Business Description
Wells Fargo & Company, a financial services company, provides diversified banking, investment, mortgage, and consumer and commercial finance products and services in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Consumer Banking and Lending; Commercial Banking; Corporate and Investment Banking; and Wealth and Investment Management. The company’s financial products and services includes checking and savings accounts, and credit and debit cards, as well as home, auto, personal, and small business lending services. It also provides personalized wealth management, brokerage, financial planning, lending, private banking, trust and fiduciary products and services; and financial solutions to private, family owned and public companies through products and services including banking and credit products across multiple industry sectors and municipalities, secured lending and lease products, and treasury management. In addition, it offers a suite of capital markets, banking, and financial products and services, such as corporate banking, investment banking, treasury management, commercial real estate lending and servicing, equity, and fixed income solutions, as well as sales, trading, and research capabilities services to corporate, commercial real estate, government, and institutional clients. Wells Fargo & Company was founded in 1852 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Business History
Generated: Jun 26, 2026 3:03amPrice Overview
Last updated: Jun 26, 2026 3:00am (1d ago)Price History (1 Year)
Revenue & Net Income Trend
| Period | Revenue | Net Income | Net Margin | YoY/QoQ |
|---|
Key Metrics
EPS (Diluted): 6.39
Total Equity: $181.12B
Shares: 3,217,400,000
Total Debt: $425.72B
Cash: $174.21B
EBITDA: $29.35B
Total Debt: $425.72B
Cash: $174.21B
Revenue: $123.53B
Revenue: $123.53B
Revenue: $123.53B
Total Equity: $181.12B
Tax Rate: 15.2%
Equity: $181.12B
Total Debt: $425.72B
Cash: $174.21B
Current Liabilities: $1,722.69B
Long-Term Debt: $174.71B
Total Debt: $425.72B
Total Equity: $181.12B
Shares: 3,217,400,000
Shares: 3,217,400,000
CapEx: $0.00
Shares: 3,217,400,000
Stock Price: $84.75
Net Income: $21.34B
Industry Benchmarks
Advanced Analysis Forensic deep-dive · three lenses
Wells Fargo is a mature, systemically important U.S. bank generating roughly 123B in revenue and 21B in net income in 2025, with operating margin nudging up to 20.4% from 18.6%, suggesting cost discipline and improving operating leverage as the asset cap era wound down. Net income has been remarkably steady (13.7B to 22.1B across the cycle) and share count has fallen from 4.10B to 3.22B, a -5.9% CAGR, meaning per-share earnings power is being meaningfully concentrated via buybacks with negligible SBC dilution. The forensic flags here mostly reflect bank-accounting artifacts rather than true distress. Altman Z of -0.36 is essentially meaningless for a deposit-funded bank where liabilities dwarf equity by design; the model is calibrated for industrials. Similarly, FCF swings from +40B to -19B reflect changes in loan balances, trading assets, and deposit flows, not operating deterioration. OCF/NI of 0.57x and lumpy FCF are normal for banks. Liquid cash of 471B is balance-sheet cash backing deposits, not discretionary firepower. Real quality questions are governance and risk culture: WFC carried regulatory consent orders (asset cap lifted 2025) tied to legacy sales-practice issues, and earnings integrity ultimately rests on credit reserving and reg compliance, neither of which the modules can see. Insider tape is benign (awards and tax withholdings, no open-market buys or sales of consequence).
Verify before trusting this (6)
- Status of remaining consent orders post-asset-cap lift and any new MRAs/MRIAs in the 10-K risk factors
- CET1 ratio trajectory and SCB buffer vs. the pace of buybacks to ensure capital return is not procyclical
- Credit quality trends: NCO ratio, ACL coverage, and CRE office exposure given commercial real estate stress
- Net interest margin trajectory and deposit beta as rates normalize
- Litigation/operational-loss reserves and any DOJ/CFPB updates
- Composition of the -19B FCF print (loan growth vs. trading book changes vs. true operating drag)
Price $84.75 sits above the composite fair value of $80.68 and meaningfully above the signal-adjusted FV of $71.00 (implied downside ~16%). The EPV floor at $65.88 says the durable earnings power alone does not support today's quote, while the anchored P/E of $95.48 reflects a friendly multiple on a peak-ish earnings run-rate. Triangulating, deserved value lands in the high-$70s, call it ~$78-80 before any earnings-quality haircut, and below that after one.
