cycle — Is the sector in a boom, steady state, or contraction?
5 AI Investigation — Adaptive research engine (Claude)
5b Thesis Evaluation — What does the market believe? (narrative/platform stocks only)
Not applicable for Mature Earner companies
6 Valuation Synthesis — Weighted verdict from all methods (requires Layer 4)
Income Statement (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 26, 2026 3:06am (1d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue $83.1B $83.4B $115.3B $125.4B $123.5B
Cost of Revenue -$240.0M $10.6B $38.1B $47.4B $43.5B
Gross Profit $83.3B $72.8B $77.2B $78.0B $80.0B
Operating Expenses $53.8B $57.2B $55.6B $54.6B $54.8B
Operating Income $29.6B $15.6B $21.6B $23.4B $25.2B
Net Income $22.1B $13.7B $19.1B $19.7B $21.3B
EBITDA $37.5B $22.5B $27.9B $30.9B $29.3B
EPS $4.99 $3.17 $4.88 $5.43 $6.39
EPS (Diluted)
Balance Sheet (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 26, 2026 3:00am (1d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Cash & Equivalents $234.2B $159.2B $237.2B $203.4B $174.2B
Total Current Assets $450.8B $317.1B $416.3B $405.8B $494.5B
Total Assets $1.9T $1.9T $1.9T $1.9T $2.1T
Current Liabilities $1.6T $1.5T $1.4T $1.5T $1.7T
Long-Term Debt $160.7B $174.8B $207.6B $173.1B $174.7B
Total Liabilities $1.8T $1.7T $1.7T $1.7T $2.0T
Total Equity $187.6B $180.2B $185.7B $179.1B $181.1B
Retained Earnings $180.3B $188.0B $201.1B $214.2B $228.9B
Cash Flow (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 26, 2026 3:06am (1d ago)
Metric 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Operating Cash Flow -$11.5B $27.0B $40.4B $3.0B -$19.0B
Capital Expenditure $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Free Cash Flow -$11.5B $27.0B $40.4B $3.0B -$19.0B
Acquisitions (net) $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Debt Repayment
Dividends Paid
Stock Buybacks -$21.1B -$6.0B -$13.6B -$22.3B -$19.5B
Net Change in Cash -$30.4B -$75.1B $76.9B -$34.2B -$33.8B
Analyst Estimates (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 26, 2026 3:00am (1d ago)
Metric 2026 2027 2028 2029
Revenue $87.9B
$87.7B – $88.3B
$92.2B
$90.8B – $94.3B
$97.1B
$96.6B – $97.5B
$129.2B
$127.3B – $131.4B
EBITDA $25.4B
$25.4B – $25.5B
$26.7B
$26.3B – $27.3B
$28.1B
$27.9B – $28.2B
$37.4B
$36.8B – $38.0B
Net Income $21.5B
$19.6B – $23.4B
$22.8B
$22.1B – $26.8B
$27.9B
$25.0B – $30.7B
$32.0B
$31.3B – $32.7B
EPS
Growth Trends (YoY %)
Last updated: Jun 26, 2026 3:06am (1d ago)
Metric 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue Growth +0.4% +38.2% +8.7% -1.5%
Gross Profit Growth -12.6% +6.0% +1.0% +2.7%
Operating Income Growth -47.1% +38.4% +8.0% +7.9%
Net Income Growth -38.1% +40.0% +3.0% +8.2%
EBITDA Growth -40.0% +24.2% +10.8% -5.1%
Insider Trading (Recent)
Last updated: Jun 26, 2026 3:06am (1d ago)
Type codes PPurchase SSale AAward / grant MOption exercise FIn-kind (tax) CConversion GGift DReturn to issuer
All SEC Form 4 codes
Open market
P Purchase
Open-market or private purchase of shares.
S Sale
Open-market or private sale of shares.
Compensation (Rule 16b-3)
A Award / grant
Grant or award of securities (RSUs, options, etc.) under Rule 16b-3.
D Return to issuer
Securities disposed back to the company under Rule 16b-3.
F In-kind (tax)
Shares withheld or delivered to pay the option-exercise price or tax — not an open-market sale.
I Discretionary
Discretionary transaction under an employee plan — Rule 16b-3(f).
M Option exercise
Exercise or conversion of a derivative (option/RSU) into shares — exempt.
Derivatives
C Conversion
Conversion of a derivative security into the underlying shares.
E Short expiration
Expiration of a short derivative position.
H Long expiration
Expiration or cancellation of a long derivative position with value received.
O OTM exercise
Exercise of an out-of-the-money derivative.
X ITM exercise
Exercise of an in-the-money or at-the-money derivative.
Other exempt
G Gift
Bona fide gift of securities.
L Small acquisition
Small acquisition under Rule 16a-6.
W Inheritance
Acquisition or disposition by will or the laws of descent.
Z Voting trust
Deposit into or withdrawal from a voting trust.
Other
J Other
Other acquisition or disposition (explained in a Form 4 footnote).
K Equity swap
Transaction in an equity swap or similar instrument.
U Tender / buyout
Disposition via tender of shares in a change-of-control transaction.