Verify before trusting this (5)
- Forward NII guidance and deposit-cost trajectory in next earnings - drives the EPV floor
- Wealth management segment margins and net flows - key bear thesis
- Pace of buyback authorization and CET1 ratio post asset-cap removal benefits
- Any one-time items or reserve releases inflating the $20B NI run-rate
- Peer multiple comparison (JPM, BAC) to confirm if WFC discount has actually closed
The macro tape is only mildly negative (VIX 18.9, S&P -3.3% from highs, neutral regime) and WFC's 0.93 beta means the broad pressure barely amplifies on this name. What dominates right now is a clean, positive bank-specific narrative pulse: WFC cleared the Fed's 2026 stress test with SCB held at 2.5% and announced an 11% dividend hike, slotting it into the 'banks go on a dividend spree' story flooding financial media this week. That is exactly the kind of headline that reinforces the fallen-angel archetype the market has been underwriting.
Verify before trusting this (4)
- Q2 earnings reaction in mid-July - whether NII guide and deposit trends validate or crack the rehab story
- Any follow-on broker upgrades citing the SCB/dividend news (would confirm tape turning)
- 10y yield direction - a move above 4.6% would re-pressure the whole bank cohort
- Signs the dividend-spree narrative fades as peers all match it (commoditizing the catalyst)
Deep Analysis
Pre-flight intelligence scans the company first, then routes to the right analytical methods.
Income Statement (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 26, 2026 3:06am (1d ago)| Metric | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $83.1B | $83.4B | $115.3B | $125.4B | $123.5B |
| Cost of Revenue | -$240.0M | $10.6B | $38.1B | $47.4B | $43.5B |
| Gross Profit | $83.3B | $72.8B | $77.2B | $78.0B | $80.0B |
| Operating Expenses | $53.8B | $57.2B | $55.6B | $54.6B | $54.8B |
| Operating Income | $29.6B | $15.6B | $21.6B | $23.4B | $25.2B |
| Net Income | $22.1B | $13.7B | $19.1B | $19.7B | $21.3B |
| EBITDA | $37.5B | $22.5B | $27.9B | $30.9B | $29.3B |
| EPS | $4.99 | $3.17 | $4.88 | $5.43 | $6.39 |
| EPS (Diluted) | — | — | — | — | — |
Balance Sheet (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 26, 2026 3:00am (1d ago)| Metric | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & Equivalents | $234.2B | $159.2B | $237.2B | $203.4B | $174.2B |
| Total Current Assets | $450.8B | $317.1B | $416.3B | $405.8B | $494.5B |
| Total Assets | $1.9T | $1.9T | $1.9T | $1.9T | $2.1T |
| Current Liabilities | $1.6T | $1.5T | $1.4T | $1.5T | $1.7T |
| Long-Term Debt | $160.7B | $174.8B | $207.6B | $173.1B | $174.7B |
| Total Liabilities | $1.8T | $1.7T | $1.7T | $1.7T | $2.0T |
| Total Equity | $187.6B | $180.2B | $185.7B | $179.1B | $181.1B |
| Retained Earnings | $180.3B | $188.0B | $201.1B | $214.2B | $228.9B |
Cash Flow (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 26, 2026 3:06am (1d ago)| Metric | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$11.5B | $27.0B | $40.4B | $3.0B | -$19.0B |
| Capital Expenditure | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$11.5B | $27.0B | $40.4B | $3.0B | -$19.0B |
| Acquisitions (net) | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Debt Repayment | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividends Paid | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stock Buybacks | -$21.1B | -$6.0B | -$13.6B | -$22.3B | -$19.5B |
| Net Change in Cash | -$30.4B | -$75.1B | $76.9B | -$34.2B | -$33.8B |
Analyst Estimates (Annual)
Last updated: Jun 26, 2026 3:00am (1d ago)| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue |
$87.9B $87.7B – $88.3B
|
$92.2B $90.8B – $94.3B
|
$97.1B $96.6B – $97.5B
|
$129.2B $127.3B – $131.4B
|
| EBITDA |
$25.4B $25.4B – $25.5B
|
$26.7B $26.3B – $27.3B
|
$28.1B $27.9B – $28.2B
|
$37.4B $36.8B – $38.0B
|
| Net Income |
$21.5B $19.6B – $23.4B
|
$22.8B $22.1B – $26.8B
|
$27.9B $25.0B – $30.7B
|
$32.0B $31.3B – $32.7B
|
| EPS | — | — | — | — |
Growth Trends (YoY %)
Last updated: Jun 26, 2026 3:06am (1d ago)| Metric | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | +0.4% | +38.2% | +8.7% | -1.5% |
| Gross Profit Growth | -12.6% | +6.0% | +1.0% | +2.7% |
| Operating Income Growth | -47.1% | +38.4% | +8.0% | +7.9% |
| Net Income Growth | -38.1% | +40.0% | +3.0% | +8.2% |
| EBITDA Growth | -40.0% | +24.2% | +10.8% | -5.1% |
Insider Trading (Recent)
Last updated: Jun 26, 2026 3:06am (1d ago)All SEC Form 4 codes
- P Purchase
- Open-market or private purchase of shares.
- S Sale
- Open-market or private sale of shares.
- A Award / grant
- Grant or award of securities (RSUs, options, etc.) under Rule 16b-3.
- D Return to issuer
- Securities disposed back to the company under Rule 16b-3.
- F In-kind (tax)
- Shares withheld or delivered to pay the option-exercise price or tax — not an open-market sale.
- I Discretionary
- Discretionary transaction under an employee plan — Rule 16b-3(f).
- M Option exercise
- Exercise or conversion of a derivative (option/RSU) into shares — exempt.
- C Conversion
- Conversion of a derivative security into the underlying shares.
- E Short expiration
- Expiration of a short derivative position.
- H Long expiration
- Expiration or cancellation of a long derivative position with value received.
- O OTM exercise
- Exercise of an out-of-the-money derivative.
- X ITM exercise
- Exercise of an in-the-money or at-the-money derivative.
- G Gift
- Bona fide gift of securities.
- L Small acquisition
- Small acquisition under Rule 16a-6.
- W Inheritance
- Acquisition or disposition by will or the laws of descent.
- Z Voting trust
- Deposit into or withdrawal from a voting trust.
- J Other
- Other acquisition or disposition (explained in a Form 4 footnote).
- K Equity swap
- Transaction in an equity swap or similar instrument.
- U Tender / buyout
- Disposition via tender of shares in a change-of-control transaction.
Compensation-plan codes (A, D, F, M) are routine and rarely directional. Open-market P (buy) and S (sale) carry the most signal.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Rosenberg Jason M. | M-Exempt | 17,217.80 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Rosenberg Jason M. | F-InKind | 8,079.49 | $83.73 | $676,496 |
| 2026-06-15 | Rosenberg Jason M. | M-Exempt | 17,217.80 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2026-05-14 | CRAVER THEODORE F JR | G-Gift | 89.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2026-05-14 | CRAVER THEODORE F JR | G-Gift | 89.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Vautrinot Suzanne M | A-Award | 3,436.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2026-04-28 | SARGENT RONALD | A-Award | 3,436.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Norwood Felicia F | A-Award | 3,436.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Morris Maria R | A-Award | 3,436.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Morken CeCelia | A-Award | 3,436.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Hewett Wayne M. | A-Award | 3,436.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2026-04-28 | GARCIA FABIAN T | A-Award | 3,436.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2026-04-28 | DAVIS RICHARD K | A-Award | 3,436.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2026-04-28 | CRAVER THEODORE F JR | A-Award | 3,436.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Chancy Mark A | A-Award | 3,436.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2026-04-28 | BLACK STEVEN D | A-Award | 3,436.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2026-04-01 | SARGENT RONALD | A-Award | 496.46 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Hewett Wayne M. | A-Award | 418.89 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Clark Celeste A. | A-Award | 341.32 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2026-04-01 | BLACK STEVEN D | A-Award | 1,117.04 | $0.00 | $0 |