Compensation-plan codes (A, D, F, M) are routine and rarely directional. Open-market P (buy) and S (sale) carry the most signal.

Date Insider Type Shares Price Value
2026-06-15 Rosenberg Jason M. M-Exempt 17,217.80 $0.00 $0
2026-06-15 Rosenberg Jason M. F-InKind 8,079.49 $83.73 $676,496
2026-06-15 Rosenberg Jason M. M-Exempt 17,217.80 $0.00 $0
2026-05-14 CRAVER THEODORE F JR G-Gift 89.00 $0.00 $0
2026-05-14 CRAVER THEODORE F JR G-Gift 89.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-28 Vautrinot Suzanne M A-Award 3,436.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-28 SARGENT RONALD A-Award 3,436.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-28 Norwood Felicia F A-Award 3,436.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-28 Morris Maria R A-Award 3,436.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-28 Morken CeCelia A-Award 3,436.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-28 Hewett Wayne M. A-Award 3,436.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-28 GARCIA FABIAN T A-Award 3,436.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-28 DAVIS RICHARD K A-Award 3,436.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-28 CRAVER THEODORE F JR A-Award 3,436.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-28 Chancy Mark A A-Award 3,436.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-28 BLACK STEVEN D A-Award 3,436.00 $0.00 $0
2026-04-01 SARGENT RONALD A-Award 496.46 $0.00 $0
2026-04-01 Hewett Wayne M. A-Award 418.89 $0.00 $0
2026-04-01 Clark Celeste A. A-Award 341.32 $0.00 $0
2026-04-01 BLACK STEVEN D A-Award 1,117.04 $0.00 $0
Dividend History (Last 20)
Last updated: Jun 26, 2026 3:00am (1d ago)
Date Dividend Declaration Record Payment
2026-05-08 $0.45 2026-04-28 2026-05-08 2026-06-01
2026-02-06 $0.45 2026-01-27 2026-02-06 2026-03-01
2025-11-07 $0.45 2025-10-28 2025-11-07 2025-12-01
2025-08-08 $0.45 2025-07-29 2025-08-08 2025-09-01
2025-05-09 $0.40 2025-04-29 2025-05-09 2025-06-01
2025-02-07 $0.40 2025-01-28 2025-02-07 2025-03-01
2024-11-08 $0.40 2024-10-22 2024-11-08 2024-12-01
2024-08-09 $0.40 2024-07-23 2024-08-09 2024-09-01
2024-05-09 $0.35 2024-04-30 2024-05-10 2024-06-01
2024-02-01 $0.35 2024-01-23 2024-02-02 2024-03-01
2023-11-02 $0.35 2023-10-24 2023-11-03 2023-12-01
2023-08-03 $0.35 2023-07-25 2023-08-04 2023-09-01
2023-05-04 $0.30 2023-04-25 2023-05-05 2023-06-01
2023-02-02 $0.30 2023-01-24 2023-02-03 2023-03-01
2022-11-03 $0.30 2022-10-25 2022-11-04 2022-12-01
2022-08-04 $0.30 2022-07-26 2022-08-05 2022-09-01
2022-05-05 $0.25 2022-04-26 2022-05-06 2022-06-01
2022-02-03 $0.25 2022-01-25 2022-02-04 2022-03-01
2021-11-04 $0.20 2021-10-26 2021-11-05 2021-12-01
2021-08-05 $0.20 2021-07-27 2021-08-06 2021-09-01
Narrative Economics
The story the market is telling about this stock — the intangible X-factor (founder mythology, cult dynamics, TAM-of-imagination) that moves price beyond what cash flows alone explain. After Shiller, Narrative Economics.
No narrative profile yet for WFC — it's generated by the pipeline (market-narrative step).
Delvantic AI Findings
Independent analyst synthesis · Delvantic - Cairn AI · generated 2026-06-26 03:06:44
Reviews the pipeline's own verdicts