Dividend History (Last 20)
Last updated: Jun 26, 2026 3:00am (1d ago)| Date | Dividend | Declaration | Record | Payment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | $0.45 | 2026-04-28 | 2026-05-08 | 2026-06-01 |
| 2026-02-06 | $0.45 | 2026-01-27 | 2026-02-06 | 2026-03-01 |
| 2025-11-07 | $0.45 | 2025-10-28 | 2025-11-07 | 2025-12-01 |
| 2025-08-08 | $0.45 | 2025-07-29 | 2025-08-08 | 2025-09-01 |
| 2025-05-09 | $0.40 | 2025-04-29 | 2025-05-09 | 2025-06-01 |
| 2025-02-07 | $0.40 | 2025-01-28 | 2025-02-07 | 2025-03-01 |
| 2024-11-08 | $0.40 | 2024-10-22 | 2024-11-08 | 2024-12-01 |
| 2024-08-09 | $0.40 | 2024-07-23 | 2024-08-09 | 2024-09-01 |
| 2024-05-09 | $0.35 | 2024-04-30 | 2024-05-10 | 2024-06-01 |
| 2024-02-01 | $0.35 | 2024-01-23 | 2024-02-02 | 2024-03-01 |
| 2023-11-02 | $0.35 | 2023-10-24 | 2023-11-03 | 2023-12-01 |
| 2023-08-03 | $0.35 | 2023-07-25 | 2023-08-04 | 2023-09-01 |
| 2023-05-04 | $0.30 | 2023-04-25 | 2023-05-05 | 2023-06-01 |
| 2023-02-02 | $0.30 | 2023-01-24 | 2023-02-03 | 2023-03-01 |
| 2022-11-03 | $0.30 | 2022-10-25 | 2022-11-04 | 2022-12-01 |
| 2022-08-04 | $0.30 | 2022-07-26 | 2022-08-05 | 2022-09-01 |
| 2022-05-05 | $0.25 | 2022-04-26 | 2022-05-06 | 2022-06-01 |
| 2022-02-03 | $0.25 | 2022-01-25 | 2022-02-04 | 2022-03-01 |
| 2021-11-04 | $0.20 | 2021-10-26 | 2021-11-05 | 2021-12-01 |
| 2021-08-05 | $0.20 | 2021-07-27 | 2021-08-06 | 2021-09-01 |
Narrative Economics
market-narrative step).
Delvantic AI Findings
Looking at the raw quarterly tape first: revenue has crept from $29.63B (Q1'25) to $31.80B (Q1'26) — call it ~3% sequential build over four quarters, with net income oscillating in a $4.9-5.6B band. Net margin sits at ~17%, TTM NI roughly $21.7B. At $259B market cap that's a 12x P/E, and at $84.75 against a book multiple of 1.64x P/B, the stock is no longer the deep-value rebuild it was at $40-50. Annual revenue actually *declined* from $125.4B (2024) to $123.5B (2025) — the "accelerating" quarterly trend the secondary signals flag is really a recovery from a soft Q1'25, not a genuine reacceleration. ROE at 12% is decent but not exceptional for a money-center bank; JPM prints 17%+. The negative $19B operating cash flow line is a bank-accounting artifact (loan growth, trading assets) — I'd discount the "poor FCF quality" red flag from the synthesis as a category error, not a real warning.
Where I diverge from the prior models: the Pre-Flight note claims WFC trades at ~1.0x P/B at a 30% discount to peers — that's stale. P/B is 1.64x per the canonical metrics, which puts WFC roughly *in line* with BAC (~1.3-1.4x) and only modestly below JPM (~2.2x). The "fallen angel rebuilding" narrative the Market Narrative layer describes has already largely played out — the asset cap was lifted in mid-2025, and the stock is up substantially. So the Synthesis verdict of "overvalued, FV ~$71" and the Thesis Evaluation's "30% implied FCF growth makes no sense" are directionally right but for the wrong reason: it's not that the redemption thesis is fake, it's that it's *consummated* and the easy money has been made. Market Forces' "deteriorating franchise using leverage and accounting flexibility" is overwrought — there's no evidence of accounting games here, just a mature bank with flattish revenue and decent earnings growth from buybacks and modest operating leverage.