Looking at the raw quarterly tape first: revenue has crept from $29.63B (Q1'25) to $31.80B (Q1'26) — call it ~3% sequential build over four quarters, with net income oscillating in a $4.9-5.6B band. Net margin sits at ~17%, TTM NI roughly $21.7B. At $259B market cap that's a 12x P/E, and at $84.75 against a book multiple of 1.64x P/B, the stock is no longer the deep-value rebuild it was at $40-50. Annual revenue actually *declined* from $125.4B (2024) to $123.5B (2025) — the "accelerating" quarterly trend the secondary signals flag is really a recovery from a soft Q1'25, not a genuine reacceleration. ROE at 12% is decent but not exceptional for a money-center bank; JPM prints 17%+. The negative $19B operating cash flow line is a bank-accounting artifact (loan growth, trading assets) — I'd discount the "poor FCF quality" red flag from the synthesis as a category error, not a real warning.

Where I diverge from the prior models: the Pre-Flight note claims WFC trades at ~1.0x P/B at a 30% discount to peers — that's stale. P/B is 1.64x per the canonical metrics, which puts WFC roughly *in line* with BAC (~1.3-1.4x) and only modestly below JPM (~2.2x). The "fallen angel rebuilding" narrative the Market Narrative layer describes has already largely played out — the asset cap was lifted in mid-2025, and the stock is up substantially. So the Synthesis verdict of "overvalued, FV ~$71" and the Thesis Evaluation's "30% implied FCF growth makes no sense" are directionally right but for the wrong reason: it's not that the redemption thesis is fake, it's that it's *consummated* and the easy money has been made. Market Forces' "deteriorating franchise using leverage and accounting flexibility" is overwrought — there's no evidence of accounting games here, just a mature bank with flattish revenue and decent earnings growth from buybacks and modest operating leverage.

The contrarian case for staying long at $84: post-asset-cap, WFC finally has the option to grow the balance sheet for the first time in seven years. If management executes even modestly — say, 4-5% loan growth on a $1.9T asset base at current NIM — that's incremental $3-4B revenue with minimal incremental cost, dropping ~$2B+ to net income, taking EPS power from ~$6 to ~$6.75-7 over 18 months. At a 13-14x multiple (peer-appropriate for a normalized franchise), that's $90-95. The $10B expense program plus continued buybacks (share count down ~4% annually) provide a second leg. Berkshire's continued holding isn't nothing. Insider activity is the routine award/exempt pattern of a megabank — neutral, not a tell.

But: revenue went *backward* YoY on the annual line (-1.5%), the recent quarter ($31.80B) is below Q3'25 ($31.91B) — the "accelerating" tag is generous. The synthesis composite at $71-80 is reasonable; I'd anchor fair value at $78-82, meaning current $84.75 is 3-8% above fair, not the 16% premium the synthesis claims. That's not enough margin of safety to short, but it's enough to refuse to chase. The 2.2% dividend yield plus 4% buyback yield gives you ~6% capital return at a fair-to-slightly-rich multiple — adequate, not compelling. I dissent from "Market Headwinds / avoid" as too negative (Wells is fine, not deteriorating) and dissent from any latent bull read on the Pre-Flight "deep value" framing (that ship sailed at $55). I land closer to the Synthesis verdict than to Market Forces, but with a less dramatic gap.

Where the data is thin: no debt or equity line items on the balance sheet tile (critical for a bank — though we can back into ~$185B equity from P/B math), no NIM disclosure, no credit quality (NCO, reserve build) which is the single most important emerging risk if the consumer cycle turns. The TTM-tagged ratios (P/E, ROE, ROIC) are fine but worth noting they reflect a recovering earnings base; forward P/E on consensus is probably closer to 11x. Insider data is anonymized ("?") which makes it useless for signal extraction

GPT Critique
Second-opinion review · gpt-4o · generated 2026-06-26 03:06:53
Reviews the Opus findings above
Verdict I largely agree with Opus—overvalued at $84.75, fair value should be anchored at $78-82, recognizing modest growth potential but remaining cautious about underlying risks.

In my independent analysis of Wells Fargo, several data points stand out. The company's quarterly revenue has shown a modest increase from $29.63B in Q1 2025 to $31.80B in Q1 2026, equating to roughly a 7% rise over the year. Despite this, the annual revenue declined slightly from $125.4B in 2024 to $123.5B in 2025. This suggests that while recent quarters show a recovery trend, the overall annual performance reflects stagnation or even contraction. Additionally, the net income margin hovers around 17%, which is healthy but not extraordinary for a bank of this size. The operating cash flow is notably negative at -$19B, which warrants scrutiny, although it's likely influenced by typical banking activities such as loan growth. The P/E ratio at 12.4 places Wells Fargo in a reasonable valuation bracket, yet their P/B ratio at 1.64 suggests the market is pricing in expectations of recovering fundamentals, aligning them more closely with peers like Bank of America rather than indicating a deep-value opportunity.

Opus argues that the narrative of Wells Fargo as a "fallen angel" is largely consummated, with the asset cap lifted and the stock having appreciated significantly. I concur with this assessment, particularly with his point that the current P/B ratio is more reflective of market parity with peers than a discount. However, I diverge on his dismissal of the cash flow quality concerns. While Opus deems the negative cash flow as a mere artifact of banking operations, I view it as a potential red flag that requires closer examination, especially in light of emerging credit risks if economic conditions worsen. I also agree with Opus's challenge to the "overvalued at $71" synthesis verdict. His fair value estimate of $78-82 seems more grounded, considering the modest growth prospects and current valuation metrics.

Where I disagree is on the optimism about future growth. Opus suggests that post-asset-cap, Wells Fargo could see incremental revenue from expanding the balance sheet. While theoretically sound, this assumes a stable economic backdrop and effective management execution, both of which carry inherent risks. The recent YoY revenue decline and the fact that the latest quarter's revenue is slightly below Q3 2025's figure should temper any overly bullish projections. I am also more skeptical about the company's ability to achieve meaningful loan growth in a potentially tightening credit environment, which Opus seems to overlook.

A careful skeptic might argue that both Opus and I are underestimating the potential for a more significant downturn in consumer banking, especially with digital competitors eroding traditional banks' market share. They might also point out the lack of detailed insights into credit quality and consumer behavior metrics, which are critical in assessing future risk exposure.

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My Notes personal — only you see this
Data via Financial Modeling Prep · Cached for performance · fmp
v1.1.352 · d1100787 · 2026-06-26 11:39:30