The contrarian case for staying long at $84: post-asset-cap, WFC finally has the option to grow the balance sheet for the first time in seven years. If management executes even modestly — say, 4-5% loan growth on a $1.9T asset base at current NIM — that's incremental $3-4B revenue with minimal incremental cost, dropping ~$2B+ to net income, taking EPS power from ~$6 to ~$6.75-7 over 18 months. At a 13-14x multiple (peer-appropriate for a normalized franchise), that's $90-95. The $10B expense program plus continued buybacks (share count down ~4% annually) provide a second leg. Berkshire's continued holding isn't nothing. Insider activity is the routine award/exempt pattern of a megabank — neutral, not a tell.
But: revenue went *backward* YoY on the annual line (-1.5%), the recent quarter ($31.80B) is below Q3'25 ($31.91B) — the "accelerating" tag is generous. The synthesis composite at $71-80 is reasonable; I'd anchor fair value at $78-82, meaning current $84.75 is 3-8% above fair, not the 16% premium the synthesis claims. That's not enough margin of safety to short, but it's enough to refuse to chase. The 2.2% dividend yield plus 4% buyback yield gives you ~6% capital return at a fair-to-slightly-rich multiple — adequate, not compelling. I dissent from "Market Headwinds / avoid" as too negative (Wells is fine, not deteriorating) and dissent from any latent bull read on the Pre-Flight "deep value" framing (that ship sailed at $55). I land closer to the Synthesis verdict than to Market Forces, but with a less dramatic gap.
Where the data is thin: no debt or equity line items on the balance sheet tile (critical for a bank — though we can back into ~$185B equity from P/B math), no NIM disclosure, no credit quality (NCO, reserve build) which is the single most important emerging risk if the consumer cycle turns. The TTM-tagged ratios (P/E, ROE, ROIC) are fine but worth noting they reflect a recovering earnings base; forward P/E on consensus is probably closer to 11x. Insider data is anonymized ("?") which makes it useless for signal extraction
GPT Critique
In my independent analysis of Wells Fargo, several data points stand out. The company's quarterly revenue has shown a modest increase from $29.63B in Q1 2025 to $31.80B in Q1 2026, equating to roughly a 7% rise over the year. Despite this, the annual revenue declined slightly from $125.4B in 2024 to $123.5B in 2025. This suggests that while recent quarters show a recovery trend, the overall annual performance reflects stagnation or even contraction. Additionally, the net income margin hovers around 17%, which is healthy but not extraordinary for a bank of this size. The operating cash flow is notably negative at -$19B, which warrants scrutiny, although it's likely influenced by typical banking activities such as loan growth. The P/E ratio at 12.4 places Wells Fargo in a reasonable valuation bracket, yet their P/B ratio at 1.64 suggests the market is pricing in expectations of recovering fundamentals, aligning them more closely with peers like Bank of America rather than indicating a deep-value opportunity.
Opus argues that the narrative of Wells Fargo as a "fallen angel" is largely consummated, with the asset cap lifted and the stock having appreciated significantly. I concur with this assessment, particularly with his point that the current P/B ratio is more reflective of market parity with peers than a discount. However, I diverge on his dismissal of the cash flow quality concerns. While Opus deems the negative cash flow as a mere artifact of banking operations, I view it as a potential red flag that requires closer examination, especially in light of emerging credit risks if economic conditions worsen. I also agree with Opus's challenge to the "overvalued at $71" synthesis verdict. His fair value estimate of $78-82 seems more grounded, considering the modest growth prospects and current valuation metrics.
Where I disagree is on the optimism about future growth. Opus suggests that post-asset-cap, Wells Fargo could see incremental revenue from expanding the balance sheet. While theoretically sound, this assumes a stable economic backdrop and effective management execution, both of which carry inherent risks. The recent YoY revenue decline and the fact that the latest quarter's revenue is slightly below Q3 2025's figure should temper any overly bullish projections. I am also more skeptical about the company's ability to achieve meaningful loan growth in a potentially tightening credit environment, which Opus seems to overlook.
A careful skeptic might argue that both Opus and I are underestimating the potential for a more significant downturn in consumer banking, especially with digital competitors eroding traditional banks' market share. They might also point out the lack of detailed insights into credit quality and consumer behavior metrics, which are critical in assessing future risk exposure.